Conventional Climate Science Threatens Civilization

By Vijay Jayaraj

Practitioners of rigorous scientific methodology – from the 17th century’s Galileo to 1965’s winner of the Nobel Prize in Physics, Richard Feynman – would consider today’s climate research an embarrassment, shaped by uncritical orthodoxy and zealotry rather than genuine testing of hypotheses.

Classical science welcomes skepticism. It thrives in an environment where debate and revision are encouraged. Today’s climate conformists declare the debate “settled” and label those with questions as deniers, effectively outlawing the skepticism that drives scientific progress.

Plenty of 21st century scientists have objected to this travesty. Dr. Matthew Wielicki, formerly of the University of Alabama, put it bluntly: “Science should be self-correcting. Climate science isn’t. It’s self-preserving.”

Dr. Richard Lindzen of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology notes that climate dogma has little to do with evidence: “The narrative is a quasi-religious movement predicated on an absurd scientific narrative.”

In essence, modern climate science has been transformed into a political apparatus dominated by campaign-style advocacy, subverting the foundational principles of evidence-based inquiry.

Climate cultists treat every warming or cooling event as anthropogenic by default, ignoring millennia of natural variation. “While substantial concern has been expressed that emissions may cause significant climate change, measured or reconstructed temperature records indicate that 20th- and 21st-century climate changes are neither exceptional nor persistent, and the historical and geological records show many periods warmer than today,” say scientists writing to the American Physics Society.

Gregory Wrightstone, geologist and best-selling author of “A Very Convenient Warming,” says that the longer geological record reveals numerous epochs with much higher temperatures and levels of atmospheric CO₂, all predating the influence of modern human activity.

Wrightstone rejects descriptions of current conditions as dangerous, saying that “Earth is growing greener, and temperature-related deaths are declining.” The evidence indicates the planet is not imperiled but flourishing.

Deaths from natural disasters are at historic lows, life expectancy continues to climb, and global crop yields in both advanced and developing economies are at record highs. Rising atmospheric CO₂ is associated with improved plant growth, not planetary degradation.

The much-hyped “disappearing islands” of the Pacific continue to exist. Many atolls have grown in size due to coral and sediment accumulation. Arctic sea ice, too, has refused to vanish; the 2025 minimum extent is nearly half a million square kilometers larger than 2007.

Yet none of these realities make it into school textbooks or U.N. briefings. The crisis narrative is perpetuated to sustain a trillion-dollar “green” industry dependent on fear, political support and publicly financed subsidies.Error-riddled computer models that back doomsday predictions violate core tenets of scientific methodology. When tested against known outcomes, they routinely fail.

In 2014, Dr. Roy Spencer compared real-world satellite data with over 90 climate models. Nearly all the models exaggerated warming. Spencer summarized the absurdity: “If 95% of your models disagree with observations, the models are wrong – not reality.”

Dr. William Happer, a physicist at Princeton University and former scientific advisor to the U.S. government, notes: “Observations anchor our understanding and weed out the theories that do not work. This has been the scientific method for more than 300 years … computer models are not meant to replace theory and observation and to serve as an authority of their own.”

Yet these models drive the global policy agenda. The insistence on short time frames and cherry-picked data appear to support catastrophic scenarios; long-term geological records contradict them. Steve Milloy, author of JunkScience.com, described the phenomenon perfectly: “Climate science has become a political enterprise. The conclusion comes first; the data are adjusted later.”

Science belongs to critical thinkers, not to committees. The climate establishment will collapse as its funding dries up or the public stops believing its prophets. Reality will win – as it always does – but the longer the struggle, the higher the human cost of irrational policies.

Reason, empirical investigation and intellectual freedom have been undermined by a politically charged climate movement, which is a threat to science and civilization itself.

This commentary was first published by American Thinker on October 14, 2025.

Vijay Jayaraj is a Science and Research Associate at the CO2 Coalition, Fairfax, Virginia. He holds an M.S. in environmental sciences from the University of East Anglia and a postgraduate degree in energy management from Robert Gordon University, both in the U.K., and a bachelor’s in engineering from Anna University, India.

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Kevin Kilty
October 14, 2025 10:20 am

“If the global warming situation is analyzed applying the customary standards of scientific inquiry one must conclude that there has been more hype than solid fact”. 

Philip Abelson, 1990.

Reply to  Kevin Kilty
October 14, 2025 6:54 pm

Yes, and nothing has changed here in 2025.

And as far as I can see, there are no “solid facts” on which Human-caused Climate Change is based. There is no evidence that humans are causing the Earth’s climate to change in any way, shape, or form. Not in 1990, and not in 2025.

It’s all speculation, assumptions and unsubstantiated assertions.

2hotel9
Reply to  Tom Abbott
October 15, 2025 4:36 am

I have said it before and will continue to say it, climate changes constantly, humans cannot stop it and are not causing it.

