Alaska On The Rocks

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach

From the “weather is not climate” department, the sea ice is in early and thick in Alaska. It makes me shiver just to look at the picture. They had to use an icebreaker to get fuel to Nome.

Figure 1. The Bering Sea region in Alaska. Anchorage is at the upper right. The Aleutian peninsula and chain runs down to the lower left. Ice covers all of Bristol Bay, and extends well out from the shore to the west. Photo Source

I fished commercially up there, in the Bering Sea. I’ve lived in a container in the Peter Pan Cannery boatyard in Dillingham, and gill netted for the noble salmon in Bristol Bay, drunk too much and worked it off laughing in a blazing hot steam bath with some Yupik guys trying to roast me out the door by cranking up the heat. I’ve made great money in driving sleet arguing with the herring regarding the eventual fate of their roe in Togiak, and seen the walrus hauled ashore in their thousands on Round Island. Those fisheries kill a man or two a year, plus the usual crushed hands and feet and the like. But I haven’t fished the January Bering Sea crab fishery, the one made famous as “The Deadliest Catch”. Figure 1 shows why I don’t do that.

The Bering Sea ice this year is in early, and it’s thick. Not only that, it’s moving south fast. The crab fleet has some $8 million dollars of gear in the water, and the ice is moving south at twenty miles a day. Usually ice comes in later and thinner, and moves south at three miles a day. Boats are tied up to the Dutch Harbor docks. At St. Paul Island, out of the photo to the left, the crab boats usually sell their loads to the processor boats. It is also totally iced in. Millions of dollars have already been sunk into moving the crab boats and the processor boats and the crab pots to Dutch. If this cold continues, the season will likely be a total bust.

My point in this post? Awe, mostly, at the damaging power of cold. As a seaman, cold holds many more terrors than heat. When enough ice builds up on a boat’s superstructure, it rolls over and men die. The sun can’t do that. The Titanic wasn’t sunk by a heat wave.

The thing about ice? You can’t do a dang thing about it. You can’t blow up a glacier, or an ice sheet like you see in the Bering Sea above. You can’t melt it. The biggest, most powerful icebreaker can’t break through more than a few feet of it. When the ice moves in, the game is over.

Now me, I’m a tropical boy. My feeling is that well-behaved ice sits peacefully in my margarita glass, making those lovely cold drips run down the outside, and giving me a brain freeze when I hold the glass to my forehead.

But when ice jumps out of my glass and starts running all around painting the landscape white and solidifying the ocean and falling on my head and freezing my … begonias, well, at that point the fun’s over. I call that “water behaving badly”.

And if you want to worry about a climate related occurrence, I certainly wouldn’t worry about the dread Thermageddon™, the long-foretold and ever-receding premature heat-death of civilization.

I’d worry about water behaving badly …

Best of the cold to my friends in Alaska, stay safe on the ocean, and my regards to all,

w.

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Mark
January 27, 2012 11:08 am

Well said W.
Where did the picture come from? I’d love to scan around the satalite images of other areas up there right now.

Louise
January 27, 2012 11:11 am

“My point in this post?” You may have ‘pointed’ it out but I still can’t see it…
Other than “don’t worry, it’ll be fine, trust Granpa Willis, it could be soooo much worse” that is

Jason
January 27, 2012 11:11 am

The polar bears are in for a rough winter.

timg56
January 27, 2012 11:12 am

Willis,
About that cold and ice – just spent 8 days trying to get power back to 400,000 people due to a winter storm caused outage. 8 – 21 inches of snow followed by freezing rain can put a hurting on trees. And where do they fall? Well, quite often on power lines.

Mark Foster
January 27, 2012 11:15 am

Amen Willis. Let’s pray those tough guys upthere can make a living and keep their life. Gnarley work to say the least. I’ll say my prayer for them after work while nursing my warming ice cold marg. Cheers, Mark

timg56
January 27, 2012 11:16 am

Louise,
I believe his point is similar to this – if you have to go without the convienance of electricity, do so in a warm environment is almost always perferrable to doing so in a cold one. I bet I can get about 400,000 amens to that where I live.

Tony
January 27, 2012 11:18 am

I saw an interesting article on this from NASA of all places. Obviously not endorsed by James Hansen where they talked about the lack of cold in the lower 48 and the extreme cold in the Artic. And instead of blaming global warming or Run away climate change they spoke of the Arctic ao being high and La Nina imagine that NASA telling the truth about weather. Not one mention of Man made climate change I couldn’t believe it.

kbray in california
January 27, 2012 11:22 am

Louise says:
January 27, 2012 at 11:11 am
Is the cold having your nose drip into your keyboard ?
Your comments are snotty.

