Will the real The Death Valley 134F high temperature record please stand up? NWS says one on file at NCDC is a 'fake'

Twenty-mule team in Death Valley, California
It seems the U.S. Borax company was responsible for doing the original record. Above: Twenty-mule borax wagon team in Death Valley, California (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

“…someone made this fake form off the original and even forged Oscar Denton’s name on it.”

Readers may recall that last week I noticed differences in the two “official” paper records presented by NOAA/NWS and the National Park Service in their respective web announcements about the 100 year anniversary of the 134°F reading in Greenland Ranch in Death Valley, which is now the all-time highest temperature reading on Earth.

I pointed out that the two paper forms didn’t match. They had different handwriting styles, different notations, different portions filled out, and different numbers is some places. It was a curious puzzle that made me wonder why two different paper records existed. Some readers commented to the effect that looking at such minutiae was a waste of time. But as NWS Las Vegas points out, they took my question seriously once I got their attention.

To get their attention, I had to enlist the help of Dan Vergano and Doyle Rice of USA Today to ask the question since my queries were going unanswered. I thank them for their assistance.

Here is what NWS Las Vegas says, and an image showing all three records follows:

================================================================

From: Christopher Stachelski – NOAA Federal

Sent: Thursday, July 11, 2013 12:30 PM

To: Rice, Doyle

Cc: Randall Cerveny

Subject: Death Valley 134 Forms

Hi Doyle,

Randy Cerveny informed me you had a question about the multiple Death valley 134 degree forms. In short here’s the whole story on this one as I explained to him. Please let me know if you have any further questions on this.

Thanks,

Chris Stachelski

NWS Las Vegas

After looking at the blog entry from Watts, here’s my findings. On their Facebook page Wednesday, Death Valley posted a photo of the observation form from July 1913. This indeed appears to be a carbon copy of a form from that era.

In 2008, I asked NCDC to furnish our office with a copy of the original 1913 form. The following, which is on their website in the IPS system was what they sent me. http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS-4467B518-F5E1-46BF-904D-1FF111E11154.pdf

This is clearly not an original form to 1913 as evident by the Weather Bureau being in the Dept. of Commerce on this form when it was in the Dept. of Agriculture. It appears sometime in the 1950s or 1960s someone made this fake form off the original and even forged Oscar Denton’s name on it. After pointing out the discrepancy in the agency I mentioned above, NCDC continued to state this was the only form they had from Greenland Ranch from July 1913.

Starting in 2009 when I took over the climate program at NWS Las Vegas, I asked Charlie Callagan, a ranger at DV who oversaw the weather station and published a report on it with the AMS, about locating some of the missing B-91s cooperative observation forms so the missing data and forms could be filed with NCDC. In addition, I worked with the Datzilla folks at NCDC to clean up a large number of misfiled forms and keying errors within the datasets for Death Valley and Greenland Ranch. During a trip to Death Valley in 2010, I asked Charlie in person about getting a copy of the 1913 observation form. We both went to the Cow Creek library where he went into the archives and provided me with this form – http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS-F9CF539C-22BA-498D-BBFC-9DF92999FEE4.pdf – which I then sent into NCDC to have filed.

To my knowledge, the co-op observer used carbon forms then. The Borax Company gave many of their original items to NPS. Watts is right that there are differences in the 1913 forms that say Dept. of Agriculture on them. This is the first I know of two Dept. of Ag forms from July 1913. Based on how Oscar filled out the sky conditions on each day while he was an observer in the adjacent months and the form NCDC having from us showing temperatures at observation (the carbon like copy does not), I have reason to believe the copy NCDC has on file that we sent them is the copy of the original one to July 1913. The one NPS has on their Facebook page looks valid and likely is an older form that either Oscar or another Borax Company employee copied to ensure a copy of the original form existed. They may have done such a thing since the writing may have not pressed well in the carbon at the time.

Hope this helps,

Chris

===============================================================

I thank Chris Stachelski for answering Doyle Rice’s question, and for the help USA Today writers Dan Vergano and Doyle Rice provided. I was traveling this weekend and didn’t have time to devote to this posting until now, hence the nearly a week delay in reporting it here.

So, it appears there was no nefarious intent, but it just goes to show that paper records can be easily taken for granted as being ‘official’ when they are not. Here are all three side by side. The question is: which one is the real one?

Death_Valley_3recordforms

Based on what I read from Chris Stachelski, the one in the middle is. Let’s hope this settles the matter.

