The WUWT Hotsheet for Tuesday September 10th, 2013

“In the new study, the researchers for the first time included temporal distribution of black carbon emissions from residential combustion. “Understanding how much is emitted when during the year is something that has to be included better in our regional models,” says IIASA researcher Zbigniew Klimont, who worked on the study. It also incorporated detailed regional data on the location of gas flaring emissions, improving upon previous estimates that either ignored them entirely or used only regional averages. These improved emission estimates and their temporal resolution allows for a better reproduction of seasonal variability in observed black carbon concentrations.”
Isn’t Empiricism wonderful? Isn’t Scientific Method wonderful? Alarmists have been screaming about the Arctic sea ice’s imminent demise from global warming yet the first, or near first, close look reveals that black carbon from many and diverse local sources is a main culprit. (I must give credit to Anthony who has been on top of this topic for quite a while.)

So we should undertake a massive northern hemispheric initiative to scatter bits of reflective mylar across the the frozen wastelands?
Better idea. Reduce dark emissions as might be practical for many reasons not necessarily CAGW related and watch for a few decades for any discernible impact.
Lacking detailed knowledge of the meaning of the multitude of climate control knobs available the ONLY prudent course is to stop turning the valves.

It seems to be the natural course of once great publications, like National Geographic, and Scientific American, to slide from excellence to mushy mediocrity, to be captured by fear-mongering political pressure groups, and to subordinate science to political correctness.

Why is it petroleum burn off and residential heating that are causing the soot problems? What about the Chinese massive use of unscrubbed coal fired power plants? I should think the latter are capable of putting much more soot into the atmosphere than the piddling amounts coming out of Alaska and Northern Canada.

Rule 1 For Alarmists: Don’t make falsifiable predictions for events occurring within one’s lifetime.
Come on, Al, you should know these things!

Rhoda R says:
September 10, 2013 at 2:04 pm
“….”
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That’s true Rhoda, but still, the gas flaring in ND is no insubstantial thing:
http://www.npr.org/blogs/krulwich/2013/01/16/169511949/a-mysterious-patch-of-light-shows-up-in-the-north-dakota-dark

That was a single prediction by one scientist and “it got amplified out of proportion to what the majority of scientists were saying,” Scambos said.

Are predictions by scientists to be treated in a similar manner to climate model outputs? Whilst they are all wrong and we should not focus on any single one, if they are averaged then that is the truth. Thus, we can throw an individual scientist’s predictions under the bus and you have to believe that we are omnipotent and know which scientist has to watch out for large public transport vehicles.

“Governments footing the IPCC bill are demanding 1,500 changes to the upcoming Fifth Assessment Report. Why? Because report is not explaining the apparent pause in warming.”
I have a better idea for all those governments. Why don’t they just ignore what the IPCC is spewing out, pull the funding for it, and let it shut down. Problem solved.

The confident Wieslaw Maslowski actually said:

BBC – 12 December 2007
“Our projection of 2013 for the removal of ice in summer is not accounting for the last two minima, in 2005 and 2007,”…….”So given that fact, you can argue that may be our projection of 2013 is already too conservative.”
[Professor Wieslaw Maslowski]

He said 2013 “is already too conservative”. Maslowski is to the Arctic what Viner is to UK rare snowfalls. Both are utter failures, no skill, crap, alarmists, idiots, fools, shisters.

CORRECTION and apologies to Drinkwater – for now.
I meant this failed shister.

Sierra Club – March 23, 2013
“For the record—I do not think that any sea ice will survive this summer. An event unprecedented in human history is today, this very moment, transpiring in the Arctic Ocean….”
[Paul Beckwith – PhD student paleoclimatology and climatology – part-time professor]

Rhoda R says:
September 10, 2013 at 2:04 pm
Why is it petroleum burn off and residential heating that are causing the soot problems? What about the Chinese massive use of unscrubbed coal fired power plants? I should think the latter are capable of putting much more soot into the atmosphere than the piddling amounts coming out of Alaska and Northern Canada.
Almost all of the BC comes and came from Russia. At the fall of the Soviet Union, the population of the Kola Peninsula was 1.15 million, more than 90% of the total Arctic population. The main reason for such a large population is, it is Russia’s only ice free Atlantic port and was a major centre of heavy industry, and the same winds and currents that keep it ice free blow on into the Arctic ocean.
I don’t believe significant amounts of China BC reach the Arctic, and anyway those new power stations are in large part replacing residential stoves and hearths used for heating/cooking.