UAH Global Temperature Update for August, 2011: +0.33 deg. C
By Dr. Roy Spencer
The global average lower tropospheric temperature anomaly for August, 2011 retreated a little, to +0.33 deg. C (click on the image for a LARGE version):
Note that this month I have taken the liberty of adding a 3rd order polynomial fit to the data (courtesy of Excel). This is for entertainment purposes only, and should not be construed as having any predictive value whatsoever.
Here are the stats…we are beginning to see cooling in the tropics from La Nina conditions which are re-emerging there:
YR MON GLOBAL NH SH TROPICS
2011 1 -0.010 -0.055 +0.036 -0.372
2011 2 -0.020 -0.042 +0.002 -0.348
2011 3 -0.101 -0.073 -0.128 -0.342
2011 4 +0.117 +0.195 +0.039 -0.229
2011 5 +0.133 +0.145 +0.121 -0.043
2011 6 +0.315 +0.379 +0.250 +0.233
2011 7 +0.374 +0.344 +0.404 +0.204
2011 8 +0.325 +0.323 +0.327 +0.157
The global sea surface temperatures from AMSR-E through the end of August are shown next. The trend line is, again, for entertainment purposes only:
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steven mosher,
First off, that’s not my quote. And second, sorry about your humor impairment. Unfortunately, some folks are born without a funny bone. I was just having fun with LT’s comment. A Lindzen paper wouldn’t have had the same effect, would it?
And third, what is misleading about that chart? It shows a declining T trend for those years vs a rising CO2 trend. Pretty inconvenient, eh?
“I have taken the liberty of adding a 3rd order polynomial”
A third order polynomial will always show this shape assuming the data has an odd order to it as opposed to an even order. It is leading to add this curve. One could have put a first order polynomial through it, showing a steady increase, and have lit up the comments section with accusations of warming bias. One could have put a second order fit through it and it would have projected even higher temperatures in the future. One could have put a sine wave with a period of thirty years through it and project oscillating temperatures around a mean. Whatever.
Let’s just stick to the data, I say.
mike g says:
September 3, 2011 at 9:20 am
@phlogiston
Help me out. Sunny was using sarcasm cunningly, right? Nobody is that stupid.
Its just superbly well observed parody. There is something even Tolstoy-esque about the depth at which Sunny comprehends and illuminates the psycology of precious and manipulative self-importance of the ideological crusader, the “witness my inner struggle for moral good and be intimidated and coerced by it” kind of strategy. She is smart, there is more to this than just being very funny.