Hundreds of new cold and snow records set in the USA

New 2 day record December snowfall amount to the Minneapolis/St Paul area

While there have been a few high temperature records in the desert southwest and western Oregon, the majority of weather records in the USA this week have been for cold, snowfall, or rainfall. The biggest number of records have to do with the lowest maximum temperature.

click for interactive map

Here’s a summary of the weather records:

Record Events for Mon Dec 6, 2010 through Sun Dec 12, 2010
Total Records: 2002
Rainfall: 319
Snowfall: 320
High Temperatures: 71
Low Temperatures: 426
Lowest Max Temperatures: 767
Highest Min Temperatures: 99

Uncharacteristically for the Associated Press, they give this latest snowstorm the title of “monster”:

Rutgers snow lab has the current snow cover for 2010:

Last year, we seemed to have a bit more snow cover in the USA (and globally) at this time:

I think Rutgers is having a little joke by making snow cover “yellowish”.

Here’s a Public Information Statement (PIS) from the NWS in Minneapolis

Dec 10-11 Snowfall…New December Record

The December 10-11 snowstorm brought a new 2 day record December snowfall amount to the Minneapolis/St Paul area, and perhaps to other areas as well. The new record is 17.1 inches. This storm was bit unusual in that it was a Pacific type storm system. The snowfall amounts were in the category of what would be more typical of a storm moving out of the southwest U.S. toward the Mississippi valley.

This storm also ranks in the top 5 of the largest snowfalls in the Twin Cities. See the Minnesota State Climatology site for further details.

Here is the broad picture of the storm total snow.

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN

800 PM CST SUN DEC 12 2010

...SNOWFALL TOTALS FROM THE WINTER STORM EVENT DEC 10-11...

THE TOTALS BELOW ARE SEPARATED INTO SNOW...AND ICE AND SLEET

CATEGORIES...THEN BY AMOUNT...AND ARE NOT NECESSARILY THE

FINAL AMOUNT FOR EACH LOCATION.

SNOW REPORTS LISTED BY AMOUNT

 INCHES  LOCATION                 ST  COUNTY           TIME

 ------  -----------------------  --  --------------   -------

 23.00   5 SE OSCEOLA             WI  POLK             0900 AM

 22.00   EAU CLAIRE               WI  EAU CLAIRE       0500 PM

         TELEVISION STATION WQOW.

