Data for study based on TWO fish sample size: challenges to Australia's Climate Comission go unanswered

One fish, representing 50% sample size. Lateral view of a Banded Morwong. Photographer: Erik Schlögl via The Australian Museum

Submitted by Marc Hendrix – correspondence with Steve Woodman, reproduced with permission:

For your reference, today I sent this challenge to the Climate Commission regarding a recent University of Tasmania study on growth rates in the banded morwong and the alarmist promotion of its suspect findings.

In a recent ABC story on the study, much was made of the threat of fish dying from hot ocean water when in fact the sample size of the component of the study which looked at the physiological stress on fish consisted of only TWO fish.

The authors admitted: “This result may reflect the small sample size of our experiments, and further work is needed to determine the effect of increasing temperature on swimming activity in banded morwong.”

(See abstract and full text of study here in Nature Climate Change)

Unfortunately Dr Thresher of the University did not inform the listeners to the ABC of this significant limitation to the study and its findings.

I present three other peer reviewed studies that show that marine ecosystems adapt well to warmer water and that there is no cause for such rank alarmism from activist scientists.

Marc, over the last three months I’ve sent over twenty challenges to the Commission regarding peer reviewed papers that do not toe the party line, apart from the usual automatic acknowledgement of receipt they have not yet responded to me.

Steve Woodman BSc (Hons) Psych

P.S I am a private citizen without any political affiliations or vested interests in coal, nuclear or any other industries or business concerns.

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Mann Bearpig
June 4, 2011 12:16 am

All they need now is a loaf of bread and they can do another miracle.

Martin Brumby
June 4, 2011 12:19 am

I guess they’re likely to be Morwong than wight.
(sorry!)

Brian H
June 4, 2011 12:22 am

Edit note: “toe the party line”, not “tow”, notwithstanding widespread insistent illiterate error-mongering on this point.

jcrabb
June 4, 2011 12:22 am

They looked at five different sites, so how can they only have looked at two fish?

June 4, 2011 12:23 am

What do we expect? Briffa used 12 trees for his hockey stick.

charles nelson
June 4, 2011 12:30 am

Dear Moderator,
Not absolutely on subject but ABC (aus) Radio News just ran a story about a Climate Scientist at Melbourne Uni who has received death threats, for tirelessly speaking the truth about Climate change. Apparently University authorities have taken steps to upgrade his security. Corollis or something like that was his name…
This smells mighty fishy to me…why should this story arise now. Of course I have a theory.
In the media spin business timing is everything and as the Warmists watch their support dwindle away with every brimming lake, every desert bloom, every fresh fall of snowin the mountains and every extra layer of clothing the Australian population is putting on to contend with the coldest weather in 40 years…is it possible that some clever green media rascal has decided that if you can’t win the argument about the ‘Science’ then why not try to paint ‘Deniers’ as murderous fanatics?
Kind of like the exploding children idea but turned round 180 degrees.
Smacks of desperation. GRrrreat!

Gordon Cheyne
June 4, 2011 12:39 am

Yes, but that’s two fish and four polar bears.
You never know where this will all end up . . . .

tango
June 4, 2011 12:45 am

water melon head science .what will happen to them all after the biggest FRAUD in our history is dead and cremated . cannot wait for the day

Rhoda Ramirez
June 4, 2011 12:51 am

Were the fish tagged in some way, like those poor penguins?

Ecstatic Warmist
June 4, 2011 12:55 am

Al Gore and Rajendra Pachauri could feed the multitudes with two fish and four polar bears.

FergalR
June 4, 2011 12:56 am

Crikey. When I read the headline I thought it was typically laughable that they’d reach a conclusion from only studying two species of fish.
It seems they studied two individual fish. Jesus wept.
Just a wild thought; is it possible that the only fish they could catch were the two sick ones?

