NOAA: Summer Temperature Below Average for U.S.

NOAA: Summer Temperature Below Average for U.S.

Source here

September 10, 2009

The average June-August 2009 summer temperature for the contiguous United States was below average – the 34th coolest on record, according to a preliminary analysis by NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, N.C. August was also below the long-term average. The analysis is based on records dating back to 1895.

U.S. Temperature Highlights – Summer

June-August 2009 statewide temperature ranks.

High resolution (Credit: NOAA)

  • For the 2009 summer, the average temperature of 71.7 degrees F was 0.4 degree F below the 20th Century average. The 2008 average summer temperature was 72.7 degrees F.
  • A recurring upper level trough held the June-August temperatures down in the central states, where Michigan experienced its fifth, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and South Dakota their seventh, Nebraska its eighth, and Iowa its ninth coolest summer. By contrast, Florida had its fourth warmest summer, while Washington and Texas experienced their eighth and ninth warmest, respectively.
  • The Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa and Minnesota region experienced its sixth coolest summer on record. Only the Northwest averaged above normal temperatures.

U.S. Temperature Highlights – August

August 2009 statewide temperature ranks.

High resolution (Credit: NOAA)

  • The average 2009 August temperature of 72.2 degrees F was 0.6 degree F below the 20th Century average. Last year’s August temperature was 73.2 degrees F.
  • Temperatures were below normal in the Midwest, Plains, and parts of the south. Above-normal temperatures dominated the eastern seaboard, areas in the southwest, and in the extreme northwest.
  • Several northeastern states were much above normal for August, including Delaware and New Jersey (eighth warmest), Maine (ninth), and Rhode Island and Connecticut (10th). In contrast, below-normal temperatures were recorded for Missouri and Kansas.

U.S. Precipitation Highlights – Summer

June-August 2009 statewide Precipitation ranks.

High resolution (Credit: NOAA)

  • The Northeast region had its eighth wettest June-August summer on record. By contrast, the South, Southeast and Southwest regions, were drier than average. Arizona had its third driest summer, while both South Carolina and Georgia had their sixth driest.

U.S. Precipitation Highlights – August

  • In August, precipitation across the contiguous United States averaged 2.34 inches, which is 0.26 inch below the 1901-2000 average.
  • Above-normal averages were generally recorded across the northern U.S., west of the Great Lakes. The South and Southeast regions experienced below-normal precipitation.
  • Precipitation across the Southwest region averaged 0.85 inches, which is 1.10 inches below normal and ranks as the 4th driest August on record. Arizona had its fourth driest, New Mexico its fifth, and it was the eighth driest August on record for Colorado, Utah and Texas.

    August 2009 statewide precipitation ranks.

    High resolution (Credit: NOAA)

  • By the end of August, moderate-to-exceptional drought covered 14 percent of the contiguous United States, based on the U.S. Drought Monitor. Drought intensified in parts of the Pacific Northwest and new drought areas emerged in Arizona and the Carolinas. Montana, Wisconsin and Oklahoma saw minor improvements in their drought conditions.
  • About 27 percent of the contiguous United States had moderately-to-extremely wet conditions at the end of August, according to the Palmer Index (a well-known index that measures both drought intensity and wet spell intensity).

Other Highlights

  • There were more than 300 low temperature records (counting daily highs and lows) set across states in the Midwest during the last two days of August.
  • A total of 7,975 fires burned 1,646,363 acres in August, according to the National Interagency Coordination Center. August 2009 ranked fifth for the number of fires and sixth for acres burned in August this decade. From January through August, 64,682 fires have burned 5.2 million acres across the nation.

NCDC’s preliminary reports, which assess the current state of the climate, are released soon after the end of each month. These analyses are based on preliminary data, which are subject to revision. Additional quality control is applied to the data when late reports are received several weeks after the end of the month and as increased scientific methods improve NCDC’s processing algorithms.

NOAA understands and predicts changes in the Earth’s environment, from the depths of the ocean to the surface of the sun, and conserves and manages our coastal and marine resources.

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paulID
September 11, 2009 9:46 am

Well so much for record setting heat that some people were crowing about.

MattN
September 11, 2009 9:52 am

Most pleasant summer here in NC in at least a decade. No sustained “major” heat (95F+ day after day). My yard agrees. This is the best it’s looked this late in the season….ever.

