Early reports from the Lisbon conference

Dr. Judith Curry added a couple of comments on her blog while attending the Lisbon Workshop on Reconciliation in the Climate Change Debate. For those wondering why I’m not there even though invited, and to see a rationale for the report, please see my previous post: The hope of Lisbon

I’m sure there will be more coming. I’m looking forward to hearing from Steven Mosher on the event. Dr. Curry’s comments follow.

Had an interesting dinner with Tallbloke, McIntyre, McKitrick, Webster, Mosher, Stokes. If anyone is concerned by an insufficient diversity of perspectives, well I don’t think you need to be too concerned.

The morning session is in progress, with each participant making a 5 minute statement. There are genuinely a diversity of perspectives here, about a third of the participants are physical scientists with some knowledge of climate science, whereas the majority are social scientists (with a few journalists).

The meeting is being run under Chatham House rules. A few points that have caught my interest so far:

• dealing with complex problems using complex tools, ideas

• the idea of reconciliation in scientific debates is to try different approaches in an experimental meeting for attempting nonviolent communication in impassioned debates where there is disagreement

• reconciliation is not about consensus, but rather creating an arena where we can have honest disagreement

• violence in this debate derives from the potential impacts of climate change and the policy options, and differing political and cultural notions of risk and responsibility.

• disagreement in climate science is more violent than other fields where there is much disagreement and high societal stakes (e.g. economics). One person attributed the violence of the disagreement in climate science to the propensity of scientific societies to publish position statements, and the IPCC itself; these create animosity and hostility through the exercise of power without sufficient accountability.

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Atomic Hairdryer
January 26, 2011 10:34 am

My advice for reconciliation in Lisbon would be to hold a side meeting at the Solar do Vinho do Porto. After sampling the port, the fine food and the comfy furniture I suspect the debate would be civilised.

Laurie
January 26, 2011 10:47 am

To: CM who says . . . to understand what are productive forms of social organization and discourse so that . . . .
Well that would have to change the entire subject to taxation policies and spending habits. . . True it is about climate, but that would be a different kind.

Louise
January 26, 2011 10:51 am

I like Floor Anthoni’s idea of all scientific papers published woithout any named authors. Then each would stand on its merits rather than being supported or denounced by partisan reviewers/readers.

jorgekafkazar
January 26, 2011 10:57 am

bubbagyro says: “How did the flat earthers get reconciled with the deniers, who believed the earth was round, during the Middle Ages?”
Oh, yeah, right. The deniers tell you about the Nina, the Pinta, and the Santa Maria, the ones that made it home. But they DON’T tell you about the San Gorgonio, Columbus’s fourth ship. The history books have completely covered up the fact that one of the ships fell off the edge! Talk about cherry picking…
/sarc² off
The shape of the Earth was well known to people of the Middle Ages. It’s been known, in fact, since the ancient Greeks.
http://indianapublicmedia.org/amomentofscience/greeks-knew-earth-copernicus/

Laurie
January 26, 2011 10:57 am

To: Floor Anthoni
“Chatham House Rules” also means that anyone can take credit later . . . “Like taking candy from the baby . . . “

January 26, 2011 10:58 am

cms says:
January 26, 2011 at 9:46 am
“…productive intercourse. ”
I knew some would bring that up. 🙂

Claude Harvey
January 26, 2011 11:02 am

Re: bubbagyro says:
January 26, 2011 at 10:16 am
“It’s too bad that history does not record how ignominiously (or not) the terracentrists or flat earthers of ages past…”
Actually, we don’t need to go back more than 10 years in history to see what will most likely happen. “Everyone knew” that Y2K would be catastrophic unless we spent hundreds of $ billions on “Y2K” compliance measures. While a fundamental fix of the obvious computerized date problem would have been relatively straightforward, we were led to demand that all sectors “prove a negative” and the cost of that exercise was horrendous.
A number of countries did virtually nothing to prepare for Y2K and the news media eagerly awaited their collapse. Those countries took the position that, “We’ll just get up on the morning of January 1, 2000 and fix whatever no longer works. The Armageddon date came and went with nothing really newsworthy happening anywhere in the world. Then humanity merely shrugged and moved on to “the next big thing”; no investigations, no outrage; not even a simple acknowledgment that a monumental boo-boo had occurred.

