Guest post by Alan Cheetham
The Union of Concerned Scientists’ (UCS) Climate Choices web site (published in 2006) says: “here in the Northeast, the climate is changing. Records show that spring is arriving earlier, summers are growing hotter, and winters are becoming warmer and less snowy. These changes are consistent with global warming, an urgent phenomenon driven by heat-trapping emissions from human activities” http://www.climatechoices.org/ne/impacts_regional/regional-impacts.html
UCS: “summers are growing hotter”. The hottest month is July – shown in the following figure. No significant long-term trend. Warmest July: 1955. Coldest July: 2000.
But they said “summer”. Again, no significant long-term trend. Warmest summer: 1949.
UCS: “spring is arriving earlier”. Spring arrives in March in the Northeast. The warmest and coldest Marches were more than 50 years ago – perhaps the climate is stabilizing.
UCS: “winters are becoming warmer and less snowy”. January is the coldest month – no significant long-term trend. Warmest January: 1932.
Winters have warmed slightly due to some very cold winters in the early 1900s. Warmest winter: 2002, second warmest: 1932.
But there is no significant winter warming over the last 80 years.
(All of the above temperature graphs are from http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/cag3/nt.html)
The following table summarizes the hot and cold records for most of the states in the US Northeast region (these are the hottest / coldest days recorded – not state averages for the given years). (From http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/extremes/scec/searchrecs.php)
(More details can be found here: http://www.appinsys.com/GlobalWarming/RS_NortheastUS.htm)
What are these “concerned scientists” so concerned about? According to their mission statement: “UCS seeks a great change in humanity’s stewardship of the earth.” http://www.ucsusa.org/about/
The UCS was started in 1969 as an anti-nuclear weapon organization, but switched its focus to global warming when the Soviet Union collapsed and it became clear that large amounts of funds were available from the left-wing foundations (Pew Trusts, Joyce Foundation, MacArthur Foundation…)
For more information on the UCS see: http://www.capitalresearch.org/pubs/pdf/v1186063502.pdf
And details about their funding: http://activistcash.com/organization_financials.cfm/o/145-union-of-concerned-scientists
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reminds me of:
Suicide Squad Leader: We are the Judean People’s Front crack suicide squad! Suicide squad, attack!
[they all stab themselves]
Suicide Squad Leader: That showed ’em, huh?
Global warming “signals” are like those ink blot butterfly/sexual patterns. They are pretty meaningless in themselves, but what the person viewing the pattern/signal sees, tells you far more about the mindset of the observer than anything about the pattern/signal.
What the global warming hoax has shown me is that science is not the discipline of impartial observers that I mistakenly believed in my naive youth. Science is just as full of petty politics irrational crusades and outright fraud as any other subject and just because something is called “science” or done by “scientists” there is absolutely no more reason to trust it than any other piece of information Unless or until it shows it uses the scientific method and subjects its assertions to scientific test.
And if like the global warming religion it can’t create a suitable test to test its assertions, then it has no right to call itself a science!
Thank goodness for the WWW. Over the last 3-4 years the blogosphere has begun to uncover the greed and corruption in NGO’s and Governments when it comes to using public monies for budget building. Our Met Office in the UK, the BBC support for non peer reviewed statements issued that maintain the “correct message”. The only way we are able to bring these falsehoods into the public arena is via the WWW and chaps with the drive and right stuff like Mr A Watts. Lets us keep digging and exposing, thanks.
Quick, lets spin up another emergency before the beer money runs out!
http://mensnewsdaily.com/sexandmetro/2010/01/19/global-warming-is-dead-whats-the-next-eco-scare/
So The Union of Concerned Scientists’ are a left wing pressure group passing itself off as a scientific body. It lets their political bias dictate the presentation of “science”, instead of allowing science to drive policy.
Also, how has that region of the USA avoided being affected by the “unprecedented” rate and extent of global warming? As those long term temperature records show no overall or significant warming occurring whatsoever in that region, it shows that global warming has not warmed all of the globe.
Watermelons, green out the outside and red on the inside. Marxist/leftist groups found that a post USSR society meant that another political vehicle had to found to progress their common political ideology.
These people knew full well the negative perception of the USSR and shed that particular model and it became obvious that the new model to progress their common ideology was a fabricated concern for the environment and the earth, it was a perfect ‘in’ for the purpose on introducing vulnerable concerned young people to the joys of Marxist/leftist ideology.
Hook these concerned but innocent and trusting young people with mind bombs/subliminal messages/hard sell indoctrination/group think sessions at the green equivalent of young pioneer camps and the new budding army of the proletariat is ready for action. Hard line Marxist groups are never far away at demos and leaders are interchangeable and expert at cross pollination of ideas and tactics.
The eco movement is a political movement, its aims are wholly political and its tactics and ideology is political with rent a rabble street thugs playing a central part, see one climate justice banner next to a red banner with a hammer and sickle? The mental illness of leftism precludes them from seeing the incredible environmental damage the USSR inflicted on the planet and still playing its deadly role today decades after the fall of the USSR but then again the watermelons could not give two hoots for the environment.
Good post. This is an example of typical climatological bullhsit. You have either to divide the claim by 10, or to change the sign from + to -. How come that none of basic AGW claims are true?
Global warning is not an urgent phenomenon. It is a benign phenomenon. I like warming, it is good. Global cooling would be a serious phenomenon, of great concern to humanity.
These concerned scientists are concerned about their next research grant and where it might come from if AGW was no longer an issue.
