Newsbytes: Climate Scientists Turn Skeptical As Climate Predictions Fail

 From The GWPF by Dr. Benny Peiser

British Government Abandons Climate Change Education For Young Children

The Mail on Sunday today presents irrefutable evidence that official predictions of global climate warming have been catastrophically flawed.The graph on this page blows apart the ‘scientific basis’ for Britain reshaping its entire economy and spending billions in taxes and subsidies in order to cut emissions of greenhouse gases. The graph shows in incontrovertible detail how the speed of global warming has been massively overestimated. Yet those forecasts have had a ruinous impact on the bills we pay, from heating to car fuel to huge sums paid by councils to reduce carbon emissions. The eco-debate was, in effect, hijacked by false data. –David Rose, Mail on Sunday, 17 March 2013

global warming graph

Academics are revising their views after acknowledging the miscalculation. Last night Myles Allen, Oxford University’s Professor of Geosystem Science, said that until recently he believed the world might be on course for a catastrophic temperature rise of more than five degrees this century. But he now says: ‘The odds have come down,’ – adding that warming is likely to be significantly lower. Prof Allen says higher estimates are now ‘looking iffy’. –David Rose, Mail on Sunday, 17 March 2013

Many scientists say the pause, and new research into factors such as smoke particles and ocean cycles, has made them rethink what is termed ‘climate sensitivity’ – how much the world will warm for a given level of CO2. Yesterday Piers Forster, Climate Change Professor at Leeds University, said: ‘The fact that global surface temperatures haven’t risen in the last 15 years, combined with good knowledge of the terms changing climate, make the high estimates unlikely.’ –David Rose, Mail on Sunday, 17 March 2013

Professor Judith Curry, head of climate science at the prestigious Georgia Institute of Technology, said: ‘The models are running too hot. The flat trend in global surface temperatures may continue for another decade or two.’ Avowed climate sceptics are more  unequivocal. Dr David Whitehouse, author of a new report on the pause published on Friday by Lord Lawson’s Global Warming Policy Foundation, said: ‘This changes everything. It means we have much longer to work things out. Global warming should no longer be the main determinant of anyone’s economic or energy policy.’ –David Rose, Mail on Sunday, 17 March 2013

The implications of the inconvenient truth we publish today are profound. Since the Kyoto Treaty in 1997, Britain has been impoverishing itself in a lonely quest to cut its CO2 emissions – even though the world’s powerhouse economies, such as China and America, have refused to set any limits. It is clear that the science, supposedly ‘settled’, is deeply uncertain, while growing numbers of experts now say that the effects of greenhouse gases are much less bad than they feared: any warming is going to happen much more slowly than they thought a few years ago. –Editorial, Mail on Sunday, 17 March 2013

The Met Office figures come as a report by the Global Warming Policy Foundation claims there been no “statistically significant increase” in global temperatures in 16 years. Dr Benny Peiser, director of the foundation, said: “The biggest surprise for climate scientists is the discrepancy between the predictions and the reality of ongoing warming standing still. It suggests that the climate models on which these predictions are based are flawed. Scientists are beginning to reconsider whether their previous, more doom-laden predictions, were overegged. We should reconsider all policies that may turn out to be hugely wasteful and potentially economically disastrous.” —Daily Express, 18 March 2013

Mysteriously, anything can be produced as evidence of global warming – hot weather, cold weather, wet weather and dry. Climate change has become a religion and any diversion from the orthodox view is pounced on as evidence of heretical wickedness. Those who beg to differ about the global warming creed are held up as wicked rather than merely sceptical. But now new data from the Met Office is at odds with the doomy computer predictions from the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The new data show that the pace of climate change has been wildly overestimated. –-Editorial, Daily Express, 18 March 2013

De rigueur though it may be to describe Sir David Attenborough as a “national treasure” and our “greatest living naturalist”, it really is time he was called to account for the shameless way in which he has allowed himself to be made the front-man for one particular propaganda campaign that has stood all genuine scientific evidence on its head. Last week yet another report picked up on the part Sir David has played in promoting what the facts show to have been no more than a colossal scare story. . –Christopher Booker, The Sunday Telegraph, 17 March 2013

A man with a conviction is a hard man to change. Tell him you disagree and he turns away. Show him facts or figures and he questions your sources. Appeal to logic and he fails to see your point. We have all experienced the futility of trying to change a strong conviction, especially if the convinced person has some investment in his belief. We are familiar with the variety of ingenious defenses with which people protect their convictions, managing to keep them unscathed through the most devastating attacks. But man’s resourcefulness goes beyond simply protecting a belief. Suppose an individual believes something with his whole heart; suppose further that he has a commitment to this belief, that he has taken irrevocable actions because of it; finally, suppose that he is presented with evidence, unequivocal and undeniable evidence, that his belief is wrong: what will happen? The individual will frequently emerge, not only unshaken, but even more convinced of the truth of his beliefs than ever before. Indeed, he may even show a new fervor about convincing and converting other people to his view. –Leon Festinger, When Prophecy Fails 1956

