Google trends on "climategate" show public interest increasing – but troubling questions loom

Yet, news stories covering it are dropping at the same time.

I got an email from Ahrvid Engholm, an IT journalist in Stockholm, Sweden who was concerned about the “autosuggest” for the word “climategate” in Google disappearing. He was concerned about the post November 25th trend and invited me to take a look at a tool I was unfamiliar with called “Google Trends”.  He writes:

Go to Google Trends – www.google.com/trends – write “climategate” and something very interesting will appear in front of your eyes. Select “The last 30 days” to the right.

I did just that, and here is the resulting graph, edited a bit to fit in the WUWT blog space, but you can see for yourself at the link provided.

click image to see the Google Trends plot at Google

Link: http://trends.google.com/trends?q=climategate&date=mtd&geo=all&ctab=0&sort=0&sa=N

Note that the trend graph is 4 days behind in data, which is apparently normal. But, there’s some interesting things happening.

Many people outside of the USA may not be aware of why there was a drop around November 25th in the Search Volume Index.

It is likely caused  by the second largest US American Holiday called “Thanksgiving” which was on Thursday, November 26th. The drop starts on Nov 25th as people start their travel  plans and leave the office and schools early.

Then the upwards trend resumes on November 28th when people in the USA  return from that holiday.

No nefarious Google motives here. But with the rising search popularity, it does make a fly in the ointment for why Google’s “autosuggest” function in the search box is no longer suggesting “climategate” as it once was..

Does Al Gore’s position on Google’s senior advisory board have any bearing? In Al’s bio at http://www.algore.com/about.html he says:

“A member of the Board of Directors of Apple Computer, Inc. and a Senior Advisor to Google, Inc. Gore is also Visiting Professor at Middle Tennessee State University in Murfreesboro, Tennessee.”

It seems he has done some “advising” of Google’s search quality in the past. Here’s a story from the New Yorker via Newsbusters about that very subject. There is some history there that has some bearing on the current situation.

In the case of “Climategate”, Mr. Gore’s ability to continue his current speaking engagements might be hampered. Thus, there could well be a motive for him doing some “advising” in this case. A phone call might be all it took.

Word from some others doing investigations say Google senior staff has told them the removal of “Climategate” from the autosuggest in web searches is algorithm based.

But the Google trends data suggest otherwise, particularly since it was restored and operating in Googles autosuggest feature back on November 28th, as documented here on WUWT.

Now it is gone again. Did the removal of “climategate” from the autosuggest feature make recent Google Trends data lower that the peak on November 29th? Only time will tell us.

In the meantime, I’m switching my default search engine to Bing, which doesn’t have such problems and doesn’t have Al Gore as an “advisor”.

Bing on November 28th:

click for larger image

UPDATE: 10 minutes later…

As pointed out by commenters, Bing has now stopped using autosuggest for climategate where it was doing so before. See my screencap below.
Bing on December 2nd:
Odd, very odd.
Does anyone know of an independent search engine phrase logger outside of Google?
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JohnH
December 2, 2009 12:55 pm

I don’t search for terms like “climategate”; rather, I go to favorite websites like this one. When I type “cli” into Google, Yahoo or Bing, I do not get any prompts at all for Climategate. So I think the algorithm remembers the searches you have done in the past.

Sylia
December 2, 2009 12:57 pm

Try Altavista…yes they are still around
http://www.altavista.com/web/results?q=Climate+gate&stq=40
AltaVista found 41,600,000 results

Bob
December 2, 2009 12:59 pm

On Google
climate gate scandal
climate-gate
are still autosuggestions

Kelly
December 2, 2009 12:59 pm

looks like I was wrong – if you clear your ‘history’, and google climategate, it is a no-show.

PaulH
December 2, 2009 1:00 pm

I’ve been using the Clusty search engine for a couple of years now:
http://www.clusty.com
It doesn’t seem to have an auto-suggest feature. (Well, it might but if it does I haven’t enabled that option.)
As of this moment, Clusty gives “at least 78,800” hits for climategate.
Paul

Truth
December 2, 2009 1:00 pm

Google was auto suggesting Climategate when you just typed ‘Clim’ for several days. The top suggestion.
Then it disappeared completely.
There is absolutely no way it’s disappearance is algorithm based.
Search Twitter for ‘climategate’ (you need an account). Everyone is all over this.
Really, Google, less people are searching for Climategate than Climate Guatemala?
I think not.