Rick, michigan
September 11, 2009 9:58 am

Record cool? Yeah, thanks NOAA for letting me know…I don’t think I’d have noticed otherwise :,(.

DERise
September 11, 2009 10:11 am

The Midwest got a BBQ summer, UK Met style. But it’s only weather. Call me when it’s hot THEN we can talk about climate.

gt
September 11, 2009 10:13 am

I hope there is a study linking global temperature and agricultural productivity which will tell everyone that global warming is to be celebrated, not feared.

September 11, 2009 10:19 am

Florida, as can be seen from the map, had a hot summer. Bad luck for us. And I do mean luck because these things are unpredictable, random things.
I’m to young to remember the earlier, hotter summers though.

September 11, 2009 10:24 am

GISS is out with August: +0.51°C
In case there’s anyone who still cares.

Nogw
September 11, 2009 10:31 am

Fire those people inmediately, i don’t wanna them to be one more second here!

Greg S
September 11, 2009 10:35 am

I spoke to a seed salesman over coffee in my small town’s cafe. He complained about the lack of heat to mature the corn. He also complained about farmers who bought into the “climate change myth” in a big way. These people anticipated being able to grow 110, 105 and 100 day corn in Southern Minnesota.
Now they are sore at the seed companies who trumpeted “the new climate”.
This year these farmers get burned by ‘global warming’, which is nuts because they did last year too. They should have learned their lesson.
Trying to artificially extending the growing season results in additional costs to dry the corn for sale and storage.

M White
September 11, 2009 10:46 am

From the British MetOffice
Summer forecast 2009
Tue 31 Mar 2009
Temperature
For the UK and much of Western Europe temperatures are likely to be near average
Rainfall
At this stage forecast signals are too weak to provide an outlook for summer rainfall.
Thursday 30 Mar 2009
Temperature
For the UK and much of Europe temperatures are likely to be above average.
Rainfall
For the UK and much of northern Europe rainfall is likely to be near or below average. A repeat of the wet summers of 2007 and 2008 is unlikely.
Average or below-average rainfall is also likely over Eastern Europe
Thursday 30 May 2009
Temperature
For the UK and much of Europe temperatures are likely to be above average
Rainfall
For the UK and much of western Europe rainfall is likely to be near or below average. A repeat of the very wet summers of 2007 and 2008 is unlikely.
Below-average rainfall is likely over eastern Europe.
Thursday 30 June 2009
Temperature
For the UK and much of Europe temperatures for the rest of the summer are likely to be above average
Rainfall
For the rest of summer, rainfall is likely to be near average over the UK. A repeat of the very wet summers of 2007 and 2008 remains unlikely.
Over other parts of western Europe rainfall is likely to be near average or above average, while below-average rainfall is favoured over much of eastern Europe.
Wednesday 29 July 2009
Temperature
For the UK and much of northern Europe temperatures for the rest of the summer are likely to be near or above average.
Rainfall
For the rest of summer, rainfall is likely to be near or above average over the UK and much of northern Europe.

geo
September 11, 2009 10:48 am

This is not news in Minnesota. . .the acorns started hitting the ground in huge numbers in early August. The Nordic heritage types around here are going around mutting “fimbul winter coming”.

M White
September 11, 2009 10:54 am

Try again
Summer forecast 2009
Tue 31 Mar 2009
Temperature
For the UK and much of Western Europe temperatures are likely to be near average
Rainfall
At this stage forecast signals are too weak to provide an outlook for summer rainfall.
Thursday 30 May 2009
Temperature
For the UK and much of Europe temperatures are likely to be above average
Rainfall
For the UK and much of western Europe rainfall is likely to be near or below average. A repeat of the very wet summers of 2007 and 2008 is unlikely.
Below-average rainfall is likely over eastern Europe.
Thursday 30 June 2009
Temperature
For the UK and much of Europe temperatures for the rest of the summer are likely to be above average
Rainfall
For the rest of summer, rainfall is likely to be near average over the UK. A repeat of the very wet summers of 2007 and 2008 remains unlikely.
Over other parts of western Europe rainfall is likely to be near average or above average, while below-average rainfall is favoured over much of eastern Europe.
Wednesday 29 July 2009
Temperature
For the UK and much of northern Europe temperatures for the rest of the summer are likely to be near or above average.
Rainfall
For the rest of summer, rainfall is likely to be near or above average over the UK and much of northern Europe.

geo
September 11, 2009 10:54 am

Boy, that map would be a lot more useful if it was at the county level. Look at Oklahoma and Texas, for instance. 53 vs 107? That just doesn’t parse unless the Texas heat wave was pretty much along the gulf coast. Which Florida might suggest, but then you look at Mississippi and Alabama. . .

