The WUWT Hot Sheet for Tuesday, August 13, 2013

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I might have had something to do with this:

Distorted data? Feds close 600 weather stations amid criticism they’re situated to report warming

Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/science/2013/08/13/weather-station-closures-flaws-in-temperature-record/#ixzz2bs0Bki00

More about the Yosemite Weather Station here

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Unicorns doled out for climate change deniers – CNN Political Ticker

The group sent a message on Twitter Tuesday with a photo of a “climate denier award” trophy, topped by a unicorn. The group’s volunteers are delivering the statues to lawmakers Tuesday.

Get a load of the photo.  Their choice of a unicorn pretty much sums up their views of the science, that if we solve global warming, it will be rainbows and unicorns on Earth again.

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MSNBC and Organizing For Action Coordinate Activity | RedState

Today is Organizing for Action’s big climate change day. They intend to march out into the public square and attack members of Congress, conservatives, and others who aren’t in on their campaign to destroy capitalism in the name of global warmer … errrr … climate change. Key to this is getting OFA members to Republican town halls, etc. to harass a targeted list of Congressmen.

Right on cue, MSNBC has joined the effort. MSNBC, more and more the official mouthpiece of the Democratic Party, has up a list of Republican members of the House Science Committee who are dismissive of the left’s global warming … errrrrrr … climate change hysteria.

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The PJ Tatler » Obama Harrangues Tweeps on Climate Change

Barack Obama, or whoever runs his Twitter feed, isn’t interested in science. They’re interested in being that guy — the half-informed, argumentative dope who becomes such a pest that you end up unfollowing his feed.

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Look who’s coming to ScienceOnline Climate

[115 people including Mann, Revkin, Schmidt, Tobis, and Zivkovic; I don't see any skeptics]

About the Event
This two-day event is not your traditional climate science meeting. With an un-conference format that is driven by participants and emphasizes conversation, ScienceOnline Climate will explore the intersection of climate science, communication, and the web. Complex scientific concepts will be interwoven with creative communications approaches through the connective power of the internet. It will be an energizing experience for scientists, journalists, artists, policymakers, and attendees from all nodes of the climate communications ecosystem.

Here is your chance to register:

http://climate.scienceonline.com/

http://climate.scienceonline.com/registration/

h/t to Tom Nelson for the above three stories.

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To me, this seems like a ridiculous idea. How will they know when the person has the phone in their pocket, warming it up?  I can’t even begin to imagine how they’ll untangle the myriad of potential biases the cell phone owner could introduce.

Crowdsourcing weather using smartphone batteries A group of smartphone app developers and weather experts developed a way to use the temperature sensors built into smartphone batteries to crowdsource weather information. These tiny thermometers usually prevent smartphones from dangerously overheating, but the researchers discovered the battery temperatures tell a story about the environment around them.

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56 thoughts on “The WUWT Hot Sheet for Tuesday, August 13, 2013

  1. I am beyond outraged–more like ‘borderline apoplectic’.

    I had to send this to support@barackobama.com (and expect the IRS and black helicopters in 3, 2, 1….) I just saw this: http://www.barackobama.com/climate-deniers .
    ==================================================
    You are embarrassing the country with your grade-school clique mentality.
    Also, you are using the language of zealots, not scientists. Do you not see how this reflects poorly on you–and the country?

    You are supposed to be everyone’s president. Now you are essentially denying being the president for anyone who’s a skeptic.
    You have a chance to rescind this; blame it on an underling; unite the people. Today you are only dividing the Country–and frankly showing yourself to be intellectually and scientifically illiterate.

    “Pull up!”–for the good of the Country.

    Regards,

    David Y. (Ivy League grad, Prius-driving, pro-environment, pro-conservation, global warming SKEPTIC)

  2. Just checked out the Fox story about dropping 600 stations.

    Scott Mandia states

    “Watts’ analysis is an outlier… Analyses by several groups using global land temps, ocean temps, and satellite-inferred temps (no thermometers there!) show very similar warming rates [to the NOAA data],

    YET!!!