Chris
June 4, 2011 12:57 am

Also worth noting that as well as not swimming as well as they used to, they may also go deaf.
No, honest – deaf.
http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn13417

DesertYote
June 4, 2011 12:59 am

Hmmm, Cheilodactylus, I think this is in a group of perciform families that have members that live for close to a century. People always underestimate how long some fishes live. Its late, I’ll research tomorrow. BTW, I have a lot experience keeping many species of fish well outside their comfort zone. Comes from maintaining fish in Phoenix Arizona, easier to heat an aquarium then it is to cool it. The main problem is susceptibility to protozoan and secondary fungal infections, and that does not start until temps are like 5C too high. I want to post more but I need to get to bed.

val majkus
June 4, 2011 1:03 am

Charles Nelson I copied your comment to Jennifer Marohasy’s blog
http://jennifermarohasy.com/blog/2011/05/the-carbon-tax-all-style-no-substance/?cp=4#comment-483413
My comment relates to a comment by Gavin about the Canberra Times article in now up on the web
http://www.canberratimes.com.au/news/local/news/general/climate-of-fear-scientists-face-death-threats/2185089.aspx
subject is clear in the headline
my comment to Gavin is this:
thanks for that gavin, just for interest I had googled ‘death threats to climate scientists’ and if you do the same you’ll see there’s even been a doc on it by Clive Hamilton and then there’s this article http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/dec/08/hacked-climate-emails-death-threats
here’s more about the 5 part series by Clive Hamilton
http://www.ecoshock.org/labels/Australia.html
a para from that article:
Clive Hamilton is a Professor of Public Ethics, supported by Australian National University and the University of Melbourne. Previously, he founded and ran a progressive think tank called the Australia Institute.
I don’t recall anything coming out of what seems to be numerous allegations
so … a mystery
As I say … don’t remember anything coming out of what appears to be (starting around Climategate) numerous allegations by climate scientists
So … a mystery,

Frosty
June 4, 2011 1:06 am

Amateurs, any decent propagandist would only need one fish.

Jack
June 4, 2011 1:06 am

Why are these people holding science up to ridicule?

Glen of Aus
June 4, 2011 1:15 am

To my dear fellow Aussies: Hell has more chance of Freezing over for Eternity than the Labor/Greens Party’s, Climate Commission, and BOM has of announcing that Climate Change is a Fraud. We should keep fighting and push the Truth, but these groups are Hell-bent on destroying our wonderful beautiful country.

E.M.Smith
Editor
June 4, 2011 1:23 am

jcrabb says:
They looked at five different sites, so how can they only have looked at two fish?

Well, first you catch a slow weak fish, then you follow it to the second site, then the third…

David, UK
June 4, 2011 1:24 am

“…there is no cause for such rank alarmism from activist scientists.”
Steve: There is always cause for such rank alarmism from activist scientists.

Jessie
June 4, 2011 1:24 am

I’ve got tears running down my face (in laughter) reading the comments.

However the same behaviour in research is used in human research.

Jessie
June 4, 2011 1:28 am

oops try again with video
One Fish, Too Fish, red Fish, Blue Fish Dr Seuss read in Jamaican Patois

Tony Hansen
June 4, 2011 1:34 am

Martin Brumby,
You should be 🙂

Patrick Davis
June 4, 2011 1:37 am

Stunning!
“This result may reflect the small sample size of our experiments, and further work is needed to determine the effect of increasing temperature on swimming activity in banded morwong.”
Or in other words….
“Dear stupid Aussie taxpayers there is no need to laugh, this is serious science and we have more serious science to do so we will constinue to take your taxes. Thankyou!”
I bet they really prefered a sample size of just 1 fish, like Kieth “One Tree” Briffa and YAD061, would have made their job half as easy. Australia used to be called the “lucky” country. Seems Australia has entered a death spiral into the age of stupid.

KnR
June 4, 2011 1:38 am

Two . what a joke , but is it really a surprise that fact did not get out on the news given the point wasn’t to review the science but to up the scare factor .

John Marshall
June 4, 2011 1:42 am

Sorry, Briffa used ONE tree for his ‘study’. He is not called ‘One Tree Briffa’ for nothing.
One wonders about the education standards of these people. Studies ‘Proving’ that heat stress is likely to cause problems, possibly leading to ‘species failure’ takes no account of previous warm periods that were warmer than today. The MWP was about 2C warmer than today, the RWP even warmer so how did these species survive if heat was a problem?

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