Breakthrough at Scientific American

Vincent Gray advises me via email:

Click for this issue
Click for this issue

Dear Folks

I have been a subscriber to the “Scientific American” for as long as I can remember. I have been bitterly disappointed at there persistent embrace of the climate change fraud and the publicity they have given to its promoters.

I have still kept subscribing for the occasional genuine scientific articles.

I just received the issue for November 2010 and I almost fell off my chair at two of their articles. They now admit for the first time the sceptics might be right and they invite discussion on their website.

The first article, page 8 entitled “Fudge Factor” tells of a scientist who always found the results which fitted theory when they did not, how this sort of thing happens all too frequently and includes a sentence questioning whether proxy temperatures measured from tree rings are not an example..

The second article, page 58 has a full page photograph of Judith Curry, Climate Heretic who has been consorting with the likes of Chris Landsea, Roger Pielke Sr, Steven McIntyre and Pat Michaels, who has doubts about the entire IPCC process. I had noticed her intelligent letters on the various blogs.

There is a diagram showing how ridiculous the Hockey Stick becomes when you put in the uncertainties.

I have only just finished reading this so I have not so far commented, but I thought you should know that when a magazine like the “Scientific American” permits free discussion on climate change it must mean the beginning of the end.

Cheers

Vincent Gray

==========================

Direct link to Judith Curry’s article:

http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=climate-heretic&page=1

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Roger Knights
October 24, 2010 7:24 am

pyromancer76 says:
October 23, 2010 at 4:04 pm
I can almost guarantee that the tiny change noted above is because its CIRCULATION IS DECREASING.
ctober 23, 2010 at 4:29 pm
The only thing I see going on here is lip service in preparation for possible future damage control/back-peddling just in case the AGW prosthelytizing worshippers are found out to actually be wrong…

The warm is turning.

DonS
October 24, 2010 7:42 am

To paraphrase the inimitable Fritz Hollings, with regard to rushing back to the SA fold as many posters here seem to contemplate, “Dere’s too much consumin’ goin’ on out dere”. Or, as a former chief of the Fed said (crudely paraphrased) ” there’s an irrational exuberance in the market”. Shortly before the dot com bust.
Many here, having only recently or reluctantly taken up arms against the monster that is “climate science” are too willing to see the slightest change in the impenetrable wall of media devotion to the religion of AGW as a starting point for negotiation and reconciliation.
Forget aboudit. Judith Curry has conceded nothing to the skeptics. She only says that the non skeptical should allow the skeptical to have a say in discredited media such as SA. If the reactions here are indicative of the larger skeptic world, SA should reap a nice little profit.
Google gullible, people.

Roger Knights
October 24, 2010 7:53 am

Mike Haseler says:
October 24, 2010 at 2:03 am
The big question this begs is: “if the ‘elite’ of science can be so easily misled about something as simple as bogus climate models and data being tailored to fit theory”
… how much of the rest of ‘established’ science is bollocks?

Yeah.
Advocates of consensus-based scientific groupthink can expect (and deserve) to have “Fool me once …” thrown in their faces for the next century.
They were wise in their generation; now they’ll learn that popularity wasn’t the best policy,

Roger Knights
October 24, 2010 7:54 am

Oops — I got the blockquotes reversed in the post above.

Roger Knights
October 24, 2010 7:55 am

Here’s how it should have been:

Mike Haseler says:
October 24, 2010 at 2:03 am
The big question this begs is: “if the ‘elite’ of science can be so easily misled about something as simple as bogus climate models and data being tailored to fit theory”
… how much of the rest of ‘established’ science is bollocks?

Yeah.
Advocates of consensus-based scientific groupthink can expect (and deserve) to have “Fool me once …” thrown in their faces for the next century.
They were wise in their generation; now they’ll learn that popularity wasn’t the best policy,

Roger Knights
October 24, 2010 8:02 am

Larry says:
October 24, 2010 at 6:44 am
If they are prepared to misrepresent this, what else are they prepared to misrepresent?