And that concerns me. I propose the formation of the Union of Concerned Citizens UCC
These “concerned scientists” would not accept reality even if they were facing the new Ice Age or a firing squad.
Excessive institutionalization (and, therefore, bureaucratization, corruption and unaccountability) in the Western society resulted in the situation where people capable of successfully negotiating the system are, by the same token, detached from the reality to the extent that they generally failing to perform their professional functions.
This gap between reality and its perception in the eyes of those who claim the authority to manage our lives is artfully exploited by the cynically-minded criminals who seized control of power and money in most of the world’s countries.
The scoundrels riding the fools and slave-driving the cowards: was that the cherished goal of enlightenment, humanism, and liberalism? Is that what the best and the ablest representatives of humanity have been fighting for and dying for all these centuries since we came out from the caves?
As Stanislav Lem, the famous Polish philosopher and SF writer, aptly observed, “of all the possible futures the humanity has chosen not the most beautiful one.”
Fascinating. But when did the “inconvenient truth”* ever stand in the way of a good sound bite?
* Strange. I think I’ve heard that phrase before somewhere …
Watermelons? The way they’re flip-flopping with the science, I say more like brown pancakes!
I wouldn’t call a 2 degree F rise “no significant warming”.
The grade for this article: FAIL
With the Union of Concerned Scientists at least the advocacy is openly identified. I appreciate that. With some of these other organizations (Royal Society for one) the advocacy is somewhat cloaked.
Reminds me of
Just how many more snowy winters are required for these climate bandits to own up and say “we did it for the money.” ;>)
Dave Springer,
“I wouldn’t call a 2 degree F rise “no significant warming”. ”
Nobody has said that a two degrees F rise is not significant. None of those graphs above show a 2 degrees F rise. The nearest is a 1.7, most of which occurred before 1930. In the last 80 years, in this location, there has been NO SIGNIFICANT WARMING at all.
Where that rise does happen is in one of them, which would mean the only way to find anything like significant warming from the above graphs, one would need to carefully cherry-pick the one graph that shows some warming and then omit all the other graphs entirely, and omit the inconvenient truth in that graph that the so-called modern-unprecedented late 20th century CO2 caused warming does not appear at all.
Your comment therefore is a big FAIL.
As New York City braces for another heavy snowstorm, even as the rats are still trying to digest the remains of the last one, and the midwest gets ready for an Arctic blast once again, some people will still try to argue that there really is something new under the sun weather- and climate-wise. The UCS has outlived its usefulness and should fold up and go away.
What a rubbish article.
Go on to the website and select any northern region and plot winter trend and it’ll be positive.
The trend shows up to 3 degrees increase over the 1895 to 2010 period for West North Central.
That’s certainly warming which ever way to look at it!
Ken Hall says:
January 6, 2011 at 4:53 am
Dave Springer,
“I wouldn’t call a 2 degree F rise “no significant warming”. ”
Nobody has said that a two degrees F rise is not significant. None of those graphs above show a 2 degrees F rise. The nearest is a 1.7, most of which occurred before 1930. In the last 80 years, in this location, there has been NO SIGNIFICANT WARMING at all.
Where that rise does happen is in one of them, which would mean the only way to find anything like significant warming from the above graphs, one would need to carefully cherry-pick the one graph that shows some warming and then omit all the other graphs entirely, and omit the inconvenient truth in that graph that the so-called modern-unprecedented late 20th century CO2 caused warming does not appear at all.
Your comment therefore is a big FAIL.
———————————
Try going to the website, selecting winter as the period and then the display date from 1970 to 2010 and tell me what trend you get.
If you meant an earlier “late 20th century” move the date back to 1960 and see what you get then.
The trend line when I plot it shows 1960 as about 22.5 degrees and 2010 as about 25.5 degrees.
Try it for any Northern region and you’ll get a positive trend. It would seem this article is doing the cherry picking if you ask me.
SteveE says:January 6, 2011 at 5:23 am
What a rubbish article.
Go on to the website and select any northern region and plot winter trend and it’ll be positive.
The trend shows up to 3 degrees increase over the 1895 to 2010 period for West North Central.
That’s certainly warming which ever way to look at it!
Assuming the measurement is correct, when we know they are all biased high.
Only a fool who knows nothing about graphing would use Max/Min, which is used for trending/fluctuation…. you have to use the Mean Deviation for difference.
Just because someone has an education doesn’t mean they’re not STUPID.
On a side note: I have noticed over the past few month, the local PBS station has been running episodes of Nova that have focused on the arctic and antarctic. The underlying theme: “Global warming is going to kill (insert animal that lives there)!”
Its as if though the AGW crowd is trying to beat their message into the audience with a proverbial sledgehammer; in a last ditch effort to win the day. A few more winters like we are having here in the mid-Atlantic and I would bet their efforts will fail (at least for those who love around here).
I did some reading about this society a few months ago and found the general tone of ardent belief in nonsense on their website quite creepy. A lot of the most ardent members seem to be young female grads who are hell-bent on saving the world by any means. Why does so-called ‘higher education’ turn out so many people eager to believe in some dodgy shaman or cause?
Winters are becoming less snowy? Surely they jest.
Is there a study using T min only, this measure appears to be the one that shows an increase, it is also the measure that is linked to UHI.
If day time temps are not increasing, the rise in T min can only come from more retained heat from buildings tarmac etc, if T min rural is different to T min urban this would indicate a definite UHI forcing.
Stop using average temperature.