Steve McIntyre points out how climate science errors return from the dead as zombies:
PAGES2K, Gergis and Made-for-IPCC Journal Articles
March 15, 2013 was the IPCC deadline for use in AR5 and predictably a wave of articles have been accepted. The IPCC Paleo chapter wanted a graphic on regional reconstructions and the PAGES2K group has obligingly provided the raw materials for this graphic, which will be published by Nature on April 21. Thanks to an obliging mole, I have information on the proxies used in the PAGES2K reconstructions and will report today on the Gergis reconstruction, of interest to CA readers, which lives on a zombie, walking among us as the living dead.
The PAGES2K article has its own interesting backstory. The made-for-IPCC article was submitted to Science last July on deadline eve, thereby permitting its use in the Second Draft, where it sourced a major regional paleo reconstruction graphic. The PAGES2K submission used (in a check-kited version) the Gergis reconstruction, which it cited as being “under revision” though, at the time, it had been disappeared.
The PAGES2K submission to Science appears to have been rejected as it has never appeared in Science and a corresponding article is scheduled for publication by Nature. It sounds like there is an interesting backstory here: one presumes that IPCC would have been annoyed by Science’s failure to publish the article and that there must have been considerable pressure on Nature to accept the article. Nature appears to have accepted the PAGES2K article only on IPCC deadline eve.
The new PAGES2K article contains reconstructions for all continents and has an extremely long list of proxies, some of which have been discussed before, but some only now making their first digital appearance. Each regional reconstruction is a major undertaking and deserving of separate peer review. It seems impossible that these various regional reconstructions could themselves have been thoroughly reviewed as re-submitted to Nature. Indeed, given that the PAGES2K coauthor list was very large, one also wonders where they located reviewers that were unconflicted with any of the authors.
Of particular interest to CA readers is the zombie version of the Gergis reconstruction. Previous CA articles are tagged gergis.
CA readers will recall that Gergis et al 2012 had stated that they had used detrended correlations to screen proxies – a technique that seemingly avoided the pitfalls of correlation screening. Jean S pointed out that Gergis et al had not used the stated technique and that the majority of their proxies did not pass a detrended correlation test – see CA discussion here (building on an earlier thread) reporting that only 6 of 27 proxies passed the stated significance test.
Read it all here: PAGES2K, Gergis and Made-for-IPCC Journal Articles
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This is unbelievable that a so-called scientific journal would accept this paper after all the crap that Gergis and Karoly have mismanaged. What about Neukom’s admission that “not enough data” is left when they actually follow the methodology they developed? What about McIntyre’s criticisms of their selection bias?
Oh well, this will end up tainting them all, like Glieck. The climate tar baby is staining more IPCC connected people.
As the real world temperatures continue to “defy” the model predictions the eco-fascist climate alarmists will get more shrill and desperate. There will soon be a paper showing how CO2 causes a decline in solar activity.
It is hard to believe that this has only been out for five days…
Mike Haseler says:
April 20, 2013 at 4:33 pm
They are playing with the deckchairs of the Titanic … let them play!
>>>>>>>>>>>
Yeah, except they want to have the rest of us locked below deck while they play….
“jones says:
April 20, 2013 at 4:29 pm”
I agree. Abbott won’t repeal the Carbon Price (Tax) because the legislation introduced by the ALP makes it practically impossible for any alternate Govn’t to do so. An alternate Govn’t might be able to set the price to $0.0, but that leaves millions to find for those that receive compensation. Then there is the nasty little problem of the 10% of the revenue raised going to the UN Climate Fund. Unfortunately, the carbon tax is here to stay, regardless what Abbott says.
“David Jones says:
April 20, 2013 at 3:10 pm”
Funding for various climate related study/advisory groups has been culled here in Aus.
PS. Karoly, Melbourne University. Notorious for shouting down any alternate voice. Has been absent in the climate “debate” in Aus for some time. Flannery, $180k p/a 3 days per week Climate Change Commissioner. Almost every state and territory now have very expensive, moth-balled, de-sal plants, his word used as justification. We know why Gergis will be gone, she is an embarrassment to science here in Aus with her recent paper being ridiculed world-wide and then retracted. The damage done, their salaries and retirement funds secured. But Aussies don’t like being taken for a ride, and their voice will be heard on the 14th of September (Could be sooner if continues her “performance”).