Debate about climate change has been cut out of the national curriculum for children under 14, prompting claims of political interference in the syllabus by the government that has failed “our duty to future generations”. The latest draft guidelines for children in key stages 1 to 3 have no mention of climate change under geography teaching and a single reference to how carbon dioxide produced by humans impacts on the climate in the chemistry section. There is also no reference to sustainable development, only to the “efficacy of recycling”, again as a chemistry subject. The move has caused alarm among climate campaigners and scientists who say teaching about climate change in schools has helped mobilise young people to be the most vociferous advocates of action by governments, business and society to tackle the issue. –Juliette Jowit, The Guardian, 18 March 2013

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Jimmy Haigh.

Climate “scientists”. So you were all wrong then? Can we have our money back please?

Greg

Even though it’ so obvious they are wrong, so much money and reputation is invested in keeping the fraud going. It will be difficult for some to admit it any time soon, likely it will be a gradual process.
1. It’s not going to rise as much, but it will rise. We should still be concerned.
2. The rise will be small, and not catastrophic.
3. Hey, this minor rise is great! This should benefit everyone. I told you so!

Keitho

Like a super tanker full of ideology this ship will take some time to turn but it does look as though the captain has issued the order to the helmsman. To continue with the maritime metaphor we can expect to see rats jumping ship soon but I fear the crew may well be sacrificed by their (political) masters ashore.
What a ghastly waste of money, people, effort and creativity this cruel hoax has been and it may well have a few convulsive kicks left in it.

Richard

what a lovely day today.

In the end, Gaia will be the death of the whole AGW scam. She will not be denied.

What simply brilliant, brilliant news. 🙂

M Courtney

I wish the Guardian had comments open on the schools story. It would have been interesting to hear what people thought Geography lessons were actually for and whether “debate” was always a good thing.
But there are no comments. The Guardian Environment debate has been focussed on insecticides and the bee population. Which is an interesting topic but not their usual AGW beat.
Newsbytes ought to notice that the dog that doesn’t bark is sometimes deafening.
The Guardian is not shouting about AGW at the moment. It didn’t even lead on Marcott et al.
This is new.

DaveS

Upon what possible basis did Myles Allen ever believe that “the world might be on course for a catastrophic temperature rise of more than five degrees this century”?

Is this the Milly Dowler moment for the NWO?
A sickening tale of child stealing & child abuse by the UK state.
Astounding incompetence, corruption & depravity in the UK NHS, SS (Social Services), local authorities & legal system.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84v1SAzUgRk 1 hr 9 mins.

Chuck Nolan

If the UK shifts focus the truth will be outed
cn

tokyoboy

Very sadly my country is still in a Dark Age…………. the USA too?

Rob

Timely. Widespread horrid, depressing cold gaining a foothold over Europe and North America this “spring”. What fools mankind can be!

Randy_Ottawa

It’s so nice to see more and more articles like this. Let’s hope the distribution widens to more MSM.

Bruce Cobb

The back-pedaling begins in earnest. Unfortunately, it’s far, far too late for apologies. The CAGW myth/quasi-religous cult has done enormous harm, amounting to crimes against humanity.

johnmarshall

It would be good to get rid of the climate brainwashing imposed on children and replace it with real science teaching with actual experiments in physics and chemistry. These were stopped or reduced in the name of Health and Safety. You cannot teach science without a practical side because science means experiment to confirm a theory then change the theory based on experimental outcome.

Wyguy

Let us hope.

Mindert Eiting

Rob at 5:57 am.’Timely. Widespread horrid, depressing cold…’. Look at it from the bright side. Without the Marcott up-tick we would have been covered already by meters of ice.

jlurtz

Great, the non-AGW were correct. After trillions wasted, we are now entering a Sun caused era of cold. The World Government has delayed/prevented monies from going to solve the real problems.
We need energy. We need CO2 to help grow plants. We need ways to grow food that aren’t affected by cold/damp. We need fresh water [Oh, lets recycle sewage into fresh water (nothing can go wrong with that!!) ??]
HEAT == SWEAT; COLD == DEATH.
The FUTURE is not grim it is ghastly!!

I wonder if President Obama reads the Daily Mail?

Latimer Alder

@jdseanjd asks
‘Is this the Milly Dowler moment for the NWO?’
FWIW Milly Dowler was a young schoolgirl abducted an murdered by Levi Bellfield outside Walton-on-Thames railway station.
By chance I rode my bike past her house yesterday.
Her sad case had nothing at all to do with
‘A sickening tale of child stealing & child abuse by the UK state.
Astounding incompetence, corruption & depravity in the UK NHS, SS (Social Services), local
authorities & legal system.’
Just a nasty evil bastard lurking in the bushes by a bus stop.

