Comedy gold: APS president attacks "inaccurate characterization" of APS position, doesn't realize he's attacking an APS quote

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Guest Post by Alec Rawls

When German ex-climate-alarmist Fritz Vahrenholt came out last week as a climate skeptic, he related his moment of epiphany, when he was firsthand witness of the alarmists’ sheer disregard for error:

Vahrenholt’s skepticism started when he was asked to review an IPCC report on renewable energy. He found hundreds of errors. When he pointed them out, IPCC officials simply brushed them aside. Stunned, he asked himself, “Is this the way they approached the climate assessment reports?”

For a comedy of errors, witness American Physical Society president Robert Byer’s response to the 16 climate skeptics who recently criticized his organization’s statement on climate change in the Wall Street Journal. It should serve as a Vahrenholtian moment for APS members. Here is Byer’s complaint:

The APS statement is unequivocal. It notes that “global warming is occurring.” … The statement does not declare, as the authors of the op-ed suggest, that the human contribution to climate change is incontrovertible.

See how up-to-speed the APS is? Byers is aware that climate skeptics don’t deny global warming—that they only question whether this warming is attributable to human action—and so he assumes that the critics must have accused the APS of claiming that human attribution is incontrovertible. But if he had actually read the skeptic article that he presumes to correct, he would know otherwise. They explicitly questioned the statement that “global warming is occurring.” How did Byers miss this sentence:

Perhaps the most inconvenient fact is the lack of global warming for well over 10 years now.

It may be incontrovertible that the planet WAS warming, past tense. But the claim that the planet is incontrovertibly STILL warming is nothing short of bizarre.

It’s not just little news items like: “Met Office releases new figures which show no warming in 15 years.” It’s the very idea of making an unequivocal statement about the content of incoming data, about the direction that our ever-changing climate is currently heading. Byers really doesn’t see the problem?

Byers attacks the APS statement itself

Of course the sixteen critics also took the APS to task for its presumption that warming is primarily caused by humans, but they did this entirely with quotes. When Byers attacks the claim that APS attributes warming to human activity, he is blissfully unaware that he is attacking the APS statement itself.

Here is the full skeptic paragraph on the APS:

In September, Nobel Prize-winning physicist Ivar Giaever, a supporter of President Obama in the last election, publicly resigned from the American Physical Society (APS) with a letter that begins: “I did not renew [my membership] because I cannot live with the [APS policy] statement: ‘The evidence is incontrovertible: Global warming is occurring. If no mitigating actions are taken, significant disruptions in the Earth’s physical and ecological systems, social systems, security and human health are likely to occur. We must reduce emissions of greenhouse gases beginning now.’ In the APS it is OK to discuss whether the mass of the proton changes over time and how a multi-universe behaves, but the evidence of global warming is incontrovertible?”

Giaever is directly quoting the APS statement. The quote is not out of context. There are no omitted ellipses. It is APS itself that jumps directly from the claim of incontrovertible warming to the claim that greenhouse gases must be reduced, implicitly attributing the proclaimed warming to human GHG production. Nobody can blame Byers for taking this quote to imply that APS also considers human attribution to be incontrovertible, but it is quite amazing that he somehow fails to realize that it is in fact a quote.

Byers is all het-up about this scurrilous aspersion. How dare the skeptics accuse the APS of such perfidy! It is a ludicrous concatenation of error, all in a mere 200 word response to a 1200 word op-ed.

Who can write 200 words for a national newspaper without bothering to check the few facts addressed? Does Byers even know what the APS statement says? He can’t have bothered to read the WSJ op-ed. And he is clearly unaware that there is some leeetle bit of doubt about whether the planet is in fact still warming.

Witness your naked president, APS members. He actually thinks he is wearing clothes. Maybe you could just shuffle him out the door, and that egregious APS statement with him.

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Physics Major
February 8, 2012 7:40 pm

I have been a member of APS for 40+ years. I would suggest to Dr Byers that the Society needs to stick with its scientific mission and leave politics and political correctness to others. Otherwise embarrassments like this are bound to happen.

tolo4zero
February 8, 2012 7:40 pm

“The statement does not declare, as the authors of the op-ed suggest, that the human contribution to climate change is incontrovertible.”
If it didn’t (which it does), it would make the APS deniers,
welcome to the other side!

Pine
February 8, 2012 7:48 pm

Time to resign out of sheer embarrassment.

RockyRoad
February 8, 2012 7:51 pm

tolo4zero says:
February 8, 2012 at 7:40 pm

“The statement does not declare, as the authors of the op-ed suggest, that the human contribution to climate change is incontrovertible.”
If it didn’t (which it does), it would make the APS deniers,
welcome to the other side!

True, but we don’t want them and we don’t need them. Please just send honest folk.

crosspatch
February 8, 2012 7:56 pm

Things like this generally happen when an organization is needing to curry favor with some other organization. What was the purpose of making the statement in the first place and from whom did they benefit in making it? Was it a requirement for a grant from some foundation or another? Or maybe Dr. Byers was simply taking an opportunity to use his pulpit to extol his own personal political views and curry favor with those who he admires. Generally, though, there is a reason why an organization jumps into a very polarized issue and it generally has to do with which side of their bread has the butter on it. Do they publish their books? Did they get a sizable contribution right around that time?