    A quick check shows otherwise! (At least for satellites)

    NCDC 1980 : 52.4F
    NCDC 2012 : 55.3F

    Difference – 2.9F = 1.6C

    RSS 1980 : 0.0 C (Anomaly)
    RSS – 2012 : 1.0C

    Difference 1.0C

    (Both are measurements for the CONUS)
    It is only one year, and maybe the trend line would give a different story, but this would tend to back up Anthony’s work.

    (I cannot access UAH at moment, as their system seems to be down)

  3. ” will explore the intersection of climate science, communication, and the web.”

    As usual, the science isn’t enough on its own. Since climategate, there hasn’t been any further research of note on the cast-in-stone hypothesis, its rather all a matter of “communications” now. This usually brings up the chain gang boss quote from Cool Hand Luke: “What we got here … failure to communicate.” What a bunch of sorry asses.

  4. Anthony, the “ScienceOnlineClimate” site is hilarious …

    First, it appears you can’t get there from here:

    Registration for ScienceOnline Climate is now FULL. You may add yourself to our waitlist. If a spot opens up we’ll let you know!

    Their agenda is a hoot. I only recognize a few names, Andy Revkin, Gavin Schmidt, and Michael Mann. Do not stand between those men and a microphone …

    For example, if you go to their workshop schedule (which has the Orwellian name “scioClimate Command Central”) there’s a session called “How Can The Arts and Entertainment Contribute”, which discusses things like what to do in “venues and modes that generally reject … didacticism”.

    Hey, don’t laugh, I know that’s one of the main scientific communications problems. Didn’t you hate it when you were stuck in some backwater joint that simply rejects didacticism?

    Oh, and I loved the plenary session called “Credibility, Trust, Goodwill, And Persuasion”, where people will have the opportunity to be lectured on credibility, trust, and goodwill by none other than Michael Mann himself, and who wouldn’t want to hear such an expert on the subject …

    The whole thing seems to be organized around the laughable claim that the problem is not crappy science, and it’s not that Michael Mann and others have repeatedly lied to us, and then lied again to cover it up when they were caught. They say the problem is also not the dozens of failed alarmist predictions of doom, or the inability of the climate models to predict, well, anything. And they claim that the problem is not that scientists can’t explain either the Medieval Warm Period or the Little Ice Age and yet they want us to believe they can predict the climate a hundred years from now.

    The problem, they earnestly are assuring us, is nothing but poor communication. And I guess it’s true, communication is undoubtedly very poor since the public quit buying their BS … so they are focusing on things like the use of games to spread their misinformation:

    This session will focus on improving climate science engagement and education through the innovative use of games (today’s largest entertainment media!).

    I do love the exclamation point.

    Really? Mainstream climate science has come to this? They can’t convince the adults, so they want to brainwash the kids through their games? Leave the children alone, you dirty old men, they deserve a childhood with games that are nothing but games.

    And they wonder why nobody is believing them? Unbelievable …

    Hosted by Science magazine, I note … as I pointed out elsewhere, how the mighty have fallen.

    w.

  5. Yep the global average temperature is………………………

    37 degrees Celsius or 98.6 degrees Fahrenheit.

  6. Question is will they discard the data from those poorly sited stations retroactively? I wonder how that trend would look without them in the data set. Let alone all of the adjustments they already made to past temperature records. Sad really

    That hard work is paying off Anthony. Good Job!

  7. A SKS article complaining about “fake balance” & Fox News in 3, 2, 1…
    They will be really mad Mr Watts got some press time.

  8. The newspeak is still a bit in the development stage: “Didacticism”, do tell! Now let’s see what the dictionary has to say about a person who uses this communications weapon.

    Didactic: inclined to teach or lecture others too much: a boring, didactic speaker… teaching or intending to teach a moral lesson.

    You know how desperate the likes of Mann, Schmidt and company are when they can’t use the failed science to press their point these days (a 17 yr hiatus after only a 20 year warming period due to Anthropes). In their helplessness, they’ve come down to the communication smoke shovelers, a thing I can never imagine a real scientist or engineer doing. If they were confident about their science, heck, just brazen it out alone and bide your time. Why is it so important to make us all believe it now? It is clearly the response of a failed group. Remember recently when the UK met office, after a dozen years of spectacularly failed weather forecasts (because of their wrong scientific beliefs) convened a group of commiserators, not to examine where they had gone wrong. No, it was to attempt to understand the “disappointing UK weather”!! Read, of course, disappointing forecasts.

