New Study: ‘Widespread Increase’ In Plant Transpiration Driven by Increasing CO2 Concentration

From the NoTricksZone

By Kenneth Richard on 1. August 2024

“…higher atmospheric CO2…triggers…increased vegetation production and a greener landscape”  – Chen et al., 2024

Plant transpiration is vital to plant growth and terrestrial ecosystems.

The rising CO2 trend over the last 30 years (1990-2020) has been the primary driver of planetary greening, or increases in Leaf Area Index (LAI).

The greening, in turn, is predominantly responsible for the widespread increase in plant transpiration over this period.

These elevated trends in greening and plant transpiration are expected to continue unabated to 2100, accelerating with the increases in emissions.

“The trend attribution analysis results show that the change in leaf area index (LAI) can explain 66.2% of the global PT trend, indicating that elevated LAI due to global greening is the dominant factor contributing to the upward trend in global PT. The elevated LAI can be largely attributed to the CO2 fertilization effect induced by elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration.”

Image Source: Chen et al., 2024
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August 2, 2024 6:08 am

D’oh!

antigtiff
August 2, 2024 6:10 am

Yes, but what about the consequences of more O2? O2 is also being produced by metallic nodules on the ocean floor…….”Dark” O2.

auto
Reply to  antigtiff
August 2, 2024 1:09 pm

But – unless the greenies have just placed the nodules there – presumably there is no increase in rate of O2 being given off.
Steady as she goes, Mr. Mate.

Auto

Reply to  auto
August 3, 2024 4:40 am

But there will certainly be more O2 from the greening planet. The nodules will get harvested, some of them. Nobody so far, apparently, has attempted to quantify the total O2 production of the nodules- yet the greens want to prevent harvesting them. I suspect the total is not much. Interesting, though. Mother Nature still has lots of mysteries.

enginer01
August 2, 2024 6:26 am

It has long been argued what portion of the amazing increase in bu./acre of grain yields is explained by improved hybridization and what part by simple more CO2 nutrient effect.
As a phosphate engineer, I am willing to vote for expanded availability of CO2, which lets the plant utilize water more efficiently and overcome plant stresses. 900 ppm sounds about right for us.

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  enginer01
August 2, 2024 7:52 am

Yay! CO2 is a plant nutrient!

Reply to  enginer01
August 2, 2024 9:55 am

One must wonder why Vegans would want to drive electric vehicles.

But on the other hand, cows eat grass. So one must also wonder why carnivores would want to drive electric vehicles too.

Giving_Cat
Reply to  doonman
August 2, 2024 11:21 am

Kale. It’s what my food eats.

old cocky
Reply to  Giving_Cat
August 2, 2024 3:10 pm

I don’t think even they would eat kale.

Reply to  old cocky
August 2, 2024 5:15 pm

Actually they do. I remember a friend of mine letting the cows in on him left-over kale crops ..

They seem to actually like it.

Forage brassicas – quality crops for livestock production (nsw.gov.au)

sturmudgeon
Reply to  old cocky
August 2, 2024 5:24 pm

I LIKE Kale! lt tastes like a Good Green should, and it is SO easy to grow (even in pretty cool weather).

Reply to  sturmudgeon
August 3, 2024 4:42 am

It’s also loved by white moths who chew big holes in it.

Reply to  old cocky
August 3, 2024 4:41 am

I hate kale, my wife loves it. Maybe it’s just the way she prepares it.

Reply to  enginer01
August 2, 2024 5:17 pm

A guy I used to know on the Central Coast has a large number of CO2 enhanced “grow shelters”.

He aims to keep levels around 1000ppm.

1saveenergy
August 2, 2024 6:33 am

“These elevated trends in greening and plant transpiration are expected to continue unabated to 2100, accelerating with the increases in emissions.”

Oh, Noes, it’s much more worserer than we thought (& probably unprecedented) …

I was promised a future of drought & living in a desert with no food or water (except for weekly tsunamis & hurricanes ) & now that bloody CO2 is greening the planet, turning deserts into lands of milk & honey.

Can’t we get that nice Al Gore to save us from the world becoming greener ??

We need to kill the plants to save the planet.

JUST STOP PLANTS !!

Rick C
August 2, 2024 6:55 am

Increased CO2 results in increased leaf area due to fertilization.

Increased CO2 results in reduced transpiration due to reduced size/number of leaf stomata.

It seems completely unsurprising, if not obvious, that a 30% increase in LAI would result in increased transpiration, but considerably less than a 30% increase.

