From Spaceweather.com :
Active sunspot 1401 erupted yesterday, Jan. 19th around 16:30 UT, producing an M3-class solar flare and a full-halo coronal mass ejection (CME). The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory recorded the cloud expanding almost directly toward Earth:
Analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab say strong geomagnetic storms are possible when the cloud arrives this weekend. Their animated forecast track predicts an impact on Jan. 21st at 22:30 UT (+/- 7 hrs). Aurora alerts: text, voice.
The cloud is also heading for Mars, due to hit the Red Planet on Jan. 24th. NASA’s Curiosity rover, en route to Mars now, is equipped to study solar storms and might be able to detect a change in the energetic particle environment when the CME passes by.
More on WUWT’s solar reference page here
hmm? I read about this at spaceweather..and we are a date earlier, round 3 to 4am here the radio drop out was interesting, clear mild night no storms etc, and it was a repeat broadcast and the earlier had no issues. so while major affect may be nth, I suspect we all cop some of it.
According to one theory I read, these types of CMEs should lead to electroscavenging which reduces cloud forming particulates. If this is true we should see a change in the free-falling global temperatures in a few days.
Liberal: OMG! OMG! WE’RE ALL GONNA DIE! HEAD FOR THE CAVES!
Normal Person: Ooooo. Cool Northern light show!
OMG OMG solar warming OMG OMG
re: comments hinting at a connection between CME’s and ground temperature here on Earth.
To think that such a thing (a CME) is a powerful influence with regards to Earth’s air temperatures is like thinking thunder and lightening were the results of the gods and their moods. We now know that these magnificant displays of sound and light have nothing to do with the gods and their moods. There are many such examples of once held beliefs now thoroughly debunked by solid research.
Likewise, please consider doing a little research on how these CME’s impact Earth’s atmospheric conditions here on the ground before posting anything about temperature trend (measurable warming or cooling) and solar CME influence on it.
“Is there any “scientific” study out there DEMONSTRATING an increase in CO2 concentration will make the atmosphere react to CMEs in some dangerous manner?”
Gosh, I bet what’s really happening is the increased CO2 is attracting those coronal outbursts, sort of like how trailer parks attract tornadoes. . . . . . .
Garrett, a skeptic’s position is one of discernment. I would suggest your comment would benefit from some.
No worries. It’s the CO2 we exhale that is the real threat to Mother Gaia. Let’s all sing Kumbayah and feel good.
OT but I was hoping Roy Spencer’s temp graph on your Widget page might be updated. It was recently at -0.01C for uptodate Jan 12. It seems that it has now gone considerable lower.
Pamela Gray says:
January 21, 2012 at 6:01 am
re: comments hinting at a connection between CME’s and ground temperature here on Earth.
To think that such a thing (a CME) is a powerful influence with regards to Earth’s air temperatures is like thinking thunder and lightening were the results of the gods and their moods. We now know that these magnificant displays of sound and light have nothing to do with the gods and their moods. There are many such examples of once held beliefs now thoroughly debunked by solid research.
Likewise, please consider doing a little research on how these CME’s impact Earth’s atmospheric conditions here on the ground before posting anything about temperature trend (measurable warming or cooling) and solar CME influence on it.
If I understand the electroscavenging theory correctly the effect only lasts a few days and hence has only a small effect on global temperatures. Unless, of course, you get a consistent number of CMEs all heading towards Earth.
I hope the vulcan reaction isn’t too big.
“Is there any “scientific” study out there DEMONSTRATING an increase in CO2 concentration will make the atmosphere react to CMEs in some dangerous manner?”
Omni, your fishing expedition produced only garret. r. gates, a fizz and the rest were too (smart?) to bite.
If the Sun were a liberal, a CME would be a Cranial Mass Ejection! 😉
I don’t usualy do this, and I know it’s very off topic, but this story by our favourite correspondent, Richard Black made my jaw drop, and blood boil like never before;
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-16646405
The amount of subsidies the green industry gets around the world is mind blowing. Everyone knows that without those, the industry would be dead. So how’s that for hypocrisy? It’s ok for the windfarms and other BS schemes to be paid by the people, but not nuclear power, the one that is profitable on its own, and efficient.
Looking forward to a good lightshow, Hopefull we get one at 45Deg.N. With no snow or rain
Waining/dark of the moon which will help…
Never forget sitting at a campfire in the high Wallowas and seeing Aurora dance like it
was the Yukon sky.
Do you realise that the explosion shock wave at maximum shown by the video is around 12 to 14 million miles across, and parts are still looking relatively dense, after an amazingly short timescale.
I like the canon-like punch through of the 3rd blast, the one which caused the full halo shock wave. The scale of the explosion is simply mind numbing and makes me wonder just what is the sun capable of under extreme circumstances? We worry about CO2 with that thing sitting on our doorstep hahahaha! Mr Gore, to write a good horror story you must make the main characters believable and a trace gas is neither a character nor believable. No booker prize for you then!
gacooke says:
“I can’t see how it could interact with CME’s in any significant way.”
I thought CO2 caused CMEs. Doesn’t it cause everything else? In any case, I’m too far south to see the aurora. Haven’t seen a good sky show in a long time. Rats.
The Weather Service is predicting 60 mph winds.That might be interesting. (Caused by CO2, of course)
OT – Yahoo is running a poll on their front page: Is global warming a real threat?
Results are 50/50 right now.
George Bush did it.
Ms Pamela Gray and others
CME’s nay have an effect on the changes in the Arctic magnetic field (but not the Antarctica, I may elaborate in another post if anyone is interested, or perhaps not). I suggested this some time ago to Dr. Svalgaard who declared it to be one of more stupid ideas from the blog’s pseudo-scientist. Since couldn’t find anything available in the web literature on the subject, I decided to do observations based on the daily records available from Tromso Observatory data (Norway) University and the Ap index data
Results aren’t conclusive but there is a promising trend developing:
http://www.vukcevic.talktalk.net/Tromso.htm
Large spikes in the Ap index correspond to the CME’s hitting the Earth’s magnetosphere.
As far as temperature is concerned, that is far more contentious issue, but if you are so inclined you can take a look at : http://www.vukcevic.talktalk.net/NFC1.htm
Just like in the movie “2012”
Hooray! Just in time for the ARRL VHF contest! Look for me on 144.200 +/- CW with 8 x 5 el yagis fixed northeast or 5 wl rotatable yagi from Windmill Hill (200′ HAAT), SC EM85wb.
K4LY 8B DXCC and WAS on 144 MHz as W0AH in CO
Y’all seem to be forgetting that auroral activity stirred up by CME’s is mostly oxygen and nitrogen, not greenhouse gasses like CO2. The only solution to that aspect of the climate problem is a tax on oxygen and nitrogen. Hope this helps.
I may have time yet to launch my 4 mile wide solar sail in time to charge my Ipad battery which is down to only 1 bar, That much energy should at least create a spark right?
. Also my plants need a bit of CO2 since I found a damn spider mite and those little buggers would wreck the whole crop if not addressed ASAP. So I will crack a window about that time.Was always taught to take advantage of the moment. 🙂
3. An electric star has an internal radial electric field. But because plasma is an outstanding conductor it cannot sustain a high electric field. So plasma self-organizes to form a protective sheath or ‘double layer’ across which most of the electric field is concentrated and in which most of the electrical energy is stored. It is the release of that internal stored energy that causes CME’s, nova outbursts, polar jets, and the birth of stellar companions.
http://www.holoscience.com/news.php?article=by2r22xg