Early reports from the Lisbon conference

Dr. Judith Curry added a couple of comments on her blog while attending the Lisbon Workshop on Reconciliation in the Climate Change Debate. For those wondering why I’m not there even though invited, and to see a rationale for the report, please see my previous post: The hope of Lisbon

I’m sure there will be more coming. I’m looking forward to hearing from Steven Mosher on the event. Dr. Curry’s comments follow.

Had an interesting dinner with Tallbloke, McIntyre, McKitrick, Webster, Mosher, Stokes. If anyone is concerned by an insufficient diversity of perspectives, well I don’t think you need to be too concerned.

The morning session is in progress, with each participant making a 5 minute statement. There are genuinely a diversity of perspectives here, about a third of the participants are physical scientists with some knowledge of climate science, whereas the majority are social scientists (with a few journalists).

The meeting is being run under Chatham House rules. A few points that have caught my interest so far:

• dealing with complex problems using complex tools, ideas

• the idea of reconciliation in scientific debates is to try different approaches in an experimental meeting for attempting nonviolent communication in impassioned debates where there is disagreement

• reconciliation is not about consensus, but rather creating an arena where we can have honest disagreement

• violence in this debate derives from the potential impacts of climate change and the policy options, and differing political and cultural notions of risk and responsibility.

• disagreement in climate science is more violent than other fields where there is much disagreement and high societal stakes (e.g. economics). One person attributed the violence of the disagreement in climate science to the propensity of scientific societies to publish position statements, and the IPCC itself; these create animosity and hostility through the exercise of power without sufficient accountability.

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bubbagyro
January 26, 2011 8:32 am

By the way, only the Flatheads knew where the edge was. It was just over the horizon, as defined by the furthest advance of any ship.
Just over the horizon…yet where exactly, these Middle Ages social scientists somehow knew!

bubbagyro
January 26, 2011 8:42 am

richcar 1225 says:
January 26, 2011 at 8:26 am
Good idea. Problem is: they would do their measurements near undersea vents and volcanoes. We have an analogous precedent for that sort of chicanery.

January 26, 2011 8:42 am

Just to get some context into this.
Viriato Soromenho-Marques is the organizer on Gulbenkian’s side. Everyone can see his CV here which includes:
“Viriato Soromenho-Marques (1957) teaches Political Philosophy, Philosophy of Nature, and European Ideas in the Departments of Philosophy and European Studies of the University of Lisbon, where he is Full Professor. Since 1978 he has been engaged in the civic environmental movement in Portugal and Europe. He was Chairman of Quercus (1992-1995).”
Please remember that Quercus became famous for this highly disgusting video, shown before at WUWT: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/02/23/climate-craziness-of-the-week/
Ecotretas

Gary Krause
January 26, 2011 8:43 am

This vocal gnashing of teeth by way of current CO2 cultish hostility toward others who disagree with their money motivated agenda will continue their habitualized behavior to their end. No amount of logic will change the behavior.
End the money train, end the media bias, and watch the frinzied hatred toward anyone in their way.

James Sexton
January 26, 2011 8:43 am

John Phillips says:
January 26, 2011 at 7:26 am
“• violence in this debate derives from the potential impacts of climate change and the policy options, and differing political and cultural notions of risk and responsibility.
• disagreement in climate science is more violent than other fields ”
I think the word violence is being mis-used. A vigorous and even rancorous debate is not violent.
Also, I don’t think much can be accomplished if the majority of the attendees are social scientists.
=======================================================
I agree, although I suppose one could stretch the use with the definition such as , fervor: intensity of feeling or expression “the violence of her response to our suggestion”
But it causes me to pause at the use of the word. Is “vigorous” disagreement being equated with “violence”? If it is, I would suggest that all participants remove themselves from the meeting. It would be an insidious perversion of word usage with legal implications. I would never consider entering a discussion with a person that would seek limit expressiveness under the pain of being called violent.

