Topics of general nature per the blog masthead today.
Behave, don’t make me come back here.
Discover more from Watts Up With That?
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.
Topics of general nature per the blog masthead today.
Behave, don’t make me come back here.
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.
Chandler = cracked
Last night I cracked the code of the Chandler wobble phase reversal. I’ve no time to explain, but check out figures 4-10, particularly the top panels (Rz) of figures 7 & 10 here:
Lu, H.; Li, Y.; Clilverd, M.A.; Jarvis, M.J. (2012). Trend and abrupt changes in long-term geomagnetic indices. Revised for Journal of Geophysical Research – Space Physics 08-03-2012.
http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/18615/1/LuEtAl_2011JA017422_JGR_SpacePhysics.pdf
More details as the days & months unfold (almost certainly not in the format people crave & demand if the natural-climate funding drought persists — good health and a hearty sense of humor are the only defenses against this).
I had put this up as a comment before. I changed the first and last lines.
To the tune of “I saw Mommy Kissing Santa Claus”
Original here:
http://www.lyricsmode.com/lyrics/c/christmas_songs/i_saw_mommy_kissing_santa_claus.html
I saw Al kiss Arab Oil’s can
When I saw “His Rotunda” last night.
There was oil everywhere
In that sale to Al Jazzera
Guess anything is “Green” it seems if dollar signs are there.
Then, I saw Algore make the PR rounds
And pretend that he is still all snowy white.
Oh, what a laugh it would have been,
To hear what Hansen and Greenpeace screamed
When Al kissed Oil’s can last night!
I’ve found a substantial error in the thermospheric neutral mass density literature, but I’m not free to elaborate due to the “Rules of the Road”:
http://cedarweb.hao.ucar.edu/wiki/index.php/Tools_and_Models:Emmert_sat_drag_neutral_mass_density
Background:
Qian, L.; & Solomon, S.C. (2012). Thermospheric density: an overview of temporal and spatial variations. Space Science Reviews 168, 147-173. doi:10.1007/s11214-011-9810-z.
http://nldr.library.ucar.edu/repository/assets/osgc/OSGC-000-000-010-554.pdf
Cat checks out massive snow drift in Coldbrook, Newfoundland, Canada
http://www.ctvnews.ca/polopoly_fs/1.1150165!/httpImage/image.jpeg_gen/derivatives/landscape_620/image.jpeg
Here’s an saying i like.
“Being a global warming skeptic is cool”
@jim Waters. Hope you are doing well in the midst of this snowstorm, though clearly if you are able to find good humor in this you are well prepared. And, my thanks. Being a global warming skeptic is cool.
ENSO Meter fans, umm, Sea Ice fans too:
The meter is missing. Not AWOL, but broken for now. It lives as an image file on Comcast’s “Personal Web Pages,” a “free” service of Comcast that they are muttering about abandoning. Well, already abandoned, new subscribers can’t sign up for it, but today I think broken and not shutdown.
My guess is Comcast will fix it tomorrow. Unless they say it’s not worth their effort. I also have other WUWT stuff there, probably a couple sea ice images and my guide to WUWT. If Comcast doesn’t fix it soon, Anthony and I can get things back up quickly.
Oh hey – it may be back now.
CNN appears to be pulling out all of the stops for journalistic integrity during the current Northeast U.S. severe weather in order to support the Obama Administration’s latest push for Climate Change legislation. Are readers seeing anymore gaffes like the following?
Chad Myers Lies .
Published on Jan 23, 2013
Chad Myers blamed cold air gripping North America on the lack of sea ice in the arctic, when in fact, it is frozen solid.
Parody or Does She Believe It? CNN Anchor Blames Asteroid on Global Warming .
CNN Anchor Blames Asteroid on Global Warming? Guest, Bill Nye .
http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2002/to:2014/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2002/to:2014/trend/plot/hadcrut3vgl/from:2002/to:2014/plot/hadcrut3vgl/from:2002/to:2014/trend/plot/rss/from:2002/to:2014/plot/rss/from:2002/to:2014/trend/plot/gistemp/from:2002/to:2014/plot/gistemp/from:2002/to:2014/trend/plot/hadsst2gl/from:2002/to:2014/plot/hadsst2gl/from:2002/to:2014/trend/plot/uah/from:2002/to:2014/trend
the lowest linear trend in this graph is the one from UAH
which seemingly goes against all other dataets
so pray do tell,
how can anyone reconciliate UAH with any other data set
never mind my own,
which shows much more cooling, still, generally, than any other data set,
and where is Roy Spnecer trying to defend his data set?
(he always seems to avoid WUWT)
HenryP says:
February 10, 2013 at 9:58 am
“and where is Roy Spnecer trying to defend his data set?
(he always seems to avoid WUWT)”
At his blog.
Dr. Roy Spencer:
http://www.drroyspencer.com/2013/02/uah-global-temperature-update-for-january-2012-0-51-deg-c/
“Due to the rather large 1-month increase in the temperature anomaly, I double checked the computations, and found that multiple satellites (NOAA-15, NOAA-18, and Aqua) all saw approximately equal levels of warming versus a year ago (January, 2012), so for now I’m accepting the results as real. The most common cause of such warm spikes (when there is no El Nino to blame) is a temporary increase in convective heat transfer from the ocean to the atmosphere. This would suggest that the global average sea surface temperature anomaly might have actually cooled in January, but I have not checked to see if that is the case.”
