Part 2 of We Now Control Weather – Extreme Heat Events, Dirty Weather, Climate Disasters
Guest post by Bob Tisdale
This video is the second in the series of videos titled We Now Control Weather – Extreme Heat Events, Dirty Weather, Climate Disasters. The post that introduces Part 1 is here. The series are being prepared in response to James Hansen’s extreme heat events, Al Gore’s dirty weather, and Kevin Trenberth’s climate disasters videos that appear on YouTube. They all claim the weather we’ve been seeing recently can be attributed to manmade global warming. Unfortunately for those three gentlemen, who seem to believe more in climate models than observational data, the global sea surface temperature records do not agree with the models. That is, the global sea surface temperature records for the past 30 years indicate that Mother Nature is responsible for the warming, not manmade greenhouse gases. And that’s the topic of this video—the natural warming of the sea surface temperatures during the past 30 years. This video, like my book, lets the sea surface temperature data indicate and describe how it has warmed.
If you’ve ever run across one of my posts at a WattsUpWithThat or at many other climate change/global warming blogs or have seen me arguing with a proponent of anthropogenic global warming, and you’ve wondered what I was yakking on and on about El Niño this and La Niña that, this is definitely a video for you to watch.
I will be providing a third video in this series to illustrate and explain how we know the warm water released by an El Niño is created naturally. That video will also address questions received in response to this one. If there’s enough time, we’ll take a look at ocean heat content data to show how Mother Nature is responsible for its warming as well. If not, we’ll look at it in the part 4.
This video, Part 2, is less than 25 minutes long, so it’s something you could watch during your lunch break, or over dinner, or during a lull in your normal TV viewing schedule. I’ve decided against allowing YouTube to place advertising before the videos or to include any of those semi-transparent banners that obscure the view, but I have added a quick note about donations/tips at the end. They are very much appreciated.
Enjoy.
Links: I referred to a number of posts toward the end of the video. Here’s a link to the post Everything You Ever Wanted to Know About El Niño and La Niña… It provides a detailed overview of my book Who Turned on the Heat? The Unsuspected Global Warming Culprit, El Niño-Southern Oscillation. And here’s a link to Part 1 of my January 2009 cross post at WattsUpWithThat, which was my first post on this topic, and here’s Part 2. I’ve revised the data presentation since then to make it much easier to understand, primarily with how the oceans are subdivided. The dataset I used in that post has since been discontinued by NOAA, which is why I switched to the NOAA Reynolds OI.v2 data. The third post referred to in the video was The Warming of the Global Oceans – Are Manmade Greenhouse Gases Important or Impotent?
DATA SOURCES
I used the NOAA NOMADS website for the Reynolds OI.v2 data. But it and the HADISST data from video 1, along with the multi-model mean of the CMIP3 and of the CMIP5 climate model outputs (TOS) presented in this video, are available from the KNMI Climate Explorer. They’re provided so you can verify the graphs in this video.
Discover more from Watts Up With That?
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.
X Anomaly: Your link doesn’t work, but looking at the web address reveals the problem. Instead of 80W (-80) you entered 8oE (80). That’s why you’re seeing warming. You’re looking at the East Pacific, Atlantic and West Indian Oceans.
AJB says: “Idle bit of curiosity on a rainy day for you Bob:”
Thanks, AJB. There are a number of papers and webpages about the relationship between ENSO and CO2.
Regards
P. Solar says: “Your main claim is that ENSO is causing the warming. it is not , it is the mechanism. You even cite a paper saying ENSO is caused by winds, so what causes periodic changes in the winds?”
You even misunderstand McPhaden’s discussion of trade winds. You obviously fail to recognize that ENSO encompasses a coupled ocean-atmosphere process. When he’s talking about the trade winds, he’s talking about one of the components of ENSO, because the trade winds are an integral part of ENSO. For years here at WUWT, we have been discussing the interaction between the trade winds and the sea surface temperature gradient across the tropical Pacific. ENSO basics, P. Solar. Do you believe ENSO only refers to the periodic warming and cooling of the eastern equatorial Pacific during El Nino and La Nina events? Do you understand that trade wind variations are an integral part of ENSO? Apparently not. Do you understand the coupling between the trade winds and the sea surface temperature gradient between the eastern and western tropical Pacific? Based on your challenge, apparently not. Do you understand Bjerknes feedback? Apparently not. Here’s a link to webpage that describes ENSO at a very basic entry level:
http://faculty.washington.edu/kessler/occasionally-asked-questions.html
When you’re done there, then Google ENSO & westerly wind bursts, which are what cause the weakening of the trade winds and can therefore initiate an El Nino.
You, P. Solar, do have a lot of catching up to do, yet you come in here and have the gall tell me I’m wrong, when you haven’t slightest grasp of fundamentals.
Adios.
Thankyou Bob, your the man. You had me worried for a second there!
http://nomad3.ncep.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/pdisp_sst.sh?ctlfile=monoiv2.ctl&ptype=ts&var=ssta&level=1&op1=none&op2=none&month=nov&year=1981&fmonth=sep&fyear=2012&lat0=-90&lat1=90&lon0=-180&lon1=-80&plotsize=800×600&title=&dir=
That is amazing there is no warming in the entire East Pacific (from the dateline!) portion of the global.
Again, Thankyou.
X Anomaly says: “That is amazing there is no warming in the entire East Pacific (from the dateline!) portion of the global.”
Don’t forget the Rest of the World. The sea surface temperatures there only warm in response to the major El Niño events, don’t cool in response to La Niña events that follow them (due to the warm water left over from the El Niño events), and don’t warm between the major El Niño events. If the Rest of the World data cooled during the La Niña events that followed the major El Ninos, would the sea surface temperature there look any different than the East Pacific?
Terry Oldberg: Thanks.