 21.50   NEW MARKET               MN  SCOTT            0930 PM

 21.50   SHAKOPEE                 MN  SCOTT            0700 PM

 21.00   OAKDALE                  MN  WASHINGTON       0330 AM

 20.00   RED WING                 MN  GOODHUE          0800 AM

 20.00   MAPLEWOOD                MN  RAMSEY           0330 AM

 19.20   EAU CLAIRE               WI  EAU CLAIRE       0100 PM

 18.50   4 NNE MENOMONIE          WI  DUNN             0945 PM

 18.00   MENOMONIE                WI  DUNN             0800 AM

 18.00   EAST FARMINGTON          WI  POLK             0630 PM

 18.00   3 SSW BURNSVILLE         MN  DAKOTA           0615 PM

 18.00   2 W PRIOR LAKE           MN  SCOTT            0900 PM

 17.50   3 NW MINNEAPOLIS         MN  HENNEPIN         0100 PM

 17.40   LAKEVILLE                MN  DAKOTA           0900 PM

 17.20   WOODBURY                 MN  WASHINGTON       0900 AM

 17.20   1 W CARVER               MN  CARVER           1000 PM

 17.10   MINNEAPOLIS              MN  HENNEPIN         0130 AM

         MEASURED AT THE MINNEAPOLIS/ST. PAUL AIRPORT

 17.00   EAU CLAIRE               WI  EAU CLAIRE       1100 AM

 17.00   2 N MENOMONIE            WI  DUNN             0630 PM

 16.50   SAVAGE                   MN  SCOTT            1130 PM

 16.30   HASTINGS                 MN  DAKOTA           0830 PM

 16.10   BLOOMINGTON              MN  HENNEPIN         0600 PM

 16.00   RIDGELAND                WI  DUNN             0100 PM

 16.00   DURAND                   WI  PEPIN            1030 PM

 15.50   CHANHASSEN               MN  CARVER           0130 AM

         MEASURED AT THE NWS OFFICE

 15.20   ST LOUIS PARK            MN  HENNEPIN         1030 PM

 15.00   1 SSW DELANO             MN  WRIGHT           0630 PM

 14.70   WACONIA                  MN  CARVER           0745 AM

 14.50   3 SSW WHITE BEAR LAKE    MN  RAMSEY           1030 PM

 14.20   STANLEY                  WI  CHIPPEWA         0930 AM

 13.70   LESTER PRAIRIE           MN  MCLEOD           0930 AM

 13.50   1 ESE CHASKA             MN  CARVER           0700 PM

 13.50   ELK MOUND                WI  DUNN             0700 PM

 13.00   STILLWATER               MN  WASHINGTON       1200 PM

 13.00   JIM FALLS                WI  CHIPPEWA         0930 AM

 12.50   NORTH BRANCH             MN  CHISAGO          1100 AM

 12.50   1 ENE CAMBRIDGE          MN  ISANTI           0630 PM

 12.00   FARIBAULT                MN  RICE             0900 PM

 11.50   ANDOVER                  MN  ANOKA            0145 AM

 11.00   HAUGEN                   WI  BARRON           1130 AM

 10.00   ST JAMES                 MN  WATONWAN         1230 PM

 10.00   CUMBERLAND               WI  BARRON           0730 AM

  9.50   NORTH BRANCH             MN  CHISAGO          0430 PM

  9.00   VESTA                    MN  REDWOOD          1230 PM

  8.00   MANKATO                  MN  BLUE EARTH       0715 PM

  7.00   4S ST CLOUD              MN  STEARNS          0630 PM

  6.00   WINTHROP                 MN  SIBLEY           0830 PM

Here is a Radar Replay during the time of some of the heavier snow (9 am to 3pm).

Snow Depth as of December 12

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Pamela Gray
December 13, 2010 5:49 pm

Anthony, my Aunt has just sent a bunch of pictures from Russia (don’t know where she got them) of snow. And I don’t just mean “snow” like you and I understand. I mean S…N…O…W! Email me and I will forward them to you. Trust me, your eyes will bug out.
[Note: Pamela, please post these requests to Tips & Notes, where Anthony is sure to see them. Sincerely, ~dbs, mod.]

latitude
December 13, 2010 5:52 pm

Pamela Gray says:
December 13, 2010 at 5:42 pm
In other words, the hydrological cycle doesn’t increase or decrease globally, it just shifts around.
====================================
Si, but it was more fun watching Gates……..

latitude
December 13, 2010 5:55 pm

Tony says:
December 13, 2010 at 5:13 pm
I’ve found a few articles but was wondering if there were any that are better at explaining and documenting this than others?
===========================================
Tony, google “CO2 800 year lag”
JoNova has a good webpage on it too.
“CO2 didn’t cause the temp rise in the first 800 years, but it’s responsible for all the rise after that”
That’s the other explanation.
Yeah right….

John F. Hultquist
December 13, 2010 6:11 pm

Having just read the post and 100 comments I am left wondering what happens to the vacuum left in the Arctic region after all the freezing air has escaped to set all the record cold temps in the lower 48?
I did read that someone thinks that the temperatures up there are other worldly warm. Now how did that happen?

