Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach
Dear Dr. Suresh:
My sincere and heartfelt congratulations on your being appointed Director of the US National Science Foundation (NSF). It is indeed an honor for anyone. In particular it is a great achievement for you, considering the long road you traveled to eventually attain the post.
Photo Source: Science Magazine
With the honor of your new post, of course, comes the responsibility. And according to Science Magazine (paywall) , you are already moving on that:
Even before his Senate confirmation in September to the 6-year post, Suresh began asking colleagues about the myriad issues that he will face at NSF.
I laud this effort. And I hope you will pardon me for using this venue to add another issue to your already-long list. However, it is a very important one.
Here’s the thing. It’s not complex or hard. You guys need to stop funding scofflaw scientists.
What do I mean by “scofflaw scientists”? The NSF has long-standing policies regarding the sharing and archiving of data that is gathered with NSF-distributed taxpayer funds. The earliest policy I know of is the 1989 NSF adoption of the recommendations of the National Science Board Report “Openness of Scientific Communication” (NSB 88-215). It says (emphasis mine):
1. Open Scientific and Engineering Communication
The NSF advocates and encourages open scientific communication. The NSF expects significant findings from research it supports to be submitted promptly for publication, with authorship that reflects accurately the contributions of those involved. It expects investigators to share with other researchers, at no more than incremental cost and within a reasonable time, the primary data, samples, physical collections, and other supporting materials created or gathered in the course of the research. It also encourages awardees to share software and inventions or otherwise act to make such items or products derived from them widely useful and usable.
NSF will implement these policies in ways appropriate to the field of science and circumstances of research through the proposal review process; through award negotiations and conditions; and through appropriate supportand incentives for data cleanup, documentation, dissemination, storage, and the like. Adjustments and, where essential, exceptions may be allowed to accommodate the legitimate interests of investigators and to safeguard the rights of individuals and subjects, the validity of results, and the integrity of collections.
This very straightforward language from NSF has been clarified, and strengthened since then. For example, in 1991, the NSF U.S. Global Change Research Program said:
For those programs in which selected principal investigators have initial periods of exclusive data use, data should be made openly available as soon as they become widely useful. In each case the funding agency should explicitly define the duration of any exclusive use period.
These requirements for archiving and sharing have been repeated in other NSF statements (see here and here for details and discussion of these NSF policies.)
Despite this, NSF continues to fund scientists who openly flout the policy and refuse to archive their data. The poster child for this group could be the glaciologist Dr. Lonnie Thompson. How bad is he? Well, let me say that I wouldn’t be surprised to see photos of his missing data on the sides of milk cartons.
Steve McIntyre’s now seven-year unsuccessful quest for Thompson’s elusive data, such as the widely cited but unarchived Himalayan ice core information for Dasupo, Dunde, and Gulaya, is detailed (inter alia) here, here, here, here, here, here, and here.
Despite Thompson’s years and years of dodging requests for his data, NSF has continued to fund him. Here’s a record of how much of our tax money has gone to Dr. Thompson and his wife (they often apply jointly for grants).
Most of the grants are either solely to Dr. Thompson (pictured), or to him and his wife. Only in a few grants are there other “co-investigators”. Data Source: NSF
Now let me be very clear here. I have no problem with the NSF funding scientists, as long as you keep President Eisenhower’s warning “that public policy could itself become the captive of a scientific-technological elite” firmly in mind.
I’m also not concerned about the amount of the money that has gone to Dr. Thompson. Eleven megabucks is a big pile, it’s true, but a) that’s over 38 years, and b) it’s not cheap to mount an expedition to go to places like the Himalayas (pictured) and drill ice cores. I don’t think he’s getting rich off the NSF, to the contrary I suspect he’s squeezing the bucks to get more ice cores per dollar.
And curiously, I don’t even have much problem with Dr. Thompson being a scofflaw scientist. I don’t like it, but as long as there are rules and money in the same system, we can guarantee that somebody will try to game the system rules to get the money. This time it’s Lonnie’s turn.
But Dr. Suresh, I must tell you frankly, it angrifies my blood mightily when you keep funding scofflaw scientists like Thompson. I wax wroth, and utter venerable Anglo-Saxon imprecations, when the NSF doesn’t follow its own policies. And to my wife’s embarrassment, I confess that at times I find myself audibly urging anatomically inventive but ultimately improbable acts of sexual auto-congress on those government employees who are allowing this to happen.
Unfortunately, the NSF is not alone in this. Science and Nature Magazine, the flagship journals of scientific research, both have execrable records of enforcing their own policies on data archiving. The same is true of PNAS.