Leggs

Long time reader of this excellent site, fantastic work by everyone on here. I am in the pay of so-called big oil (I work for a E&P company), a geoscientist who also understand statistics and, of course, a skeptic.
Of course, given that predictions are incorrect, we could also start getting a response from the Warmists along the lines of:
“Finally we have proof that the efforts to curb global warming are working, so we need to continue and perhaps redouble our efforts to bring temperatures down further. Now is not the time for complacency, now is the time for action”
Scary?

Jimmy Haigh. says: “Climate ‘scientists’. So you were all wrong then? Can we have our money back please?”
Thanks. That made me laugh–luckily just before I took a sip of coffee.

scientists who say teaching about climate change in schools has helped mobilise young people to be the most vociferous advocates of action by governments, business and society to tackle the issue. –Juliette Jowit
Yes. No doubt that it has.
Is that the right thing to do? Is it the right way to do it?
Try working on the prerequisites first: physics, chemistry, biology, geology, economics. Create some educated, thinking young people rather than turning young people into cruise missiles for your political cause.

Jimbo

Could it just be that the extreme right wing, fossil fuel funded, greedy, selfish, rabid, denialists of climate were right after all? 🙂

Jimbo

If you want more on global warming prediction failures see
C3: Failed Predictions
This is an on-going tome of climate prediction failure. It would take your several days to get through this lot.
Predictions that failed
Items tagged for fail. A much smaller collection of about 45 posts.
Climate FAIL from A to Z
Marc Moranos collection of failure presented at Durban

I sin!!! I sin again!!! Gloating is a sin!!!! I sin! I gloat!!!! What fun I will have with my warmist friends!!!

mogamboguru

Only when the last coal-fired power plant is shut down;
only when the last oil-well is closed;
only when the last grain of cereals has been fermented into bio-fuel –
they will understand that they have pushed mankind back into the stone age.

Jimbo

Let’s cut top the chase. Most people on WUWT know full well that the models have failed. They exaggerated future warming. The alarm should be declared over. You may not have noticed it but the climb down has already started. Like an alcoholic who wants to recover you have to accept you are an alcoholic. Likewise, acknowledgment of the temperature standstill has come out of Hansen, Met Office, Paul Jones, IPPC leaked graph etc.
Next step is to blame natural climate oscillations. We have already seen this including recently from Mojib Latif of the IPCC. However, expect promises of warming in the pipeline.
Net step – shriveling grant money.
Next step – climate science goes back to the backwater of the sciences. An obscure and highly disreputable science at that.
Next step – next scare. More funding please. 🙂

mogamboguru

Today, March 18th, 2013, roads have been closed due to heavy snow-drift in the north-east of Germany, where I live.
i know – because I got stuck in one of them, until a farmer came to my help and pulled my car out again with his immense, fossil-fuel-burning Diesel-tractor, before the cops closed the road for traffic due to security concerns regarding motorists.
Thanks a lot for your ingenious invention, Rudolf Diesel – because without it, my “date” with the snow drift today could easily have become a life-threatening encounter.

mogamboguru

Oops: 29013 = 2013. My bad…
[Reply: Fixed for you. -ModE]

Steve Hill from Ky

Prison or pay the money back……

Steve Hill from Ky

President Obama could care less of right or wrong, he just wants power…….can’t everyone figure that out or have we become that stupid as a nation?

Steve Hill from Ky

I was hoping that abortion would improve the gene pool, guess not.

Sonja A Boehmer-Christiansen

You would NOT believe the Mail on Sunday to provide irrefutable evidence!! They are citing the Met Office…

Jim Cripwell

Keitho writes “To continue with the maritime metaphor we can expect to see rats jumping ship soon ”
I would never call Judith Curry a rat, I have too much admiration for her and what she has done, but there are people like her who have built their own lifeboat. When the time comes, they can ride safely to shore.

Margaret Smith

The Mail on Sunday and the Daily Mail generally are used to taking the brickbats from the lefties which is why it is my daily newspaper. In spite of all the sneering at it it always seems to be proven right in the end. The paper has always added to an alarmist report a comeback by a sceptic.

Jim Clarke

“Many scientists say the pause, and new research into factors such as smoke particles and ocean cycles, has made them rethink what is termed ‘climate sensitivity’ – how much the world will warm for a given level of CO2.”
The research has been available for decades. The warmist scientists of the IPCC refused to consider all of the other factors so that they could claim that there was no other way to explain the warming! If they would have considered all the available science, they would have immediately conceded that CO2 was not the only explanation and far from the best explanation. In fact, they spent most of their efforts trying to shove the square peg of CO2 warming into the round whole of global climate, with little success.
It was horrible science and the people who did it aren’t that stupid. Therefore, It was willfully done, There may be a question about their motives, but there can be no question about their intention to mislead.
They were lying and they knew it.