October 14, 2025 11:14 am

From Wikipedia;

Pseudoscience consists of statements, beliefs, or practices that claim to be both scientific and factual but are incompatible with the scientific method.Pseudoscience is often characterized by contradictory, exaggerated or unfalsifiable claims; reliance on confirmation bias rather than rigorous attempts at refutation; lack of openness to evaluation by other experts; absence of systematic practices when developing hypotheses; and continued adherence long after the pseudoscientific hypotheses have been experimentally discredited.

Whenever I encounter someone thats starts on about global warming, I always ask what observation would change their mind about it, and the follow question would be what the basis is. I never get more than a fish-eye stare for the first one. If there’s no way to falsify the hypothesis, it’s pseudoscience, and that is exactly what AGW/Climate Change is.

Solar Mutant Ninjaneer
Reply to  PariahDog
October 14, 2025 1:16 pm

With a tip of the hat to Jeff Foxworthy, the following are some helpful tests to determine if you, or someone you know, “might be a pseudoscientist.

When the data disagrees with theory you adjust the data until it agrees, you might be a pseudoscientist.
If you think consensus is a good way to establish scientific truth, you just might be a pseudoscientist.
If you refuse to debate with anyone that disagrees, you might be a pseudoscientist.
If your principal arguments consist of abuse, insults, and smearing the opposition, you just might be a pseudoscientist.
If you blacklist scientists that disagree with your opinions, you just might be a pseudoscientist.
If you ever use the phrase “the science is settled,” you just might be a pseudoscientist.
If you ever use the phrase the “science says,” you might be a pseudoscientist.
If you think correlation proves causation, you might be a pseudoscientist.
If you only use data that supports your theory while ignoring any data that disproves it, you just might be a pseudoscientist.
If predictions based on your theory are never correct but you still insist your theory is fact, you just might be a pseudoscientist.
If you admit to being poor at math but insist you are a good scientist, you might be a pseudoscientist.
If your theory violates thermodynamic laws, you just might be a pseudoscientist.
If no matter what happens you claim your theory predicted it, you just might be a pseudoscientist.
If frightening children and the gullible is more important than seeking the truth, you just might be a pseudoscientist.
If you think peer review is the ultimate in validating scientific research, you just might be a pseudoscientist.
If you think computer models produce data, you just might be a pseudoscientist.
If your salary depends on supporting a specific scientific conclusion, you just might be a pseudoscientist.
If you conduct studies where you already know the conclusion, you just might be a pseudoscientist. 

Reply to  Solar Mutant Ninjaneer
October 14, 2025 2:46 pm

Good list. I would add another along the lines of “[I]f you believe that government-funded science will never be used to expand the scope of government and/or to diminish the inalienable rights of the governed, you must be an idiot”.

Reply to  Solar Mutant Ninjaneer
October 14, 2025 2:49 pm

Excellent!

Fully realizing, of course, that you had to cut the listing short.

gyan1
October 14, 2025 11:53 am

WW3 is happening right now as psychological warfare. I hypothesized 25 years ago when it was clear climate change became a propaganda campaign that they were testing how gullible the public was to see what they could get away with. It was so successful they thought the could get away with authoritarian mandates and censorship during COVID. They overplayed their hand which woke most people up from woke indoctrination. Legacy media is doubling down to an increasingly dwindling group of brainwashed idiots while empirical science is gaining traction.

Europe appears to be lost with censorship and jail time for the rational mirroring CCP style control of information. Praying the pathetic sheep there finally wake up to the oppression they have supported.

Reply to  gyan1
October 15, 2025 12:18 am

I don’t know about most people, certainly a lot of people.

sherro01
October 14, 2025 12:43 pm

Nice timing, Vijay. This important topic needs more oxygen.

The most ignorant, arrogant statement that I can recall about the mis-advancement of Science came from the World Economic Forum with the United Nations. Spokesperson Melissa Fleming said “We own the science”.

This is a benchmark that has to be obliterated, spread then rejected for clear, logical reasons that youngsters can like and understand. It is a big part of the present march back to the traditional, proper, formal development of “hard” science.

Geoff S

https://youtu.be/-rnhB29xCz4

Reply to  sherro01
October 14, 2025 1:51 pm

‘Spokesperson Melissa Fleming said “We own the science”.’

People of her mindset would not hesitate for a second to follow the most immoral commands of the most totalitarian regime imaginable.

gyan1
Reply to  Frank from NoVA
October 14, 2025 2:33 pm

Noble cause corruption is the most insidious form.

George Thompson
Reply to  gyan1
October 15, 2025 5:06 am

The road to Hell is paved with good intentions.

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  George Thompson
October 15, 2025 1:10 pm

I remain skeptical that Melissa Fleming had good intentions.