This is a part of the reason that the American public is so disenchanted with climate science. Fortunately, you are in a position to completely fix your agency’s part in the problem. The cure is simple:
1. Every time someone applies for a grant, you explain to them that they have to archive their data. If the applicant has had a grant before, ask them where the data sets from each of the previous grants have been archived. If they have unarchived data, no grant until they archive. To save your graphics department some money, here’s your new recruiting poster:
It’s not difficult. It doesn’t require Twelve Steps, it’s a One-Step program. As I said above, you need to stop funding scofflaw scientists.
So that’s my issue, and I trust you will see it right.
Next, my free advice, which is worth at least what you paid for it, perhaps more.
My advice is quite simple. Be public about what you do. If you decide to follow your own policies regarding data archiving and sharing, make an announcement. If a scientists’ funding is being held up until data is archived, make that fact available. This is the age of the internet and the Freedom of Information Act. If you expose all of your actions to the light of day, you don’t have to worry about them being exposed later (as they assuredly will be). Use the blogs such as WUWT to your advantage. Always remember that you are spending our money, so we are owed any and all information on how you are doing so. Answer requests from the public about data and policies promptly and without evasion. In short, make the operation of your agency as transparent as all good science should be.
My best wishes go with you. I do not envy you your new job, but given your track record I suspect you will do it well.
w.
(PS – My thanks also to Steve McIntyre for his untiring efforts in the long quest to get Dr. Thompson to archive his data. It is a travesty that folks like the IPCC continue to rely upon Dr. Thompsons results, when he has consistently and repeatedly refused to show his work. That attitude wouldn’t make it past my high school chemistry teacher, and has no place in modern science.)


Always remember that you are spending our money…… “remember”? I’m sure that will come as quite a shock to Dr. Suresh – – if he believes it! I have never met a career public administrator or politico that gave one nano-second of thought to where “the money” comes from or who it belongs to and did NOT have an elitist attitude about where and how to spend it. And i have met A LOT of them….. opps, wait. There was one and he said – The taxpayer – that’s someone who works for the federal government but doesn’t have to take the civil service examination. Ronald Reagan And I’ll add – and never gets a reasonable “paycheck” in return.
And Willis therein lies my problem with your statement – I’m also not concerned about the amount of the money that has gone to Dr. Thompson. Because it seems to me the REAL question is – seeing as the world has NOT come apart at seems in spite of not having Thompson’s (our) data, what has our 11 million + bucks paid for?
In other words, how dumb are “we” for funding the gathering of ice core data, when not having the data for the last 30+ years hasn’t made one damn bit of difference! The REAL problem is, when politicians (governments) are funding the research, nobody gets fired for producing zilch, so the ONLY need and incentive is to create new reasons for more funding! And the politicians love it!
Government always finds a need for whatever money it gets. Yup. Ronald Reagan again.
eadler: excuses, excuses, excuses. Pathetic.
“Show your work” was drilled into me in high school. Go ask ANY high school science teacher and ask if they require students to show their work. This is a basic principle of science, and there are no excuses. Period. Stop shifting blame and making excuses.
Jeroen B: At least corporate funding of science has a profit motive. If it doesn’t work, no profit. Even drug companies have to verify results, if only to avoid lawsuits. SpaceX is in it to make money. That’s powerful motivation.
Capitalism is far from perfect, but it is the only system that generates wealth.
I note that Earle Holland has posted on the Earlier Lonnie thread:
Earle Holland says:
December 13, 2010 at 8:32 am
MacIntyre and Thompson have been in correspondence for years and I know for a fact that Thompson has forwarded data to him with the directive that once he publishes in a peer-reviewed journal related to that data, then Thompson will share more. Regardless, their entire data sets are stored at the World Data Center for Paleoclimatology at Boulder.
May be worth checking out?
The inertia is going to be difficult to overcome.
Just recieved the following via email:
http://www.americasclimatechoices.org/index.shtml?utm_medium=etmail&utm_source=National%20Academies%20Press&utm_campaign=NAP+mail+eblast+12.13.10+-+climate+change&utm_content=Downloader&utm_term=:
tallbloke says:
December 13, 2010 at 10:43 am
Well, Earle had a choice. He could have stayed silent and had us think that he didn’t do his homework, but instead he decided to speak and remove all doubt …
No, Earle, that’s nonsense. Thompson (AFAIK) made no such demand. More to the point, if you think Thompson’s claim that he’s the gatekeeper of the data makes sense, then you are as clueless about science as you are about Thompson and McIntyre. Scientists don’t get to decide who they want to share their taxpayer funded data with, that’s your fantasy about science. Real scientists are open and transparent, and provide their data to other researchers. As Thompson was REQUIRED TO DO under the NSF policy.