R John
September 11, 2009 11:01 am

Funny, the Chicago Tribune yesterday warned that we will see dire hot spells every year in the future EVEN if we do cap-and-trade…
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/chi-illinois-global-warming-10-sep10,0,4857972.story

Mark
September 11, 2009 11:07 am

In my weather office, we called half-jokeningly called that trof the “Semi-permanment Low Pressure system” located over the Hudson Bay.
It just seemed like it never moved.

David Y
September 11, 2009 11:10 am

Interesting…While this is *strictly* anecdotal, our ‘Above Normal’ summer in Sacramento resulted in ‘below normal’ tomato production (at least for us, our neighbors, and many of the vendors at the local farmers markets)–which is the opposite of what we’d expect.
I’d be willing to bet the strictly rural, well-sited temperature records (outside of UHI and/or other site biases) locally would show below normal. Anthony, is there an easy way to do that analysis?

Ray
September 11, 2009 11:16 am

Sorry to hear that in-land North American people had a bad summer, on the west coast we certainly had one of the best… in that sense we love global cooling on the west coast. And considering the city island effect on the sensors, it must have been even colder that what they report.

Sandy
September 11, 2009 11:31 am

I suspect a survey of Northern Hemisphere home tomato growers would tell us how hot the tomatoes think it’s been.
If GISS says an area had a hot summer but the tomatoes don’t then I’m with the tomatoes.

rbateman
September 11, 2009 11:46 am

Cannot help but notice that in California, even the Pacific Northwest, the hottest summers do not have above average rainfall, as that plows out the dominant High Pressure ridge and keeps out the sun.
Averages fall.
Ergo, the area suffers from lack of resolution as well as poorly located sensors.

OceanTwo
September 11, 2009 11:47 am

One of the arguments I often put forward regarding *why* Americans use so much electricity is to simply show them the local newspapers national temperature topograph (or whatever it’s called). The USA Today one works just as well. 300 million Americans trying to maintain the same temperature that the Europeans most often enjoy naturally.
Unfortunately, this year, it doesn’t have as much impact…a lot of red tends to make people say “Danger, Will Robinson, Danger!”. This year, it’s “what’s your point?” However, electrical consumption *is* down this year by a significant amount. Attributable to what? The economy? Cooler weather? Both?

rbateman
September 11, 2009 11:48 am

Ray (11:16:56) :
It surely was one of the best for a cool summer on and anywhere near the West Coast. The tomatoes agree too.

gary gulrud
September 11, 2009 11:51 am

Central MN had 2 days in 90s, average is 12. My prediction for corn crop seems in trouble; thought it’d be >10% down but should be average barring(Heaven forbid) calamity. 6 plus inches of rain in August(?!!!) saved the crop.
Hear reports from others signs are for cold winter: birds departing early, leaves changing early, etc. Cannot confirm or deny.

noaaprogrammer
September 11, 2009 11:54 am

Washington State started out with a cool spring, but as soon as the summer-long high-pressure ridge parked itself over us, it warmed up. However only the coastal regions reported record highs. Inland temperatures were not exceptionally very high, but inland humidity was higher than normal. Anyway, it was a good summer for tomatoes – several hundred pounds from 20 plants.

Andrew
September 11, 2009 11:54 am

Well, my tomatos here in the Hudson Valley, at least the handful of tomatos that vine ripened, tell me its been a pretty cold summer. My peppers.. well at least my pepper plants… of which most of which have not borne anything, agree. That said, cabbage and lettuce has done splendid all summer! This added to the fact that this was the first summer ever that I did not water my garden at all.. I mean at all, not even once, and to be honest it never even got close to needing it.

September 11, 2009 12:15 pm

Funny enough, California had average temperatures like 1960-1990 and slightly above average rainfall. How can that be, those mega fires caused by AGW?

MJPenny
September 11, 2009 12:25 pm

“NCDC’s preliminary reports, which assess the current state of the climate…”
I thought the climate was a long term average, not three months of weather. It looks to me like the US saw its summer weather fall within the range of the last 117 years. Nothing unusual to report. Move along.