Well, the Climate Warmists know they’ve bet on a lame horse, so they are now changing their bets to Meteorite Impact.
For this, they need no proof, as the 15 Feb 13 impact in Siberia is all is necessary to make the case.
IMPACT COULD HAPPEN HERE. Send more money. ASAP.

John R T

post:
“… Britain has been impoverishing itself in a lonely quest to cut its CO2 emissions – …”
Hardly alone: Costa Rica continues its quest for first carbon-neutral status: cannot let down favorite-daughter, UNFCCC Exec Secy C. Figuerres, and brother, former CR President Jose Maria – partners in carbon-trading advising family business.

Luther Wu

stan stendera says:
March 18, 2013 at 7:16 am
I sin!!! I sin again!!! Gloating is a sin!!!! I sin! I gloat!!!! What fun I will have with my warmist friends!!!
__________________
Mikey loves me
this I know
for his models
tell me so…
This thread is heartwarming and all that, but has anyone noticed POTUS turning around?

It will be interesting when the BBC will change its warming tunes. As is usual in the muddled world of a systemscience like climate science controlled by averages, those who control the flow of information, control the system.

It took a long time coming, but now it is here.
No amount of lying can change reality.

oldseadog

I wonder if this is the eleventh hole in the dyke and all ten fingers are still in the other ones.
Maybe, just maybe, the end of the beginning and the beginning of the end.

Margaret Smith

mogamboguru says:
March 18, 2013 at 7:17 am
Only when the last coal-fired power plant is shut down;
only when the last oil-well is closed;
only when the last grain of cereals has been fermented into bio-fuel –
they will understand that they have pushed mankind back into the stone age.
This won’t happen. The lunatics (greens) have not thought things through – they are busy biting the hand that feeds them as only the liberal democracies tolerate them. If the hard left gain absolute power the greens will be swiftly ‘dealt with’ as will other ‘useful fools’.
If this thing isn’t defeated a new Dark Age awaits, rather than a blissful new sustainable Golden Age (also a Dark Age, though, as this hasn’t been thought through either). I was thinking this as I was driving through a vicious blizzard on Saturday with further snow forecast for April – rather like the weather I grew up in during the ‘Little Cooling’.

I recently witnessed a large stretched truck like limousine turning at the intersection I was waiting to cross as I was walking to the coffee shop. A couple of kids heads were sticking out the window, and I could see ballons inside, smiling happy faces, and it gladdened my heart. The indoctrination doesn’t seem to be taking hold in my neighborhood despite all the efforts. True story.

Annie

Ten years ago on St. Paddy’s Day we were sunburnt after sitting outside in warm sunshine (in UK). Yesterday we had a continuation of the cold, dreary weather we’ve seen so much this winter and it snowed for hours. It’s good, this global warming, innit?

john robertson

I can only imagine the terror of some of the “Team”, their past utterances indicate their projection of their personal disorders onto the external world is very high.
Their being exposed as the charlatans they are, will drop them into a “hell” of their own creation.
My advice to these troubled folk; ENJOY.
What say we apply their “Precautionary principle”, to any politicians now using enviro-speak.
Those calling for sustainable everything, will be #1 in my world.

Eliza

At last! (MSM is copping on). Fr0om now onwards we shall see “climate change” departments close, Google will stop filtering out skeptic news etc… LOL

Benny Peiser referred to this from Leon Festinger, When Prophecy Fails 1956,
A man with a conviction is a hard man to change. Tell him you disagree and he turns away. Show him facts or figures and he questions your sources. Appeal to logic and he fails to see your point. We have all experienced the futility of trying to change a strong conviction, especially if the convinced person has some investment in his belief. We are familiar with the variety of ingenious defenses with which people protect their convictions, managing to keep them unscathed through the most devastating attacks. [ . . . ]

– – – – – – – –
With maximum public exposure of the failed thesis of alarming / dangerous AGW by CO2, we may yet have a second enlightenment.
The new enlightenment is the illumination of the nature of the pseudo-science promoting alarming / dangerous AGW by CO2.
The new enlightenment must create a culture that is profoundly vigilant against pseudo-science which is the essential prerequisite of the creation of new anti-technology / anti-human religions.
John

richard verney

Leggs says:
March 18, 2013 at 6:48 am
/////////////////////////////////
No doubt they would like to run such an argument but it is difficult to get that argument off the gropund since CO2 emissions have very much been Buisness As Usual (BAU).
The US has cut its emissions due to the switch to shale gas, but this has been more than off-set by rising emissions from China and other developing countries.