The majority of the weather and climate history of the USA exists on paper records like these, and while NOAA/NCDC does attempt to correct for obvious errors in recording and transcriptions, not everything is always what it appears to be. Since NOAA/NWS and NPS made a big public deal out of this record, it follows that something this important should most certainly be certified so that we know which one is the real record, and which ones might be copies or forgeries. From that point forward, only the real record should be displayed.

I think NWS Las Vegas and/or NCDC should put a notice on their website to certify the real paper record for posterity.

One wonders what else remains to be discovered once a curious eye is put the millions of paper records in the climate controlled basement of NCDC.

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July 17, 2013 1:25 pm

Speaking of curious eyes, there has been talk for awhile about crowdsourcing an effort to digitize scanned versions of the old paper records in the NCDC basement. I’m not sure if they can get any funding to develop a web app for it, though, given the sequester and whatnot.

DirkH
July 17, 2013 1:34 pm

Zeke Hausfather says:
July 17, 2013 at 1:25 pm
“Speaking of curious eyes, there has been talk for awhile about crowdsourcing an effort to digitize scanned versions of the old paper records in the NCDC basement. I’m not sure if they can get any funding to develop a web app for it, though, given the sequester and whatnot.”
Don’t worry Zeke. Bernanke currently buys at leat 70% of all newly issued federal debt which leaves too little for other institutions that need “high quality collateral”. So, the US govt CAN’t stop spending like a drunken sailor; otherwise QEinfinity becomes impossible and you get a depression.
You’re hovering 25 million USD under the debt ceiling for 56 days now. The bookkeeping tricks will run out in one and a half months. You’ll lift the debt ceiling in time.

Frank K.
July 17, 2013 1:35 pm

Thanks for the follow up article, Anthony. Shows how the NCDC really doesn’t care about getting anything right with regard to actual climate records.
“I’m not sure if they can get any funding to develop a web app for it, though, given the sequester and whatnot.”
Sequester? Spare me!! The climate industry is awash in gobs of government money…

MattN
July 17, 2013 1:35 pm

So is 134F still the official record or are they going to nullify this one too?

Allan Brockman
July 17, 2013 1:45 pm

Why do they think that 134 is the world’s highest temp? In the late 60’s, I worked in southern Iran. I was out at a drilling rig on the hottest day that summer. They recorded a shade temp of about 60 centigrade. As an aside, the local newspaper reported that Ahwaz had a temp of 188 Fahrenheit ( obviously a bit of overstatement) that day. I still have a copy of the newspaper

Kev-in-Uk
July 17, 2013 1:55 pm

have just spent a few minutes looking at the images, and I would certainly say that the middle one has been altered too. In the precipitation summary, the ”22nd” looks completely different to elsewhere, and must certainly be an addition?
also, does anyone else wonder why ZERO days were ‘partly cloudy’ ?? seems odd to me – I wonder what the definition of ‘partly cloudy’ was/is?

Justthinkin
July 17, 2013 1:58 pm

I would go with the middle one. It’s dis-colored, has an imperfection in top lefthand , and the hand writing is from when it was actually taught in schools, and not a Bic pen. Right one way to new, left, gobbledy-gook.

SasjaL
July 17, 2013 2:02 pm

As I thought … but 1950s/1960s? Not later?
Is this the only one or are there (plenty) more …

July 17, 2013 2:17 pm

The math; has anybody run-through the calculation of the various (the 3) means (the averages)? This was before calculators (BC) became common in the field, of course, therefore, this was not a trivial, though simple, operation …
.

Kev-in-Uk
July 17, 2013 2:20 pm

_Jim says:
July 17, 2013 at 2:17 pm
I was going to – bhut cant read the middle one properly.
Also, can anyone explain the ‘penned’ on Humidity readings – clearly an addition also – but why the regular then irregular/missing days?

clipe
July 17, 2013 2:31 pm

So, the US govt CAN’t stop spending like a drunken sailor
There’s the rub. A drunken sailor spends his own money.

July 17, 2013 2:44 pm

Thanks Mr. Wattson!
It is good to have a look at real/surreal/faked raw data.
A data mirage!

cotwome
July 17, 2013 2:50 pm

From the NOAA.gov Death Valley website:
“On July 10th, 1913 the weather observer at Greenland Ranch in Death Valley, California recorded a high temperature of 134°F (56.7°C). This is the highest reliably recorded air temperature on Earth.”
In light of this post, is this actually the ‘highest reliably recorded air temperature on Earth.’?

