Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach
Dear Dr. Suresh:
My sincere and heartfelt congratulations on your being appointed Director of the US National Science Foundation (NSF). It is indeed an honor for anyone. In particular it is a great achievement for you, considering the long road you traveled to eventually attain the post.
Photo Source: Science Magazine
With the honor of your new post, of course, comes the responsibility. And according to Science Magazine (paywall) , you are already moving on that:
Even before his Senate confirmation in September to the 6-year post, Suresh began asking colleagues about the myriad issues that he will face at NSF.
I laud this effort. And I hope you will pardon me for using this venue to add another issue to your already-long list. However, it is a very important one.
Here’s the thing. It’s not complex or hard. You guys need to stop funding scofflaw scientists.
What do I mean by “scofflaw scientists”? The NSF has long-standing policies regarding the sharing and archiving of data that is gathered with NSF-distributed taxpayer funds. The earliest policy I know of is the 1989 NSF adoption of the recommendations of the National Science Board Report “Openness of Scientific Communication” (NSB 88-215). It says (emphasis mine):
1. Open Scientific and Engineering Communication
The NSF advocates and encourages open scientific communication. The NSF expects significant findings from research it supports to be submitted promptly for publication, with authorship that reflects accurately the contributions of those involved. It expects investigators to share with other researchers, at no more than incremental cost and within a reasonable time, the primary data, samples, physical collections, and other supporting materials created or gathered in the course of the research. It also encourages awardees to share software and inventions or otherwise act to make such items or products derived from them widely useful and usable.
NSF will implement these policies in ways appropriate to the field of science and circumstances of research through the proposal review process; through award negotiations and conditions; and through appropriate supportand incentives for data cleanup, documentation, dissemination, storage, and the like. Adjustments and, where essential, exceptions may be allowed to accommodate the legitimate interests of investigators and to safeguard the rights of individuals and subjects, the validity of results, and the integrity of collections.
This very straightforward language from NSF has been clarified, and strengthened since then. For example, in 1991, the NSF U.S. Global Change Research Program said:
For those programs in which selected principal investigators have initial periods of exclusive data use, data should be made openly available as soon as they become widely useful. In each case the funding agency should explicitly define the duration of any exclusive use period.
These requirements for archiving and sharing have been repeated in other NSF statements (see here and here for details and discussion of these NSF policies.)
Despite this, NSF continues to fund scientists who openly flout the policy and refuse to archive their data. The poster child for this group could be the glaciologist Dr. Lonnie Thompson. How bad is he? Well, let me say that I wouldn’t be surprised to see photos of his missing data on the sides of milk cartons.
Steve McIntyre’s now seven-year unsuccessful quest for Thompson’s elusive data, such as the widely cited but unarchived Himalayan ice core information for Dasupo, Dunde, and Gulaya, is detailed (inter alia) here, here, here, here, here, here, and here.
Despite Thompson’s years and years of dodging requests for his data, NSF has continued to fund him. Here’s a record of how much of our tax money has gone to Dr. Thompson and his wife (they often apply jointly for grants).
Most of the grants are either solely to Dr. Thompson (pictured), or to him and his wife. Only in a few grants are there other “co-investigators”. Data Source: NSF
Now let me be very clear here. I have no problem with the NSF funding scientists, as long as you keep President Eisenhower’s warning “that public policy could itself become the captive of a scientific-technological elite” firmly in mind.
I’m also not concerned about the amount of the money that has gone to Dr. Thompson. Eleven megabucks is a big pile, it’s true, but a) that’s over 38 years, and b) it’s not cheap to mount an expedition to go to places like the Himalayas (pictured) and drill ice cores. I don’t think he’s getting rich off the NSF, to the contrary I suspect he’s squeezing the bucks to get more ice cores per dollar.
And curiously, I don’t even have much problem with Dr. Thompson being a scofflaw scientist. I don’t like it, but as long as there are rules and money in the same system, we can guarantee that somebody will try to game the system rules to get the money. This time it’s Lonnie’s turn.
But Dr. Suresh, I must tell you frankly, it angrifies my blood mightily when you keep funding scofflaw scientists like Thompson. I wax wroth, and utter venerable Anglo-Saxon imprecations, when the NSF doesn’t follow its own policies. And to my wife’s embarrassment, I confess that at times I find myself audibly urging anatomically inventive but ultimately improbable acts of sexual auto-congress on those government employees who are allowing this to happen.
Unfortunately, the NSF is not alone in this. Science and Nature Magazine, the flagship journals of scientific research, both have execrable records of enforcing their own policies on data archiving. The same is true of PNAS.
