Outside the Black Box: Back to Basics

For the anthropogenic part it’s pretty clear: with a growth to a maximum CO2-level of 560 ppm, even under a realistic ‘business as usual’ scenario [11], there is certainly no…

Surface Temperature Response to Solar EMR at Top of the Atmosphere

It has been demonstrated that land and ocean surface temperature are highly correlated to solar EMR in mid and higher latitudes; making due allowance for different thermal inertia of land…

2001-2019 Warming Driven By Increases In Absorbed Solar Radiation, Not Human Emissions

Three new studies affirm the increase in absorbed solar radiation associated with decreased reflection by clouds (albedo) has been the “root cause” of the positive Earth Energy Imbalance and global…

Accuracy, Precision, and One Watt per Square Metre

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I’ve been investigating one of my favorite datasets in the last few days, the CERES satellite-based top-of-atmosphere (TOA) radiation dataset. In particular, I’ve taken month-by-month…

The Forcing Conundrum

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach. For all of its faults, the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) lays out their idea of the climate paradigm pretty clearly. A fundamental part…