Sandy and the presidential election

From Fox News, a surprising metric from exit polls. They write:

Many analysts felt that the arrival of Hurricane Sandy gave the president a boost last week by allowing him to display leadership in front of the American people, as well as taking away valuable campaigning days from Gov. Romney.

###

Chris Christie’s bear hug didn’t help either.

President Obama in his acceptance speech:

“We want our children to live in an America that isn’t burdened by debt, that isn’t weakened by inequality, that isn’t threatened by the destructive power of a warming planet,”

Read the full transcript

Looks like “dirty weather” is here to stay because the public just can’t see past this monstrous fabrication. “Tabloid climatology” may be a new career path for many.

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November 7, 2012 6:24 am

What can you say. Stupid is as Stupid Does.
Welcome to Venezuela.

CJ
November 7, 2012 6:25 am

We need to face the facts, it’s not 47% as Romney indicated, it’s over 50%. We’re finished…

SamG
November 7, 2012 6:25 am

Yep…that’s representative democracy for you.
Populist candidates beget stupid voters.

November 7, 2012 6:25 am

Wow. Maybe He can change the climate…
/sarc

temp
November 7, 2012 6:26 am

All meaningless junk. The election was set long before the vote. The only question now is what numbers will they use for obama’s 2016 reelection victory.

aharris
November 7, 2012 6:28 am

How far have we fallen that what people see in a mere four days completely erases the evidence of four long years? We’re close to the Ministry of Truth territory here.

Harold Ambler
November 7, 2012 6:32 am

Sandy and its political aftermath = a living nightmare.
In retrospect, it wouldn’t have hurt for Romney to take fewer punches to the chin during the third debate and to have landed a few haymakers himself. In particular, it is unfathomable that he did not demand an hour-by-hour accounting regarding Benghazi.
For instance, Romney might have asked the President:
1. “Would you have gone to bed rather than the Situation Room if the consulate had been in Britain rather than Libya?”
2. “At what time — or on what date date — did you first speak to a general about Benghazi?”
3. “At what time — or on what date — did you first speak to Hillary Clinton about the Benghazi attack? Did you speak to her before going to bed on the night of the attack?”
4. “Did you personally brief and/or speak with Ambassador Rice prior to her circuit of the Sunday morning television programs during which she falsely attributed the attack to a spontaneous response to a video rather than an act of carefully planned terrorism?”
5. “Are you comfortable with the decision to leave Washington for a campaign stop in Las Vegas less than 24 hours after our ambassador was slain?”
I am surprised that candidates don’t try to ask more questions of each other generally, but I am particularly perplexed in this case.
I even think it would have been worth bringing in notes in this case.
Still cannot believe that the supposedly unimportant issue of climate change may have handed Obama a second term at the last minute. Cannot believe it. Can’t.

mycroft..shared winning of nobel peace prize, EU resident,
November 7, 2012 6:36 am

If we ever need the next batch FOIA,its now. Obama will try to continue the lie.The warmist around the planet must have given a massive sigh of relief when the results came in.Skeptics a groan of dismay…but we will battle on throwing the fake science and blantant propaganda back in their faces…And mother natures on our side

Michael
November 7, 2012 6:36 am

And Romney couldn’t run a coherent campaign with policies so thin on details that opponents could say anything they like about what he was going to do as President.

Paul Vaughan
November 7, 2012 6:38 am

People are naturally caring towards victims of natural events. Such solidarity is natural. If anything gave Obama a boost, it was nature, including human nature.

Dalcio Dacol
November 7, 2012 6:40 am

[snip – off topic]

Olavi
November 7, 2012 6:42 am

Do you really believe, that selfish multimillionaire like Romney is, would be better to USA as nation? Better for average person? While he thinks that all the money should be in rich people’s pokets. Only one thing in Obamas policy is bothering me. His belief in AGW.

Sam the First
November 7, 2012 6:44 am

I’m sure Sandy did have a big effect, given that Romney had aired an intention to privatise FEMA not long before. And trying to educate these people is a terrible uphill battle.
A very old friend in the US – an Obama activist – posted some inane video from YouTube on my FB page a couple of days ago, purporting to show Romney was crazy to say that Sandy had nothing to do with global warming. I have no time for Romney as a man, but I countered with several links so that my friend could educate himself (and his friends) regarding this fallacy; two of the links were from here.
He promptly removed me from his page, and this is someone I’ve known since 1970. The AGW thesis is so closely allied with their core beliefs, they utterly refuse to educate themselves in Scientific realities. Fingers in ears and ‘lalalalalalallaa’ seems to be the usual response – I despair.