Chris Riley
January 26, 2011 8:46 am

“violence in this debate derives from the potential impacts of climate change and the policy options, and differing political and cultural notions of risk and responsibility.”
I respectfully disagree. The climate debate is, at its heart, all about violence. The climate debate is a proxy war in the age old struggle between the power of Government and the natural rights of the individual. Governments rule by coercion, which is to say by the threat of violence. A threat of violence is violence. Armed robbery is classified as a violent crime, even if the gun used is unloaded. The climate debate will determine whether there is justification for governments to expropriate a portion of the decision making authority now held by free individuals, thus making them less free. History is replete with examples of people who have surrendered freedom in exchange for perceived security, and later had reason to regret that transaction. Benjamin Franklin commented on this.
“Those who exchange security for freedom deserve neither”
We are being asked to give up some of our freedom, thus increasing the proportion of decisions we make under a threat of violence. In exchange we are promised an amount of”climate security”, the value of which is claimed to exceed the value of the freedom we are to give up for it. Skeptics want to know if the exchange is worth it. History tells us that we will not receive a refund of our freedom if it turns out that AGW is a myth, or that the programs to alleviate it fail to deliver as promised.

Jeff
January 26, 2011 8:50 am

again how do you “reconcile” with a group that is willing to lie, hide date and make up data ? this is a case where perfect is not the enemy of good … the CRU may do some good work … I don’t care … they are not scientists …

Laurie
January 26, 2011 8:51 am

Rather Chatham House rules than Patriot Act rules . . .

January 26, 2011 9:10 am
Gary Pearse
January 26, 2011 9:16 am

The social sciences have been totally corrupted – I guess they are experts for this kind of thing. This is the stupidest conference I have heard about. Don’t we already know what McIntyre, the journalists, the agw scientists think? Are we going to try to change this? I think attendance at this thing gives unwarranted legitimacy to the manipulators.

Claude Harvey
January 26, 2011 9:20 am

One does not need attend high-minded conferences to get at the source of the vehemence; simply follow the history of money and fame lavished on the one side and derision heaped upon the other. Now that Mother Nature has begun to show her hand, the new losers, dressed in all their finery, seek “reconciliation” while the winners dance a jig in their bare feet and raise their tattered sleeves in victory.
After years of suffering abuse and public ridicule, I doubt that “the tattered ones” will be magnanimous in victory. Judith was very astute to begin hedging her bets some time ago. In so doing, she demonstrated a certain rationality sorely missing in many of her academic peers who, to date, show every intention of “going down with the ship”.

January 26, 2011 9:33 am

Chris Riley says:
January 26, 2011 at 8:46 am
Concur.
Elected officials cannot solve the everyday problems of life even with all the laws on the books now. But they cannot admit that, so they move on to problems that are larger, more complex (we don’t understand), and potentially life on earth-ending. Thus they are needed and important in their own mind. Being elevated in status by the ability to save the world is heady stuff.

John Silver
January 26, 2011 9:35 am

Stephen Goddard is there:
http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/

david beattie
January 26, 2011 9:40 am

Is there a list of the journalists attending?

Billy Liar
January 26, 2011 9:46 am

Keep Post Modernism out of science!

cms
January 26, 2011 9:46 am

Obviously some commenters have not read the title of the conference. It is not about climate change, but about reconciliation of the debate on Climate Change. It seems to me that the inability of the scientists to carry on a civil and productive debate about such issues demonstrates a remarkable ignorance of the processes involved in productive intercourse. This willful blindness leads to the failure of science itself to take a balanced and productive place in the public conversation. So it is exactly appropriate that the majority of participants should be social scientists. In fact it could be argued that the dismissal by so many of these social scientists suggest exactly why their is such self satisfied ignorance in this area. And no I am not suggesting that scientists need to take PR lessons. They need to turn to those scientists who are expert in the realm of social organization to understand what are productive forms of social organization and discourse so that they might formulate procedures and safeguards that keep the process open and civil.

Kev-in-Uk
January 26, 2011 9:50 am

Lets just ask why such a ‘meeting’ requires such a rule?
The skeptics and lukewarmers are unlikely to require identity protection, are they? So presumably, it is to protect the warmists?, especially if they have to ‘fess up’ to anything – questions like, is this paper realistic? or did you know this was wrong? etc etc….