A C Osborn
January 26, 2011 11:09 am

cms says:
January 26, 2011 at 9:46 am
“demonstrates a remarkable ignorance of the processes involved in productive intercourse.”
Funny I thought that was completely natural, doesn’t everybody know how to do it?

January 26, 2011 11:11 am

Ditto what Chris Riley wrote.

James H
January 26, 2011 11:16 am

“• violence in this debate derives from the potential impacts of climate change and the policy options, and differing political and cultural notions of risk and responsibility.”
This sounds to me like just an excuse for all the violent rhetoric coming from the fanatics. Usually, the side spouting off with so much vitriol will then raise a fuss that the debate needs to be more civilized, which just means that if the parties that disagree would just change their mind or shut up the violence could stop. This pattern is obviously repeated all over the place, as with recent events.

FrankK
January 26, 2011 11:26 am

There are now three things you don’t talk about with friends at the dinner table:
Sex, Religion and Climate change.

Stacey
January 26, 2011 11:36 am

Reconcilliation has nothing to do with science and everything to do with politics.
1927 Heisenberg publishes on the uncertainty principle.
Albert Einstein vigourously disagrees with him.
1928 Einstein nominates Heisenberg for the Nobel Prize
1932 Heisenberg awarded the Nobel Prize.
That’s in my view is how scientists should behave.

roberto
January 26, 2011 11:40 am

Violence due to power without accountability.
I would have suggested that the violence is due to frustration, and much of the frustration is due to many insiders’ continued insistence that anybody who isn’t a climate science insider has no legitimate place making any comments about anything. Any such comments deserve nothing but being ignored or attacked.
That will never fly. Stakeholders in other areas will make sure of it.

Curiousgeorge
January 26, 2011 11:44 am

This fad that has come about in the past couple weeks as a result of the AZ shooting, that seeks to equate any disagreement or name calling to violence, is ridiculous. It’s like calling everything a “first priority” – something which certain unnamed politicians are adept at.
I and other current and former members of the armed forces, police forces, gang members, and so on, of any country, can attest to the difference between real violence, and mere name calling and other forms of verbal communication.
Sticks and stones and all that. People in this debate and other contentious areas need to grow up, and quit whining like 4 year olds pleading for intervention by parents; “Mommy, he’s making faces at me”!

Douglas
January 26, 2011 11:51 am

FrankK says: January 26, 2011 at 11:26 am
There are now three things you don’t talk about with friends at the dinner table:
Sex, Religion and Climate change.
—————————————————————————
Ayoop Frank. Nah – just 2 – Climate change talk IS religion and ephemeral. Sex is forevah!
Douglas

Ken Lydell
January 26, 2011 12:10 pm

Some dialogue is better than none at all. Some debate is better than none at all. Some exchange of ideas is better than complete rejectionism. The meeting is a baby step in the right direction. Whether that first small step will lead to others remains to be seen.

L
January 26, 2011 12:30 pm

Uh, Jorge, the Santa Maria didn’t make it home. She ran into the edge and it turned out to be land…

JPeden
January 26, 2011 12:31 pm

• the idea of reconciliation in scientific debates is to try different approaches in an experimental meeting for attempting nonviolent communication in impassioned debates where there is disagreement
• reconciliation is not about consensus, but rather creating an arena where we can have honest disagreement

I’m afraid this is only more postmodern multi-cultural, probably even “sociologically-approved”, manipulative p.c. nonsense. Why devise a different system or approach, “an arena where we can have honest disagreement” via “nonviolent communication”, when all that has to be done is for people wanting to do real science to obey the rules of the Scientific Method and its principles?
And who in the first place wants to include people such as the ipcc Climate Scientists in a scientific debate when they are not doing real science? Conference over, problem solved!

