New 2 day record December snowfall amount to the Minneapolis/St Paul area
While there have been a few high temperature records in the desert southwest and western Oregon, the majority of weather records in the USA this week have been for cold, snowfall, or rainfall. The biggest number of records have to do with the lowest maximum temperature.

Here’s a summary of the weather records:
| Record Events for Mon Dec 6, 2010 through Sun Dec 12, 2010 | |
| Total Records: | 2002 |
| Rainfall: | 319 |
| Snowfall: | 320 |
| High Temperatures: | 71 |
| Low Temperatures: | 426 |
| Lowest Max Temperatures: | 767 |
| Highest Min Temperatures: | 99 |
Uncharacteristically for the Associated Press, they give this latest snowstorm the title of “monster”:
Rutgers snow lab has the current snow cover for 2010:
Last year, we seemed to have a bit more snow cover in the USA (and globally) at this time:
I think Rutgers is having a little joke by making snow cover “yellowish”.
Here’s a Public Information Statement (PIS) from the NWS in Minneapolis
Dec 10-11 Snowfall…New December Record
The December 10-11 snowstorm brought a new 2 day record December snowfall amount to the Minneapolis/St Paul area, and perhaps to other areas as well. The new record is 17.1 inches. This storm was bit unusual in that it was a Pacific type storm system. The snowfall amounts were in the category of what would be more typical of a storm moving out of the southwest U.S. toward the Mississippi valley.
This storm also ranks in the top 5 of the largest snowfalls in the Twin Cities. See the Minnesota State Climatology site for further details.
Here is the broad picture of the storm total snow.

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
800 PM CST SUN DEC 12 2010
...SNOWFALL TOTALS FROM THE WINTER STORM EVENT DEC 10-11...
THE TOTALS BELOW ARE SEPARATED INTO SNOW...AND ICE AND SLEET
CATEGORIES...THEN BY AMOUNT...AND ARE NOT NECESSARILY THE
FINAL AMOUNT FOR EACH LOCATION.
SNOW REPORTS LISTED BY AMOUNT
INCHES LOCATION ST COUNTY TIME
------ ----------------------- -- -------------- -------
23.00 5 SE OSCEOLA WI POLK 0900 AM
22.00 EAU CLAIRE WI EAU CLAIRE 0500 PM
TELEVISION STATION WQOW.
21.50 NEW MARKET MN SCOTT 0930 PM
21.50 SHAKOPEE MN SCOTT 0700 PM
21.00 OAKDALE MN WASHINGTON 0330 AM
20.00 RED WING MN GOODHUE 0800 AM
20.00 MAPLEWOOD MN RAMSEY 0330 AM
19.20 EAU CLAIRE WI EAU CLAIRE 0100 PM
18.50 4 NNE MENOMONIE WI DUNN 0945 PM
18.00 MENOMONIE WI DUNN 0800 AM
18.00 EAST FARMINGTON WI POLK 0630 PM
18.00 3 SSW BURNSVILLE MN DAKOTA 0615 PM
18.00 2 W PRIOR LAKE MN SCOTT 0900 PM
17.50 3 NW MINNEAPOLIS MN HENNEPIN 0100 PM
17.40 LAKEVILLE MN DAKOTA 0900 PM
17.20 WOODBURY MN WASHINGTON 0900 AM
17.20 1 W CARVER MN CARVER 1000 PM
17.10 MINNEAPOLIS MN HENNEPIN 0130 AM
MEASURED AT THE MINNEAPOLIS/ST. PAUL AIRPORT
17.00 EAU CLAIRE WI EAU CLAIRE 1100 AM
17.00 2 N MENOMONIE WI DUNN 0630 PM
16.50 SAVAGE MN SCOTT 1130 PM
16.30 HASTINGS MN DAKOTA 0830 PM
16.10 BLOOMINGTON MN HENNEPIN 0600 PM
16.00 RIDGELAND WI DUNN 0100 PM
16.00 DURAND WI PEPIN 1030 PM
15.50 CHANHASSEN MN CARVER 0130 AM
MEASURED AT THE NWS OFFICE
15.20 ST LOUIS PARK MN HENNEPIN 1030 PM
15.00 1 SSW DELANO MN WRIGHT 0630 PM
14.70 WACONIA MN CARVER 0745 AM
14.50 3 SSW WHITE BEAR LAKE MN RAMSEY 1030 PM
14.20 STANLEY WI CHIPPEWA 0930 AM
13.70 LESTER PRAIRIE MN MCLEOD 0930 AM
13.50 1 ESE CHASKA MN CARVER 0700 PM
13.50 ELK MOUND WI DUNN 0700 PM
13.00 STILLWATER MN WASHINGTON 1200 PM
13.00 JIM FALLS WI CHIPPEWA 0930 AM
12.50 NORTH BRANCH MN CHISAGO 1100 AM
12.50 1 ENE CAMBRIDGE MN ISANTI 0630 PM
12.00 FARIBAULT MN RICE 0900 PM
11.50 ANDOVER MN ANOKA 0145 AM
11.00 HAUGEN WI BARRON 1130 AM
10.00 ST JAMES MN WATONWAN 1230 PM
10.00 CUMBERLAND WI BARRON 0730 AM
9.50 NORTH BRANCH MN CHISAGO 0430 PM
9.00 VESTA MN REDWOOD 1230 PM
8.00 MANKATO MN BLUE EARTH 0715 PM
7.00 4S ST CLOUD MN STEARNS 0630 PM
6.00 WINTHROP MN SIBLEY 0830 PM
Here is a Radar Replay during the time of some of the heavier snow (9 am to 3pm).