And no, Thompson’s entire data sets are not “stored at the WDCP at Boulder”. That’s the problem. Either you simply made that up, Earle, or you have been lied to, or you truly have not been following the story. After years of being requested to do so, Thompson has archived a few datasets. Only a very foolish person would mistake that for full disclosure …
Read through Steve McIntyre’s account of the Thompson saga, Earle, beginning to end. Bring your pencil and take notes. Come back when you understand what happened, and I’ll be glad to discuss it with you.
Until then, I would recommend the old “learn and listen” path, silence is your friend.
In the real world, when business requires a bank or banks to fund a project, it presents a feasibility study detailing all aspects of the project, including making all the raw data available.
The bank sends in a bunch of hard nosed sceptical analysts/experts looking for flaws and reasons for not providing funds. If the information is not credible, such as missing critical raw data, the funding is refused.
This very simply is good business practice, a concept alien to most government departments and all ‘climate scientists’.
Jimbo’s quoted assertions about Pons and Fleischmann and cold fusion are completely incorrect. I have a collection of 1,200 peer reviewed journal papers on cold fusion, copied from the library at Los Alamos, and 2,500 others from proceedings, national laboratories, EPRI, the NSF and other sources. This literature describes thousands of positive replications of cold fusion. I suggest that readers review it before commenting on this research. See:
http://lenr-canr.org/
Thanks, Wayne.
It’s guys like you, all of you, male and female, who inspire me.
I’m so very glad I’ve found this site. It’s refreshing. I don’t feel
‘so alone’ anymore…….and even if ‘the not-so-omnipotent, ‘they”
take down the internet’s ‘freedom’ ((just found out yesterday that
the behaviorists call it their ‘skinner box’ (and who didn’t JUST LOVE
Lil’ B.F.??? (besides his daughter…?)) well……..then……..the knowledge
I’ve gotten from reading all of these words ~ will never be lost.
They’re in my heart, forever. No one can take that from us, Guys.
C.L. Thorpe
A humble & pragmatic Believer…while admittedly being a ‘scientist’ with a decidedly ‘little c’…
Have a look at the NSF’s new policy and procedure guide guide, effective 18 Jan 2011:
http://www.nsf.gov/publications/pub_summ.jsp?ods_key=nsf11001
In particular see Chapter II.C.2.j, Special Information and Supplementary Documentation, which “contains a clarification of NSF’s long standing data policy. All proposals must describe plans for data management and sharing of the products of research, or assert the absence of the need for such plans. Fastlane will not permit submission of a proposal that is missing a Data Management Plan.” (Fastlane is the electronic submission process.) One of the paras in that section says, “This supplement should describe… policies for access and sharing including provisions for appropriate protection of privacy, confidentiality, security, intellectual property, or other rights or requirements.” (Privacy and confidentiality refers to human subjects data.)
FWIW, I’ve been on NSF panels for another area (not climate stuff) for five years. The requirement for data archiving was on our (the panelists’) mind for all that time, but it was distressingly impractical for several of those years: the funding to maintain a long-term archive is not to be sneezed at. It’s not a simple matter of putting the data on CDs or DVDs, for example, because those media deteriorate, data formats change, and a host of other reasons. My own dissertation, done in 1984 and transferred to magnetic tape (I made two copies for safety), is probably no longer readable even if I could find one of those giant readers. And that’s not that long ago. (OK, maybe it is a long time ago, but it doesn’t *feel* that long ago!) Only now has the availability of true archiving caught up to the need for it in my area.
Earle Holland says:
“MacIntyre (sic) and Thompson have been in correspondence for years and I know for a fact…” & blah, blah, etc.
Earle can’t even spell Steve McIntyre’s name correctly. He’s winging it.
Willis is giving Earle some very good, common sense advice: get up to speed on this issue before commenting on it. Anyone who reads Climate Audit knows that Steve McIntyre would not spend countless hours of his time trying to get Thompson’s data and methods – and then report on his complete lack of progress due to Thompson’s stonewalling.
It all goes back to the climate clique’s protecting their grant gravy train by avoiding the scientific method. And without the scientific method, all that the public receives is self-serving political advocacy. In other words: climate-scare propaganda.
It is my personal belief that Dr Suresh was very carefully vetted and selected to head the NSF – just as Muir Russell was vetted and selected – because they can be counted on to keep the government grant money flowing. I sincerely hope that I am wrong.
This is certainly not intended to disregard Willis Eschenbach’s very good advice to write to Dr Suresh, requesting that Suresh use his top administrative position to require the public archiving of all the data, metadata and methodologies used to arrive at Thompson’s conclusions. The same requirements should be required for any scientist who expects to receive public funding through the NSF.
We will see if Dr Suresh has the moral character required to make certain that the NSF’s specific, written rules must be followed – or whether Suresh is just another good old boy, like Muir Russell or Lord Oxburgh, protecting the status quo from the truth in order to keep the taxpayers’ grant money flowing.
