How airports like BWI help set outlier high temperature records

Mark Johnson, Chief Meteorologist of WEWS in Cleveland writes:

A friend of mine, Justin Berk, a local TV Met in Baltimore, MD had this story to tell today:

“There’s something fishy going on at BWI (Baltimore International Airport),” he says. Hourly obs at BWI airport (April 12, 2012) never went higher than 59 degrees.

(See the obs from BWI below – Anthony)

But, he noticed the official high temperature was listed as 62 degrees.

“There’s no way a jump of 3-4 degrees occurred and then fell back down between obs,” he added. Why the discrepancy? Justin called the local NWS office.

For a brief 10 minutes, the steady NW wind that persisted all day at BWI shifted to a westerly direction. That allowed the  HEAT from the nearby runway to provide a quick 3 degree warm-up between hourly obs. Once the winds shifted back to a NW direction, the temperature fell back to 59 degrees.

The NWS employee concurred that the extra warmth came from the runway.

Global Warming is real (thanks to poorly-sighted thermometers)! This is the second time Justin observed a false high temperature reading this week at BWI.

========================================================

I followed up on this, and his story checks out.

First the table of high/low for the day from BWI:

Source: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/climate/getclimate.php?wfo=lwx

And here are the hourly observations for the day from the BWI airport ASOS station:

Source: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/obhistory/KBWI.html (downloaded at 2AM EST 4/13)

Here in what the BWI ASOS station looks like along with compass points added:

Source: http://binged.it/HC0WPG

And here is a view looking to the west:

Source: http://binged.it/HFgGmM

Seems an open and shut case. This is not the first issue with weather observations at BWI, they also have issues with measuring snow, and I reported here:

BWI snow record rescinded: Another reason why airports aren’t the best place to measure climate data.

=============================================================

UPDATE: 3PM PST 4/13/12 The Capital Weather Gang tries to avoid the siting issue with an alternate explanation. This from comments.

I’ve posted a different perspective on this at washingtonpost.com: The case of the curious temperature spike at BWI airport: asphalt or the sun?

REPLY: Anything to avoid UHI it seems with you guys. As for sun/wind debate. It could very well be both. Asphalt absorbs sunlight pretty well. More sun coupled with a shift of wind to the asphalt area can easily make a quick 3 degree jump. Sunlight by itself on grass, not so much. You didn’t mention albedo in your article so I’ll assume you don’t understand it.

Bottom line – airports are a poor place for temperature observations used for climate purposes, as they aren’t representative and are very dynamic with land use changes, and, see this detailed analysis.

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/04/13/warming-in-the-ushcn-is-mainly-an-artifact-of-adjustments/

Airports are part of USHCN.

– Anthony

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Bob Gegg
April 14, 2012 6:38 am

I received the same response as John M when I contacted the NWS office in San Diego re; Palm Springs AP faulty readings and also the Reno NWS regarding their airport faulty readings. Bob G

rgbatduke
April 14, 2012 7:30 am

Just to add to what you were saying, I am about 30 – 45 mins southeast of RDU in the country. It was 30F when I got up yesterday (5AM) and there was ice on the water tanks compared to your “… 5 am, the temperature outside was 35 F…”
Interesting. To the southeast, too — the exact direction it is often a bit warmer (closer to the coast, over in the sandhills). We just missed a frost the last three nights running (low of 37F last night, fortunately for my peach and plum trees:-) which makes this, in the end, a rather normal year, if anything running relatively cool at the moment however warm March was. I generally consider 4/15 to be “last frost”, although I’ve had killing frosts in the first week of May in the last fifteen years (it killed all of my azaleas, that are winter hardy but very vulnerable to frost after they bloom) and spent an absolutely frigid Easter in mid-April three or four years ago all the way out on Ocracoke (right on the Atlantic, mind you, generally moderated by the ocean) fishing in a mix of snow and sleet in a 40 mph freezing wind (that yes, killed all of my peaches and plums back in Durham). But many years back in the 80s I used to plant my tomatoes 4/1 and get away with it.
Personally, I think the most interesting way to compute average temperature in the US would be to:
a) Contact the Weather Underground, or any other similar group that receives regular input from user-contributed weather stations.
b) Take the data from these stations. It typically is an hourly or better timeseries, and available backward for many years per station.
c) Cover the US with an icosahedral grid at a granularity such that most grid cells have at most one station.
d) Sum local temperature times area for a suitable (adaptive) area per station, per time, applying a simple accept/reject criterion to “mark out” stations that are obviously down.
e) Do an actual time average of the temperature per site! One has the data, why not? Indeed one can do this and compare the result to the average obtained from (max + min)/2 and get a clear idea of the bias inherent in the latter (if any).
f) Compute the spatiotemporal average temperature by dividing out by area and time, using the actual data over the actual year.
Come on, folks, it isn’t that hard. No need for any corrections, just compute the damn averages by summing and dividing. The only adjustable parameter, the average area assigned per site, can be computed using an algorithm that can be precisely normalized a variety of unbiased ways. Indeed, one measure of a good algorithm for doing the spatial integration required in the average is that it should produce the same result as all of the other good algorithms for doing so (there are several one can use) so that the result does not depend on algorithm or any personal choices that could lead to bias. Either Willis or I could come up with numerically sound algorithms for estimating an integral over a 2D surface from irregularly spaced data points, if only because we would actually look them up and test them with e.g. Monte Carlo data to be sure that they give the right answers (and at the same time, estimate their probable error bars).
The key to doing this is to not correct for anything but a station being offline entirely or emitting obviously spurious results (a constant but incorrect/inconsistent temperature all day long). That way one ends up with a dynamic spatial map of temperatures. In fact, one could make a damn movie out of it — a false color scheme for temperatures, an hour a second, and you could watch the US temperatures evolve at the granularity of the stations from overhead over an entire year in a little less than three hours. UHI and probable spurious spikes would be perfectly evident. Child’s play.
rgb