Rhys Jaggar
September 11, 2009 12:38 pm

What this says to me is that, overall, the US is pretty close to average in 2009.
The SW and the Pacific Coast is warmer and drier, the northern Mid West and the NE are colder and wetter.
If you are a climate anorak and you go through the 20th century records at NCDC, you’ll find several patterns for US weather on an annual basis, which usually involve drawing a line through the country somehow, either N-S, NW – SE or NE – SW, on either side of which you get two opposing climatic trends.
There are a few of course in the early 1970s where the whole country was rather colder.
Climate modulates but this set of data says to me: ‘the US situation is entirely normal overall, although individual regions may be getting pretty uptight at the deviation from average they are experiencing right now….’

David Jones
September 11, 2009 1:10 pm

It appears that NOAA did not properly Hansenize their data and that it should be presumed unsafe for the public at large. Poorly prepared data has been shown to lead to bouts of independent, critical thinking and the myriad problems that can cause.

E.M.Smith
Editor
September 11, 2009 1:33 pm

Andrew (11:54:53) : Well, my tomatos here in the Hudson Valley, at least the handful of tomatos that vine ripened, tell me its been a pretty cold summer. My peppers.. well at least my pepper plants… of which most of which have not borne anything, agree.
Here on the Left Coast too. My “cold weather type, produce even when cold” tomatoes made some, but largely sulked until August. About a large soup bowl per week. Just barely enough. (Siberian and 4th of July). The Sweet 100s gave a brief burst in the two hot weeks we had (and I’m still picking some as they ripen) but stopped setting fruit in the last couple of weeks. New green growth, but no fruit set. We’ve had a couple of warm days so I’m hoping for one last flush… nothing yet. Oh, and my one pepper plant is nice and green and has not a single fruit on it despite growing from the first planting at the start of the “summer”.
That said, cabbage and lettuce has done splendid all summer! This added to the fact that this was the first summer ever that I did not water my garden at all.. I mean at all, not even once, and to be honest it never even got close to needing it.
I have 2 cabbages and a couple of kale / collards hybrids (personal project) that are happy as can be. The cabbages are allowed to run to seed (another project) then the bunnies get snacks (yet another project…). By this time of year, they ought to be dead and dry. They have given me 2 (!) flushes of seeds and show no signs of dying. These are “biannual” plants that ought to make seeds in the second year, then die. They seem to have decided that this spring has never ended…
Juraj V. (12:15:39) : Funny enough, California had average temperatures like 1960-1990 and slightly above average rainfall. How can that be, those mega fires caused by AGW?
Well, only “average” if you believe their graph. Frankly, I think they need to make a “de-GISSing” adjustment then they would show California as a bit blow average. (I know it is below both the 30 year and 50 year averages as I’ve lived here that whole time and it is NOT up to prior years. And my tomatoes confirm it!)
Frankly, I’m pondering a new tag line:
“GIStemp, dumber than a tomato!”
Normally, my ‘regular’ tomatoes will set fruit in late June, July, and August. Sometimes early June and September too. They set at night temps over 50F and will not set below that.
The Siberia / Siberian and similar “cold” tomatoes will set fruit into the 40F range and some claim down to 35F. This year the only ‘regular’ tomatoes to regularly set fruit are next to my “Siberian” and I suspect the Siberian pollen is surviving the cool nights to ‘do the deed’. The Sweet 100 is upwind and seems to ‘flush’ in bursts in time-delayed sync with the sporadic couple of warm weeks we’ve gotten each couple of months.
Peppers typically need a little more heat than tomatoes, and I’ve got no peppers to harvest. Finally, my Scarlet Runner Beans are beating my Kentucky Wonders. Normally it’s the other way around, with the runners getting sulky and ‘burned’ at temps over 90F or so. Runners are cool tolerant and widely grown in England for that reason. K.W. are more heat loving – as is Kentucky in general in summer.
Yes, Virginia, your garden is a natural thermometer; and correct selection of plants can give you night time lows, daytime highs, integrated degree days, etc. And Nobody can screw around with it. I trust it far FAR FAR more than I trust GIStemp, and I’ve read the GIStemp code and made it run, ported to Linux.
How about “Use The Tomato, Luke!” 😎
Just toss ’em at …

David S
September 11, 2009 1:54 pm

“The average June-August 2009 summer temperature for the contiguous United States was below average – the 34th coolest on record,”
Well at least they didn’t say it was the 80th warmest on record.

