More IPCC AR5: THE SECRET SANTA LEAK

Guest post by Donna Laframboiseclip_image001

Thanks to a whistleblower, draft versions of most chapters of the IPCC’s upcoming report are now in the public domain. Among the new revelations: the IPCC has learned nothing from the Himalayan glacier debacle, bringing in Greenpeace again.

A week before Christmas, three data sticks containing 661 files and amounting to nearly one gigabyte of material came into my possession. They were created by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), a UN body currently at work on a high-profile report.

Due to be released in stages starting in September, this report will be promoted by government press conferences the world over. Officials will point to its findings and continue to spend billions on climate change measures.

The IPCC has confirmed the authenticity of sample documents on these sticks. Today, I’m making this massive collection of data, (with reviewer comments), which I call the Secret Santa leak, public. Some of these documents are already online. Many others would only have been released by the IPCC years from now. Still others the IPCC intended to keep hidden forever.

There’s a lot of information here and I’ve only examined a small portion of it so far. But a few things are certain. First, this leak – together with the one that occurred last month – places draft versions of a majority of the IPCC’s upcoming report in the public domain. Forty-four out of 60 chapters – 73% – are now available for examination. The claim, by the IPCC’s chairman, that this is a “totally transparent” organization and that whatever it does is “available for scrutiny at every stage” is closer than ever to being true.

Second, the IPCC hasn’t learned a thing from the Himalayan glacier scandal. Under the guise of “scientific expert review,” it recently permitted aggressive, behind-the-scenes lobbying of its authors by WWF employees and other activists. The draft version of the Working Group 2 report currently lists publications produced by the WWF and Greenpeace among its end-of-chapter references.

For a full discussion of these matters, click on over to my lengthy blog post: The Secret Santa Leak

What these sticks contain:

  • Working Group 2’s Zero Order Draft + 13,702 reviewer comments
  • Working Group 2’s First Order Draft + 19,958 reviewer comments
  • administrative documents

A 2010 investigation identified “significant shortcomings in each major step of the IPCC’s assessment process.” The time to shine light on this organization is now. If activists employed by lobby groups can read draft versions of this report, so can the public.

I encourage you to download your own copies. If anyone has the technical skill to make all of this data available – and searchable – online, that would be welcome, indeed.

DOWNLOAD OPTIONS

Blue data stick zipped, 26 mb – here or here

Gold data stick zipped, 140 mb – here or here

Green data stick zipped, 675 mb – here or here

Blue torrent:

magnet:?xt=urn:btih:FE53DEE7870921017E63678647B78281F56F45A2&dn=blue.zip&tr=udp%3a%2f%2ftracker.openbittorrent.com%3a80%2fannounce&tr=udp%3a%2f%2ftracker.publicbt.com%3a80%2fannounce&tr=udp%3a%2f%2ffr33domtracker.h33t.com%3a3310%2fannounce

Gold torrent: magnet:?xt=urn:btih:A30CCD2FFEF70C354073D082938894B122870888&dn=gold.zip&tr=udp%3a%2f%2ffr33domtracker.h33t.com%3a3310%2fannounce&tr=udp%3a%2f%2ftracker.openbittorrent.com%3a80%2fannounce&tr=udp%3a%2f%2ftracker.publicbt.com%3a80%2fannounce

Green torrent: magnet:?xt=urn:btih:35BCE4E514069B62D39CFECD26F799E7C36BDA84&dn=green.zip&tr=udp%3a%2f%2ftracker.openbittorrent.com%3a80%2fannounce&tr=udp%3a%2f%2ftracker.publicbt.com%3a80%2fannounce&tr=udp%3a%2f%2ffr33domtracker.h33t.com%3a3310%2fannounce

First Order Draft torrent: magnet:?xt=urn:btih:FEABA896B40807B21E34138183CFE28C2962B248&dn=WGIIAR5_FODall.zip&tr=udp%3a%2f%2ftracker.openbittorrent.com%3a80%2fannounce&tr=udp%3a%2f%2ftracker.publicbt.com%3a80%2fannounce&tr=udp%3a%2f%2ffr33domtracker.h33t.com%3a3310%2fannounce

please leave your client active for a few hours to help speed up other people’s download

Complete First Order Draft 2,465 pages – 125 mb here or here

Chapter 1: Point of Departurehere or here

Chapter 2: Foundations for Decisionmakinghere or here

Chapter 3: Freshwater Resourceshere or here

Chapter 4: Terrestrial and Inland Water Systemshere or here

Chapter 5: Coastal Systems and Low-lying Areashere or here

Chapter 6: Ocean Systemshere or here

Chapter 7: Food Production Systems and Food Securityhere or here

Chapter 8: Urban Areashere or here

Chapter 9: Rural Areashere or here

Chapter 10: Key Economic Sectors and Serviceshere or here

Chapter 11: Human Healthhere or here

Chapter 12: Human Societyhere or here

Chapter 13: Livelihoods and Povertyhere or here

Chapter 14: Adaptation: Needs and Optionshere or here

Chapter 15 – Adaptation Planning and Implementationhere or here

Chapter 16: Adaptation Opportunities, Constrains, and Limitshere or here

Chapter 17: Economics of Adaptation – here or here

Chapter 18: Detection and Attribution of Observed Impactshere or here

Chapter 19: Emergent Risks and Key Vulnerabilitieshere or here

Chapter 20: Climate-resilient Pathways: Adaption, Mitigation, and Sustainable Developmenthere or here

Chapter 21: Regional Contexthere or here

Chapter 22: Africahere or here

Chapter 23: Europehere or here

Chapter 24: Asiahere or here

Chapter 25: Australasiahere or here

Chapter 26: North Americahere or here

Chapter 27: Central and South Americahere or here

Chapter 28: Polar Regions here or here

Chapter 29: Small Islandshere or here

Chapter 30: Open Oceanshere or here

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162 Comments
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MangoChutney
January 8, 2013 7:03 am

wow

David
January 8, 2013 7:05 am

Holy sh*t…..
The IPCC is NOT going to be pleased..!