This is a part of the reason that the American public is so disenchanted with climate science. Fortunately, you are in a position to completely fix your agency’s part in the problem. The cure is simple:
1. Every time someone applies for a grant, you explain to them that they have to archive their data. If the applicant has had a grant before, ask them where the data sets from each of the previous grants have been archived. If they have unarchived data, no grant until they archive. To save your graphics department some money, here’s your new recruiting poster:
It’s not difficult. It doesn’t require Twelve Steps, it’s a One-Step program. As I said above, you need to stop funding scofflaw scientists.
So that’s my issue, and I trust you will see it right.
Next, my free advice, which is worth at least what you paid for it, perhaps more.
My advice is quite simple. Be public about what you do. If you decide to follow your own policies regarding data archiving and sharing, make an announcement. If a scientists’ funding is being held up until data is archived, make that fact available. This is the age of the internet and the Freedom of Information Act. If you expose all of your actions to the light of day, you don’t have to worry about them being exposed later (as they assuredly will be). Use the blogs such as WUWT to your advantage. Always remember that you are spending our money, so we are owed any and all information on how you are doing so. Answer requests from the public about data and policies promptly and without evasion. In short, make the operation of your agency as transparent as all good science should be.
My best wishes go with you. I do not envy you your new job, but given your track record I suspect you will do it well.
w.
(PS – My thanks also to Steve McIntyre for his untiring efforts in the long quest to get Dr. Thompson to archive his data. It is a travesty that folks like the IPCC continue to rely upon Dr. Thompsons results, when he has consistently and repeatedly refused to show his work. That attitude wouldn’t make it past my high school chemistry teacher, and has no place in modern science.)


Dr. Subra Suresh,
Would you take medication from a drug company whose medication was NOT tested in drug trials? The IPCC, govenments and the public is being asked to take Dr. Thompson’s results (drug) simply on trust. We would not allow any drug company to sell drugs based on trust.
Perhaps the NSF should make it clear in its policies that data gathered using public funds belongs to the public who funded it and base data should be made freely available as soon as a paper is written.
Balazs says:
December 12, 2010 at 8:55 pm
Thanks, Balazs. As I detailed above, there have been protocols and procedures and paperwork and policies in place since 1989 to handle this very problem. Now you tell us of a new NSF protocol and a new piece of paper… sorry, but like the song says, “that don’t impress me much”.
The problem is not lack of NSF paper or protocols or policies. It is lack of NSF enforcement of their own long-standing policies.
I’ll believe NSF is serious when they force Thompson to archive his data, and not a minute before.
Alexander Feht says
————
Large and expensive scientific and technological projects can and should be financed privately. Only then could we hope for truth in science, and for useful, not wasteful results
——————-
Sure Alexander. And where do you think the technology base for SpaceX came from?
Apparently the good old ideology filter has obliterated most of history.
It may be a great open letter, but it’s addressed to a completely closed institution. One can only conclude that the NSF supports and encourages this behaviour to deliver it’s own agenda outcomes.
Nice try anyway !
Don’t you realize that rules are for the little people?
(/sarc)
The normal rules do not apply to these Gods of science.
Earlier this year , in a house of commons inquiry , it was found that Dr. Phil Jones’s actions in not disclosing his base data, despite FOI requests, were ‘in line with common practice in the climate science community’
Wonderful initiative, Willis.
Freedom and its closest associate, democracy, are very tender flowers that require the light of absolute honesty and openness at all times. Anything less kills both incredibly quickly. Scientific modes of thought lifted Man out of the dark ages – to allow the private hoarding of publicly-owned data is an open invitation to the dark forces of the pre-scientific world to regain power again, putting that power back in to the hands of the gatekeepers of unreason and privilege and giving rise to new versions of Lysenkoism. There is too much at stake for the world to progress back to the past.
Jimbo:
Really? We allow to sell drugs based solely on water. And a huge consumer base trust them.
EternalOptimist says:
December 13, 2010 at 12:31 am
‘not disclosing his base data, despite FOI requests, were ‘in line with common practice in the climate science community’’
That’s precisely the point both of this post and of the entire fraudulent agw scam. The climate science ‘community’ you defend is utterly corrupt, unaccountable and, above all else, non-scientific.
LoL… Excellent letter.
It’s kinda sad that they can’t even enforce their own rules and guidelines…. They are utterly useless….. Well better late than never. Maybe the new broom will sweep clean, ‘eh?
Time to do a solar looks like Hathaway is a total loser when it comes to predicting,,,, way off again !
http://www.solarcycle24.com/flux.htm
Hats off to DA again!
One thing puzzles me about Thompsons apologists, they say that we want to discredit him and his work. I work as a computer programmer and when my application is finished, I hand it over to the testers. The better the tester, the happier I am, the more problems they find, the happier I am.
The worst thing that can happen, is for problems to slip by, under the radar. These testers are not discrediting me or my work, they are an absolutely crucial part of my work.