Snow Depth as of December 12
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Anthony, my Aunt has just sent a bunch of pictures from Russia (don’t know where she got them) of snow. And I don’t just mean “snow” like you and I understand. I mean S…N…O…W! Email me and I will forward them to you. Trust me, your eyes will bug out.
[Note: Pamela, please post these requests to Tips & Notes, where Anthony is sure to see them. Sincerely, ~dbs, mod.]
Pamela Gray says:
December 13, 2010 at 5:42 pm
In other words, the hydrological cycle doesn’t increase or decrease globally, it just shifts around.
====================================
Si, but it was more fun watching Gates……..
Tony says:
December 13, 2010 at 5:13 pm
I’ve found a few articles but was wondering if there were any that are better at explaining and documenting this than others?
===========================================
Tony, google “CO2 800 year lag”
JoNova has a good webpage on it too.
“CO2 didn’t cause the temp rise in the first 800 years, but it’s responsible for all the rise after that”
That’s the other explanation.
Yeah right….
Having just read the post and 100 comments I am left wondering what happens to the vacuum left in the Arctic region after all the freezing air has escaped to set all the record cold temps in the lower 48?
I did read that someone thinks that the temperatures up there are other worldly warm. Now how did that happen?
Tony says: at 5:13 pm
if there were any that are better at explaining
Try this:
http://motls.blogspot.com/2006/07/carbon-dioxide-and-temperatures-ice.html
R Gates’s posts….remind me of an obnoxious neighbor on my street who walks his dog(s) all the time and lets the dogs poop wherever they want, never bothering to pick up after them.
He comes in and drops a few bombs of posts, never owning up to the crap that they are, and then leaves everybody else having to clean up a bunch of unnecessary messes.
Truly a waste of time.
Back on topic to this thread….in the thick of this cold outbreak:
Is it Nome Alaska? Nope….its North Carolina.
Currently 0 Degrees (Fahrenheit) with 12″ of new snow on top of 24″ last week.
Cool webcam shots:
http://www.skibeech.com/quadcam1.html
http://www.skibeech.com/cam.html
And yes, Westerners, don’t laugh….those are snow guns.
Chris
Norfolk, VA, USA
“Manmade global warming” predicted that winters would start later and end earlier. But winters are starting sooner. More evidence that the “manmade global warming” hypothesis is wrong.
Anthony writes:
“REPLY: Yeah, I’m thinking of assigning him to the back room. He’s quite a waste of effort for everyone. – Anthony”
God Bless You, Sir, once again. You don’t even have to do it. God Bless You for the thought. And God Bless You, once again, for hosting the most delightful of all blogs.
E.M.Smith says:
December 13, 2010 at 4:37 pm
Oh, and R.Gates:
You’ll need to explain how extra heat input, with retained excess heat, to our heat engine is showing up as a colder “hot side” as well as a colder “cold side”…
Explanations? Global warming don’t need no stinking explanations!
;O)
I find it interesting that there have been three negative teleconnection signals lately, the AO, NAO, and the PNA (Pacific North American).