Reply to  sherro01
October 14, 2025 2:53 pm

“We own the science.”

Nowhere to be found in any descriptions of The Scientific Method.

Reply to  sherro01
October 14, 2025 3:26 pm

After EPA Administer Lee Zeldin rescinds the 2009 CO2 Endangerment Finding (EF), whatever will Premier Anthony A. and Canberra Climate Commissars do? Will they eat humble pie and reluctantly cancel the draconian climate agenda, or will they ignore the EPA ruling? Will the newspapers report the announcement of recission of the EF by the EPA?

Reply to  Harold Pierce
October 14, 2025 5:10 pm

RE: CO2 Does Not Cause Warming Of Air.

Please go to the late John L. Daly’s website:
“Still Waiting For Greenhouse” available at: http://www.john-daly.com. From the home page, page down to the end and click on:
“Station Temperature Data”. On the “World Map”, click on
“Australia”. The is shown a list of weather stations. Click on a weather station to obtain a chart with a plot of the average annual temperature.

Shown in the chart (See below) is a plot of the average annual average temperature in Adelaide from 1857 to 1999. In 1857, the concentration of CO2 in dry air was 280 ppmv (0.55 g CO2/cu. m.) and by 1999, it had increased to ca.370 ppmv (0.73 g CO2/cu. m.), but the was no increase in air temperature. Instead
there was a slight cooling.

John Daly found over 200 weather stations located around the world that showed no warming up to 2002.His many charts falsify the claims by the IPCC that CO2 causes global warming and is the control knob of climate change as claimed by the IPCC.

The big question is: How do we communicate this information to people so they can put an end to government’s climate agenda?

Reply to  Harold Pierce
October 14, 2025 5:14 pm

Here is the chart for Adelaide. If click on the chart, it will expanded and become clear. Click on the “X” in the circle to return to the comment text.

adelaide
Reply to  Harold Pierce
October 15, 2025 5:42 am

Oh they’ll continue preaching to their choir and insisting that they’re right, of course. The idiots promoting the “climate crisis” narrative will continue to spew their nonsense until they’re dead.

Their egos are far too gigantic to admit they are wrong.

Bob
October 14, 2025 1:45 pm

Very nice Vijay. Truth is so important, we need lots more of it.

altipueri
October 14, 2025 2:34 pm

“Any physical theory is always provisional, in the sense that it is only a hypothesis: you can never prove it. No matter how many times the results of experiments agree with some theory, you can never be sure that the next time the result will not contradict the theory. On the other hand you can disprove a theory by finding even a single observation that disagrees with the predictions of the theory.” Professor Stephen Hawking.

There have been many failed predictions of climate doom and yet millions still fear the carbon dioxide molecule.

Reply to  altipueri
October 14, 2025 3:46 pm

There is no need to fear the CO2 molecule because there is little of in
the air. At Mauna Loa Obs.in Hawaii, the concentration of CO2 in dry air is currently 425 ppmv. One cubic meter of this air has mass of 1.29 kg and contains a mere 0.83 g of CO2. There is little CO2 molecular muscle in the air to hurt anybody.

CO2 is quite beneficial to humans. CO2 is used to extinguish fires, to promote the growth of food plants in greenhouses and in the field, to leaven baked goods, and most importantly, to put the sparkle in soda pop, beer, and champagnes!

October 14, 2025 2:42 pm

To Vijay Jayaraj, author of the above well-argued, well-written article: thank you 1E6 for your article on what has appears to have overtaken real, objective science in the most recent 50 years or so . . . kinda coincident with (but not isolated to) the rise of AGW/CAGW alarmists.

I agree with your philosophical reasoning and will expound on such with this observation: you use the phrases:
— “genuine testing of hypotheses”,
— “classical science welcomes skepticism”,
— “the foundational principles of evidence-based inquiry”,
— “the evidence indicates”
— “Error-riddled computer models . . . violate core tenets of scientific methodology. When tested against known outcomes, they routinely fail.”
and each of these reflect a critical step—now mostly overlooked—in The Scientific Method: test the hypothesis against credible observations or with an experiment.

Furthermore, Nobel prize winning physicist Richard Feynman is famously quoted to have stated:
It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, if it doesn’t agree with observation, it’s wrong. That’s all there is to it.

So, my philosophical comment is that we have the grand confluence of (a)The Scientific Method, which has been proven to be of inestimable value to mankind, combined with (b) the concise insight of Feynman, telling us “beware the threat to science and civilization itself” that currently predominates societies around the world.

October 14, 2025 3:00 pm

“Earth is growing greener, and temperature-related deaths are declining.” The evidence indicates the planet is not imperiled but flourishing.”

The dinosaurs lived in a time period that was a legitimate hothouse, warm, humid, and elevated CO2. Mammals existed at the same time. The flora that existed at that time must have been thick and nutrient-heavy to support fauna of the size of the dinosaurs.