Yeah (again).

October 24, 2010 8:23 am

Don’t get too excited, this article is heavily biased in favour of catastrophic AGW and has obviously been written to undermine Judith Curry’s open, outreach approach to the discussion of climate change. The article is too scared even to mention the most successful science blog in the world – What’s Up With That?

Tad
October 24, 2010 8:56 am

I also was considering canceling my subscription because of their dogmatic stance – now I will give SciAm another chance. Reluctantly given their smarmy arrogance and closed-mindedness.

Darkinbad the Brightdayler
October 24, 2010 9:22 am

They may not be all that bright but they know how to jump bandwagons when the time comes

October 24, 2010 9:28 am

I quit reading Scientific American years ago. I recall that my epiphany came when they carried an article on the horrors of assault weapons (???). As I recall, the article came out while the so-called “Assault Weapon Ban” was under discussion. Anyway, they said something like assault weapons were responsible for the deaths of more innocent people than anything else. As though the dreaded Assault Weapons were capable of independent thought and action. As if the people carrying those weapons weren’t organized and directed by someone or some entity.
The article never mentioned starvation engineered by socialist governments. Some three or four million (Walter Duranty’s estimate at the time was 10 million) were murdered in the Ukraine by Stalin and the method was starvation. It’s cheaper than bullets. Some 39 million were murdered in Communist China just during the Great Leader Mao’s “Great Leap Forward”.
Most of the famines during the 20th Century were caused either by the deliberate action of socialist governments or by the total incompetence of said governments. (I would appreciate any examples that happened in democratic countries.)
I would invite attention to:
The Black Book of Communism
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Black_Book_of_Communism
The Black Book chronicles the systematic murder of about 100 million people by Communists, Add to that some 25 million murdered by National Socialists and you get a total of about 120 million. However, I would suspect that since the editors and authors of the Black Book were leftists of one sort of another, their estimates were probably “conservative” i.e. low. I have seen other estimates on the order of 170 million.
The SA would have been more correct in presenting COMMUNISM as the number one killer of innocent people.
This was one topic that I knew something about. The Scientific American had published an article that was little more than leftist political propaganda. Furthermore, I realized that I could not trust them on subjects that I knew nothing about-like climate science.
The editors had chosen to make their publication worthless to me.
I would consider reading the Scientific American again. When the entire Editorial Staff apologies to me for betraying the trust I had placed in them when I purchased their publication.. It would be the honorable thing to do.
I am not holding my breath, although (in the context of WUWT) hell might very well be freezing over.
Regards,
Steamboat Jack (Jon Jewett’s evil twin)

James Evans
October 24, 2010 10:17 am

OK. Re the above piece by Steamboat Jack. This for me goes WAY too far over into insane right wing politics. Apparently assault weapons are good, and socialist governments are bad. I realise that many people feel that way, but what has that got to do with climate change? If this place becomes a revolting NeoCon hangout then I’m out of here.

Paul Deacon, Christchurch, New Zealand
October 24, 2010 10:27 am

Steamboat Jack – I believe there was a serious famine in Bengal (India) late in WW2, caused largely by incompetent government. Although not a democratic country at the time, India was then part of the British Empire.
All the best.

October 24, 2010 11:01 am

Anyone with a smattering of education that hasnt perscieved SA for what they are isnt really smart enough to carry on a conversation with. I dont see where the present article is any different in that it is still an AGW promotion. Lies , Damn lies , and damn liers.