milodonharlani
November 7, 2012 6:44 am

Before Gallup stopped polling due to the storm, its likely voter screen produced a five point lead for Romney, down from six. When it resumed polling (Nov 1-4), Romney’s LV lead fell to one point, while the survey found Obama ahead by three points among registered voters. In the actual election, Obama won by two points.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/158519/romney-obama-gallup-final-election-survey.aspx
So there probably was a significant drop off in support for Romney during the days of Sandy & her immediate aftermath. To what extent this was due to the storm & consequent coverage of course is hard to say, but it was real. Rove said that among women in CO, for instance, viewing Obama on the shore decided them for him, or made them switch. A female voter I saw interviewed in NH exit polling also gave his response as a reason, too, among others. No doubt men too were swayed.
What added effect the disgruntled prospective Veep candidate Christie’s ursine embrace may have had, who knows?
Romney’s support was already softening, however, possibly related to the later debates & further off-putting to moderates remarks by MO & IN US Senate candidates Akin & Mourdock. Not to mention media minimizing & covering up Benghazi.
Romney had to swim upstream, but the race was winnable. As it stands now, a switch from Obama to Romney of about 144,000 voted in four states (with FL) would have changed the result (depending upon recounts). But that close would have been a nightmare like 2000, only on paranoia inducing drugs.

Jeremy
November 7, 2012 6:45 am

The way that 30 million were persuaded to vote early and that the incumbent administration was able to rally 10’s of thousands of volunteers to go round knocking on doors and making sure the politically correct people voted is but a small step on the path towards Obama’s version of CHAVEZISM.
Despite the dismal economic track record or perhaps BECAUSE of the dismal economic track record – OBAMUNISM – big government protecting the little people against evil capitalism – is here to say.
Americans can say good bye to freedom and prosperity….

Mark Hladik
November 7, 2012 6:46 am

Hope everyone enjoyed the last election ever to be held in the United States.

garymount
November 7, 2012 6:47 am

I’ll make this short, I’ve started studying Mandarin. And I’m not kidding.

DGH
November 7, 2012 6:50 am

C’mon It would take Michael Mannematics to tease out a correlation between Obama’s victory and Hurricane Sandy.
Obama’s win was decisive. He won both the popular vote and the electoral college. The Dems will pick up 8 seats in the House and they will increase their control in the Senate.
A mandate? No. A clear signal? Clear as a bell. I only hope the Republican leaders aren’t tone deaf.

Doug
November 7, 2012 6:53 am

The American people spoke. They elected a person who is misguided on global warming, but that is no reason not to respect democracy. If you know of a better system, I’d like to hear about it.
Railing against our constitutional government in action just damages the credibility of this fine site.

Mike Bromley the Canucklehead
November 7, 2012 6:53 am

“that isn’t threatened by the destructive power of a warming planet” Wow. Paint an impossibly gloomy picture, why dontcha. Give yourself a out in the process.

G. Karst
November 7, 2012 6:54 am

As soon as Sandy turned and hit the coast, I turned to the wife and said “Forget the polls, it will be 4 more years of Obama”.
But that is all water under the bridge. The important question for this forum is: What effect will another Obama term have on Climate dictated policy? Can skepticism survive 4 more years of institutional propaganda and government bias? Some prognostication please. GK

Dennis
November 7, 2012 6:56 am

No one ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American public – H.L. Menken.

temp
November 7, 2012 6:59 am

Dalcio Dacol says:
November 7, 2012 at 6:40 am
Please put down the propaganda and step away…

Bad Apple
November 7, 2012 7:02 am

Roy: There’s only two of us now.
Pris: Then we’re stupid and we’ll die.
This exchange from Blade Runner sums it up for me. It no longer matters who or what is right, it only matters how badly outnumbered you are.

Vince Causey
November 7, 2012 7:04 am

I was listening to CNN cover the election last night, and up popped a slot asking whether hurricane Sandy has brought climate change back into politics. Opposite the anchor was sitting former EPA head C Todd Whitman (I think). The anchor showed a short clip of Romney’s rally when a heckler started shouting out “What about the climate?” completely interrupting Romney’s speech. Unsurprisingly, Romney supporters started shouting back: “USA, USA.”
Then the anchor asked something absolutely extraordinary. She asked why Romney supporters started heckling the guy who was shouting “climate change.” She was aghast that they were heckling the heckler! “Doesn’t that show their disdain for climate change?” she quipped.
Is this what counts for an objective opinion these days? Suppose a heckler broke into Obama’s rally and started shouting for his birth certificate. Would the anchor express disdain that the supporters jumped on his case?
Just for the record, Whitman replied that they weren’t shouting him down because they were against his views on climate change – they just wanted to listen to Romney.

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