Guest post by Joe Bastardi
Well Anthony, here it is, just for the great folks that go to your
wonderful site ( I have made no secret of my love it, so I guess I am
being redundant).
On March 11th, Weatherbell Analytics announced that Joe D’Aleo and I would be working together to develop the premier long range weather forecasting center in the world. When I looked at what was coming together, I decided this is where my next step in doing what I was made to do had to be.
FIrst of all, in Joe D’Aleo, I have a colleague that needs no introduction to the major meteorology people of the world. Joe and I have similar methods of arriving at forecasts, and understand big picture to small focus forecasting ideas.. where one must be able to step back and understand the major players on the field to be able to correctly identify and forecast the events that carry so much wait in any given forecast. So many times, I saw we had an independent consensus. In other words we arrived at the same conclusion, without consulting with each other, that it became apparent that we were on the same wavelength. However the differences we have will be used to challenge each other to come up with the right final conclusion. The fact that we have similar ideas on the overall trend in the global temperature, and for the same basic physical reasons, which trump the idea that a trace gas needed for life on the planet can cause so much variation, gives us an up on those that simply want to bet its going to be warm. Knowing where we were, but where we are going is crucial to having the correct backdrop in a forecast.
The owner and founder of the company, Michael Barak is a Cornell engineering graduate who loves the weather and will give us the chance to use our skills in many more ways than we have done so far . A good long range forecast can supply many needs. The vision and boldness of Michael gives us a major up. He is determined to make sure Joe and I can fight in all the arenas available, so the success of the company will rely on the success of the forecasts, being used the right way.
WeatherBell has given me a system where I can blog to my hearts content with all the graphics I want, and our video setup is one where my new video vigilantes, the atmospheric avenger and the WeatherBell Raging WeatherBull will appear several times a day.. and at night.
Quite frankly, for me, this set up is manna from heaven.
In short, its a long road to be part of a start up and try to reach the top. But Joe and I live for the weather, we both understand it is what we were made to do, and we are here to do it. I have already said we are the LaMotta and Marciano of weather, men whose names end in a vowel, and wont throw in the towel. And we are here with WeatherBell with one mission.. to climb to the top.
Interesting company name and appropriate for both Joe and I, because we will answer the WeatherBell in every round.
As always, ciao for now!
FIrst of all, in Joe D’Aleo, I have a colleague that needs no introduction to the major meteorology people of the world. Joe and I have similar methods of arriving at forecasts, and understand big picture to small focus forecasting ideas.. where one must be able to step back and understand the major players on the field to be able to correctly identify and forecast the events that carry so much wait in any given forecast. So many times, I saw we had an independent consensus. In other words we arrived at the same conclusion, without consulting with each other, that it became apparent that we were on the same wavelength. However the differences we have will be used to challenge each other to come up with the right final conclusion. The fact that we have similar ideas on the overall trend in the global temperature, and for the same basic physical reasons, which trump the idea that a trace gas needed for life on the planet can cause so much variation, gives us an up on those that simply want to bet its going to be warm. Knowing where we were, but where we are going is crucial to having the correct backdrop in a forecast.
The owner and founder of the company, Michael Barak is a Cornell engineering graduate who loves the weather and will give us the chance to use our skills in many more ways than we have done so far . A good long range forecast can supply many needs. The vision and boldness of Michael gives us a major up. He is determined to make sure Joe and I can fight in all the arenas available, so the success of the company will rely on the success of the forecasts, being used the right way.
WeatherBell has given me a system where I can blog to my hearts content with all the graphics I want, and our video setup is one where my new video vigilantes, the atmospheric avenger and the WeatherBell Raging WeatherBull will appear several times a day.. and at night.
Quite frankly, for me, this set up is manna from heaven.
In short, its a long road to be part of a start up and try to reach the top. But Joe and I live for the weather, we both understand it is what we were made to do, and we are here to do it. I have already said we are the LaMotta and Marciano of weather, men whose names end in a vowel, and wont throw in the towel. And we are here with WeatherBell with one mission.. to climb to the top.
Interesting company name and appropriate for both Joe and I, because we will answer the WeatherBell in every round.
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If the Global Warming Religion wants us to believe that they can accurately predict the weather 100 years from now, then how easy would a 6 month forecast be? And not one of those 30% hot, 30% cold, 40% normal forecasts but a *real* forecast. Maybe the 2 J’s can use the Media to test the forecasts of the GW Religion against their own. When people see that the GW Religion doesn’t know how the real-world weather works, it will finally kill the GW Religion. Here’s hoping anyway 🙂
Excellent stuff Joe,
It’s a tough brief but your obvious love of the subject matter -a true METEOROLOGY man, intuition and insight will bring a welcome addition to the forecasting of weather events and climate prediction.
The difference is, between the you two [Messrs. Bastardi and D’Aleo] and say, the UK Met office is, objectivity and open mindedness [ie, your views will not be clouded by a willingness/desire to please political masters – the Met Office] and demonstrable science, a hell of a combination.
You don’t need me to wish you luck, you’ll make your own but I wish you every success, so go get ’em JOE!!
best of luck Joe – hope that when it’s all up and running, you can find a space for another European Blog! 🙂
Piers Morgan reckoned that this recent winter was going to be one of the three or four coldest of the last hundred years in the UK, whereas Joe Bastardi called it as a cold December but average for January and February. It seems to me that Joe was spot on. Best wishes, Joe – I’ll certainly read your blog. Dave.