If any scientist thinks he can push stuff out without the testers scrutiny, then he is a fraud.
Ah, yes, “my (Al Gore’s) friend” Lonnie Thompson.
Gore produced the infamous CO2-Ice Hockey Stick which people often forget about – while fully aware of Mann’s infamous Temperature Hockey Stick, thanks to Steve McIntyre and Andrew Montford. The Ice Hockey Stick has not (yet) received similar attention.
When Al Gore was rising to the roof on his little podium, it was the CO2-Ice Hockey Stick he was pointing towards, NOT the temperature Hockey Stick. And if you look closely, not only is there the unholy splice between ice records and Mauna Loa records, there is also an unholy further projection.
I’m sure that this icon is what people are still subconsciously remembering. Of course such a ridiculous recent CO2 rise has to be manmade, it cannot possibly be natural… until you consider that maybe the ice CO2 levels are ALL artificially depressed, owing to CO2 escapes – Jaworowski shows how many ways there are for this to happen.
If this is true, it would be no wonder that Lonnie doesn’t want the cat out of the bag.
Dr T G Watkins cited: ….”to prevent …the transfer of wealth from “the poor of rich countries to the rich of poor countries” Wonderfully put, buyt it runs further.
In this enterprise it doesn’t matter how much wealth you transfer to poor countries they will remain poor, because by design or misadventure they are unable to create wealth. They are poor for a reason. They cannot or will not make or do anything that anyone else wants and who will pay them for it. With no engine of wealth creation, when the transfered wealth is gone, they go back to being poor.
The basic premise of eco-driven global communism is flawed at the outset. They have no data that it works. Its just an idea that makes them feel better about themselves.
Mark said:
“I’d rather the government stop funding all scientists. As long as the government is doing the funding, science will be corrupted by politics. It’s not possible for it to be otherwise.”
I’d rather they not – but rather try hard and separate it from the politics (Don’t ask me how, rethink in progress!)
Because a very real and very worrying alternative is to have science utterly corrupted by corporate interests. If you think politics is ruthless, you ought to see the kind of things shareholders try!
As in all things, balance is a much preferred alternative; and Willis’ letter is a great place to start from.
“I confess that at times I find myself audibly urging anatomically inventive but ultimately improbable acts of sexual auto-congress on those government employees who are allowing this to happen.”
🙂
I’m all for governments funding scientists, as long as they’re held accountable for their funding, and that means archiving data and code, and independent auditing.
If scientists are funded privately, it is up to them as to what agreements they have.
Regardless of where the funding comes from, if it is something they claim will have an affect others, unless the work can be verified skepticism should remain.
Einstein alluded that it takes only one scientist to prove a million others wrong, and I should add: regardless of what expertise they have, or how well renowned they are. Thompson has been hiding data, so the odds are stacked against him even more.
Temps in Cancun just hit a new december low with 10 °C/50 °F.
Just 3 degrees C above the all-time-low at 7 °C.
EternalOptimist says:
December 13, 2010 at 2:02 am
Me to. Total agreement!
^^ “to” = “too” (I hate that)
Watt is the use of archiving data if it won’t hold water anyway?
http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/no_abuse_hides_the_fact_the_warmist_models_cannot_even_predict_our_past/
LazyTeenager says:
December 12, 2010 at 11:26 pm
Sure Alexander. And where do you think the technology base for SpaceX came from?
Apparently the good old ideology filter has obliterated most of history.
___________________
Sure, Teenager. All of the technology base ultimately came from individual scientists working without any involvement of the government, starting with the Renaissance, and ending with the beginning of the 20th century.
Apparently the good old ideology filter has obliterated most of history, indeed.
Jimbo:
I often like to cite cold fusion and Pons and Fleischmann as a fairly good example of when science goes wrong and then corrects itself. The failure of Dr. Lonnie Thompson to archive much of his ice core data and make it available to others to try to replicate his results means to me he has something to hide.
Thompson’s real glory is that collecting ice cores is so expensive that there aren’t going to be multiple people double-checking his work. They have to accept his say-so. Even if someone decided to double check, then it’d just be a he-said-she-said issue.
This is as opposed to “cold fusion”, where any lab with a coffee cup and some measuring equipment could try to replicate it and do it quickly. You had a few inconclusives and a load of negatives.
A parallel aproach would be to ask the incoming Congress to defund the NSF until NSF accepted Willis’ openness policy. So maybe sending a copy or as Mr. Mosher advacated your own letter to all in Congress.
I support the request for raw data (not anomaly, not homogenized, etc., etc., etc.)
Naive demands for software, although genuine, are unacceptably misguided. All we need is raw data. Choosing battles wisely (differentiating between wants & needs) is the sensible option.