I have faxed my letter to Dr Suresh. Maybe it will have some effect. Or maybe Dr Suresh is already bought and paid for. It won’t take us long to find out.
Mike Maxwell says:
December 13, 2010 at 7:21 pm
Mike, the World Data Center for Paleoclimatology is where Thompson has archived some of his work, including some from as early as 1976. The WDCP was established in 1992 for the express purpose of providing a free repository for a variety of climate datasets such as Thompson’s. Since that was 18 years ago, I’m afraid your excuse for Thompson not archiving his data simply won’t wash.
@Retired Engineer:
“At least corporate funding of science has a profit motive. If it doesn’t work, no profit.”
Not necessarily true. Even if it doesn’t work or there is no practical application or use, there’s still a profit opportunity by giving it the right amount of spin — let’s not forget the ‘swine flu scare’ if you want a great example of industry profiting from selling a solution the world didn’t need! (For that matter, history is rife with short-lived fads and hypes that have each left a mark – and not all of them that positive!)
Again, separating the research from the politics (and MSM publication sadly has become an intensely politicized tool, rather than an informative one!) will aid more in providing an honest solution to a serious problem …
But I do agree that corporate funding does tend to produce better/more efficient results, and I do agree that SpaceX is indeed the poster child of this!
I had a few other thoughts, but I lost my train of thought and I can’t seem to find another connection …
Aside from questions of efficiency there is another reason to have concern about concentration of activities under government.
When corporations sin there is a higher power here on earth that can call them to account. When leviathan sins there is no bigger fish in this life to nip at its fins.
Bernie Madoff is in jail for carrying out a few hundred million dollar Ponzi scheme. Last I heard no one has gone to jail for perpetrating the few hundred billion dollar Fannie Mae Ponzi scheme. And do you expect any government official to go to jail when the multi-trillion dollar Social Security Ponzi scheme unravels?
Willis Eschenbach wrote: “I’m afraid your excuse for Thompson not archiving his data simply won’t wash.”
C’mon, I said not one word about Thompson. This was a posting about the NSF and their policy. Go back and re-read it.
LT;
Musk was at pains to acknowledge the work done by NASA that SpaceX depended on. ON THE OTHER HAND, he was also explicit that the reason SpaceX designed and built every piece of their own hardware was to escape legacy errors and legacy costs. As he said several times, “if you recycle existing hardware, you also recycle existing costs”.
And that’s why the entire budget for his company since Day 1 is 1/10 of the total spent to date on the cancelled and incomplete “Orion” spacecraft: $0.4 bn vs $4 bn.
And already his Dragon 7-passenger capsule has flown and landed, and could make ballistic entry to Mars’ atmosphere, which would leave Orion in charred shards.
“If one rejects laissez faire on account of man’s fallibility and moral weakness, one must for the same reason also reject every kind of government action.” “Manufacturing and commercial monopolies owe their origin not to a tendency imminent in a capitalist economy but to governmental interventionist policy directed against free trade and laissez faire.” Ludwig von Mises – Austrian Economist 1881 – 1973
mod: typo – Austrian Economist
[repaired.. bl57~mod]
P.S. The gubmint COTS bureaucrats assigned to check the “fix” on the flare skirt that showed cracks were agog at how fast and complete the data and action plan given to them were. They looked like they’d seen a few dozen people casually walking on water.
Mike Maxwell says:
December 14, 2010 at 7:34 pm
Sorry for my misunderstanding. You said:
Now, if that is not an excuse for someone (not Thompson, unmentioned, but someone) to not archive their data, then you’ll have to tell me what it is. The freakin’ ice core data repository has been open since 1992, it’s free, and it’s easy. So complaints about how hard it is and how expensive and the lack of facilities are nonsense in the case under discussion … which chances to be Thompson’s. Who you didn’t mention. And who you weren’t talking about.
Eschenbach again. “Who you didn’t mention. And who you weren’t talking about.” How you got “who” from my posting instead of “what”, I’ll never know. What, Willie, what. As in NSF and the its new policy.
Mike Maxwell says:
December 15, 2010 at 5:58 pm
I didn’t get “who” from your posting. As I said, you didn’t mention Thompson, so how could I?
Instead, I got it from what is usually known as the “context”, which in this case is a thread on Thompson, archiving, and the NSF. As in, when you say in that context that the NSF data archiving is “impractical” and needs funding, I am perfect within reason to apply that to Thompson, and to point out that your caveats do not apply to him. The archive for his material is free, and it is easy to use.
With due respect, this is not a relevant statement. You did NOT know those tapes would be unreadable nor that those giant readers would not be available at some time in the future, at the time of you making those backup tapes.
Researchers who believe their data will be usefull at some stage in the future will record those on the available medium of the time, be it papyrus, magnetic tape or DVD.