On the CPC site the PNA has been consistently negative, and that usually means troughiness and cold for the Pac NW, but it has been rather mild there lately.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/pna.shtml
Of course, that is about to change with a sharp cold front….WSW up for the Cascades and the Coast Ranges..
Chris
Norfolk, VA, USA
Alexander Feht says:
December 13, 2010 at 12:54 pm
Strange: the map shows a red dot (High Temp) in South Colorado, right where we are, but it has been very cold here in the end of November, and kind of normal in December, no unusual warmth to speak of. What’s up with that?
It’s been so cold homeless folk probably have a fire in a barrel next to the temperature station.
Holy smoke screens Batman, R.Gates has been a busy little boy today.
R Gates
In the eastern half of Australia, cold means wet and hot means dry.
And yes, I’m also old enought to have experienced the full cycle, like EM Smith.
More than that, my family have been farming since 1855.
There’s good family stories about fire and drought and flooding rain.
What comes around, goes around.
And the long term trend for rainfall at Sydney town is flat, ziltch, nil, nothing.
And temperature at Observatory Hill was also flat until the Cahill Expressway opened in March 1958, taking the UHI right up to the thermometer.
The earth is just not heating up – its the measurements that are soaked in the petrol of UHI that are the problem.
R Gates
At Sydney, the rainfall follows an uncertain 20 or 40 year peak to peak cycle.
In between peaks it gradually falls in a declining zigzag.
That’s been true since 1859 when continuous records commenced.
We’ve had our very long drought.
From mid year on, 2010 has introduced the start of a major peak period.
That is likely to continue for a year or two.
Then back to falling rainfall levels for another spin of the chaotic system.
Rainfall in sydney – Hurst index number approximately 0.02.
You understand that? – a very strong tendency to revert to the mean.
You study chaotic systems?
If so – why do you take any notice of long term IPCC forecasts?
If not – why Not?
As a former president should have once said “It’s the chaotic climate Stxxxx”
Fun webcam link
Banner Elk NC at 3800 ft. Currently 8 degrees.
http://www.highcountrywebcams.com/webcameras_BannerElkLIVE.htm
When I first started getting interested in climatology back in the mid 1960’s I remember reading that periods of high snowfall create an albedo effect reflecting more sunlght back out into space. This sets off a period of glacier growth further reflecting sunlight. Based on this model planetary temperatures should start averaging downwards over the next few years.
This based on reading papers in the Scientific American when it was an unbiased journal.
Dear Anthony,
I know how you feel about consigning R.Gates to the basement. However, since he prompted a slew of engaging and informative comments by E.M. Smith, perhaps we’d be better off to realize that he has his uses. 😉
Here in the Willamette Valley of western Oregon, we had some shirt-sleeve warmening today, thanks to a lot of Pacific air and moisture sloshing in from the southwest. Tomorrow, thank heavens, we’ll be back to coldening. Speaking of coldening, we had snow slosh in before Thanksgiving; to my memory the first that’s happened in the 40 years I’ve lived here.
Sam Parsons says:
December 13, 2010 at 4:11 pm
On this particular run of colder winters, I took notice of what the Neutron Monitors show for the 70’s cooling and now.
From 1971 to 1978, there is an extended mesa of GCR’s.
Now, from 2006 to present we have an even higher mesa of heightend GCR’s.
Except for the replacing of the ‘drought’ out West with overbearing precipitation, the East is getting pounded just like in the mid to late 70’s. David Archibald may not have the Neutron rates pegged, but he sure got the overall cooling right.
And that is in spite of the offical line of broiler stories from GISS, MET and others.
R. Gates comments might have some merit if facts would support his theory, but they do not. Accelerated hydrological cycle starts with the idea that warmer water leads to more evaporation . . . . However, water vapor is not uniformly distributed across the world. The origin of the water vapor in the December 2010 storms did not come from oceans where the anomoly was positive, rather where it is negative. Likewise, last year, the origin of the water vapor for those storms was again from ocean areas with negative anomolies. These snow storms are not happening because the oceans are warmer, but rather because land areas are cold.
Regarding the LA Times article, we are a long ways from certainty in long term river flows, but we should also pay attention to the impact of pavement and land use development on river flow. One of the biggest problems with the CAGW movement is that the rush to blame global warming on problems that need attention from a non-climate solution. Often, we should address land-use practices instead of putting the blame on CO2. Many communities and nations try to escape responsibility by blaming the CO2 bogeyman.