matt v.
September 11, 2009 1:54 pm

Canadian summer temperature report is also out from Enviornment Canada.
The national average temperature for the summer of 2009 was 0.4°C above normal, based on preliminary data, ranking it as the twenty-seventh warmest. The 2008 summer was the 3rd warmest. 1970
Warmer in West coast [3rd warmest] and Arctic Fiords and Mountains [warmest ever, 1.8 C above average ]
Cooler in inland area like St Lawrence and Great Lakes [12 th coldest]
Cold in the Prairies [6th coldest]
Cooler in Northwestern [th coldest and Northeastern forest [20 th coldest
http://www.msc-smc.ec.gc.ca/ccrm/bulletin/national_e.cfm

matt v.
September 11, 2009 2:02 pm

Canadian summer temperature report is also out from Environment Canada.
The national average temperature for the summer of 2009 was 0.4°C above normal, based on preliminary data, ranking it as the twenty-seventh warmest. The 2008 summer was the 3rd warmest. 1970 was the 28 Th warmest so we are going back in summer temperatures to the 1970,s.
Warmer in West coast [3rd warmest] and Arctic Fjords and Mountains [warmest ever, 1.8 C above average ]
Cooler in inland areas like the St Lawrence and Great Lakes [12th coldest]
Cold in the Prairies [6th coldest ,comparable to the 1950’sand 1970’s]
Cooler in Northwestern [th coldest and Northeastern forest [20 th coldest
Summary: warmer in coastal areas and the north due to the warmer ocean SST and colder inland [cooling due to negative NAO]].
http://www.msc-smc.ec.gc.ca/ccrm/bulletin/national_e.cfm

persiflage
September 11, 2009 2:17 pm

Observation in the northeast US (southern NJ): tomatos in my garden ripened, but 10 days later than usual, and suffered much from blossom-end-rot (too much moisture, not enough heat); sweet peppers – almost impossible to get fruit to set – finally developed some, but I fear they will never ripen now. Sweet corn was about a week late in maturing, but is lasting into the end of the growing season in abundance.
I know, it’s purely anecdotal and doesn’t constitute “data”…

Gordon Ford
September 11, 2009 2:23 pm

This is not good for world food supply. Northamerican grain harvests are behind average and some areas (eg Alberta) are expecting only 80% of their normal crop. Can’t be the lack of sun spots could it? Ask your local grain trader.

Editor
September 11, 2009 2:37 pm

Several northeastern states were much above normal for August, including Delaware and New Jersey (eighth warmest), Maine (ninth), and Rhode Island and Connecticut (10th).
I tend to agree with persiflage (14:17:09) : here on the Connecticut Shoreline we had a really nice August, but my sense was that it was cooler than usual. Strictly anecdotal, true, but the notion that it was “much above normal” simply does not ring true.

tom roche
September 11, 2009 3:02 pm

An earlier comment suggested farmers were stung by lack of global warming.
I think you will find the greatest sceptics are farmers, we live with weather constantly and know the extremes of generations past. we have learned from our fathers etc, of these extremes and how they coped with them and survived .
There is a history of weather in the folklore of most countries to balance the histeria of modern tabloid science. Keep up the good work Andrew, in a world whjere cows are villians of global warming, the Salem witch hunt is almost a rational episode in the history of mankind.

September 11, 2009 3:13 pm

Allegedly slightly warmer than average in UK during the summer but some dahlias left by a preious occupier have got to only half the size of last year and are now dying back.
The trouble is that nature is only an indicator of past and present weather. It’s only of predictive vaue if the same patterns continue and often they don’t.
Still, I’ve suggested a colder winter provided the oceans don’t develop a huge El Nino.

P Walker
September 11, 2009 3:17 pm

E . M . Smith (13:36:39) :
“GIStemp , dumber than a tomato !” Please stop insulting tomatoes .