  9. so “deniars” get unicorns…. maybee the WUWT community needs to give trophies with crazy dudes running around with their hair on fire for the crazy Warmist Freakout Machine allstars?

  10. Distorted data? Feds close 600 weather stations amid criticism they’re situated to report warming (over the past two years)

    Not like they shut thousands ‘back in the day (1990)’ so that one cannot possibly compare current ‘anomalies’ to any earlier (1950-1980) baseline.

    Funny … find yourself the raw (pre-‘homogenisation’) record from any station that has been ‘pinging’ for more than one hundred years and there is no CAGW signal.

    Now let me guess who, and his side kick, will be here in minutes to prove me wrong …

    5, 4, 3, 2, 1, ….

  11. The group sent a message on Twitter Tuesday with a photo of a “climate denier award” trophy, topped by a unicorn. The group’s volunteers are delivering the statues to lawmakers Tuesday.

    Get a load of the photo. Their choice of a unicorn pretty much sums up their views of the science, that if we solve global warming, it will be rainbows and unicorns on Earth again.
    >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

    BUT, BUT, But, but… Aren’t Warmists and US Bureaucrats and Democratic Politicians the ones who believe in a civilization that can run on Fiat Money Pixie Dust and Wind and Solar Energy Unicorn Farts???

    Shouldn’t they be the ones getting the silver unicorn award?

    …. OH, my bad I forgot about the psychological disorder called projection that infects CAGW believers.

  12. From the Fox link:

    But the government agency that compiles the temperature data says that such concerns are unfounded because of statistical methods used to adjust the data.

    Meaning don’t expect to see any step in the charts and graphs going forward as a result of this weather station shuttering. That only happens in honest analyses.

  13. …..These tiny thermometers usually prevent smartphones from dangerously overheating, but the researchers discovered the battery temperatures tell a story about the environment around them…..
    >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
    So if the phone is left in the sun or in a hot or a/c car or in the frig (well my husband is absent minded) that is going to tell them a lot about the weather????

  14. The WUWT Hot Sheet for Tuesday, August 12, 2013

    Just a nit – today is Tuesday, August 13, 2013

  15. Willis Eschenbach says:
    August 13, 2013 at 10:47 am
    “Really? Mainstream climate science has come to this? They can’t convince the adults, so they want to brainwash the kids through their games?”

    Just another way to sink some taxpayer billions.

  16. At the end:

    In other words, Watts says the data show that [the ground-based thermometer measurement of] global warming is due relatively more to [contamination from] increased urbanization than to greenhouse gases. Such a finding would be relevant for whether government should further restrict greenhouse gasses

    Instead of “relatively more”, maybe better would be “in large part”, “Large part” could be less than 50%. The “more” becomes an unnecessary point of contention.

    There is still not enough attention to
    – the size of the adjustments,
    – the pattern and suspected bias of adjustments,
    – and the ethics of adjusting recorded data.
    Even if you accept and agree on a size of an adjustments, it add error to the final signal, because the adjustment itself add uncertainty. The error bars of the final result and must increase from the addition of adjustment.

  17. I have learned something from all of this. That would be fine, except for thinking I may have just been didacticated, maybe against my will.

  18. Ferd says:
    August 13, 2013 at 11:13 am

    so “deniars” get unicorns…. maybee the WUWT community needs to give trophies with crazy dudes running around with their hair on fire for the crazy Warmist Freakout Machine allstars?
    ______________________________
    I’m thinking a statue more along the lines of “Bob”.

  19. WUWT could give an award. The official name would be the Gore Award. It would be given to the most active CAGW extremist of the year. The nickname for the award would be “the Hotty.” Jim Hansen should be an ideal candidate for this year of 2013 – retiring from NASA to dedicate his life to fighting AGW.

  20. You’re more likely to spot a unicorn than a climate change denier (or climate denier, as the plaque on the award states). Does anyone deny that there is a climate or that it changes ? Laughable.