Jurgen Bogerd
October 24, 2010 12:08 pm

Though having scientific education I always felt common sense is more important. If only because of the many misunderstandings of what science is with the general public. This makes a lot of scientist fall prey to a corruption of their creed, yes they are human first and scientist second. Kuhn’s Structure of Scientific Revolutions shows how the social dynamics may work here. So for many it’s not they are bad, they are “just human”… Part of the problem is, science in itself is overrated. That is, for the general public, in politics, among scientists themselves. There’s a reverence for the word “science” it maybe doesn’t deserve. Yes, there have been many changes because of science, but there is no scientific argument to claim science is good, or bad, for that matter. So to adhere to science itself in the end… is a creed. You cannot substantiate your adherence to this creed with scientific fact. But you don’t have to. You’re entitled to your creed! I am!
Having given up on mainstream publications like NG and SA a long time ago (“clearly going too commercial”), I love reading WUWT. Yes, there will always be people parading with “science”, but also always people trying as good as they can applying the scientific method. Maybe not use this words “science” or “scientific” as some magic wand you just have to wave to impress others. Just stick to the proven method patiently. The facts will always win in the end.

John F. Hultquist
October 24, 2010 12:13 pm

Oops! I wrote at 1:16 that I’d have to say something nice about SA – based on the posting. Sorry, I take that back. The magazine arrived and the article (re: Judith Curry, plus) is interesting for the comments on folks throwing spit balls at each other. The level of understanding of atmospheric science doesn’t rise above the level of barnyard slop. Warning: Rollup your pants or put on high boots before reading.
One statement I found unsupported by personal observation is this:
The public at large wants to know whether or not climate is warming, by how much and when, and they want to know how bad the effects are going to be. (p.81)
I’m not sure who constitutes “the public at large” but my neighbors, friends, casual meetings, and letters to the local newspaper never mention wanting to know about global warming, climate change, and are not even aware of the term “climate disruption.”

melinspain
October 24, 2010 12:25 pm

SA must be desperate (or not) they are even sending free issues to old subscribers.
But to resubscribe two requests:
1- Editorial apology for insulting our inteligence at least on 20 issues.
2- 5 year free subscription for everybody.

October 24, 2010 1:32 pm

Sounds like SciAm wants to become relevant again.

Brian H
October 24, 2010 1:40 pm

Money vs. science:
http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2010/11/lies-damned-lies-and-medical-science/8269/1/

Medical research is not especially plagued with wrongness. Other meta-research experts have confirmed that similar issues distort research in all fields of science, from physics to economics (where the highly regarded economists J. Bradford DeLong and Kevin Lang once showed how a remarkably consistent paucity of strong evidence in published economics studies made it unlikely that any of them were right). And needless to say, things only get worse when it comes to the pop expertise that endlessly spews at us from diet, relationship, investment, and parenting gurus and pundits. But we expect more of scientists, and especially of medical scientists, given that we believe we are staking our lives on their results. The public hardly recognizes how bad a bet this is. The medical community itself might still be largely oblivious to the scope of the problem, if Ioannidis hadn’t forced a confrontation when he published his studies in 2005.

Brian H
October 24, 2010 1:46 pm

James Evans says:
October 24, 2010 at 10:17 am
Apparently assault weapons are good, and socialist governments are bad.

It’s all relative. By the numbers, socialist governments are several orders of magnitude worse than assault weapons in civilian hands. And remember, Pol Pot’s fundamental philosophy and rationalization was anti-urban environmentalism. Environmentalist governments are potentially even more murderous than socialist ones.

R. Craigen
October 24, 2010 1:47 pm

Climate Glasnost! Gotta love it. Let the wall come down!

October 24, 2010 1:51 pm

Espen says:
October 23, 2010 at 3:02 pm
Last time I visited SciAm (about a week ago), I was presented with this. Quite annoying.

The real $10M question is: Why are so many big enterprises lining up behind the pro-AGW side? What’s the payoff?

