UAH v5.6 Global Temperature Update for June, 2013: +0.30 deg. C
by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.
After 10 days in Michigan’s U.P. for my 40th high school reunion, here’s the belated monthly global temperature update.
We added two satellites to the processing, Metop-A starting in 2007 and NOAA-19 starting in 2009.
The resulting anomalies, which we will call Version 5.6, differ by as much as 0.04 deg. C from v5.5. You can read the details of the new processing here.
We are now making good progress on Version 6.0, which includes a variety of improvements in our processing procedures which have taken much more time than we anticipated.
The Version 5.6 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for June, 2013 is +0.30 deg. C (click for large version):
The global, hemispheric, and tropical LT anomalies from the 30-year (1981-2010) average for the last 18 months are:
YR MON GLOBAL NH SH TROPICS
2012 1 -0.145 -0.088 -0.203 -0.245
2012 2 -0.140 -0.016 -0.263 -0.326
2012 3 +0.033 +0.064 +0.002 -0.238
2012 4 +0.230 +0.346 +0.114 -0.251
2012 5 +0.178 +0.338 +0.018 -0.102
2012 6 +0.244 +0.378 +0.111 -0.016
2012 7 +0.149 +0.263 +0.035 +0.146
2012 8 +0.210 +0.195 +0.225 +0.069
2012 9 +0.369 +0.376 +0.361 +0.174
2012 10 +0.367 +0.326 +0.409 +0.155
2012 11 +0.305 +0.319 +0.292 +0.209
2012 12 +0.229 +0.153 +0.305 +0.199
2013 1 +0.497 +0.512 +0.481 +0.387
2013 2 +0.203 +0.372 +0.034 +0.195
2013 3 +0.200 +0.333 +0.068 +0.243
2013 4 +0.114 +0.128 +0.101 +0.165
2013 5 +0.083 +0.180 -0.015 +0.112
2013 6 +0.298 +0.337 +0.259 +0.221
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Global TLT is up and global SST is down.
http://bobtisdale.wordpress.com/2013/07/08/june-2013-sea-surface-temperature-sst-anomaly-update/
Yeah, good catch UAH. Record cold in May and June, midwest plantings delayed, but our GOV SATs still see AGW.
Probably nothing funny going on here….
in just 12 months the uah-LT 15-yr trend has increased from .06 C/decade to 0.12 C/dec.
All that ocean heat was bound to come out sometime….
in just 12 months the uah-LT 15-yr trend has increased from .06 C/decade to 0.12 C/dec.
All that ocean heat was bound to come out sometime….
You are youngster Roy, my 50th is in Baltimore in September.
So temperatures are almost back to where they were last September.
It just shows how far they have dropped in the meantime.
A little OT, but what’s this I here about some of our weather satellites needing replacement? Are there plans/funds for this?
‘UAH global temperature, up, some what’ well there is a surprise!.
AGU, Richard Alley and climate zombies!
[ http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5sxBSa6Tck ]
Antarctic sea ice almost 2 standard deviations above the average. Seems less SH heat is being transported poleward. Which fits with our experience in Perth. No strong Southern Ocean low pressure systems so far this winter.
Increased Antarctic sea ice with increasing CO2 and warming was predicted over 20 years ago by Manabe et al 1991,http://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/bibliography/related_files/sm9101.pdf, page 795.
I’ve taken the UAH lower [troposphere] temps and averaged them with RSS and then appended the HadAT (weather balloon) temps which are equivalent to the lower troposphere measure. This allows one to extend the record back to 1958.
Here are the temps then back to 1958 and my model of them.
http://s21.postimg.org/nn5u58k8n/UAH_RSS_Had_AT_Model_June_2013.png
The warming which is left-over after one accounts for the ENSO, AMO, Volcanoes and Solar influences is just 0.057C per decade.
http://s2.postimg.org/js5m71ot5/UAH_RSS_Had_AT_Warming_June_2013.png
And then the daily UAH version 5.6 temps going back to September 11, 2001. You are supposed to remember where you were when you saw the second plane arrive on the scene. This was nearly 12 years ago. The UAH trend since is a measely 0.024C per decade or just 10% of that forecast.
http://s23.postimg.org/kw8kkw1y3/Daily_UAH_5_6_2001_June_2013.png
Stan says:
July 9, 2013 at 3:16 pm
The warmist trolls are out in force today.
That link does not support your claim. This isn’t Real Climate. People actually check references here.
Of course the crux of the issue is and always has been, “Did Man do it?”. “Can Man change it?”.
“What authority over the rest of us must ceded by the rest of us to prevent what only those who have authority to authority to gain perceive?”.
That the answer to the first two questions is i>promoted as “Yes” is why we have to deal with the the third question.
Those who are using CAGW as an avenue to power don’t want to leave it up to honest, unbiased science.
Philip Bradley says:
>> That link does not support your claim. <<
It's not my fault if you can't read.
blackadderthe4th says:
AGU, Richard Alley and climate zombies!
[ http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5sxBSa6Tck ]
I looked at the video. I estimated what his chart said which I assumed included landbased data based on the fact that he used the year 1957 as one of the early points. My estimate from his chart, based upon a low resolution viewing of it, is that we see a 1.33 Celsius increase per Century. I failed to see his point? This is just my opinion but I think he missed his target.
Didn’t take Stan long to resort to ad hominems. Seems to be all the warmists have left these days.
Not sure that is an ad hominem, I mean, it’s a pretty weak retort no doubt, but an ad hominem would be say… implying you disagree because you like Ke$ha (and are thus a terrible person) in an attempt to discredit your argument by “taking it to the man”, while suggesting you can’t read could technically fall in that class of logical fallacies, the irony inherent in using written language to insult the ability of another to read makes it seem like a compliment to even consider it as a full fledged ad hominem.
Philip Bradley says:
“Didn’t take Stan long to resort to ad hominems.”
This from the man who wrote, “The warmist trolls are out in force today.”
Can you read a scientific paper or not? So far, it appears not.
Max, lol. Even though I have no idea who Ke$ha is.
From The International Symposium on Sea Ice in a Changing Climate in Hobart from March 10 – 14, 2014
Changes in Antarctic sea ice extent are predicted under future climate change scenarios, although models for the 21st century show wide variability with a 25-40% decrease predicted.
Philip: You are avoiding the Fu et al paper, pg 795
Read somewhere that the land average for Denmark in June 2013 was -3,0 grader celcius.
You are avoiding the Fu et al paper, pg 795
Do I detect subtle irony here? Reading a 795 page paper would indeed be futile.
forgetting the increased sea ice shouldn’t we be seeing accelerating warming, polar amplification and all that…?
‘Stan says:
July 9, 2013 at 3:16 pm
The warmist trolls are out in force today.
That link does not support your claim. This isn’t Real Climate. People actually check references here.”
Actually the link does. Last paragraph, page 795 left hand column.