  21. Willis Eschenbach August 13, 2013 at 10:47 am
    Anthony, the “ScienceOnlineClimate” site is hilarious …

    Willis … I see another full post in your future …

  22. The big winner here is CNN, who can be expected to pick up viewers shed by MSNBC as it leans so forward that it’s in danger of toppling over.

  23. I want one of those awards! Just think how valuable it’ll be if/when it’s admitted by the mainstream that CO2 is a minor player in the grand climate scheme and we’re in the midst of another little ice age.

    @ Bryan A
    Thanks for the link. I’m still laughing @ #9: “That’s your opinion”.

  24. Regarding the “Climate denier award”, I would note that only the credentialed climate scientists are allowed to embrace full-blown unicorn and rainbow theology. The average CAGW supporter is self-restricted to the “My Little Pony” stage.

  25. Unicorns? Confirms it then, CAGW isn’t science its a fairy tale deluded warmists believe is real.
    I wonder if they start and finish their ‘scientific meetings’ by chanting;

    “I DO believe in fairies, I DO I DO!”
    “Come on you deniers, every time we don’t reach 97% consensus a fairy dies!”

  26. “A group of smartphone app developers and weather experts developed a way to use the temperature sensors built into smartphone batteries to crowdsource weather information….”

    “After calibration, the team calculated air temperatures within an average of 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) of the actual value,”
    ———————————————————————
    Sounds about as accurate as the models.
    If you’re going to guess at the temperature anyway, why not?
    Plus, scientists and the IPCC could use this as more proof.
    We have a new standard for temperature measurement, the pocket phone.
    cn

  27. If enough “Heretics of the AGW cult” get this app and keep their phone in the freezer,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

  28. Anthony Watts is an outlier? Some folks believe GISS and NOAA are the real outliers. How else can anyone lower the temperature readings in the early years and raise the temperature readings in the latter years?

    I didn’t get past college statistics 101 but I can’t think of a random situation that would give such results. Perhaps some skilled statisticians can give us a better feel for data like temperature readings.

    Also can the scientific adjustments which are peer reviewed be made public so we can all understand how the adjustment are made? What feedbacks, etc,, if any are entered in the adjustments?

  29. Unicorns was the worst thing they could come up with to give to supposed “enemies of the planet”? Really? Because I would have thought something more along the lines of, oh I don’t know, maybe a lump of coal drenched with oil. Wait, let me guess, unicorns are what they really really want for a present for themselves, and in the spirit of gift-giving everywhere, they are simply giving what they want most. But I think they just forgot the “enemies of the planet” part. Oh well.

  30. Re Unicorn trophy. Wow are they free- I’d love to have one for historical purposes? Pretty well crafted. These climate action types must be pretty well paid.

  31. The 600 stations is bad news IMO. Each time the equipment is changed, a time series splice is created. Each time a splice is created, judgement weighs into how old and new should line up. After several flat years, I wonder if there is about to be a new step up?

    Without those stations, the new series would presumably drop down. To preserve continuity, an upward offset to the new can be worked in. Then as the same stations are “fixed” and brought back in….

    Im glad for the satelites.

  32. To return in kind, Id give a “big green boot” award. Climatology, crushing the larynx of human progress. Skip the world war two stuff, those symbols are just overused inflamatories with endless itching baggage.

  33. Anything is possible said on August 13, 2013 at 10:33 am:

    They know what they can do with their unicorn……

    ….Horn first!

    Grind it up and snort the white powder?

    They’d be too smart to do that, unless the unicorn was certified free-range, humanely harvested, and organic.

  34. A Unicorn award! I need one of those. Any ideas how to ge in line to actually get one? I’ve told for years now why co2 has near zero affect on energy flows in our atomosphere. Is that not enough?
    (if skeptic scientists are all unicorns then my granddaugter LOVES all skeptics!)

  35. “Gravity exists, the earth is round” and building straw men is the closest thing to job creation that the Obama administration has accomplished in 4+ years.

  36. With closure of 600 stations, they will just project more data that fits their preconceptions anyway.

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