September 11, 2009 3:18 pm

Tomatoes still green here in northern England, and the BBQ summer has given way to a bonfire autumn. Oh well, there’s always next year for the ripe red ones. Chutney again this time.

rbateman
September 11, 2009 3:32 pm

Mark Serreze is at it again:
Ships cross Arctic passage in milestone
Scientists say global warming opens ice-choked passages
“We are seeing an expression of climate change here,” said Mark Serreze, director of the National Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder, Colo. “The Arctic is warming; we’re losing the sea ice cover. The more frequent opening of that Northeast Passage is part of the process we’re seeing.”
“The Arctic is becoming a blue ocean,” Serreze told The Associated Press
Let’s look at Cyroshere Today and check with last year:
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/ARCHIVE/20080911.jpg
Sure enough, that Northeast Passage was open. ok.
Now this year:
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/NEWIMAGES/arctic.seaice.color.000.png
09/10/2009 and it’s open again. Note, however, how much more ice shows in the 2009 image. Sensitivities and instrument changes???
Moving on:
“For the last few years, including this year, navigator Roald Amundsen’s famous Northwest Passage has been navigable.” AND
“This year is shaping up to have the third lowest amount of Arctic sea ice on record, just behind the worst year set in 2007 and in 2008. But just because 2009 is slightly up from the past two years, it is not an upward trend or a recovery, Serreze said. It reflects a change in local weather patterns that occurred in August, he said.”
“It’s certainly part of the overall decline of sea ice that we’ve been seeing,” Serreze said.
—Are you sure about that? The DMI explorer and the AMSRE Sea Ice extent say differently. Who’s right?
AND FINALLY:
“Both German ships, which carried cargo for a power plant project in Surgut, Siberia, were escorted by a pair of Russian icebreakers during portions of their journey.
Russia has long used its northern coast for shipping fuel, supplies and other goods to its remote Arctic settlements, though funding for such shipments dwindled after the Soviet collapse.”
Oh. Escorted. That’s a far cry from the Arctic turning rapidly into a blue ocean.
So is this something the Russians used to do a lot of, but Mr. Serreze is seizing upon as due to Global Warming, or is this a matter of the Russians currently being able to afford the capability?
I sincerely hope, for the sake of relations with our neighbor across the Arctic, that Mr. Serreze cleared this with the Secretary of State and the Russian Ambassador.

novoburgo
September 11, 2009 3:40 pm

Interestingly, the Canadian national records only go back to 1948 and the climate average is for the years 1951-80. The Met web page claims that summer temps have risen 0.9C through the period which looks to be true, however, if they would include the period from 1920-1947 in their stats this might change things around considerably.

matt v.
September 11, 2009 3:57 pm

R.John
http://climvis.ncdc.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/cag3/hr-display3.pl
The summer temperatures in the Chicago area are trending down, not up

rbateman
September 11, 2009 4:01 pm
matt v.
September 11, 2009 4:09 pm

The http://lwf.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/cag3/cag3.html
US CENTRAL TEMPERATURE record archive can be found at the above web address by clicking REGIONAL, then Central and then under PERIOD , click SUMMER

Bruce
September 11, 2009 4:32 pm

Since when is the 39th coldest summer “Near Normal”???
115 years / 7 categories = around 16 years per category.
Shouldn’t Near Normal be from 48 to 65 or so?

matt v.
September 11, 2009 4:53 pm

Stephen Wilde
http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/jhurrell/indices.data.html#naostatmon
http://dataservice.eea.europa.eu/atlas/viewdata/viewpub.asp?id=4119
I agree with you about cooler weather ahead for all of Europe and the UK especially for the winters. The negative AMO and winter negative NAO seemed to have had a significant affect on European winter temperatures in the past especially1950-1970’s and the next climate period seems to be heading that way again.[possibly for several decades?] The above web pages have a record of the past European winter temperature deviations and the negative winter NAO. AMO is currently still positive but it should also go cool or negative in not too distant future. I anticipate a somewhat cooler winter for Europe this winter and certainly by 2010/2011 winter and for several decades thereafter. This is what Mojib Latif of the Leibniz Institute of Marine Science , Germany was perhaps alluding to in his recent statements in Geneva, although he was more vague.

Leon Brozyna
September 11, 2009 5:53 pm

Not quite the year without a summer, but the summer we did get was pretty limp and wet. (NY) Does this portend a winter in which my snow shovel (named Al Gore) will get a real workout? Time will tell.

Douglas DC
September 11, 2009 6:09 pm

rbateman (15:32:19) :
Mark Serreze is at it again:
-Inane bather of Serreze removed.
Yep,pards, I heard the breathless report on ABC news radio.-I said to myslef:”wait a minute the soviets used to do this all the time!-with icebreakers!”
Guess What?Icebreakers….
We are being lied to…

david_a
September 11, 2009 6:16 pm

Average temps for connecticut summer according to NOAA is a crock. I’ve been living in Stamford Ct for 17 summers. I ran the A/C exactly 2 days this summer. Least ever.

