Its always important to remember what has been predicted by the elders of science, and to review those predictions when the time is right. In four months, just 132 days from now at the end of summer on the Autumnal Equinox September 22nd 2012, the Arctic will be “nearly ice free” according to a prominent NASA scientist in a National Geographic article on December 12, 2007. That is also the same article in which the future NSIDC director made himself famous with this quote:
“The Arctic is screaming,”
…said Mark Serreze, senior scientist at the government’s snow and ice data center in Boulder, Colorado.
Here’s the article as a screen cap, highlights mine:
Seth Borenstein of AP wrote the story.
Source: http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2007/12/071212-AP-arctic-melt.html
Which I’ve webcited the printer friendly version (sans advertising) for posterity here:
http://www.webcitation.org/67cXXHEjg
Some people are taking this prediction very seriously, for example, watch this video:
Children just aren’t going to know what an Arctic Icecap is.
So, given the proximity of this upcoming event, I’ve added a countdown for it in the right sidebar. We watch and wait until 7:49AM Pacific Time 14:49 UTC on September 22nd, 2012.
In the meantime, here’s the current sea-ice situation on the WUWT Sea Ice Reference Page
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Ooooh… you have to bring this back in September, or at least whenever the ice extent starts its winter increase.
REPLY: Check the sidebar, it will do the countdown and keep this story linked – Anthony
No Mark, it’s you that’s screaming about the sky falling.
Undoubtedly the sole reason for arctic ice still being with us was the ascension to the throne of the fellow who made the oceans quit rising. . . . . . .
Here’s a few more:
Frightening’ projection for Arctic melt
The Arctic Ocean could be free of ice in the summer as soon as 2010 or 2015 – something that hasn’t happened for more than a million years, according to a leading polar researcher.
The frightening models we didn’t even dare to talk about before are now proving to be true,” Fortier told CanWest News Service, referring to computer models that take into account the thinning of the sea ice and the warming from the albedo effect – the Earth is absorbing more energy as the sea ice melts.
According to these models, there will be no sea ice left in the summer in the Arctic Ocean somewhere between 2010 and 2015.
“And it’s probably going to happen even faster than that,” said Fortier, who leads an international team of researchers in the Arctic looking for clues to climate change.
http://www.canada.com/topics/news/national/story.html?id=c76d05dd-2864-43b2-a2e3-82e0a8ca05d5&k=53683
—————————————————————————————————————
Too late to keep Arctic sea ice from vanishing?
‘It’s hard to see how the system may come back,’ expert says
Arctic sea ice next summer may shrink below the record low last year and it’s hard to see how it won’t eventually melt away completely, according to a University of Washington climatologist.
Have we passed the tipping point?” he asked. “It’s hard to see how the system may come back.”
The prospect of a mostly ice-free Arctic could mean a boom in shipping through the Bering Strait, several speakers said, but is bad news for polar bears and other animals.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/23134090/#.T681KejpG5I
“This week, after reviewing his own data…”
Well, that’ll do it to you, every time.
Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts…
My apologies to all for doing this to you…
I Love Living In the Arctic
I love livin’ in the Arctic
It’s really quite cathartic
Movin’ to the Antarctic
After the big melt.
Brisk air makes me feel brand new
Turns my toes and fingers blue
I can’t feel my sinews
Even when eating smelt.
Some say the ice is really cold
It helps to be both dumb and bold
Disregard all you’ve been told
To live the way out here.
But out here it’s really nice
Lots to drink and lots of ice
Yes I’d love a lemon slice
In my frozen beer.
The Arctic’s great I like it lots
Though I could use a few more Watts
A couple skeptics could help me spot
A shortcut to the Pole.
Al lives in Montecito
Lunches in Cupertino
Arugula, steak and vino
And livin’ on the dole.
I’m looking for my buddy Al
He told me that he was my pal
Too bad he lost his favorite gal
But he still got all the bling
Gotta love the six month night
Sleep under the northern lights
Can’t feel your feet? It’s alright
They’ll thaw in the Spring.
I came out here to beat the heat
Sleeping on the Arctic sheet
Frozen breath is really neat
Once you chip it off your face.
I just heard a deathly squeal
I hope that wasn’t a baby seal
I just threw up my last meal
At least I’m saving the human race.
Now your stomach’s growling
While the wind is howling
Nearby something’s prowling
It’s just a polar bear.
But hey don’t get your feelings bent
He only wants to share your tent
You’ll wonder where your manhood went
When you see his icy stare.
Maybe he wants to share your Coke
Believe that if you are a dope
At this point you have no hope
And this fact do not ignore.
Sure, he’s tall, cuddly and cute
His pretty girlfriend she’s a beaut
His friends and cubs they’re all enroute
Did I mention he’s a carnivore?
I love livin’ in the Arctic
It’s really quite cathartic
Movin’ to the Antarctic
After the big melt.
Who needs all that warmth and food
Head covered in a 5 pound hood
Losing half your body mass is good
My! I look so svelte.