Mooloo says: (December 13, 2010 at 1:38 pm)
Says who? This blog post highlights a large number of record cold temperatures occurring over about 1% of the Earth’s surface during about 2% of the solar year. But what’s happening everywhere else and every-when else?
Sure, it’s really freaking cold right now in the Southeast U.S. Guess how many record lows were set in the continental U.S. yesterday (December 12)? Four. Guess how many record highs were set?
73
AusieDan says: December 13, 2010 at 7:23 pm
At Sydney, the rainfall follows an uncertain 20 or 40 year peak to peak cycle. …
From mid year on, 2010 has introduced the start of a major peak period.
That is likely to continue for a year or two.
Then back to falling rainfall levels for another spin of the chaotic system.
This seems self-contradictory. If it is chaotic, then how would there be any “predictable” patterns?
For those who like hard numbers, a quick analysis of annual rainfall in Syndey since 1859 show the following for auto-correlation:
Autocorrelation Function: C14
Lag ACF T LBQ
1 0.093685 1.16 1.36
2 -0.011724 -0.14 1.38
3 0.145380 1.78 4.70
4 -0.004412 -0.05 4.71
5 -0.103306 -1.24 6.40
6 0.015222 0.18 6.44
7 -0.089141 -1.06 7.72
8 -0.016603 -0.20 7.77
9 0.020721 0.24 7.84
10 -0.019414 -0.23 7.90
11 0.006520 0.08 7.91
12 -0.015990 -0.19 7.95
13 0.165675 1.95 12.57
14 0.056874 0.65 13.12
15 -0.015498 -0.18 13.16
16 -0.070246 -0.80 14.01
17 0.005504 0.06 14.02
18 -0.029021 -0.33 14.17
19 -0.092428 -1.05 15.67
20 -0.035600 -0.40 15.89
21 0.065214 0.74 16.65
22 -0.056459 -0.63 17.23
23 0.100292 1.12 19.05
24 -0.043924 -0.49 19.41
25 0.008606 0.10 19.42
26 0.096210 1.07 21.14
27 0.018765 0.21 21.20
28 -0.161562 -1.78 26.13
29 0.154209 1.66 30.66
30 -0.045344 -0.48 31.05
31 -0.089909 -0.95 32.62
32 0.016317 0.17 32.67
33 -0.035275 -0.37 32.91
34 -0.001373 -0.01 32.91
35 0.016855 0.18 32.97
36 0.009671 0.10 32.99
37 -0.029959 -0.31 33.17
38 0.079750 0.84 34.48
39 0.044114 0.46 34.88
40 0.116975 1.22 37.74
41 -0.032963 -0.34 37.97
42 -0.010617 -0.11 37.99
43 -0.083303 -0.86 39.48
44 -0.009838 -0.10 39.50
45 -0.105685 -1.09 41.95
What does that mean?
* There are no statistically significant repeating patterns up thru 45 year cycles.
* There are close-t0-significant correlations for the following:
–> positive correlation between one year and the 3rd following year
–> positive correlation between one year and the 13th following year
–> negative correlation between one year and the 28th following years
–> positive correlation between 1 year and the 29th following years
There seems to be no autocorrelation anywhere near 20 or 40 years.
There seems to be no correlation from one year to the next year, so I don’t see any strong tendency to revert to the mean.
If you look at the monthly data, then there is a strong autocorrelation every year. This is of course, expected since there are definite wet seasons and dry seasons in pretty much every climate. In this sense there is a strong tendency to revert to the mean — if it is wet one month (ie the rainy season) then it will almost certainly be dry 6 months later (ie the dry season) .
I will admit that I can’t find much good info on the “Hurst Index” in the internet. Could you explain what it means and how it is calculated? Were you quoting he hurst index for annual data or monthly data?
To add my anecdotal weather facts to the fray, I live in Mpls. And here I am in Maine right now, hoping to do some skiing, but it’s in the mid-50s and raining. Where’s my record lows?!
Wow, I go out for dinner and a bit more Christmas shopping and things get a little interesting. Well, I obviously can’t answer all these “reactions” to my posts, but I would like to give a further explanation of the hydrological cycle and carbon-rock cycle, as some of you seem a bit confused on this. To start out, let’s take a look at a perfect example of this confusion:
latitude says (referring to the Hydrological Cycle):
December 13, 2010 at 3:04 pm
Gates, I’m not sure I can follow your train of thought on this one.
