Meanwhile the world temperature anomaly as measured by satellite is near zero – Anthony

NOAA: U.S. Temperature and Precipitation Near-Average for June
July 10, 2009
The June 2009 temperature and precipitation for the contiguous United States were near the long-term average, based on records going back to 1895, according to an analysis by NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, N.C.
The average June 2009 temperature of 69.5 degrees F was 0.2 degree F above the 20th Century average. Precipitation across the contiguous United States in June 2009 averaged 2.90 inches, which is 0.01 inch above the long-term value.
U.S. Temperature Highlights
- Above-normal temperatures prevailed in the South, Southeast, and parts of the Northwest, while below-average temperatures were recorded in the Northeast and areas in the Southwest and North Central regions.
- Florida experienced its fourth-warmest June on record. On the cooler side were Massachusetts and Rhode Island, which experienced their ninth- and tenth-coolest June, respectively.
U.S. Precipitation Highlights
- Precipitation was below normal in the southern and northern tier states, but above-normal in the Northeast, West, and parts of the Southwest and West North Central regions.
- Moderate-to-exceptional drought covered 13 percent of the contiguous United States, based on the U.S. Drought Monitor. Drought conditions slightly worsened in the Mississippi Valley, Georgia, and the Carolinas. Drought improvements were seen in the southeastern Rockies and southern High Plains, but remained unchanged in the West.
Other Highlights
- Throughout the High Plains states, flooding and hail affected crops. In Nebraska, preliminary estimates indicate over 150,000 acres of crops were damaged by severe weather, with losses exceeding $10 million.
- There were 6,864 wildfires across the nation in June — the fewest number of fires for the month over the past 10 years. The 525,937 acres burned during June was 435,409 acres below the 2000-2009 average. The 1,903,247 acres burned since January was near the 2000-2009 average of 1,927,474 acres.
NCDC’s preliminary reports, which assess the current state of the climate, are released soon after the end of each month. These analyses are based on preliminary data, which are subject to revision. Additional quality control is applied to the data when late reports are received several weeks after the end of the month and as increased scientific methods improve NCDC’s processing algorithms.
NOAA understands and predicts changes in the Earth’s environment, from the depths of the ocean to the surface of the sun, and conserves and manages our coastal and marine resources.
Pamela Gray (13:05:05) :
I was just thinking.
Don’t you wish NOAA would, too? 😉
P.S.
I think your musings are on target, but I don’t know how hard it would be to come up with those kinds of more meaningful comparisons.
ginckgo (16:46:22) :
Ah yes, the sun’s activity at a record low, and all we get is ‘average’ temperatures. Shouldn’t temperatures globally be plummeting after a couple years of solar inactivity, rather than just levelling off?
REPLY: The oceans don’t cool off in a year, or even two. Massive heat sink there. It takes time, the oceans are the key. – Anthony
And it is probably just about to the point where it is worked off. That is the big reason that the shorter cycles with less downtime between them was able to build the heat level up. Since the oceans act like a stabilizer they need to cool before the rest can start to drop.
“NOAA understands and predicts changes in the Earth’s environment, from the depths of the ocean to the surface of the sun, and conserves and manages our coastal and marine resources.”
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This cracks me up every time I read it. Time for a new Publicity Manager I think.
how much has to be subtracted from NOAA numbers for their insufficient UHI treatment ?
“Ask the New Zealanders or South Americans about the current weather. ”
This week saw NZ had coldest May ever, today Peru’s death toll since March’s early arrival of winter temps is 4 times average.
For central MN NOAA map is fine, but July will be much cooler. Our ave. high is to be 82 and we’ve reached that only a couple days.
However, it is drier still, this morning’s rain is the first beyond a sprinkle for the month. No thunder and lightning in July?
Paraphrasing Mantua on El Nino: ENSO and PDO must be in phase for a teleconnection to be efficacious. Therefore, PDO and AMO will prevail here.
“The oceans don’t cool off in a year, or even two. Massive heat sink there. It takes time, the oceans are the key.”
Indeed, this summer’s slightly below grade temps portend some cooler weather, er climate, ahead.
July 1983 here was on the order of 15 degrees above average.
Just to weigh in with a report on local conditions here in central Ohio…It was reported on the local news last night that Columbus has recorded only ten days at or above 85 degrees this year. We have had one 90-degree day. Overnight temperatures have routinely been in the upper 50s and low 60s. This weather is more reflective of early September than mid-July. These are very unusual temperatures for an area that typically experiences hot, hazy days and humid nights at this time of year. On a personal note, the air conditioning hasn’t run for more than about a week this summer! The weather has been wonderfully comfortable!
I have a real problem with this chart. The temperature anomaly in Boston during June from the Blue Hills observatory was -4.6 degrees F. That earns us at least one more shade down the scale.
Its interesting to notice the little brown spot (warm) in a sea of green (cool) in the SouthWest Corner of Utah.
I checked the 3 month map at NOAA and the little brown spot had grown to a red spot (+4 to +5F) for three months, now that’s an ANOMALY!.
See:
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/climate/research/2009/jun/Last3mTDeptUS.png
Now notice the HOT SPOT in the SouthWest corner of Utah. The red circle(+3 to +4F) with a brown (+4 to +5F) center.
What could CAUSE such an anomaly you wonder?
A little googling locates the hot center as St George, UT.
http://maps.google.com/maps?q=st+george+utah&ie=UTF8&split=0&gl=us&ei=y5BcSpP8EuTcmQeBsO3dDQ&ll=37.09451,-113.592153&spn=0.004082,0.009624&t=h&z=17
And we find from Weather Underground that the weather station is conveniently located at the ASPHALT (BLACK) paved airport right next to the city.
http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=84770
Then we look at GISS station data and see that since the 90s its been MUCH
hotter in St George, relative to the 40s, than in the US as a whole.
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/gistemp/gistemp_station.py?id=425724870010&data_set=1&num_neighbors=1
Then we go to the St George City site and look at their demographics and we find:
Washington County is one of the fastest growing areas in Utah and the rest of the country. It currently ranks as the second fastest growing metropolitan area in the United States. It was ranked as the #1 fastest growing area and dubbed “Boomtown USA” in 2007 by Inc. Magazine. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, St. George, Utah was the #1 Metropolitan Statistical Area in the United States for population growth from 1990 to 2000.
http://www.stgeorgechamber.com/EcDev/demographic.overview.htm
Who would have guessed that the statistical HOT SPOT for the US in Apr to June of 09 would just happen to be the #1 MSA growth area for the US as well.
What are the chances of that being a coincidence????
To be fair, lets look at a near by station and see if this is just a
coincidence. If it is, then a near by station that isn’t growing like gang
busters should ALSO show this phenomenal heat wave for the last three months:
So back to NOAA, and lo and behold, there is a official climate station very
near St George. Its Cedar City, UT.
But the anomaly for Cedar City the Apr to June timeframe was only +0.5F
http://www.weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=slc
(use Monthly Climate data for Cedar City and average the monthly anomaly for Apr, May and June)
So the question is:
Do we really believe it was 4 to 5 degrees F above average for 3 months in St George, but just 60 miles away it was only +0.5F above average?
Well maybe if it suits your agenda.
Arthur