October 24, 2010 2:05 pm

DitelHead says:
October 23, 2010 at 3:37 pm
Guys; before everybody breaks out the champagne please remember:
If the previous thousand year North Atlantic cycle just repeats itself, with no help from people, then we’re in for another 150 years of global warming! They can continue to tell people who don’t know any better that this warming trend is “unprecedented”. Just try posting a skeptical argument on digg or reddit and see what happens. I very much appreciate the difficult and often tedious work that many of you all have done. I hope you guys are ready for a long battle.
These people have hijacked the legitimate environmental movement. They have hijacked science and many academics are afraid to speak out. They hijacked wikipedia. I think WUWT just had an article about that. There is more going on here than a few scientists trying to get their names in scientific journals. These AGW people are not going to give up without a fight.

Oops, looks like they brought a hockeystick to a gunfight.

October 24, 2010 2:51 pm

My own letter to SciAm of a few months ago has been kindly 😎 linked by WordPress as a “possibly related post” to this one…
I for myself won’t rush re-subscribing to the magazine as yet. Chances are, the Curry article was for purely entertainment purposes (see how much the author is at pains to explain that the “science” hasn’t been undermined in whatsoever any way by a string of scandals). You know, SciAm belongs to Nature, and Nature is no friend to a proper scientific debate.
ps why don’t we have the option to subscribe to receive e-mails when a new blog appears on this site, as it happens on WordPress.com?

October 24, 2010 4:28 pm

Paul Deacon, Christchurch, New Zealand 10/24 10:27 ,
Thank you for the information on the famine in Bengal, 1943. According to
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bengal_famine_of_1943
the cause seems to be a combination of bad weather, incompetence, focus on the war (the Japanese were right next door and coming fast), and the increasing price of rice which led to hoarding as investment. While Wikipedia certainly isn’t definitive, it seems that it was finally the importation of rice which caused the price to drop and the hoarded rice to come onto the market.
“ Quite simply, although Bengal had enough rice and other grains to feed itself, millions of people were suddenly too poor to buy it.”
James Evans, 10/24 10:17
My wife says I can be obtuse and people don’t get what I am saying. So, I will give it another try.
The thesis under consideration is that many publications from the New York Times to Scientific American have been publishing pro-AGW stories. These stories rely on shoddy pseudo-science at best and everything from ad hominem attacks to total fabrications at worst. This particular post advances the possibility that even the Scientific American may be changing for the better.
My contribution was to show the leftist partisan nature of the editorial staff. I believe that they have a leftest agenda as evidenced by the articles they publish. In the article I refered to, they chose to publish one that was both childish and wrong.
We adults know that inanimate object are neither “good” nor “bad”. Hence, characterizing so called assault weapons as the number one cause of death implies that they are capable of independent action. That, of course, is childish. And to say that they are the number one cause of deaths is incorrct.
As far as the varius “isms” go, that issue is no longer in debate. When the Soviet Empire fell, the Hoover Institution of War, Revolution, and Peace accquired copies of millions of files from the former Soviet government. (I believe that Harvard later got another copy) The scope of the files has been described as “everything except the President’s files and the KGB files”. They include the payroll data from the Gulags. They even have a copy of the document that Stalin signed to authorize the slaughter of the Polish POWs, commonly refered to as the Katyn Forest incident.
Anyway, the totals that I described in my original post have been derived from Communist files that are now open to researchers. Those totals are from Communist records. And the number one weapon that they used was not “assault weapons” but starvation. However, I believe that a more accurate statement of the number one cause of deaths of innocent people is Communism.
http://www.hoover.org/
I expect that liberals would never say that all of those deaths were either “good or “bad”. After all, that would be judgemental. In deed, the New York Times likened the systematic murder of millions of people in the Ukrane to the making of an omelet. Me, on the other hand, I find mass murder abhorrent. But that’s just me and my value judgement. You me feel different.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2003/may/04/russia.usa
http://www.conservapedia.com/Walter_Duranty
Regards,
Steamboat Jack (Jon Jewett’s evil twin)

Malcolm Miller
October 24, 2010 5:26 pm

I cancelled my subscriptions to both these ‘science fiction’ magazines Scientific American and New Scientist, long ago. I used to read Nature and Science as well, but I don’t trust them any more.