John F. Hultquist
December 13, 2010 6:26 pm

Tony says: at 5:13 pm
if there were any that are better at explaining
Try this:
http://motls.blogspot.com/2006/07/carbon-dioxide-and-temperatures-ice.html

savethesharks
December 13, 2010 6:37 pm

R Gates’s posts….remind me of an obnoxious neighbor on my street who walks his dog(s) all the time and lets the dogs poop wherever they want, never bothering to pick up after them.
He comes in and drops a few bombs of posts, never owning up to the crap that they are, and then leaves everybody else having to clean up a bunch of unnecessary messes.
Truly a waste of time.
Back on topic to this thread….in the thick of this cold outbreak:
Is it Nome Alaska? Nope….its North Carolina.
Currently 0 Degrees (Fahrenheit) with 12″ of new snow on top of 24″ last week.
Cool webcam shots:
http://www.skibeech.com/quadcam1.html
http://www.skibeech.com/cam.html
And yes, Westerners, don’t laugh….those are snow guns.
Chris
Norfolk, VA, USA

Amino Acids in Meteorites
December 13, 2010 6:49 pm

“Manmade global warming” predicted that winters would start later and end earlier. But winters are starting sooner. More evidence that the “manmade global warming” hypothesis is wrong.

Sam Parsons
December 13, 2010 6:51 pm

Anthony writes:
“REPLY: Yeah, I’m thinking of assigning him to the back room. He’s quite a waste of effort for everyone. – Anthony”
God Bless You, Sir, once again. You don’t even have to do it. God Bless You for the thought. And God Bless You, once again, for hosting the most delightful of all blogs.

Amino Acids in Meteorites
December 13, 2010 6:51 pm

E.M.Smith says:
December 13, 2010 at 4:37 pm
Oh, and R.Gates:
You’ll need to explain how extra heat input, with retained excess heat, to our heat engine is showing up as a colder “hot side” as well as a colder “cold side”…

Explanations? Global warming don’t need no stinking explanations!
;O)

savethesharks
December 13, 2010 6:52 pm

I find it interesting that there have been three negative teleconnection signals lately, the AO, NAO, and the PNA (Pacific North American).
On the CPC site the PNA has been consistently negative, and that usually means troughiness and cold for the Pac NW, but it has been rather mild there lately.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/pna.shtml
Of course, that is about to change with a sharp cold front….WSW up for the Cascades and the Coast Ranges..
Chris
Norfolk, VA, USA

Amino Acids in Meteorites
December 13, 2010 6:54 pm

Alexander Feht says:
December 13, 2010 at 12:54 pm
Strange: the map shows a red dot (High Temp) in South Colorado, right where we are, but it has been very cold here in the end of November, and kind of normal in December, no unusual warmth to speak of. What’s up with that?
It’s been so cold homeless folk probably have a fire in a barrel next to the temperature station.

Amino Acids in Meteorites
December 13, 2010 6:59 pm

Holy smoke screens Batman, R.Gates has been a busy little boy today.

AusieDan
December 13, 2010 7:13 pm

R Gates
In the eastern half of Australia, cold means wet and hot means dry.
And yes, I’m also old enought to have experienced the full cycle, like EM Smith.
More than that, my family have been farming since 1855.
There’s good family stories about fire and drought and flooding rain.
What comes around, goes around.
And the long term trend for rainfall at Sydney town is flat, ziltch, nil, nothing.
And temperature at Observatory Hill was also flat until the Cahill Expressway opened in March 1958, taking the UHI right up to the thermometer.
The earth is just not heating up – its the measurements that are soaked in the petrol of UHI that are the problem.

AusieDan
December 13, 2010 7:23 pm

R Gates
At Sydney, the rainfall follows an uncertain 20 or 40 year peak to peak cycle.
In between peaks it gradually falls in a declining zigzag.
That’s been true since 1859 when continuous records commenced.
We’ve had our very long drought.
From mid year on, 2010 has introduced the start of a major peak period.
That is likely to continue for a year or two.
Then back to falling rainfall levels for another spin of the chaotic system.
Rainfall in sydney – Hurst index number approximately 0.02.
You understand that? – a very strong tendency to revert to the mean.
You study chaotic systems?
If so – why do you take any notice of long term IPCC forecasts?
If not – why Not?
As a former president should have once said “It’s the chaotic climate Stxxxx”

savethesharks
December 13, 2010 7:23 pm

Fun webcam link
Banner Elk NC at 3800 ft. Currently 8 degrees.
http://www.highcountrywebcams.com/webcameras_BannerElkLIVE.htm

