Over 650 snow records set in USA this week – another wonky surface station located

UPDATE : The NWS responds about the station issue, see below. – Anthony

Almost 60% of the contiguous USA covered in snow.

A volunteer walks along the practice green as snow falls during the Match Play Championship golf tournament, Tuesday, Feb. 19, 2013, in Marana, Ariz. Play was suspended. Photo: Ross Franklin – click for the story

While pundits spin attempts at linking snowfall in the Northeast USA to AGW, much like they do in the summer during heat waves, we find that Nature is just taunting them with snow as far south as the Mexican border in Arizona. And there is more to come, in the next week, we may see snow into Florida. During the last week, 652 new snow records were set in the CONUS as seen in the map below:

CONUS_Snow_records_2-23-13

The record furthest south, in Paradise, AZ, of 6.3 inches snowfall, beat the old 2 inch record going all the way back to 1896. Paradise, AZ is just 40 miles from the Mexican border. You can see all the snow records yourself here.

And according to the NOAA NOHRSC, 57.5% of the CONUS has snow cover.

nsm_depth_2013022205_National

I also had a look at temperature records this past week, where there were 92 new record low temperatures all the way into Florida, and only 20 new high temperature records set:

CONUS_High-low_records_1-23-13

One record in particular, at Jal, NM piqued my interest, because it was in the middle of a bunch of record low temperatures. Not only that, it beat the old record high in 1953 by quite a margin, besting it by 7 degrees:

Jal-NM_record_high

There are no new high temperature records anywhere close to this station, and it stands out like a sore thumb.The nearest official hourly reporting station in Wink, TX just 26 miles away, shows a high of only 62 on Friday February, 22nd according to this data from Weather Underground sourced from NWS:

Wink_TX_2-22-13

Source: http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KINK/2013/2/22/DailyHistory.html

Another station to the North, Hobbs, NM, 23 miles to the North, another official NOAA airport station, also shows no new record high on that day:

Hobbs_NM_2-22-13

Source: http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KHOB/2013/2/22/DailyHistory.html

The weather in the area that day was sunny, mild, breezy, and dry:

Hobbs_Wink_obs_2-22-13

Source: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/maf/version.php?site=MAF&issuedby=MAF&state=&product=RWR&format=CI&db=1&version=2013-02-23+00%3A02%3A12&go=Select

I had a strong hunch that this station in Jal, NM may have poor siting which contributed to the new record anomalously warm high on Friday, it turns out my hunch was correct.

According the NCDC metadata, the Jal station is a Class A station, meaning it is part of the climate monitoring network. While not part of the USHCN, it does serve as a station used for infill and pairwise comparisons when trying to homogenize the surface temperature record. The NCDC location metadata was a red flag to me: JAL POLICE DEPARTMENT WITHIN AND 2 MILES SE OF POSTOFFICE AT JAL NM

With just a little research, I was able to locate a photo of the station, courtesy of a survey page from New Mexico State University. The photo showed yet another parking lot weather station:

Jal-NM_station_photo1

In the photo above (which I have annotated) the Standard Rain Gauge is clearly visible and what looks like the MMTS temperature sensor shelter on a pole is in the distance near the front of the building. Such placements are typical, they try to get over grass where they can trench a cable back to a window or a wall opening to the display in the office.

A further check of metadata revealed the station is located at 32.1103 -103.1872, within the town according to NCDC metadata, and this Google Earth image:

Jal-NM_station_photo3

While that lat/lon puts the station in the parking lot, I note that typically most GPS readings in NCDC’s metadata are good to only about 100 feet. And sure enough, right where I suspected it was, was the telltale shadow of the MMTS shelter. Some annotation was added to the Google Earth image to help you visualize what I know from years of experience doing aerial station surveys.

Jal-NM_station_photo2

The photo above has an imaging date of 2/7/2011, seen in lower left – winter time, just slightly over a year ago. Click the image to enlarge it for a closer view.

So to summarize:

1. We have a new record high that is anomalously warm, 96 degrees F. No official nearby stations set any comparable high temperatures or  new temperature records in the same time frame. It appears all stations experienced similar warm dry breezy weather that day.

2. We have a NOAA temperature sensor a mere 7 feet from the sidewalk and 16 feet from a  large brick building (according to the ruler function in Google Earth and the photo from the NM State survey page).

3. We have a massive parking lot beyond that, and a major road just beyond the parking lot, plus a semicircular drive. Essentially the temperature sensor is surrounded with heat sinks.

4. We have a low albedo surface, dry brown grass, under the temperature sensor in February as evident in the Google Earth photo from a year ago, there’s no reason to suspect this year would be any different.

