Josh on Rose and the Met Office

For some references, see below the cartoon… 

rose_metoffice

David Rose’s article today: Global warming stopped 16 years ago, Met Office report reveals: MoS got it right about warming… so who are the ‘deniers’ now?

But then last week, the rest of the media caught up with our report. On Tuesday, news finally broke of a revised Met Office ‘decadal forecast’, which not only acknowledges the pause, but predicts it will continue at least until 2017. It says world temperatures are likely to stay around 0.43 degrees above the long-term average – as by then they will have done for 20 years.

A day before the revised Met Office forecast broke, US blog site Planet 3.0 awarded me its Golden Horseshoe award for the ‘most brazenly damaging and malign bad science of 2013’.’

I’ll be clutching it when they burn me at the stake.

Christopher Booker writes on the issue:

Booker on Met Office

The Met Office “wet” report: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/archive/2013/2012-weather-statistics

The WUWT rebuttal: UK Rainfall 2012-The Report The Met Office Should Have Produced

Jo Nova has a good writeup about it: Skeptic win: UK Met Office quietly drops prediction by 20%, hopes no one notices

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Great cartoon Josh!
It’s disappointing that the reference to Tallblokes Talkshop as the first blog to break the news which appeared in Booker’s online article has been edited out of the print edition.
Oh well, it’s a good story anyway.

Reg. Blank

This is bad news. The Met office has been so wrong in interpreting the tea leaves for so long that to maintain the trend one should prepare for climate between now and 2020 that will alternately condense nitrogen out of the atmosphere and melt tungsten.
There was something in the media a few days ago about temperatures “below absolute zero”. Perhaps that could be a target.

Bill H

In the words of the great George Carlin: “WOW… Reality what a concept”
I guess the world is about to get a dose of reality the hard way…

Bill H

dose ….. I am horrible at punch lines…
[Reply: I fixed it purty for you. -ModE who can’t stnad a mspelt punch liine. 😉 ]

I have said many times before on WUWT, the Met Office is a national embarrassment and is no longer fit for purpose.
I read Christopher Booker’s column in the Telegraph this morning, the MO have a severe weather warning for NE England and it is snowing, with (according to my weather station), a temperature below freezing.
Maybe a long overdue penance from the Met Office is forthcoming!!

Bill H

I wonder how they will respond when as the sun continues it hiatus and the earth continues to cool further? One dose of reality followed by a much bigger dose,,, interesting times indeed…
Great cartoons….

Tallbloke, your post about the lowering of the UKMO’s decade warming prediction was a great find:
http://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2013/01/05/major-change-in-uk-met-office-global-warming-forecast/
And your link to my addition to it resulted in lots of traffic for my blog:
http://bobtisdale.wordpress.com/2013/01/06/ukmo-lowers-5-year-global-temperature-forecast-and-omits-the-second-5-years-of-the-decadal-forecast/
Thanks

RobW

Excellent a new addition.
We have:
warm=cold
dry=wet
wet=dry
cold=warm
less storms=more storms
no change in sea level=accelerated sea level rise
more snow=less snow
less disease=more disease
more ice=less ice
and NOW we have
hindcasts=forecasts
wow who knew the power of this theory, simply amazing 😉

It seems word about solar in-activity and cooling climate are getting out.
NASA: We May Be On the Verge of a “Mini-Maunder” Event
http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2013/01/nasa-we-may-be-on-the-verge-of-a-mini-maunder-minimum.html

DR

Remember to give credit where credit is due to Richard (duwayne) Smith for first finding the Met O switcheroo.
http://solarcycle24com.proboards.com/index.cgi?action=gotopost&board=globalwarming&thread=95&post=86769

DR: Thanks for the link to Richard Smith’s original find. I’ll add a link to my post as an update.

DaveA

2014 Calendar will be a doozy.

AJB
Hoser

Hey, they meant well. Yeah, like when I made my mom breakfast in bed, consisting of burnt eggs and toast, when I was 5 years old. The point is, although I meant well, I didn’t belong in the kitchen.

DR: Yes indeed, I Tipped the Hat to Richard Smith on the Talkshop too. The powers that be should know by now they won’t get anything past the sceptic community!

Hari Seldon

As long as the prime ministers familly have interests in wind farms, as long as the deputy prime ministers familly have interests in wind farms as long as john selwyn gummer has interests in connecting wind farms to the national grid, as long as the Tim yeo, the head of Parliaments Climate change committee has interest in renewable energy, as long as the bbc’s pension pot has interests in climate change, as long as the leader of her majestys opposition (who iintroduced the disastrous climage change act) fails to admit his cockup, and as long as we remain part of the EU, NOTHING WILL CHANGE!

jonny old boy

The MET office is only interesting in ONE thing and that is maintaining its funding. Looking at Europe as a whole, its ridiculous that the MET office even still exists. With Meteo France producing accurate forecasts that put the METs to shame time and time again it does beg the obvious question, WHY do us brits still fund a largely useless NGO like the MET office. Sure it provides some essential services but it could do this at a fraction of its current cost. For an organisation that is clearly political, it reputation has drifted up and down with the wind but now I think there is a very real problem for them. Even the politicians in the UK are finally waking up to the fact they have been hoodwinked by the junk scientists and gravy trainers and in these cash-strapped times, I genuinely hope that the cash stream is throttled and the UK can channel funds into independent research. Maybe then we can push forward and make new climate discoveries instead of pouring money into “super-computers” that require new “parameters” to correct the reality to suit the fools who predicted so badly.

Rhys Jaggar

The Met Office is to long term climate predictions what the Catholic Church was to Solar System science in the times of Galileo Galilei: completely and utterly wrong but prepared to ostracise and destroy anyone who tries to stand up to them.

NoAstronomer

“WHY do us brits still fund a largely useless NGO…”
Because the primary, and in some cases only, function of every NGO is to justify it’s own existence.
Mike.

Silver Ralph

.
I like the new term for alarmists — The Real Deniers. It has a nice accusational ring to it.

Josh,
Well done.
Disrespectful chuckling about inept climate bureaucrats is effective. It makes them scurry around frantically. Keep up the cartoons!
John

Chris B

Rhys Jaggar says:
January 14, 2013 at 3:28 am
The Met Office is to long term climate predictions what the Catholic Church was to Solar System science in the times of Galileo Galilei: completely and utterly wrong but prepared to ostracise and destroy anyone who tries to stand up to them.
===============================
With a little research you might discover how silly is your hyperbolic analogy.

While the change is in the right direction, 20% is insignificant given the uncertainly in the data/science.

Adrian O

A PENANCE
May the Met fellows have to dress according to the weather they predicted
during the weather which actually happens.

Peter

Can someone explain to me how this third David Rose article is different from the others he printed that the Met took much pains to discredit.
http://bit.ly/yT8hXw
http://bit.ly/QAyd39

John Haigh

[Sorry – Thread Highjack. Please post under Tips & Notes ~mod]

Laurie Bowen

@ tallbloke: January 13, 2013 at 11:52 pm
Nice New Link or Just nice link . . . Don’t recall running across it before in my red herring “site-ings”, even if I don’t like the rules.