Oliver Ramsay
January 26, 2011 12:41 pm

I venture that the view that the villification or vituperation of the vagaries and verbiage of one’s adversaries is violence, rather than vehemence, is vested with a vague verisimilitude but is not validated when one views veritable violent villains.
That is to say that if you start with the hyperbole ” taxing me to death” it’s not hard to get entrenched in exaggeration. A positive feedback, maybe.

January 26, 2011 1:01 pm

Nuremberg trial, no less. What reconciliation?

Stephen Brown
January 26, 2011 1:05 pm

Cross-posted from the original Lisbon article, sorry but I put it in the wrong place!
The term ‘reconciliation’ immediately brought to my mind the Truth and Reconciliation Commission in South Africa. This Commission forced all concerned to face what they did during the apartheid era in that country, including those who had political power and those who were seeking political power. This forum is not the place to discuss the events brought before the Commission but I thought that the methodology and the underlying tenets of that Commission might have a degree of applicability with regard to the Lisbon Forum.
I have read and re-read the terms of the Commission and I have studied some of the events brought before it. My original thoughts that such a Commission could work in the context of the Lisbon Forum were dashed very early on by one single word, Truth.
For something like the Truth and Reconciliation Commission to function in the context of climate change and the science involved, the truth would be required from all participants.
From http://www.beyondintractability.org/articlesummary/10240/ I quote the following, “Justice is achieved not by retribution, but by the restoration of community. Healing communities requires truth-telling, forgiveness, acceptance and trust.” Such ‘truth-telling’ is, I regret to say, apparently anathema to one side of the non-debate insofar as ‘climate change’ is concerned.
I can foresee nothing of any value emerging from Lisbon; the foremost prerequisite for any form of ‘reconciliation’ is a full and frank admission of previous wrong-doings. That is not going to happen in Lisbon or anywhere else. The conflict will continue.

Bruce Cobb
January 26, 2011 1:14 pm

After all the nastiness and all the lies and deceit coming from the Alarmists, the continued use of the “denier” label, a deliberate, and reprehensible reference to holocaust deniers, sickening videos like “No Pressure” showing kids being blown to smithereens, and the list could go on ad infinitum, now – NOW they want to play nice?
Yeah, right. The jig is up, they know it, and there will be consequences.

Douglas
January 26, 2011 1:29 pm

Oliver Ramsay says: January 26, 2011 at 12:41 pm
I venture that the view that the villification or vituperation of the vagaries and verbiage of one’s adversaries is violence, rather than vehemence, is vested with a vague verisimilitude but is not validated when one views veritable violent villains.
——————————————————————
Oliver – Verily, very funny – and ‘taxing to death’ undoubtedly hyperbolic but none the less the runaway taxation of energy is having a measurably deleterious effect upon the masses in most western countries smart retorts not withstanding and whether you like it or not.
Douglas

DonS
January 26, 2011 1:29 pm

What, please, is a “social scientist”?

xyzlatin
January 26, 2011 1:38 pm

Variations of the word violence are used four times in J. Curry’s note. This cannot be coincidence. This is supporting and setting up another strawman, that of the skeptic who is threatening violence to the poor downtrodden and misunderstood AGW scientist, another well known meme in AGW folklore. Again, it has been another successful diversion, as can be seen by the number of people on this blog now discussing violence with regard to the global warming debate.
I just cannot understand how people are hoodwinked by this AGW scientist who is intent on neutering critics of AGW and cleverly putting herself above the fray while all the while pushing the AGW agenda.
I also cannot understand why any skeptic has agreed to go to this meeting, probably many at their own expense, while its a fair bet that all the AGW people are paid for by their Universities or grant monies.
Are they (the skeptics) so insecure that they actually want the approval of the AGW crowd? This is bizarre. Hey we love you guys, you don’t need to run to “them” for a little love and approval. And there are more and more of “us” supporting you. You are no longer alone.
I read a lot of blogs on the skeptic side, and I have never seen anyone advocating or threatening violence. By the way, I agree with those above objecting to the term violence used to describe disagreement. Violence is a physical act actually done to a person, not a verbal argument.