December 13, 2010 7:27 pm

When I first started getting interested in climatology back in the mid 1960’s I remember reading that periods of high snowfall create an albedo effect reflecting more sunlght back out into space. This sets off a period of glacier growth further reflecting sunlight. Based on this model planetary temperatures should start averaging downwards over the next few years.
This based on reading papers in the Scientific American when it was an unbiased journal.

Mike Fox
December 13, 2010 7:59 pm

Dear Anthony,
I know how you feel about consigning R.Gates to the basement. However, since he prompted a slew of engaging and informative comments by E.M. Smith, perhaps we’d be better off to realize that he has his uses. 😉
Here in the Willamette Valley of western Oregon, we had some shirt-sleeve warmening today, thanks to a lot of Pacific air and moisture sloshing in from the southwest. Tomorrow, thank heavens, we’ll be back to coldening. Speaking of coldening, we had snow slosh in before Thanksgiving; to my memory the first that’s happened in the 40 years I’ve lived here.

rbateman
December 13, 2010 8:08 pm

Sam Parsons says:
December 13, 2010 at 4:11 pm
On this particular run of colder winters, I took notice of what the Neutron Monitors show for the 70’s cooling and now.
From 1971 to 1978, there is an extended mesa of GCR’s.
Now, from 2006 to present we have an even higher mesa of heightend GCR’s.
Except for the replacing of the ‘drought’ out West with overbearing precipitation, the East is getting pounded just like in the mid to late 70’s. David Archibald may not have the Neutron rates pegged, but he sure got the overall cooling right.
And that is in spite of the offical line of broiler stories from GISS, MET and others.

An Inquirer
December 13, 2010 8:09 pm

R. Gates comments might have some merit if facts would support his theory, but they do not. Accelerated hydrological cycle starts with the idea that warmer water leads to more evaporation . . . . However, water vapor is not uniformly distributed across the world. The origin of the water vapor in the December 2010 storms did not come from oceans where the anomoly was positive, rather where it is negative. Likewise, last year, the origin of the water vapor for those storms was again from ocean areas with negative anomolies. These snow storms are not happening because the oceans are warmer, but rather because land areas are cold.
Regarding the LA Times article, we are a long ways from certainty in long term river flows, but we should also pay attention to the impact of pavement and land use development on river flow. One of the biggest problems with the CAGW movement is that the rush to blame global warming on problems that need attention from a non-climate solution. Often, we should address land-use practices instead of putting the blame on CO2. Many communities and nations try to escape responsibility by blaming the CO2 bogeyman.

Anonymous Howard
December 13, 2010 8:16 pm

Mooloo says: (December 13, 2010 at 1:38 pm)

The point is that we are meant to be in the grip of the “hottest year evah”. At such a time there will still be cold days. Even very cold days. But having a large range of places having record lows does not fit.

Says who? This blog post highlights a large number of record cold temperatures occurring over about 1% of the Earth’s surface during about 2% of the solar year. But what’s happening everywhere else and every-when else?
Sure, it’s really freaking cold right now in the Southeast U.S. Guess how many record lows were set in the continental U.S. yesterday (December 12)? Four. Guess how many record highs were set?
73

Tim Folkerts
December 13, 2010 8:18 pm

AusieDan says: December 13, 2010 at 7:23 pm
At Sydney, the rainfall follows an uncertain 20 or 40 year peak to peak cycle. …
From mid year on, 2010 has introduced the start of a major peak period.
That is likely to continue for a year or two.
Then back to falling rainfall levels for another spin of the chaotic system.