Sandy
September 11, 2009 6:31 pm

Let’s play “One Man and his Proxy”
Check the NOAA for your area and let us know whether the tomatoes or the air conditioning bill agree??

E.M.Smith
Editor
September 11, 2009 6:41 pm

tallbloke (15:18:21) : Tomatoes still green here in northern England, and the BBQ summer has given way to a bonfire autumn. Oh well, there’s always next year for the ripe red ones. Chutney again this time.
You ought to try Fried Green Tomatoes. They taste a Lot better than they sound… Slice a green one and fry it with some salt and pepper. Especially good fried in bacon grease with the Spec und Eck (bacon and eggs) in the morning! Fried green are actually better than fried red ones…

E.M.Smith
Editor
September 11, 2009 6:48 pm

Sandy (18:31:28) :
Let’s play “One Man and his Proxy”
Check the NOAA for your area and let us know whether the tomatoes or the air conditioning bill agree??

OK. We have Calif. listed as a bit above average. I’ve done zero A/C (though there were about 4 days when I could have) and my tomatoes say below average by about 5 degrees (and below peak by about 9-10 F. Hot days in 1998 ran about 104 to 105 now were doing about 90 to 95 on the outlier hot days).
Oh, and in aggregate the summer AC electric demand is way down as seen in natural gas consumption for peaking power. We still have a lot of nat gas in storage. In 1998 the peaking power demand (that is largely natural gas turbines) was way higher.

Robert Wykoff
September 11, 2009 7:27 pm

For this summer to come in just slightly below average, I can’t even imagine what the weather must have been like the rest of all those years. It must have snowed half the summer.

Brian D
September 11, 2009 7:43 pm

UAH temps for September so far are way up via there graph.
US temps so far this month.
http://www.hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/MonthTDeptUS.png
As cool as summer was for Minnesota, it’s a warm start to the Fall months up here. Feels nice.

September 11, 2009 8:09 pm

E.M.Smith, re California cooler this summer.
The coastal areas were much cooler, with inland areas a bit warmer than average, per NOAA. The link below shows the state’s temp anomalies, by color code.
http://www.calclim.dri.edu/cgi-bin/anomimage.pl?cal90dTvdep.gif

Gary P
September 11, 2009 8:13 pm

After looking at the map I noticed that the center of North America was cool and the coasts were warm to normal. Now if I were to play amateur climatologist I would speculate that a cooling trend would show up mainly in the center of the largest land masses which would be North America and Asia. The oceans will take a longer time to start showing a cooling trend. So I went here:
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/climate/research/2009/jun/map-blended-mntp-200906-pg.gif
and there is a cool trend in the center of Asia too. What is the lag for oceans to show a cooling?

September 11, 2009 8:43 pm

rbateman (15:32:19) :
Mark Serreze is at it again….

Reprehensibly irresponsible: “Blue ocean.”
How a taxpayer-funded “public servant” can get off making egregiously non-scientific and emo statements like that….is beyond me.
They—and their ilk—have existed long past their useful life.
It is time to remove them.
Let the revolution begin.
Chris
Norfolk, VA, USA

pft
September 11, 2009 10:06 pm

Shouldn’t they say 80th warmest?

anna v
September 11, 2009 10:10 pm

Greece has been in a cool swath too. We are getting October weather in September.
Lets see what the future brings. It might be a mild winter like last year and then the yearly average will balance off.

Jean Meeus
September 11, 2009 10:56 pm

In early 2007 meteorologist Debontridder, of the Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium publicly told that in Belgium there occur more and more heat waves in the course of time. A “heat wave” is defined as 5 or more successive days at which the air temperature reaches 30 deg C. Well, here is the number of heat waves in Belgium during the last three years:
in 2007 : zero
in 2008 : zero
in 2009 : zero
But, of course, we know that weather is not climate…

el gordo
September 12, 2009 12:12 am

Gary P
Don’t know the answer to your question, but something unusual is happening. The 2009 southern hemisphere winter has been very warm in Australia and there has been speculation that the high pressure ridge has moved south.
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/current/statements/scs18a.pdf
The western Pacific seems overly warm, too. Weird.