Resourceguy
July 17, 2013 2:57 pm

They might also find the Ark of the Covenant down there…..or a fake one that was sold to them at some point.

albertalad
July 17, 2013 3:04 pm

I fully realize while you talk about Death Valley high temperatures – check this out! Perhaps a little off topic but what one gets another doesn’t.
Record cold weather sweeps the west, beating previous lows set in the late 1800s
Staff writers
Wednesday, July 17, 2013, 12:40 PM –
Brrr! Turning on your heat in mid July may seem strange, but some Albertans were forced to do that on Tuesday morning.
As much of eastern Canada bakes in extreme heat, a cool airmass and clear skies allowed parts of Alberta to reach new record low temperatures Tuesday morning.
The temperature at Medicine Hat Airport plunged to 5.9°C, beating the previous record low of 6.1 set back in 1887.
While the 4 degree start to the day in Edmonton was chilly, it wasn’t quite cold enough to beat the current daily record of 3.3°C set in 1968.
The climate normal in Edmonton at this time of year is 23°C.
Temperature records from Environment Canada: (These temperature records have not been quality controlled and are unofficial)
Location New Record Old Record Record Year Records Began
Jasper Warden -0.5 1.7 1922 1916
Medicine Hat Airport 5.9 6.1 1887 1884
Rocky Mountain House
-0.1 0.6 1939 1917
The following locations obtained near record temperatures:
Location Min Temp Current Record Record Year Records Began
Brooks 3.9 3 1982 1912
Edmonton International Airport 4.0 3.3 1968 1961
High Level Airport 1.2 0.1 1998 1967

albertalad
July 17, 2013 3:05 pm

Well that didn’t turn out so well after all.

JohnC
July 17, 2013 3:06 pm

cotwome: Reliably recorded, not securely stored.
clipe: “Can’t stop spending like a drunken sailor.” A drunken sailor can stop (when he’s broke and no one will lend him money) but the govt can’t. Sooo, they can’t stop spending like a drunken sailor. It’s all in how you read it.

Mark Bofill
July 17, 2013 3:17 pm

Wow.
It’s so … refreshing? startling? … to see people answer queries without evasion, misdirection, or breast beating. I’d forgotten what it looks like, honestly.

Chad Wozniak
July 17, 2013 3:22 pm

National Geographic has run stories (some years ago) about temps in the Danakil Deprression in Ethiopia in which, if I recall correctly, mentioned temps up to 145 F (63 C). I do not have a source to cite for this – if anyone has one, let me know and correct my information if it is wrong.

Eliza
July 17, 2013 3:35 pm

OT but The noble prize credibility was finito when they awarded it to Gore et al AGW. These days the Nobel prize really does not mean much because of that event. That AGW prize demeaned its value quite a bit unfortunately. For example the next physiologist(s) to be given an award by the Nobel Committee will mean less than it did before. Probably the Nobel Committee does not realize this, but it is eroding their credibility. Similarly, Journals such as Nature have lost credibility because of this AGW poison that will affect anything they publish even if its not related to ” climate Change”. I for one who have published widely in referred journals would not submit anything to Nature for this reason. Its no longer a credible respected Journal

learnedthatinhighschool
July 17, 2013 3:49 pm

The one labeled fake also has another problem. On the top line, center right, it appears to say “budget bureau approv” followed by what looks like “41-“. According to Wikipedia, the budget bureau didn’t exist until 1921, so the first two numbers may be the year that form revision was approved, or 1941.

learnedthatinhighschool
July 17, 2013 4:01 pm

1940: The Weather Bureau is transferred to the Department of Commerce.
From http://www.nws.noaa.gov/pa/history/timeline.php

Robert of Ottawa
July 17, 2013 4:17 pm

I would say the middle one as it has been meticulously filled out, each day, in copperplate handwriting; just what one would expect in 1913. However, ditto has a long history http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ditto_mark but is a mark of hurry, as if one was copying.

July 17, 2013 4:17 pm

Brockman:
As a matter of interest, what do such extreme temperatures actually feel like?
:
You never know, they might find Trenberth’s missing heat down there!

Gary
July 17, 2013 4:24 pm

Is the so-called “fake” form a forgery – implying a deliberate attempt to mislead – or a facsimile, just a copy containing accurate information, but not an exact duplicate? Forgery doesn’t seem like the right word.

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