Anyone seen this ? http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2012/22mar_saber/
Robert L
Thats really interesting stuff. To think it comes from the same institution ( different section ) that Hansen used to work at.
April 21, 2013 at 12:01 am
“jones says:
April 20, 2013 at 4:29 pm”
I agree. Abbott won’t repeal the Carbon Price (Tax) because the legislation introduced by the ALP makes it practically impossible for any alternate Govn’t to do so. An alternate Govn’t might be able to set the price to $0.0, but that leaves millions to find for those that receive compensation. Then there is the nasty little problem of the 10% of the revenue raised going to the UN Climate Fund. Unfortunately, the carbon tax is here to stay, regardless what Abbott says.
**************************************************************************************************
The government in power makes the rules. Abbott and company can repeal it and they can pay compensation over say 10 years. Serve em right for agreeing to fund this stupid idea.
Oh and the UN Climate Fund can go without.
Robin says: Apr 20, 2013 @ur momisugly 12.48pm:
battle is shifting into the schools….
Robin, the battle shifted into the schools over 20 years ago.
Here in the UK I found a book promoted by our BBC propaganda machine, available free through our public libraries (alongside racks of global warming brainwashing), & aimed at 7-13 year olds. It’s called ” The Horrible History of the World” by a chap called Terry Deary, a longtime BBC staffer, & producer of the childrens BBC comedy series of the same name.
Every foundation stone of Western Civilisation is denigrated. God, & all religions, the rule of law, Moses & Hammurabi are singled out. History is denigrated: ” Hegel once said….”We learn nothing from history.””. Lincoln is quoted on the same page:” We cannot escape history!”
The book’s purpose is to confuse young minds in preparation for the post democratic world that is planned.
Denigrated most of all is humanity itself: ” people – the most disgusting, evil, cruel & HORRIBLE creatures on earth”. ( Their italics). In order, no doubt, to reconcile our children & grandchildren to the mass slaughters planned to conform with the population reduction to approx 0.5 billion, which is at the core of the one world govt by force which is the motivation behind the global warming/climate change scam.
Horrible Histories were first published in 1993.
Lack of action by politicians, ministers & ex-ministers I have alerted to this insidious book, among other things, has convinced me that all 3 of our major political parties are complicit in their aim to hand this country, bankrupt & in need of a bailout, to an equally bankrupt EU, which the US President & the world banksters see as the forerunner for their one world govt.
I am now reconciled, like Ron Paul, to waiting for “The Catastrophe”, then working to pick up the pieces afterward.
Interestingly, Ron Paul’s efforts are now focused on homeschooling, after 20+ years of failing to get the Fed audited, & trying to get the US Empire back to sanity.
A picture of Greece under the heel of the banksters:
http://www.hat4uk.wordpress.com/2013/04/21/crisis-athens-the-price-of-everything-and-the-value-of-nothing/
Coming to a city near you soon?
Protect your children.
This sort of behaviour might fool Joe public and politicians wanting press releases with good sound bites, however if you are a scientist sitting on the sidelines with a bunch of refused grant applications it is smelly and disgusting. It is interesting that you now have moles at the heart of the IPCC, I presume this is a new development. I also presume these are Scientists who are uncomfortable with the way their work is being mixed with junk by the IPCC.
I hope this outrageous anti-science behaviour is going to drive a small flood of real scientists into our way of thinking about Climate sciences and they will find it easier to be more open and vocal in their opposition to the flawed and made up findings of the IPCC.
Great video, dbs, @ur momisugly 9:11 PM. ‘Denial! Denial! Moderator looks down at paper ‘Thank you’.
==============
@jones says:
April 20, 2013 at 4:29 pm
‘I’ve said it before and will say it again…Abbott will NOT repeal the carbon tax…..’
Not only are you not parties(sic) to the inner circle,it seems you understand as much about Australian politics as the present government who are about to be slaughtered at the coming election by the biggest landslide in Australian history and quite possibly world history.