This seems self-contradictory. If it is chaotic, then how would there be any “predictable” patterns?
For those who like hard numbers, a quick analysis of annual rainfall in Syndey since 1859 show the following for auto-correlation:
Autocorrelation Function: C14
Lag ACF T LBQ
1 0.093685 1.16 1.36
2 -0.011724 -0.14 1.38
3 0.145380 1.78 4.70
4 -0.004412 -0.05 4.71
5 -0.103306 -1.24 6.40
6 0.015222 0.18 6.44
7 -0.089141 -1.06 7.72
8 -0.016603 -0.20 7.77
9 0.020721 0.24 7.84
10 -0.019414 -0.23 7.90
11 0.006520 0.08 7.91
12 -0.015990 -0.19 7.95
13 0.165675 1.95 12.57
14 0.056874 0.65 13.12
15 -0.015498 -0.18 13.16
16 -0.070246 -0.80 14.01
17 0.005504 0.06 14.02
18 -0.029021 -0.33 14.17
19 -0.092428 -1.05 15.67
20 -0.035600 -0.40 15.89
21 0.065214 0.74 16.65
22 -0.056459 -0.63 17.23
23 0.100292 1.12 19.05
24 -0.043924 -0.49 19.41
25 0.008606 0.10 19.42
26 0.096210 1.07 21.14
27 0.018765 0.21 21.20
28 -0.161562 -1.78 26.13
29 0.154209 1.66 30.66
30 -0.045344 -0.48 31.05
31 -0.089909 -0.95 32.62
32 0.016317 0.17 32.67
33 -0.035275 -0.37 32.91
34 -0.001373 -0.01 32.91
35 0.016855 0.18 32.97
36 0.009671 0.10 32.99
37 -0.029959 -0.31 33.17
38 0.079750 0.84 34.48
39 0.044114 0.46 34.88
40 0.116975 1.22 37.74
41 -0.032963 -0.34 37.97
42 -0.010617 -0.11 37.99
43 -0.083303 -0.86 39.48
44 -0.009838 -0.10 39.50
45 -0.105685 -1.09 41.95
What does that mean?
* There are no statistically significant repeating patterns up thru 45 year cycles.
* There are close-t0-significant correlations for the following:
–> positive correlation between one year and the 3rd following year
–> positive correlation between one year and the 13th following year
–> negative correlation between one year and the 28th following years
–> positive correlation between 1 year and the 29th following years
There seems to be no autocorrelation anywhere near 20 or 40 years.
There seems to be no correlation from one year to the next year, so I don’t see any strong tendency to revert to the mean.
If you look at the monthly data, then there is a strong autocorrelation every year. This is of course, expected since there are definite wet seasons and dry seasons in pretty much every climate. In this sense there is a strong tendency to revert to the mean — if it is wet one month (ie the rainy season) then it will almost certainly be dry 6 months later (ie the dry season) .
I will admit that I can’t find much good info on the “Hurst Index” in the internet. Could you explain what it means and how it is calculated? Were you quoting he hurst index for annual data or monthly data?

December 13, 2010 8:28 pm

To add my anecdotal weather facts to the fray, I live in Mpls. And here I am in Maine right now, hoping to do some skiing, but it’s in the mid-50s and raining. Where’s my record lows?!