Kman
December 2, 2009 1:01 pm

As a comparison, you can put terms together separated by commas… as an example I did climategate and climate change… interesting results
http://www.google.com/trends?q=climategate%2C+climate+change&ctab=0&geo=all&date=mtd&sort=1

Seth
December 2, 2009 1:01 pm

I also started using Bing to protest Googles missing auto suggestion on the 28th. Bing popped up with “climategate” after typing “cli”, now (12/02) nothing! Wow, has anybody heard of a response on this from Microsoft or Google yet?

December 2, 2009 1:02 pm

Re: Robinson (12:27:12) :
In other news, apparently Phil Jones has been interviewed by the Police.
which reminds me of a classic UK cartoon of a man in a prison cell saying to his cellmate:
“That’s the last time I help police with their enquiries”

Keith Minto
December 2, 2009 1:03 pm

Perhaps Climate-gate is more correct grammatically and the algorithms will choose the correct grammatical form over the ‘new’ word Climategate. I know that my Firefox spelling corrector does exactly that. In fact the second spelling is being red-underlined right now whereas the first is OK.

EMEB
December 2, 2009 1:03 pm

I’m using a search engine at http://www.givemebackmygoogle.com and got 191 million hits on “climategate” this evening, no auto suggestion facility. 12 Hours ago this morning the number of hits was 101 million. Seems like some of the other search engines are corrupting the search. I’m searching from Europe.

December 2, 2009 1:04 pm

I would switch from google, but the other engins give me ….well….crap! google-gate or whatever, google give the best results, so I don’t plan on switching any time soon.
Alta-who? Oh ya, I used to use them before google arived.

RoyJ
December 2, 2009 1:04 pm

I don’t know whether Google’s autosuggest is country specific (I am in the UK), but it gives me climategate as soon as I type in c.

Jimbo
December 2, 2009 1:05 pm

Just typed in “climateg” and got about 10 suggestion but NONE for Climategate – time 9pm GMT.

Arthur DEnt
December 2, 2009 1:05 pm

Note if you have typed in the complete word climategate then sunsequent searches will return that word after a couple of letters because it is held in the browser memory

NickB.
December 2, 2009 1:06 pm

Wouldn’t be the first time Google, or more generally a technology company from California, tinkered with their products…
http://technology.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/tech_and_web/article6920000.ece

Bob H.
December 2, 2009 1:06 pm

AltaVista gives about 20,300,000 hits when entered. ClimateGate came up after entering “cl”. Not sure though whether this was from the cache or autosuggest.

Mike T
December 2, 2009 1:07 pm

Well, I managed to get a Climategate connected article published at Daily Mail On Line. Gives Mr McIntyre a bit of a mention. See here:
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-1232662/Dont-hold-breath-expecting-climate-change-data-revealed.html

Mapou
December 2, 2009 1:07 pm

Google has been part of the scam from the beginning. How can they not be since Al Gore is one of their advisors? I don’t understand Bing, though. Time to switch to Yahoo Search.

Gumby
December 2, 2009 1:08 pm

I’ve always been able to get climategate only typing in “cl” or “cli”. I think the mixed results are due to browsers/OS/etc…

chainpin
December 2, 2009 1:09 pm

Team Obama trying to keep the facade in place:
http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D9CBCN6G0&show_article=1

Bulldust
December 2, 2009 1:11 pm

Don’t worry folks, we can spin this as a temporary slowing of the increasing trend in climategate searches…
Remember to hide the decline… and delete these bytes after reading!

carilou
December 2, 2009 1:13 pm

startpage.com provides anonymous searches and will soon have a proxy server for completely private web browsing!

Kelvin Kubala
December 2, 2009 1:15 pm

Maybe google was telling you the truth.
Its just that you mis-interpreted them..
“the removal of “Climategate” from the autosuggest in web searches is ALGOREthm based”

Daniel Ferry
December 2, 2009 1:16 pm

It is interesting where peoples mind’s are at.
“Climategate” just hit a Search Volume Index of 6.00 and it took10 days to do so according to GoogleTrends.
“Tiger Woods” hit a Search Volume Index of 7.50 in just 2 days after his (hmm, hmm) crash.
For reference ACORN peaked at 6.00 for just one day in September.

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