Rob Soria says:
April 20, 2013 at 7:40 am
======================
Well, now, if Gergis has done that we might have a case of fraud pending.What does Australian law say about misrepresentation in efforts to secure government funding? If I were an Aussie I would certainly look intothe aspects of this.
@R.Shearer; N. N. Taleb uses the thousand days of a turkey to illustrate its Black Swan event. For a thousand days the farmer carefully feeds the turkey, daily increasing its confidence in the rosy statistics of the good life. On the thousand and first day the turkey meets its Black Swan bearing an axe.
Imagine the turkey epistemologist crying that he had a thousand data points as premises for inductive inference syllogism, and still it failed.
“Steve B says:
April 21, 2013 at 2:53 am”
I wished I shared your confidence however, I have no confidence in our politicians to do the right thing for the people they represent. A classic example of this is how Gillard came to power, with the help of the 3 independent MP’s (3 more people who will lose their seats and jobs in September and rightly so).
jdsean-
I talk a lot about the value of creating false beliefs. And doing that through history and not just so-called science is a huge part of the story. The 1993 date is consistent with the 2nd attempt to push all this through. As a 1992 book endorsed by Bill on back cover and read in the draft stage by Hillary per the Acknowledgments page put it “the West has an opportunity to redo it social institutions at the same time the former Soviet Union and Eastern Europe are redoing theirs.”
False history just like misleading models and published papers all create widespread prevailing beliefs that guide future behavior. That’s the whole point. But it’s not enough to believe. It must be poignant and compelling in order to drive action that seeks to transform. Hate has that power so teaching that a group has been victimized works to compel action. Emergency works as well which is why Global Warming needs to be catastrophic and man-made.
I have written numerous times about David Orr and what he was writing during that same time period. If you have never seen Thomas Berry’s The Dream of the Earth from 1988 it is the blueprint of the Green Movement and Bioregionalism to this day. http://www.invisibleserfscollar.com/we-need-a-radical-change-in-our-mode-of-consciousness-even-a-new-sense-of-being-human/ lays out what is sought by both.
The character education curriculum that is actually full of falsehoods about what led to the Holocaust Facing History has now gone international. And misunderstanding the causes of organized mass murder are very dangerous beliefs to instill. In the quest for politically powerful and compelling beliefs, I think we are truly playing with fire.
Adhering to Agenda 21 was expressly a part of the Global Citizenship curriculum Michael Barber implemented more than 10 years ago in the UK and Scotland and Australia. All at the same time. It is just chock full of insistences of creating beliefs to support economic, political, and social transformation.
after a half day of searching I still cannot find the original “PAGES2K, Gergis and Made-for-IPCC Journal Articles” paper that you all seem to have read..,.
someone can help me?
JB…
I assume you’re saying that there will be no carbon tax under a government he leads?
In 1966, there was Stan Freberg’s advertisement which asserted, “Nine out of ten doctors recommend Chun King chow mein.”
In 2013, there is evidently a powerful need for an IPCC advertisement which asserts, “Nine out of ten climate scientists recommend the hockey stick.”
JB Goode says:
April 21, 2013 at 3:23 am
“…”
___________
“Smile and grin at the change all around me
Pick up my guitar and play
Just like yesterday
Then I’ll get on my knees and pray
We don’t get fooled again,
…
Meet the new boss
Same as the old boss”
Who– “Won’t Get Fooled Again”
@jones00
Yes Jones there will be no carbon tax under a government he leads and pretty soon under any government.I have been around long enough to see a few of these things come and go, the twist,hula hoops,global warming,the loch ness monster,communism,mini skirts, global cooling,ufo’s etc etc
@Luther Wu
I don’t care if the ‘Raving Loony’ party gets in so long as we get rid of this mob of incompetant fools.
What a great campaign slogan that would be for Abbot: “There will be no carbon tax under a government I lead.”
Peter Whale says April 20, 2013 at 10:25 am
Let’s just fix that sentance for you
Follow the link and you will see a scientist has gone to prison for faking tests. Its a precedent
climatologistsCRIMATOLOGISTS should beware of.