Austin
January 27, 2012 11:22 am

Spent a few years up there fishing with relatives. Halibut on mile-long trot lines in February with forty below offshore winds – Its absolutely brutal. I realized that some people – the natives, both Inuit and Tlingit, and the Laplander Finns – had very real genetic adaptations to that kind of cold. I did not.
I wonder when break-up will be this Spring?

Resourceguy
January 27, 2012 11:25 am

Alaska in winter should be the required field camp of all Masters and Doctoral candidates in climate sciences. In winter of course

Luther Wu
January 27, 2012 11:26 am

Willis Eschenbach sez:
Now me, I’m a tropical boy. My feeling is that well-behaved ice sits peacefully in my margarita glass, making those lovely cold drips run down the outside, and giving me a brain freeze when I hold the glass to my forehead.
__________________________
I’m sure that you neglected to mention other ways to get a margarita brain freeze. Otherwise, you just aren’t drinking that margarita fast enough.

Bill Parsons
January 27, 2012 11:30 am

Jack London needed an editor, too.

January 27, 2012 11:34 am

Near record cold in Fairbanks this year – coldest in 40 years for January. Average of nearly -25 F throughout the month. Here in Anchorage a very cold winter also, with 22 days below zero so far.
There are a couple things you can do with ice. One would be to simply dirty it up with soot or something very black to help speed up melting. But nothing is going to melt outside in Fairbanks this January. Cheers –
http://newsminer.com/view/full_story/17310167/article-No-records-yet–but-January-has-been-cold-in-Fairbanks?instance=home_lead_story

8364khz
January 27, 2012 11:35 am

Joined MV Falmouth Bay as R/O 21st February, 1984. Up through Unamak passage, Bering Sea and down the coast of Kamchatka. Vessel iced up and ice on inside of cabin porthole. Never saw any sea ice then.
Yes Willis, not very nice.
Jmac

Jenn Oates
January 27, 2012 11:37 am

I am now and always have been a pansy…not that I didn’t know this before, but I’m occasionally reminded just what a useless piece of over-educated flesh I am, and now is one of those times.
From sunny northern California, I say Brrrrrrrr…

January 27, 2012 11:40 am

Same thing in today’s Toronto G&M Tony. Maybe the first time in 20 years no “CO2 dunnit” in a climate related article.

8364khz
January 27, 2012 11:40 am

Should have said…
Joined MV Falmouth Bay, Seattle, as R/O 21st February, 1984.
There is something about getting older… Can’t remember what it is though.

Louis Hooffstetter
January 27, 2012 11:45 am

For scale, Google Earth shows the long axis of Kodiak Island is approximately 140 miles long (not including the 2 smaller islands to the SSW).

January 27, 2012 11:46 am

Beautiful terrible picture Willis, thanks?
I’m a tropical guy also, and I don’t want to win this debate this way; a pirric victory.
Yes, there was no man-made global warming, yes, we are all frozen!

Brian in Bellingham
January 27, 2012 11:49 am

It will be interesting to watch Deadliest Catch this year when they show that part of it. Frustrated crabbers talking about how cold it is, how they have never seen ice this far south, wondering where “global warming is”, etc. Might be an eye opener for people who don’t pay attention to what is really going on and only get their information from the MSM.

January 27, 2012 11:51 am

Fisherman, farmer, gambler, mathematician, climatologist, original thinker, etc, etc. Is there nothing you haven’t achieved, Willis? How old are you? (P.S. I’m just a jealous admirer).

Rujholla
January 27, 2012 12:09 pm

Another thing I’m wondering about — there has been 12+ feet of snow around the portage glacier area this year — I wonder if that will reverse the shrinking trend, as that is certainly more snow than I ever saw there when I lived there.

agw nonsense
January 27, 2012 12:10 pm

Brilliant post All the best to you from myself and the skipper and crew of Angelica (TV show HardLiners) here in Australia

Steve C
January 27, 2012 12:11 pm

Cool. Should make for a good late finish to the Nenana Ice Classic then.

Scarface
January 27, 2012 12:15 pm

@Louise
Tell your leader that warm is good, cold is bad and that you’ve learned that over here.
The truth will set you free.

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