And yet climate science wants us to believe that humans, and the planet, are headed for disaster when the evidence is that the planet is flourishing.

It’s like Freeman Dyson always said. Climate models and climate science is not holistic at all. They both look only at one little datum that doesn’t even have a direct relationship to climate.

Old.George
October 14, 2025 5:11 pm

Global Warming, renamed Climate Change, is a political decision promoted by politicians to gain control.

October 14, 2025 10:48 pm

Good essay. And Vijay has a degree from East Anglia…so their hold must be weakening…!!

pgeo
October 15, 2025 2:24 am

Thanks for this well written piece. There is a commonality with “climate science” and the “models” akin to what was warned about for the field of “hydrology” in 1986 by Vit Klemes https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/WR022i09Sp0177S

“If the current trend continues, the time is not far when any half-literate teenager who can push the buttons on his personal computer according to a hydrologic model user’s manual will be awarded a Ph.D. in hydrology for a thesis with a title like ‘Mathematical modeling of the rainfall-runoff relationship in the XYZ basin’.”

A recent podcast anecdote from the field of hydraulic/sediment modelling: https://sediment.buzzsprout.com/2068658/episodes/14739796-sediment-modeling-failure-modes-and-best-practices-with-four-model-developers

Highlighted the modeller issue where an expert on the topic reported a crop of 20 or so modellers aiming to “beat the model” i.e. work through all the glitches/problems to get the model to output a solution, without any scientific rational or basis for the workflow.

Modellers in general are poorly trained in the scientific method. Rather they are data input and software troubleshoot clerks.

Neo
October 15, 2025 4:44 am

Unnerved by the Trump administration’s systematic rollback of regulations curtailing greenhouse-gas emissions from automobiles, power plants, and household appliances, two enterprising academics have hit on a novel idea to save the planet from manmade climate change: deliberately infect people with a tick-borne, potentially life-threatening allergy to red meat.

George Thompson
Reply to  Neo
October 15, 2025 5:13 am

Those people deserve to be the test dummies for that idea. God save us from “educated” idiots. Still, as the Chinese have indicated, both with documents and actual testing, bio-warfare is probably at hand. Oh, the joy. God help us.

Reply to  Neo
October 15, 2025 8:18 am

“. . .have hit on a novel idea to save the planet from manmade climate change: deliberately infect people . . .”

This from Wikipedia (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_deaths ):
“There have been reported 7,101,788 (updated 15 October 2025) confirmed COVID-induced deaths worldwide.”

And the SARS-CoV-2 virus, with its strange DNA structure, is still out there, killing.

Hmmmm . . . could it be . . . Whuhan . . . the CCP . . . GOF research . . . naw, probably had nothing at all to do with climate change and was likely accidental, so there. 😉

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  ToldYouSo
October 15, 2025 1:12 pm

The Population Bomb.

October 15, 2025 5:33 am

An excellent summation of the sorry state of climate pseudoscience. I’d give it 10 stars if I could.

barry milliken
October 15, 2025 6:59 am

It is a mistake to focus on FEAR as the driver of climate hysteria.
A more likely disaster might be meteorite impact, but fear of that remote possibility has not driven scores of governments to waste $trillions.
Instead the greatest driver in all the history of human religious delusion has been FEAR combined with the belief that IT’S ALL OUR FAULT! In other words COLLECTIVE GUILT.
story tip

Frank Kabloona
Reply to  barry milliken
October 15, 2025 10:19 am

We could appease the angry climate gods if only we could throw enough F-150s into nearby volcanoes.

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  Frank Kabloona
October 15, 2025 1:12 pm

Need more brains, erm, virgins.

Frank Kabloona
October 15, 2025 7:19 am

This is a good piece that adds to the growing amount of pushback vs. the prevailing climate catastrophism. At the same time you see the true believers desperately doubling down as their stock fall here and in Europe. Yesterday the WSJ warned about a nefarious UN outlet (redundant, I know!), the International Maritime Organization, which seeks to levy an absurd new carbon tax on shipping, some funds from which will go to “vulnerable” nations. This back-door reparations scheme from a “net zero fund” shows there is a long way to go in fighting this plague of foolishness. One thing I could see turning the tide would be actual grant funding to researchers on the Climate Realism side. What could the current administration do to encourage this?

Sparta Nova 4
October 15, 2025 1:14 pm

How many times has one read that “science has proven” CAGW is real, immediate, a crisis, and we must act yesterday or the day before to save the world?

willhaas
October 15, 2025 10:08 pm

Conventional climate science is all wrong. There is no real evidence that CO2 has any effect on our global climate system. The AGW hypothesis has been falsified by science and cannot be true. It is all a matter of science.

Reply to  willhaas
October 24, 2025 11:11 am

All wrong?