January 8, 2013 7:08 am

Great!

pokerguy
January 8, 2013 7:10 am

Donna, many passionate thanks for your courageous work. I sometimes wonder why we can’t all get together and fund a legitimate, statistically valid survey of scientists regarding their degree of acceptance of the IPCC position and the CAGW case in general. Whenever I get into an argument with an alarmist, they almost always bring up that absurd 97 percent number..If we could demonstrate that there is indeed a significant percentage of smart, qualified people with profound reservations, well, I can’t think of a more powerful argument against the establishment position and the widespread laughable belief that the “science is settled.” And yet I never hear of anyone suggesting something along these lines…

Adam Gallon
January 8, 2013 7:13 am

Ah good, more light to be shone into the murky depths of the IPCC’s processes.

January 8, 2013 7:14 am

OMG 🙂
Climate science is indeed starting to become a transparent pursuit.
The only thing that seems sure is that he likes of the BBC will brazenly ignore this content and continue pushing alarmism for all they are worth…..

John F. Hultquist
January 8, 2013 7:15 am

I was hoping the announcement was going to be a cancellation of the report and a disbandment of the IPCC. That would be the appropriate response to the ‘1st Rule of Holes’.
Those are huge files for old computers and computer old folks, but I do agree with Mango – wow!

Phillip Bratby
January 8, 2013 7:16 am

Three cheers for the Christmas whistle-blower. He knew where to go – well done Donna.

January 8, 2013 7:17 am

Oh happy day, oh happy day!
Could 2013 be the year the tide turned against the IPCC?

January 8, 2013 7:17 am

Anthony
Chapter 23 first link points to a chapter 22 source
REPLY: we’ll look at that – thx A

Sam the First
January 8, 2013 7:18 am

Great work – I hope we have the people on here to make best use of all this information.
How to make those who should read and study all this, is the question. Prince Charles this week has been a prime example of those who claim to understand the arguments and have the ears of the media, yet fail to follow the scientific case, to keep up with developments, or to ever question their own basic premises.

Eliza
January 8, 2013 7:19 am

I wonder if it even worth paying or giving any attention to such a discredited organization as the IPCC. This sort of thing of gives them some “sort of an authority” which they should not even have.Most of the output is pure BS anyway. Surely they will be diluting the message over the years as climate does not “change”the way they want it to, but still waste billions of dollars on a non- event

Armagh Observatory
January 8, 2013 7:20 am
JonasM
January 8, 2013 7:23 am

Note: I had to change the magnet URI’s to :
“magnet:?xt=urn…” to make them work in uTorrent.
(Add the question mark)

iskoob
January 8, 2013 7:29 am

¡Vive l’information!
As usual, the alarmists are doing everything they can to suppress information; the non-alarmists are doing everything they can to liberate it.
I think we can safely say the myth about non-alarmists being anti-science stands busted without the possibility of parole. Who’s in denial now, biatches?

stricq
January 8, 2013 7:33 am

The magnet links are broken. Please post links to the actual torrents.

Marco
January 8, 2013 7:35 am

Thank you Donna for making this information available and for your perspective!
The “delinquent teenager” is not yet grown up.

PaulH
January 8, 2013 7:44 am

Wow, that’s a lot of (mis)information to absorb. But Josh is on the case – 🙂
http://www.bishop-hill.net/blog/2013/1/8/secret-santa-releases-ipcc-draft-josh-193.html

garymount
January 8, 2013 7:48 am

The magnet links don’t seem to work as listed here. The ones at her site do work however.
The following in an example of her link that works for the first one in the list.
A difference seems to be a ? near the beginning that is missing.
magnet:?xt=urn:btih:FE53DEE7870921017E63678647B78281F56F45A2&dn=blue.zip&tr=udp%3a%2f%2ftracker.openbittorrent.com%3a80%2fannounce&tr=udp%3a%2f%2ftracker.publicbt.com%3a80%2fannounce&tr=udp%3a%2f%2ffr33domtracker.h33t.com%3a3310%2fannounce

January 8, 2013 7:49 am

The torrent URIs don’t work for me with uTorrent.
I thought that perhaps I was doing something wrong with uTorrent, so I made links out of them, here, but they still don’t work for me.

Dr T G Watkins
January 8, 2013 7:50 am

Well done Donna.
Yet another arrow in the mammoth that is the IPPC. Eventually, eventually it will fall.

Roy UK
January 8, 2013 7:51 am

JonasM says:
January 8, 2013 at 7:23 am
Note: I had to change the magnet URI’s to :
“magnet:?xt=urn…” to make them work in uTorrent.
(Add the question mark)

I copied and pasted the links into a new firefox tab, added the question mark as suggested by JonasM and the links all work in utorrent.

Reply to  Roy UK
January 8, 2013 7:52 am

Magnet URL’s fixed, they got mangled via email delivery
A

roger
January 8, 2013 7:52 am

Sam the First says:
January 8, 2013 at 7:18 am
Re your Prince Charles comment there is no fool like an old fool and he fits both descriptions.
If the Prince’s ideas were clothes he would be in rags today. Would his courtiers tell him?

JonasM
January 8, 2013 7:53 am

daveburton : I’m using uTorrent 3.2.3 on Windows, and the links you posted work fine. Maybe upgrade your client?

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