Dave Dodd
April 14, 2012 11:27 pm

Simple method to remove noise (UHI) from data sampling: sample many times per reporting period (eg 3600 samples/hr) and simply average them. Even a “dumb” programmer can usually handle this algorithm without even understanding sampling theory. From my personal experience, mathamaticians/climate-scientists make LOUSY programmers when dealing with reality! Hands-on technicians, or even mechanics, do the best job. Just sayin’.
ANTHONY: How come I have no cursor??? Feels like I’m using DOS ED:-)

P. Solar
April 15, 2012 12:10 am

“For a brief 10 minutes, the steady NW wind that persisted all day at BWI shifted to a westerly direction. That allowed the HEAT from the nearby runway to provide a quick 3 degree warm-up between hourly obs. Once the winds shifted back to a NW direction, the temperature fell back to 59 degrees. ”
There is one big problem with this. Looking at the source linked in the article I noticed rather a lot of “things” on the supposed runway. Source: http://binged.it/HC0WPG
Now most runways I’ve seen have been devoid of any object larger than a piece of DC-10 engine cowling. (No, I’m not joking but that’s another story).
So I went to the link and zoomed out one step.
http://www.bing.com/maps/?v=2&cp=qhw0dm8m8q77&lvl=19.64&dir=0.14&sty=b&where1=39.1666,%20-76.6833&for
m=LMLTCC
Ah! there’s “another” runway to the north of the ASOS location. So the ” steady NW wind that persisted all day at BWI ” was, in fact, coming directly over the REAL runway (not the smaller access road to the south of the sensor).
Now I don’t know much about weather but our host knows a thing or two so perhaps there’s an explanation in different air masses or the part of the city over which the air just past.
I would have thought that a notable change in wind direction would usually be accompanied by a change in temp. I’ll let Anthony go into that in more detail.

E.M.Smith
Editor
April 15, 2012 2:27 am

It’s important to remember that the purpose of the thermometer at the airport is to report the temperature over / near the runway. That is the air in which the wings will fly. Cold air lifts the plane better than warm air and pilots do a ‘density alititude’ calculation to know if they can get off the ground or not. Part of that calculation is air temperature.
You do NOT want a false low as then you think you can fly when you can’t. The result can be a crash at the end of the runway. So all the primary users want that thermometer measuring the hot air over the tarmac and if it is in error, to error high; as that is the side of safety.
The use of Airports is “exactly wrong” for climate purposes.

johanna
April 15, 2012 6:06 am

Prof. Brown and E M Smith – just a hurrah for your posts. What is so baffling is that fixing this problem is neither difficult nor expensive.
It may not matter much in the world of Mr Mosher’s arcane data collection/processing (we had a brush about Paris elsewhere where he said in answer to a question about why the numbers didn’t fit Paris – we didn’t include Paris) – but people living in cities are being forced into all kinds of expensive policy measures based on these shoddy statistics.

Eric in CO
April 18, 2012 2:58 pm

As a former helicopter pilot that spent lots of time on tarmacs and runways, I can tell you that is a horrible place for a thermometer. A slight breeze can kick off a warm blast to your face instantly from the asphalt heating. Not to mention possible turbine engine heat (800+ C) Funny I never get a hot blast of wind when camping.