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  Rick C
August 2, 2024 7:54 am

The logic of your point is sound. Without data we cannot determine if the hypothesis you present is valid and if so, by how much.

Seems to be another question not yet answered in the “Settled Science.”

KevinM
Reply to  Rick C
August 2, 2024 9:16 am

Almost as if the system deals with change by applying negative feedback to changes in environment.

Reply to  KevinM
August 3, 2024 4:45 am

The fact that the living environment, on a rock spinning around a hot star, could survive so long given all the things smashing into it, and countless variables trying to disturb it, shows just how tough Mother Nature is.

Mr.
August 2, 2024 7:02 am

And up next –
Greta offers non- proliferation treaty with all 447 air-borne CO2 molecules.

“I see you.

I want to reach a state of peaceful co-existence with you.

Firstly, you need to stop terrorizing all the immature, uneducated losers like me all around the world just through your very existence.

So if you could immediately exterminate say half of yourselves, that could be an encouraging gesture.”

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  Mr.
August 2, 2024 7:55 am

All Greta needs to do is stop breathing. That will definitely reduce CO2 emissions.

strativarius
Reply to  Sparta Nova 4
August 2, 2024 9:31 am
August 2, 2024 7:06 am

A detailed analysis of the exceedingly obvious.

David Wojick
August 2, 2024 7:07 am

It is possible that the greening is due to our emissions such that they never make it to the atmospheric concentration which is increasing for natural reasons. Most of our emissions are in the biosphere which is a different critter from the atmosphere. The reservoir models ignore this fundamental distinction.

Richard Greene
Reply to  David Wojick
August 2, 2024 7:18 am

“the atmospheric (CO2) concentration which is increasing for natural reasons.”

Burning hydrocarbon fuels is not natural. Only dingbats claim the CO2 increase is natural

John Hultquist
Reply to  Richard Greene
August 2, 2024 8:55 am

Wildland fires started by lightning are not natural. Who knew?

Reply to  Richard Greene
August 2, 2024 10:12 am

The only way you can support that statement is to show that people are not natural.

That leaves divine intervention and intelligent design as your only arguments.There is no other choice.

That makes you a preacher, spreading the good word about your beliefs.

Reply to  doonman
August 3, 2024 4:47 am

nailed it!

Reply to  Richard Greene
August 2, 2024 2:20 pm

Did you know that human emissions are only 4% of total CO2 flux.

Did you know there is no isotopic evidence of human CO2 in the atmosphere.

Did you know that the rate of CO2 increase closely follows ocean atmospheric temperatures.

I can’t believe you are still ignorant of these facts….

Nik
Reply to  Richard Greene
August 2, 2024 2:32 pm

Burning hydrocarbons is combustion.

Composting (which includes decomposition of leaf piles, of forest detritus, of layers of organic mulch, etc.) is a form combustion. Composting occurs naturally w/o any act of humans.

sturmudgeon
Reply to  Nik
August 2, 2024 5:28 pm

Does that mean I can stop turning my ‘composter’?

Reply to  sturmudgeon
August 2, 2024 7:12 pm

If you don’t turn your composter, it can become anaerobic, and produce more methane instead of CO2.

Reply to  Richard Greene
August 2, 2024 5:36 pm

Do you have a factual and logically consistent argument against the conclusions of this research?

https://www.mdpi.com/2413-4155/6/1/17#B31-sci-06-00017

Reply to  AndyHce
August 3, 2024 4:53 am

interesting- but will the Ruling Elite of the Climate Emergency cult read it?

KevinM
Reply to  David Wojick
August 2, 2024 9:19 am

Is it likely?

Richard Greene
August 2, 2024 7:10 am

Kenneth Richard is normally a CO2 Does Nothing Nutter.

Now that he has finally posted an article on the benefits h of CO2, he is still confusing people

The right message is CO2 is greening ur planet and accelerating plant growth

With a higher atmospheric CO2 level, an individual plant needs less water than with a lower CO2 level. That is caused by higher water use efficiency and it is caused by reduced transpiration for that plant. I have read over 200 plant growth – CO2 enrichment scientific studies since 1997 — this is a very common finding.

It causes confusion to talk about total global transpiration, which is primarily increased by increased global leaf area.

Here is the summary of changes in global transpiration:

“We further find that the global transpiration increase is mainly driven by leaf area index increase (40%), followed by climate change (19%), though offset partly by CO2‐induced stomatal closure ( 38%) and land use and cover change ( 3%).”