DirkH
January 26, 2011 9:53 am

Claude Harvey says:
January 26, 2011 at 9:20 am
“Judith was very astute to begin hedging her bets some time ago. In so doing, she demonstrated a certain rationality sorely missing in many of her academic peers who, to date, show every intention of “going down with the ship”.”
They won’t go down. All they have to do is find a flaw in their models, make them predict differently, publish it in a pal-reviewed journal, cash in a few Nobels and tell the world they always had their doubts about catastrophic warming. After all, they used the words “could” and “might” a lot, didn’t they? They have left all possibilities for themselves open.

Joe Lalonde
January 26, 2011 9:55 am

Anthony,
Climate Science scientists need an “OUT”. Room that they can change their finding without being ripped apart for their stance.
If not careers and reputations are at stake. And they will fight too and nail no matter how much the science is not on their side.

Grumpy Old Man
January 26, 2011 10:01 am

I simply don’t know social scientists are interested in this matter. (And yes I have a degree in social science). Unless they are called to speculate on what happens if Armaggeddon arrives. But first, they have to swallow the warmist prediction and right now in England, it’s cold and getting colder. Bring on global warming, the sooner the better and then see what social scientists have to say about it. (Ignoring agriculturist specialists of course).

bubbagyro
January 26, 2011 10:06 am

Claude:
Cool imagery.
Judith is a sly one, indeed. If she were to admit in toto what her logic educated her to see, she would have faced the full wrath of the Inquisition, like Bjørn Lomborg has.

January 26, 2011 10:08 am

But who is attending the meeting?
I bet that the mainstream IPCC climate scientist cowards are all boycotting it!

bubbagyro
January 26, 2011 10:16 am

It’s too bad that history does not record how ignominiously (or not) the terracentrists or flat earthers of ages past receded from the scene. I’m sure it took a long while, and they did not go “gently into that good night”. More like kicking and screaming with malice and violence.
In this information age, though, I’m sure they can bolster the next hoax, like habitat destruction or seas acidifying. Whichever it is has to tie in with killing off redundant people to be compatible with their world view. Maybe they will wait a year or so, and then condemn the poisonous squiggly light bulbs, relying on the public’s amnesia. I wonder when the lawsuits over CFLs will begin?

January 26, 2011 10:25 am

“Chatham House Rules” so nobody can be held accountable for what he said.
Imagine scientific papers without the names of their authors…
This meeting deserves to be treated with utter contempt, as if nothing was said at all.

Douglas
January 26, 2011 10:32 am

Chris Riley says:
January 26, 2011 at 8:46 am
The climate debate is, at its heart, all about violence. The climate debate is a proxy war in the age old struggle between the power of Government and the natural rights of the individual.
Benjamin Franklin commented on this.
“Those who exchange security for freedom deserve neither”
We are being asked to give up some of our freedom, thus increasing the proportion of decisions we make under a threat of violence. In exchange we are promised an amount of”climate security”, the value of which is claimed to exceed the value of the freedom we are to give up for it.
Skeptics want to know if the exchange is worth it. History tells us that we will not receive a refund of our freedom if it turns out that AGW is a myth, or that the programs to alleviate it fail to deliver as promised.
—————————————————————————–
Chris Riley sums this up accurately in my opinion. This talkfest is a waste of time. The horse has long bolted. Already the governments of the world are taxing their citizens to death (because they will not be able to pay for the energy they need to keep warm) to replace cheap energy sources with expensive and inefficient alternatives – all on the basis of an unproven belief that co2 is going to cause catastrophic global warming unless it is reduced.
Taxing people to death – That is violence.
And President Obama intones in his State of the Union address ‘We’ll invest in biomedical research, information technology, and especially clean energy technology – an investment that will strengthen our security, protect our planet, and create countless new jobs for our people’
Business as usual ‘clean energy technology’ = Windmills. Countless new jobs = building windmills. Protect our planet. Utter hubris. I know he is the president of the US – but – those words are the words of God! The horse has truly bolted. And Obama is a babe compared to the Euro demigods.
If he is going to protect the planet we have to acquiesce – game set and match.
And these people are indulging themselves in a talkfest about violent argument?
Douglas