You’re living large in a tiny hut
Both your eyes are frozen shut
And now you’ve got a tiny gut
By living off the land.
Oh, that’s right it’s frozen ice
Even though they say it’s nice
The leads aren’t good for growing rice
And all your food is canned.
You say you like the Summer
Man that is a bummer
Out here you could drive a Hummer
But the gas is frozen solid.
Searing pain inside your bones
Battery dead on the satellite phone
This place has all the comforts of home
Except it’s a lot more squalid.
Your frozen foot is turning black
There’s no point in turning back
Way out here there’s just no lack
Of fun things to do.
Melt some snow to get a drink
The GPS is on the blink
That way’s North at least I think
That’s the way to go.
I am the pride of my Nation
I’ll be a sensation
Is this Arctic Amplification
My hand won’t fit my glove.
It’s just a little swollen
No chance I’m going bowlin’
Looks like some fingers were stolen
I could use some love.
If I don’t make it don’t feel bad
I don’t want you feelin’ sad
Think of the good times I’ve had
And how my heart is filled with glee.
Been livin’ in a freezer
Just thirty but I look like a geezer
Pull off my dead skin with a tweezer
And bury me at sea.
CO2’s a demon gas
It comes out of a bovine’s
Asinine ideas have no class
Soon we’re all going to burn.
The UN says it’s CO2
They say it’s all because of you
Just stop breathing that’ll do
You have so much to learn.
CO2 is less than one percent
But Al knows how the money’s spent
He was just here but now he went
Flying off to Rio.
Al just wants to save the world
Wants his frozen margarita’s swirled
Sleeps in a warm bed toes are curled
Life is better below zero.
Tell my love I’ll be a little late
My leg they had to amputate
I be just a torso at this rate
But it’s all good and well.
I’m doing this to save the earth
Al looks like he’s giving birth
I’m doing this for what it’s worth
Before the earth turns into hell.
Oh I love livin’ in the Arctic
It’s really quite cathartic
Movin’ to the Antarctic
After the big melt.
Some say here it’s really cold
Don’t be a sissy just be bold
Follow Al do what you’re told
Pay your carbon tax and tighten your belt.
Since Obama told us that the border fence was ” basicaly done”, (5%) then if only 5% of the ice has melted by then, this will be true. It all depends on the definition of “nearly.”
Those self appointed experts and prophets of imminent doom who made such wild and unsubstantiated claims should be presented with them at every opportunity, never be allowed to forget their past made up lies.
I wonder if the servers on Cryosphere Today will be back up by then.
My God, the Internet has changed human history for sure. The folly of Mann’s predictions are laid bare for eternity. Oh the humanity.
IIRC, in 2008 Al Gore also predicted in Berlin that the Arctic would be ice-free in 2013.
Predictions are like, well, you know. Let’s make it interesting: anytime one of these clowns like Serreze makes a prediction and it’s wrong, they lose their job. [snip] Their choice.
“if the ice all melt… then the gas, will be released. from the ocean.
and we’ll all be poisoned!
by the gas….
from the ocean….
That’s a LOT of gas. Enough to kill everyone.”
HAHAHAHAHA!
< on the Autumnal Equinox September 21st 2012,
Anthony, this year Autumnal Equinox will occur on September 22.
REPLY: Had it right in the countdown, but typoed the text fixed thanks. – Anthony
Don’t forget Al Gore’s Nobel Peace Prize winning speech 10th Dec 2007. Ice free in as little as 7 years.
http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/peace/laureates/2007/gore-lecture_en.html
Not long now Al…
Chuckle! Thanks for that.
The hard edge of real data sems to be bain of the warmistas. Making scary predictions have many advantages. One is press coverage and the oher is government grants and another is tenure.
What is sad is that the fame, money, and tenure remain even when the scientific predictions are shown to be nonsense and entirely self-serving.
Thank goodness we are getting more and more data all the time. And, so long as it isn’t adjusted it will prove the alarmists false.
Mark Serreze, of the US National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), is consistent:
April 27, 2008
North Pole Could Be Ice Free in 2008
There is this thin first-year ice even at the North Pole at the moment,” says Serreze. “This raises the spectre – the possibility that you could become ice free at the North Pole this year.”
http://abcnews.go.com/Technology/story?id=4728737&page=1#.T69QYu2EYqY
Just some guy 10:31pm:
That’s what I thought she said, so I listened again, and, although the accent’s difficult with all the background music, it does seem as though she thinks carbon-dioxide is poisonous. My God, we’ve got a lot of work to do!.
Hold them to account. Force them to recant..
If the Arctic sea ice reflects 80% of the suns heat, how much does the Antarctic cap and sea ice reflect?
JC says:
May 12, 2012 at 9:31 pm
Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts…
…and Climate Science is the belief in the expertise of ignorants.
@ur momisugly Rick K, May 12, 2012 at 9:32 pm: That. Was. Hilarious!
Rarely has an advance apology been sooo appropriate ..
>:p