5. The station is located within the UHI bubble of the town.

So given the sunny dry weather with a lack of nearby comparable temperatures or new records, heat sinks all around, the parking lot, the building, the low albedo of dry grass under the sensor, it seems entirely likely to me that this is a false high temperature record.

I have sent a note to NWS in Midland Odessa to have them investigate.

Update: The original photo of Snow on cacti provided by Scrape TV stated on the Scrape TV article it was from 2013. Alert reader J Philip Peterson pointed out the photo they used was from 2007. I’ve updated the photo at the head of the story for accuracy. – Anthony

UPDATE2: 2/25/13 7AM PST Here is what the NWS Midland says in an email to me:

Anthony,

I did find that JALN5 COOP did erroneously report 96 degrees.  Unfortunately, the report did make it to a preliminary report OSOMAF.  I checked the database use to compile the record to see if the report was corrected, and the database had updated to show the data as missing.  This means that the official record will not include the bad report.

The last available RERMAF online is the latest one in our AWIPS system as well.  Historically, our site has only issued RER products for the MAF site (also the only site for which daily and monthly climate products are generated), though expansion in the future is possible.

Though the graphic in the article compares observations to the official record and appears to show a new record at Jal, reports gathered from COOP observers in real time should always be considered preliminary.  COOP observations are QC’d daily and at the end of the month before they are submitted as final.  Not all COOP sites are ideally sited, but the overriding problem with the Jal report appears to be sensor malfunction.  The high temperature data has been edited for bad data for several days.

The record should show that a new record has not been set at Jal.

Thanks for the heads-up and seeking clarification on this issue.

Regards,

Greg Jackson

Information Technology Officer

NWS Midland, TX

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Andy Wilkins
February 24, 2013 4:42 pm

Al G: Hey Jim! Can I bother you for one minute?
Jim H: It better be important Al, I’m very busy with my raw data. It takes me all day to adjust the recent temperatures upwards.
Al G: It’s just that I’m confused Jim.
Jim H: What about Al?
Al G: Well the thing is, you told us that we were all going to fry when you gave your testimony on that day that the air conditioning broke.
Jim H: Yes……
Al G: So when I made that film ‘The Inconwenient Trooth’ I told everyone that were all going to die in a ball of searing heat. Everyone loved the film, especially Leo from Hollywood (but not some stoopid UK judge).
Jim H: So…..
Al G: Well the thing is, it’s actually damn cold right now. I’ve had to turn up the heating in all my homes, and my private jet’s been grounded because of snow. How am I gonna fly to the store and back now?
Jim H: The problem is you don’t understand Al
Al G: A lot of people say that to me….
Jim H: Yes well, never mind. Anyway, when we said it was going to get really hot because of global warm…climate change, that actually meant it was going to get rather cold. Simple, isn’t it?
Al G: Right, so whenever you say it’s going to get hot I need to start getting my thermals on and putting snow tires on the limo.
Jim H: That’s not what I said! You’re twisting my words Al!
Al G: I could make a new film and call it the ‘Inconwenient Cold’. I reckon I could get another Oscar.
Jim H: You’re starting to get on my nerves Al! Anyway, I can’t stand around here all day, I’ve got to go and get myself arrested outside a US power station. With any luck, I’ll end up in a cell with Darryl Hannah. Now, where’s my floppy hat?
Al G: I tell you what Jim, let’s dig my jet out of the snow and fly ourselves over to China. I hear they’ve got loads of new power stations to demonstrate outside of.
Jim H: Good god man, are you mad? They’re not paralysed with Western Liberal guilt. They’d just lock me up and throw away the key!
Al G: I’m confused again Jim. You told me the other day that you, “Really wanted to make a true difference and highlight the really big fossil-fuel fanatics”. Isn’t that the Chinese and their rapidly expanding economy?
Jim H: That’s it, get out of my office! I can hear my phone ringing. It’ll be bloody Bill weeping down the phone at me again. Or Dave Z asking me where I can get some nice young females for him….