Think someone needs to show JB how to moderate comments?
Great to see you back, J. I love your enthusiasm.
Excellent. Joe and Joseph are staking their reputations on being more correct than the competition. If they succeed they will have shown others where they have gone wrong. If they fail (and I sincerely hope they don’t) they will have shown others what not to do and what pitfalls and dead-ends to avoid.
Such behaviour and accountability is absent from taxpayer funded institutions. When they make mistakes they demand even more money!
The two amigos (Joe and Joe).
I was an addict for Joe B on Accuweather, and when he left, going cold turkey was rough.
Now the dose is double strength.
Late starter in what you have been doing, however, everything I have seen looks great. I look forward to seeing your results. Good luck. Only wish I was there too (freaked out and excited)!!!
Joe, the only thing that matches your intensity is your accuracy! Love the easy to get forecast from the front page map. Seems like there is more cutting edge at WeatherBell than the two Joe’s.
To all you kind people:
Have I ever told you your my heroes?
See I do have a sensitive side.
Seriously, I am moved beyond words by your kindness.
JB
Your cause is just, your path is righteous. On my part, I have done many stupid things in my life that should have got me killed, but I am not dead yet. So I have come to the conclusion that God is saying, each time, “It’s not your time yet. I am saving you for a higher purpose.” So, until that purpose is served, I am immortal. I think that higher purpose is tormenting warmers, because I do a lot of it and I like doing it. I am proud to be a foot soldier in a quest that Joe and Joe serve at a higher level.
Joe, great that you are out from the accuweather umbrella and can now do your thing!! Although I wish Joe would stick more to his true bread and butter, pattern recognition and long range forecasting. All this climate change nonsense has gotten out of control. Interglacial periods on average last 20,000 years and we are overdue to go back into the next glacial if you look at climate cycles and sea level curves. The problem is none of us are going to be around to test this because even if we are in the midst of a glaciation now it happens so slowly that we wont know for tens of thousands of years.
Yes let the non stop political rants cough cough I mean weather rants begin! How high did they build your soap box at the weatherbell? AW FTW!
I’ve been doing Google searches several times a week to get the latest Joe B. news but my quest is now over. Congrats Joe!
This is the best news I’ve heard all weekend. I can’t wait to get my Bastardi long range forecast fix again! Congratulations to the 2 Joes on your new adventure!
Joe, you seem so much more “at ease” in your video than Ive seen you in a while, joking with your pets and daughter in such a cute way. I sense you are at peace with yourself. Joe, I dont know much about the business side of your new venture but I do know that your passion and energy will catapult this new company to great things.
DaveF says:
March 13, 2011 at 1:37 am
Piers Morgan reckoned that this recent winter was going to be one of the three or four coldest of the last hundred years in the UK, whereas Joe Bastardi called it as a cold December but average for January and February. It seems to me that Joe was spot on. Best wishes, Joe – I’ll certainly read your blog. Dave.
Whereas Piers Corbys predicted (in september) the coldest DECEMBER for 100 years for the northern hemisphere, major snow in the US throughout Jan and Feb and a colder than average March. He wasn’t far off considering the Met office prediction was for a mild winter (again).
Piers also makes long reange predictions of earth weather based on what we think the sun is going to do.. The sun has been quite unpredictable recently and appears to have thrown off the long range forecasts he made six months ago. Hardly suprising really.
Ryan Maue says:
March 13, 2011 at 12:11 am
I don’t see how Piers Corbyn makes money.
He makes his money by selling his forecasts to anyone interested (farmers and the like) because however bad you think the predictions are, they are still better than anything the met office has released for the last 3 years (at least).
In the western US, it’s more about whether we get the snowpack/runoff to make it through the generally dry season of April-October. In this area, there has been major drum-pounding by the usual agencies the last few years over water worries. I’d like to see an alternative to the grating noise these folks make.
I wouldn’t touch Piers with even an “associated with” connection. Let him do his own thing and keep a wide path around his workings. That is not to say that he will not turn out to be correct. But eccentricity in this endeavor should be avoided at all costs. The Weather Bell should be all business and unimpeachable research based foundation regarding long term weather analysis and prediction.
Live the Boxing analogy. Been around the ring a bit, myself. I wasn’t that good,
but love that old”sweet science” . My Pop was a golden gloves boxer of note, and
was a trainer…
Good luck Joe…
Joe. Great to see you back. One thing, hire a writer, or start using spellcheck.
J0e – Great site – favorite meteorologist.
Some teacherly musings:
Just read some of the blogs posted by the Joes. D’Aleo seems to be a better off-the-cuff conventional technical blog writer, if he composes speedily and hits “send”. That means that your posts, Joe Bastardi, could use some editing if you attempted to also compose on the fly and hit “send”. While your enthusiasm and personality clearly informs your writing, I found the color commentary interrupted the technical sense too often, and made it tough to follow your reasoning when these grammatical interruptions occurred.
Delighted to hear from you again Joe. I wish you all you wish for yourself and your family and I look forward to reading your forecasts.
Yours sincerely,
Perry