R. Gates
December 13, 2010 8:51 pm

Wow, I go out for dinner and a bit more Christmas shopping and things get a little interesting. Well, I obviously can’t answer all these “reactions” to my posts, but I would like to give a further explanation of the hydrological cycle and carbon-rock cycle, as some of you seem a bit confused on this. To start out, let’s take a look at a perfect example of this confusion:
latitude says (referring to the Hydrological Cycle):
December 13, 2010 at 3:04 pm
Gates, I’m not sure I can follow your train of thought on this one.
If temperatures rising drives the HyC, and causes it to speed up.
The HyC puts CO2 into the atmosphere.
If the HyC is speeding up, then it’s putting more and more CO2 into the atmosphere.
_______
Let’s break this down into a bit more detail, just so everyone can follow. To remind everyone, the hydrological cycle is the cycle of water moving from oceans and seas (and also of course other bodies of water) into the atmosphere through evaporation and then precipitating out of clouds as snow, rain, hail, sleet, etc. The engine of the hydrological cycle is of course heat which has primarily (though not entirely, i.e. think of thermal energy) come to earth from our sun.
The other big cycle that I’ve been referencing is the carbon-rock cycle on earth, and specfically the cycle of carbon dioxide moving from the atmosphere into the oceans which occurs as part of the hydrological cycle. Here’s how it works…when it rains, or snows the CO2 from the air interacts with water in the air to form a very weak form of carbonic acid. The formula is:
CO2 + H2O -> H2CO3
That weak carbonic acid weathers the rocks and interacts with precipitated water and the silcates of the rocks to form bicarbonates. The formula is:
H2CO3 + H2O + silicate minerals -> HCO3- + cations (Ca++, Fe++, Na+, etc.) + clays
These bicarbonates flow to the sea and are precipitated from the calcium in the sea water to eventually end of as limestone on the bottom of the ocean, through a chemical reaction similar to this:
H2CO3 + H2O + silicate minerals -> HCO3- + cations (Ca++, Fe++, Na+, etc.) + clays
In this way, contrary to latitudes confused post above, it is the hydrological cycle working in conjunction with the carbon cycle of rock weathering that REMOVES CO2 from the atmosphere and returns it to the ocean. This is very interesting cycle, and provides a natural negative feedback process to keep the CO2 levels within a range that doesn’t allow the earth to get too cold or too hot. What we see, and have seen for millions of years on earth is that when CO2 increases, the earth warms, and since heat is the engine of the hydrological cycle, the hydrological cycle acclerates to remove excess CO2 from the atmosphere. As the CO2 levels begin to come down (through the weathering process decribed above), the hydrological cycle slows down, less CO2 is removed, and so a natural feedback process is established.
This hydrological cycle/carbon-rock weathering cycle is a fundamental cycle on the earth, and the only real problem with our current CO2 levels is that this cycle normally operates over hundreds of thousands to millions of years, not the few hundred years it’s taken to increase carbon dioxide levels by some 40% to levels not seen in 800,000 years.
Finally, for those who are insisting that the current cold spell on the east coast proves the earth is in for a cold spell, one really ought to take a closer look at the facts. Cold air is being funneled directly from the Arctic, but as a whole, the Arctic is not colder than normal, nor is the N. Hemisphere. Certainly, nearly everyone here admits this is an anomalous situation (much like the Russian heat wave of last summer), but what we all seem to disagree about is the cause of the anomaly. At least one recent study predicted this, and and the cause had nothing to do with some new cold period othe earth was entering, but someting quite the opposite:
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6AF3C720101116
But even last summer we had suggestions of this:
http://www.physorg.com/news195485722.html
So, even though the arctic right now is not seeing record cold temps and Arctic sea ice remains below the 30 year average, the AGW skeptics would like to believe that we are heading back into some very cold period, even though, 2010 remains as one of the warmest years on instrument record (perhaps not the warmest, but close). If the entire N. Hemisphere were seeing anomalously cold temps I might even pay attention to these fears, but the latest full monthly and 3-month data simply does not support fears of an impending global cooling:
http://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/.Global/.Atm_Temp/Anomaly.html
The simple truth seems to be that atmospheric pressure anomalies have opened up the arctic freezer door and unforunately, the eastern U.S. is currently right in the line of fire…

Douglas DC
December 13, 2010 9:04 pm

To those on the west side of the Cascades, Portland, Oregon in particular-
when we get our cold Canada high pressure at or about Jan 1,-10. The east
winds are going to be something to behold this year. Just sayin’…

R. Gates
December 13, 2010 9:11 pm

One slight correction to the previous post (and a dumb mistake at that!). The reaction for the precipitation of calcium carbonate in sea water to form limestone should look more like this:
Ca++ + 2HCO3- -> CaCO3 + CO2 + H2O
Sorry for any confusion…