Geoff Sherrington
February 24, 2013 6:48 pm

Re Jal NM.
Google images back to 1996 show in Jal, New Mexico, “five-site deployment construction of a solar farm in 5 parts that was expected to be fully operational by the end of 2011. The five sites will be comprised of utility-scale, photovoltaic solar power arrays that are expected to deliver more than 112 million kilowatt hours of solar energy in the first year of operation alone.” Ref: http://www.solardaily.com/reports/Xcel_Energy_And_SunEdison_Break_Ground_On_Solar_Deployment_In_New_Mexico_999.html
If this is so, then the construction traffic that passed through town would have an effect over years, though a more subtle one. Because the solar collectors extend 50 miles around Jal, there might be a UHI bubble of an unconventional type that would be worth a study, especially because there is a simplification of night versus day conditions. (Not to be confused with the single hot day of 22 Feb 2013 discussed above).
The reasoning is that study of land use effects on temperature can be complicated if there is a mixture of land uses. Here we have a dominant, new, large land use, solar, supported by number of images since 1996. The location would stand a better chance than many places of showing a systematic change as the regional reflectivity was altered. Find a few more comparison stations and the signal might just be strong enough to show. Of course, it could also be too minor to show.
It would also be interesting to see if cloud coverage and rainfall on that 50 m radius showed a systematic change before and after the solar panels.
I’ve driven north near there on the way to Santa Fe and nothing seemed to change very fast.

February 24, 2013 7:04 pm

I wonder what the albedo of Arizona snow is. With the sun so high, wouldn’t it bounce a heck of a lot more heat back into space than the Arctic Ocean, especially as there are parts of the Arctic Ocean which still have a month to go before sunrise? I mean, even if the snow melts away in six hours in Arizona, if you plug those six hours into the computer model, what might occur? (No wise-guy answers, please.)
If I’m going to worry and become an alarmist, I’ll worry more about a possible Little Ice Age.
http://sunriseswansong.wordpress.com/2013/02/24/the-quiet-sun/

February 24, 2013 7:41 pm

herkimer says:
February 24, 2013 at 7:52 am
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Love to see where you got your information from as Environment Canada has been telling us that we have warmed by 3 to 4 degrees over the last 65 years – depending on what base they choose to use. eg – winter temperatures up 3 plus degrees.
http://www.ec.gc.ca/adsc-cmda/default.asp?lang=en&n=8C03D32A-1
http://www.ec.gc.ca/adsc-cmda/default.asp?lang=en&n=8C03D32A-1#a1
This one says 1.4 degrees 1948 to 2009 as an average over those years.
http://www.statcan.gc.ca/daily-quotidien/110323/dq110323b-eng.htm
From EC 2011 summary:
National Temperature
The national average temperature for the year 2011 was 1.5°C above normal (1961-1990 average), based on preliminary data, which makes this the eighth warmest year on record since nationwide records began in 1948. The warmest year was 2010, 3.0°C above normal. At 1.9°C below normal 1972 was the coolest. As the temperature departures map below shows that most of the country was above normal, with most of Nunavut at least 2°C above normal. An area over southern Alberta and British Columbia was the only part of Canada with near normal temperatures this past year.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Undoubtedly EC uses homogenized data, who knows. So I would love to see your source to see what the difference is from EC’s steadily rising format.
I love their use of the term “NORMAL”. How the heck do they know what “NORMAL” is??
Thanks.

E.M.Smith
Editor
February 25, 2013 12:48 am

From the look of the shadows, I’d place that sensor in a generally southish facing position. That is, the building is forming a barrier to the cold north while the sun in the low angles / southish warms the facing pavement and the backstop building. Just the kind of place to seek out when it’s cold, but clear and sunny. The “warm trap” that is south facing with a warm wind break to the north.
Given how far off the temp reported was, I’d expect something else was broke too; but the site is just not very good.

Andrew
February 25, 2013 2:45 am

I think the real question is how a 96F was ever entered at all. I don’t care whether you’re looking at it upside down, speaking German, idling a truck next to it or whatever. If I’m in Sydney and I send someone to read the thermometer in Katoomba in August and he says “35C” while it’s snowing nearby I call BS and send him back to do his job properly. What’s WRONG with these people??

February 25, 2013 10:47 am

Again, according to the AGW alarmies, water freezes into ice (and snow) when you heat it.

February 26, 2013 12:47 pm

How did the wind turbines handle the high winds? I tried various search words, but haven’t been able to scrounge up any news. Some reports from folk down there would be helpful. Do turbines continue to operate in a blizzard, or do they shut them down?

February 26, 2013 4:03 pm

So far I haven’t been able to find anything but advertizements for wonderful working models, concerning broken wind turbines in Texas. But I did stumble upon a broken one in Rhode Island, that caught my interest:
http://sunriseswansong.wordpress.com/2013/02/26/what-can-you-do-with-a-drunken-sailor-i-mean-broken-wind-turbine/

mike williamson
February 28, 2013 11:20 pm

The N.W. S. Is a gov.agency….they can heat atmosphere wt radars then spray aluminum particles they like to push the Jet N.or S.or slow it down, called geoengineering. They made it rain on the Ho Chemen trail everyday for 4 months .

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