If temperatures rising drives the HyC, and causes it to speed up.
The HyC puts CO2 into the atmosphere.
If the HyC is speeding up, then it’s putting more and more CO2 into the atmosphere.
_______
Let’s break this down into a bit more detail, just so everyone can follow. To remind everyone, the hydrological cycle is the cycle of water moving from oceans and seas (and also of course other bodies of water) into the atmosphere through evaporation and then precipitating out of clouds as snow, rain, hail, sleet, etc. The engine of the hydrological cycle is of course heat which has primarily (though not entirely, i.e. think of thermal energy) come to earth from our sun.
The other big cycle that I’ve been referencing is the carbon-rock cycle on earth, and specfically the cycle of carbon dioxide moving from the atmosphere into the oceans which occurs as part of the hydrological cycle. Here’s how it works…when it rains, or snows the CO2 from the air interacts with water in the air to form a very weak form of carbonic acid. The formula is:
CO2 + H2O -> H2CO3
That weak carbonic acid weathers the rocks and interacts with precipitated water and the silcates of the rocks to form bicarbonates. The formula is:
H2CO3 + H2O + silicate minerals -> HCO3- + cations (Ca++, Fe++, Na+, etc.) + clays
These bicarbonates flow to the sea and are precipitated from the calcium in the sea water to eventually end of as limestone on the bottom of the ocean, through a chemical reaction similar to this:
H2CO3 + H2O + silicate minerals -> HCO3- + cations (Ca++, Fe++, Na+, etc.) + clays
In this way, contrary to latitudes confused post above, it is the hydrological cycle working in conjunction with the carbon cycle of rock weathering that REMOVES CO2 from the atmosphere and returns it to the ocean. This is very interesting cycle, and provides a natural negative feedback process to keep the CO2 levels within a range that doesn’t allow the earth to get too cold or too hot. What we see, and have seen for millions of years on earth is that when CO2 increases, the earth warms, and since heat is the engine of the hydrological cycle, the hydrological cycle acclerates to remove excess CO2 from the atmosphere. As the CO2 levels begin to come down (through the weathering process decribed above), the hydrological cycle slows down, less CO2 is removed, and so a natural feedback process is established.
This hydrological cycle/carbon-rock weathering cycle is a fundamental cycle on the earth, and the only real problem with our current CO2 levels is that this cycle normally operates over hundreds of thousands to millions of years, not the few hundred years it’s taken to increase carbon dioxide levels by some 40% to levels not seen in 800,000 years.
Finally, for those who are insisting that the current cold spell on the east coast proves the earth is in for a cold spell, one really ought to take a closer look at the facts. Cold air is being funneled directly from the Arctic, but as a whole, the Arctic is not colder than normal, nor is the N. Hemisphere. Certainly, nearly everyone here admits this is an anomalous situation (much like the Russian heat wave of last summer), but what we all seem to disagree about is the cause of the anomaly. At least one recent study predicted this, and and the cause had nothing to do with some new cold period othe earth was entering, but someting quite the opposite:
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6AF3C720101116
But even last summer we had suggestions of this:
http://www.physorg.com/news195485722.html
So, even though the arctic right now is not seeing record cold temps and Arctic sea ice remains below the 30 year average, the AGW skeptics would like to believe that we are heading back into some very cold period, even though, 2010 remains as one of the warmest years on instrument record (perhaps not the warmest, but close). If the entire N. Hemisphere were seeing anomalously cold temps I might even pay attention to these fears, but the latest full monthly and 3-month data simply does not support fears of an impending global cooling:
http://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/.Global/.Atm_Temp/Anomaly.html
The simple truth seems to be that atmospheric pressure anomalies have opened up the arctic freezer door and unforunately, the eastern U.S. is currently right in the line of fire…
To those on the west side of the Cascades, Portland, Oregon in particular-
when we get our cold Canada high pressure at or about Jan 1,-10. The east
winds are going to be something to behold this year. Just sayin’…
One slight correction to the previous post (and a dumb mistake at that!). The reaction for the precipitation of calcium carbonate in sea water to form limestone should look more like this:
Ca++ + 2HCO3- -> CaCO3 + CO2 + H2O
Sorry for any confusion…