Observational Constraints and Attribution of Global Plant Transpiration Changes Over the Past Four Decades – Cui – 2024 – Geophysical Research Letters – Wiley Online Library

KevinM
Reply to  Richard Greene
August 2, 2024 9:24 am

A global attribution study that throws around numbers like “19%” and “3%” for anything seems crazy. How can they tell +/-10%?

Reply to  Richard Greene
August 2, 2024 3:06 pm

You are certainly confused , RG.. reality seems to do that to you.

Did you know that human emissions are only 4% of total CO2 flux.

Did you know there is no isotopic evidence of human CO2 in the atmosphere.

Did you know that the rate of CO2 increase closely follows ocean atmospheric temperatures.

Do you have any empirical scientific evidence that CO2 causes warming ??

Or is it just a little fantasy of yours.

Apart for your Tourette’s moment in the first line you at least got something correct

Sparta Nova 4
August 2, 2024 7:51 am

CO2 is not plant fertilizer. If any gas is fertilizer is it NO2.
CO2 is plant food.

Reply to  Sparta Nova 4
August 2, 2024 8:30 am

CO2 is an essential building block, same as H2O..
We don’t call H2O a fertiliser. Credit

Or you could say, “Carbon Dioxide and water are the feedstock of life on Earth”

Reply to  Steve Case
August 2, 2024 3:11 pm

🙂

Kasmir
Reply to  Steve Case
August 2, 2024 4:57 pm

Indeed. You can also say that greenhouse gases are that feedstock. Most folks look at (say) trees and think their enormous mass came from the soil, when in fact it nearly all came from greenhouse gasses, particularly CO2 and water vapor (when it precipitates).

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  Steve Case
August 5, 2024 11:37 am

Feedstock, food. Tomato – tomato.

🙂

Reply to  Sparta Nova 4
August 2, 2024 9:38 am

And that’s why the combination of soil fertilizer and increased Co2 levels= magic.

mydrrin
August 2, 2024 7:57 am

And that, is a good thing.

Duane
August 2, 2024 8:26 am

Actually, they have it exactly backwards. When CO2 concentrations are low, green plants are forced to open up the stomatas on leaf surfaces to extract enough CO2 from the atmosphere … which causes transpiration to increase. When CO2 concentrations are high, the stomatas close down, losing less transpiration to the atmosphere, i.e., making the plants more water conservative.

Besides the fact that when supposed scientists make obviously incorrect statements they automatically lose credibility. Here in this paper they state that CO2 has a “fertilization effect” on plants (it doesn’t – fertilizers are trace substances that provide necessary nutrient chemicals to aid in plant food production … CO-2 IS the food, or more specifically CO2 is the primary feedstock not a trace element. Green plants convert the food intake using the energy from sunlight and convert it to cellulose (plant mass) and oxygen.

John Hultquist
Reply to  Duane
August 2, 2024 9:00 am

supposed scientists 
Superb word choice — see my following comment.

Reply to  Duane
August 2, 2024 1:41 pm

On the other hand, number of leaves is increasing so, less transpiration per leaf but more leaves hence transpiration is increasing. Were the number of plants/leaves remain to remain static with increasing CO2 then you would be correct.

Reply to  Duane
August 3, 2024 6:11 am

Green plants convert the food intake using the energy from sunlight and convert it to cellulose (plant mass) and oxygen.

I’m no biologist but my knowledge tells me that plants take in CO2 + H2O and make sugar. This results in O2 being released. However, plant growth is done by taking the sugar and through respiration builds the stalks, leaves, seeds, etc. and it releases CO2. I would think that as there is larger leaf area and plant size, more CO2 would be released. I have no idea how much.

John Hultquist
August 2, 2024 8:48 am

 Three points:
1: Plants do better with increases Carbon Dioxide. Who Knew?
2: The inclusion of RCP8.5 is a useless exercise.
3: Quote- “This study is of great significance for the scientific response to challenges of climate change for regional water resource management.”

Trying to unpack this statement leads to a brain freeze. Looking at the “CrediT authorship contribution statement” doesn’t help. Consider the lead author’s interests: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Validation, Visualization,

So, they want more money to “visualize” how to use the term “Climate_Change”™ to promote “water resource management” or anything else they can “conceptualize.”

Sorry, I missed my morning beer. Rant over!

KevinM
Reply to  John Hultquist
August 2, 2024 9:27 am

3: Quote- “This study is of great significance for the scientific response to challenges of climate change for regional water resource management.”

What would a water resource manager _do_ with info from this study?

sturmudgeon
Reply to  KevinM
August 2, 2024 5:33 pm

Wet his pants in excitement?