Just a heads up. I have managed to locate the definitive link between Paul Ehrlich and the global education reforms gutting the transmission of knowledge, turning hard science into modelling, and making the social sciences about trying to use ed to change human nature. These people apparently skipped Greek tragedies and hubris. I should have it written up tomorrow.
In the mean time I have chronicled how Agenda 21 and a definition of citizenship grounded in justice for everyone and recognizing a commitment for sustainable devt was part of the 2001 ed reforms enacted all over the UK and Australia. http://www.invisibleserfscollar.com/mandating-global-citizenship-mindsets-by-assessing-whether-students-adopt-social-altruism/ is where I explain that and how the Global Citizenship mandate is coming to the US and other countries through these poorly appreciated performance assessments that are an intrinsic part of the Common Core.
It is indeed how Ehrlich boasted of being more than 5 years into a near total revision of human behavior. And how USGCRP intends to use education to squelch climate skepticism.
Not so fast I say.
@Anthony Watts
No one seems to care that we have 30mph winds (gusting to 40) and snow in WY.
Nothing on the over dramatized Weather Channel or on the news. No FEMA folks
stopping by, no over dressed reporters. Of course no one lives here and we don’t really notice it
much ourselves. It is winter in WY, after all. Too bad though that AGW is a hoax as it could help
our real estate prices here, but then we kind of like the fact that we don’t have too many
Californians moving in. Have a good day wherever you are.
The Original Jim G
HenryP says:
February 10, 2013 at 9:58 am
and where is Roy Spnecer
I think he’s trying to sort himself out Henry!
http://www.skepticalscience.com/16_years_faq.html
Ye they have found a way to turn the cooling to warming.
Mann and Trenberth at it again.
Did data nincompoop Trenberth forget that he published recently that it was the deep ocean that stole his global warming ?
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/02/08/climate-change-blizzard-global-warming_n_2649587.html
Just read a piece saying a group of scientists believe a giant asteroid hitting what is now Mexico caused the extinction of dinosaurs and many other species. Question: Did the asteroid cause an Ice Age? Did it cause global warming at the time? Do we have any educated guesses?
HenryP,
UAH in your graph has not the lowest linear trend but the highest. It is just at the bottom of your plot due to the lowest offset.
UAH and RSS are very synchronous, they differed a bit around 2002, that’s why their trends 2002-2014 are a bit different.
http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/rss/from:1979/to:2014/plot/rss/from:2002/to:2014/trend/plot/uah/from:2002/to:2014/trend/plot/uah/from:1979/to:2014.
HenryP:
That graph is really too busy with too many subtle differences in color among the sets to easily see whatever point it is you are trying to make.
Okay, so I never went to college. Trying to understand this stuff anyway. People in other threads talk about heat from the Earth being lost out into space. How can heat be lost to space? As I remember from high school (a long time ago), heat is molecules jostling one another. Space is empty; how can heat be transferred into nothing?
Yeah I’m prolly missing something obvious. Be kind.
==========================================
I think his “missing heat” is buried in a snow drift.
henry@Kelvin Potter
i am glad you are also keeping an eye on things!
Mark and two Cats says:
February 10, 2013 at 11:11 am
Okay, so I never went to college. Trying to understand this stuff anyway. People in other threads talk about heat from the Earth being lost out into space. How can heat be lost to space? As I remember from high school (a long time ago), heat is molecules jostling one another. Space is empty; how can heat be transferred into nothing?
Mark, the heat energy “lost to space” is radiation. There are three types of heat transfer–conduction, convection, and radiation. (Radiation is in the form of electromagnetic waves, for example, infrared.)
henry@manfred
UAH IS OUT WITH ALL TRENDS
http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2002/to:2014/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2002/to:2014/trend/plot/hadcrut3vgl/from:2002/to:2014/plot/hadcrut3vgl/from:2002/to:2014/trend/plot/rss/from:2002/to:2014/plot/rss/from:2002/to:2014/trend/plot/gistemp/from:2002/to:2014/plot/gistemp/from:2002/to:2014/trend/plot/hadsst2gl/from:2002/to:2014/plot/hadsst2gl/from:2002/to:2014/trend/plot/uah/from:2002/to:2014/trend
Not only RSS
henry@dirkh
we are not talking abt just one result
it is many results?
geran says:
February 10, 2013 at 11:32 am
==========================================================
Also remember that the “molecules jostling” is a result of heat (energy), not the cause of it.
geran says:
February 10, 2013 at 11:32 am
“Mark, the heat energy “lost to space” is radiation. There are three types of heat transfer–conduction, convection, and radiation. (Radiation is in the form of electromagnetic waves, for example, infrared.)”
I’d like to add, as space is mostly devoid of molecules, energy transfer in space happens almost entirely by means of radiation.
Incoming radiation from the sun is mostly in the visible light spectrum. At full sunshine 1 kW/m^2 hits the ground. Some of this is infrared radiation. Some UV.
To compensate for this incoming radiation, Earth must radiate to space a nearly identical amount of radiation. Some of it is visible light, some of it is infrared radiation.