Neo
February 8, 2012 7:58 pm

“And he is clearly unaware that there is some leeetle bit of doubt about whether the planet is in fact still warming.”
I’m he can’t be blamed “stans in sua” since government officials like Lisa Jackson have argued with Congressmen that “nothing has changed.”

Nick
February 8, 2012 8:18 pm

Fritz Varenholt was one of many reviewers of the first and second order drafts of the IPCC Special Report on renewable energy. Scanning his contributions in the reviews of each chapter, and responses to his points,I don’t see any evidence that ‘IPCC officials simply brushed them aside’. Each point is acknowledged by the writing team with comments such ‘ section/paragraph/etc.will be re-written’,’noted’ ‘accepted’ and/or a specific action is detailed.

Skiphil
February 8, 2012 8:32 pm

This is so perfectly incoherent and disgraceful that Byers ought to resign or be fired immediately.
The idea that the titular head of any learned society could be so manifestly incompetent to discuss issues already pronounced upon by that society is beyond embarrassment.
No physicist worthy of the name can accept the leadership of a buffoon like Dr. Byers.

RobW
February 8, 2012 8:38 pm

Nick 8:18 pm
Were they re-written? Seems Dr. Varenholt doesn’t think so. How about you? Have you read The Delinquent Teenager. I suggest you do.

Jeff Wiita
February 8, 2012 8:56 pm

Maybe APS should recant their entire global warming position statement and leave politics out of their mission statement.

grayman
February 8, 2012 9:00 pm

Nick, Perhaps he is talking about the finished version that was released to the public?

DavidA
February 8, 2012 9:36 pm

The statement as it exists now (always?) has “…incontrovertible: Global warming is occurring” as a one sentence paragraph on its own. This semantic subtlety does leave the option to argue “incontrovertible” is not applied to the rest, though personally I’m reluctant to read it that way given the tone of the full statement.
It’s worth pointing out the first sentence of the statement: “Emissions of greenhouse gases from human activities are changing the atmosphere in ways that affect the Earth’s climate”.
“are” does not leave any room for doubt i.e. incontrovertible, though no mention of scale of the affects is given and it probably is incontrovertible that the climate is affected to some degree, however small.
http://www.aps.org/policy/statements/07_1.cfm
They should have made their statement incontrovertible.

Al Gored
February 8, 2012 9:38 pm

I’m guessing that the BBC’s Richard Black hasn’t got the joke yet.
“12:30 UK time, Tuesday, 7 February 2012
@BBCRBlack via Twitter
American Physical Society says WSJ letter distorted its position on #climate @carbonbrief http://t.co/Th534b83
I’m guessing that somebody will be wishing they didn’t spread this letter all over the net so fast.

Britez Riveros
February 8, 2012 9:43 pm

Real evidence to show that the Australian Authorities were in fact advised wrongly about Wivenhoe dam and why people died and lost Billions
http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/bureau_predicts_we_wont_remember_its_last_prediction/

Laurie
February 8, 2012 10:18 pm

I personally don’t have evidence to back up my speculation that each of these organizations were pressured to make the statement to go on record as to whether they were for science (AGW) and scientists (Climate) or not.

noaaprogrammer
February 8, 2012 10:29 pm

… apparently at his level of incompetance…

kwik
February 8, 2012 10:33 pm

Surely it cannot have been written by the good docteur himself. It must have been written by some PR agent?

February 8, 2012 10:38 pm

Sheesh! Check out this PyysicsToday article:
“Wall Street Journal attempts to escalate the climate wars”
http://tinyurl.com/862z7x3

Nigel S
February 8, 2012 10:50 pm

The APS statement is wonderfully weaselly.
‘The evidence is incontrovertible: Global warming is occurring… significant disruptions.. are likely…. We must reduce emissions…’
So their president is correct. They didn’t say that the human contribution to climate change is incontrovertible. They said that we must reduce emissions because significant disruptions are likely.
Hoist on his own petard I think.
‘…a plan so cunning, you could stick a tail on it and call it a weasel!’

JJ
February 8, 2012 11:26 pm

DavidA says:
“are” does not leave any room for doubt i.e. incontrovertible, though no mention of scale of the affects is given and it probably is incontrovertible that the climate is affected to some degree, however small.”
Both the scale and the incontrovertable status of the anthro contribution are pinned down by the balance of the statement:
“If no mitigating actions are taken, significant disruptions in the Earth’s physical and ecological systems, social systems, security and human health are likely to occur. We must reduce emissions of greenhouse gases beginning now.”
Hey Byer – stop trying to weasel your way out of your position statement. Retract it. Or turn in your Hard Science card. You are an embarrassment to your field.

February 9, 2012 12:12 am

I may be a bit slow this morning….but I had to read this article a couple of times in order to grasp the point. The idea that this is going to galvanize the scientific community into howling for Mr Byers’ head is a bit of wishful thinking, I would say.
Sadly.

EternalOptimist
February 9, 2012 1:45 am

It’s a bit shoddy to have a concise punchy mission statement that encapsulates your policy, and then to have to have reams of ‘lawyer-speak’ underneath explaining what you actually meant.
Come on Byers, get it right first time

Robert of Ottawa
February 9, 2012 3:00 am

Ah, Lysenko is smiling.

A. Opinion
February 9, 2012 4:13 am

How can the president of APS make such a basic logic blunder.
In logic:
if not b -> not a
then a -> b
So if less GHG’s -> less global warming, as the APS statement claims,
then the statement must imply that GHG’s are a significant factor in global warming.
Q.E.D.