Reply to  KevinM
August 2, 2024 5:42 pm

kill all excess plants within his domain?

KevinM
August 2, 2024 9:05 am

More Oxygen… fire hazard!!

1saveenergy
Reply to  KevinM
August 2, 2024 5:20 pm

Yeah, but more water to douse the fires !!

James Snook
August 2, 2024 10:13 am

Is it my imagination or is there an increasing number of papers that tend to fly in the face of the ‘Consensus’ emanating from China?

KevinM
Reply to  James Snook
August 2, 2024 10:26 am

And the most accurate model in one IPCC report was Russian? Political danger abounds.

August 2, 2024 10:30 am

“indicating that elevated LAI due to global greening is the dominant factor contributing to the upward trend in global PT (plant transpiration)”

What is ‘unprecedented’ is having to tell scientist morons this!


old cocky
August 2, 2024 3:20 pm

The greening, in turn, is predominantly responsible for the widespread increase in plant transpiration over this period.

It would be interesting to see if the increased transpiration is balanced by reduced land-based evaporation.

Reply to  old cocky
August 2, 2024 4:56 pm

It would be interesting to see if the increased transpiration is balanced by reduced land-based evaporation.

The Amazon provides a good example. Moisture has to find its way up the trees to be set free into the atmosphere above in dense tropical forests. The trees keep enough moisture in the atmosphere so the air over them become the dominant convective engine near the tropical Atlantic where moist air is preferentially drawn over the land rather than creating ocean warm pools in the adjacent parts of the Atlantic ocean.

Australia could look like the Amazon in a few decades if greening is sustained.

The Mediterranean is getting warm enough to support cyclones and these storms will gradually feed more water over the Sahara. That means the Sahara will be greening from the north as well as the south. When Sahara becomes forest again, the retained moisture will cause preferential convective instability and the lows will form over the Sahara rather than the Mediterranean. Moisture begets moisture.

August 2, 2024 4:33 pm

These elevated trends in greening and plant transpiration are expected to continue unabated to 2100, accelerating with the increases in emissions.

Only China and India are presently doing the heavy lifting. The rest of the world has gone bonkers trying to reduce CO2. Australia is doing its bit be exporting coal to China and Indaa.

Australia provides a good example of the virtual spiral. Australia could well become the Amazon. We saw glimpses of this last January when convective storms spun up over the Northern Territory and the monsoon trough migrated well south over Australia. Will be interesting to see if these condions recur later in 2024 like they have since 2020 or if they remain cyclic. But the greening of central Australia is helping.

billev
Reply to  RickWill
August 4, 2024 10:28 am

It could also be the case that global warming is the cause of the greening of the Earth and the greening is the cause of the CO2 rise. Annual temperature rise has not been continuous but has shown a pattern of alternating equal length periods of warming and pause in warming of about thirty years duration. Some CO2 satellite data mapping shows an apparent correlation between areas of high CO2 presence and intense vegetation especially areas of increased presence of broadleaf trees. Are these trees releasing CO2 similar to the human CO2 release?

billev
Reply to  billev
August 4, 2024 10:38 am

In any event, the atmospheric CO2 level only rose one hundredth of one percent from 1960 to 2020 to then comprise only four hundredths of one percent of atmosphere. Not much of a climate threat if a threat at all.

Reply to  billev
August 4, 2024 3:10 pm

The trees are probably not directly releasing that much additional CO2. But over time, the buildup of decomposing leafy material *will* release CO2. But I don’t believe climate science takes this into account in their models – they just assume its all human emitted.

billev
Reply to  Tim Gorman
August 5, 2024 12:30 am

There is a NASA document entitled “Satellite Reveals Human Contribution To Atmospheric CO2” which describes the results of a Finnish study of the human contribution to atmospheric CO2. The mapping of the US in this document shows about ninety percent of the human contribution to be in the Eastern half of the US. The only similar level human contribution in the Western half is in Northern Idaho. The heaviest CO2 levels in the East were along the Appalachian Mountain chain which is heavily forested with a mixture of needle leaf and broad leaf trees. The forests of the West are needle leaf. However, the Cedar trees in Northern Idaho, while of the needle leaf variety, appear to have a much more extensive leaf surface. Is this possibly evidence that trees with extensive leaf surface are contributing to the atmospheric CO2 level by emissions through their leaves? It also indicates that the CO2 contributions shown on the mapping are not of human origin and that is something I proposed to NASA a few years ago after viewing the mapping. They did not agree with me.