RR Kampen
September 12, 2009 6:53 am

Jean Meeus (22:56:20) :
“In early 2007 meteorologist Debontridder, of the Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium publicly told that in Belgium there occur more and more heat waves in the course of time. A “heat wave” is defined as 5 or more successive days at which the air temperature reaches 30 deg C. Well, here is the number of heat waves in Belgium during the last three years:
in 2007 : zero
in 2008 : zero
in 2009 : zero
But, of course, we know that weather is not climate…”
Sort of normal again… Holland used to have one heatwave per close to 4 years on average. Thanks to 2007, 2008 and 2009 – no heatwaves – the 21st century now runs exactly one per year.
It must become cooler! Except the summers 2007-09, which were warmer than normal like all summers this century, became progressively warmer.

Douglas DC
September 12, 2009 7:05 am

Things aren’t all that warm anymore in the Pacific.
http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/data/sst/anomaly/2009/anomnight.9.10.2009.gif
I’d say El Nino’s hovering around the Coasta Rican/ Columbian coast like a camper around a small campfire.Neutral to Nina by December IMHO….

TJA
September 12, 2009 7:19 am

Since this is the closest thread live thread I could find to ask this, I have a question about surfacestations. Is there an up to date text listing of sites remaining to be surveyed? On the site, there is a list dated April of 2008. I am specifically looking for sites in the Adirondack region. I know there were a bunch not surveyed in the Adirondack Park region as of last spring.
Out of curiosity, I just went over and looked at the Chazy, NY site. It was disappointing. After driving through miles of open agricultural land, apple orchards and corn, mostly, I get to the site, and it is in the immediate yard of what looked to be a 4000 sq foot house, near an asphalt driveway, and basically withing about 10 to 20ft of the tree line of a mature wood.
I didn’t do the survey because I wasn’t sure that it was one of the sites in the project, and I would have had to ask permission of the homeowner to do the survey. If it is in the project, I will be happy to do so next weekend.

September 12, 2009 7:34 am

E.M.Smith (13:33:39) :
“GIStemp, dumber than a tomato!”
Really? Dumber than Katie Couric? Now that’s really something.
😉

Tyler
September 12, 2009 8:52 am

How can it be a near average summer in CT (48th), while it was below average in RI (34), MA (27), and NY (27) immediately surrounding CT?
Chef Ramsey working on those books at NOAA now?
More scary, I hate to think what a below average in Summer will mean after this one.
T

Geo
September 12, 2009 10:47 am

TJA–
The most reliable way to figure out what is unsurveyed at surfacestations is using the gallery’s “advanced” feature to pick individual stations from the “Jump to Album” dropdown (which is organized by state and station name) you are interested in to see if there are pictures loaded for it. If there isn’t, it’s available to be surveyed. . . http://gallery.surfacestations.org/main.php?g2_view=search.SearchScan&g2_form%5BuseDefaultSettings%5D=1&g2_return=%2Fmain.php%3F

TJA
September 12, 2009 5:28 pm

Geo,
Thanks for that. The Chazy, NY site had been surveyed via Google Earth. Can we submit additional information from an on site survey? I don’t think that you can really survey a site from satellite, especially in rural areas with the resolution not that great. Is there an active thread on this subject anywhere?

Steve Keohane
September 13, 2009 8:37 am

Bruce (16:32:07) : Since when is the 39th coldest summer “Near Normal”???
You may have discovered what NOAA means by “near normal” on their graphs.
Here on the west slope of the Rockies in Co., I had not one day at 90° for the first time in seven years. The precip. pattern was unusual with a wet June & July, normal is a 10% chance of being under a cloud with rain for those two months on any given day. The local ‘monsoon’ flow never came at the end of July, in fact shut off the 27th after 2″ for the month, a lot for us. Since July 27th, when we would normally have a recovery from the lack of rain all summer, .34″ have fallen in 8 events over the past seven weeks.

geo
September 14, 2009 2:57 pm

TJA–
Yes, you can submit ground survey pictures to complement a “virtual” survey. I’ve done it myself for Grand Meadow, MN, and it is appreciated.
Anthony promised a new Surface Stations update thread around here one of these days soon. . .

geo
September 14, 2009 3:02 pm

Oh, and the wife is going on walkabout down the big river thru the south in early October and then back again. I’m picking out some sites for her to consider if she is in range at the right time of day for her travels. Maybe a Missouri one or three. . .

global
October 17, 2009 8:45 pm

There seems to be dialogue exclusive to regional weather patterns. The issue is GLOBAL climate change. Go here for GLOBAL data http://www.lincolnweather.org/Global-Temperature-Anomalies-2009.html