The electric utility for most of New York City is Consolidated Edison, usually shortened to Con Edison, or even Con Ed. When I moved to New York almost 50 years ago, Con Ed was what they call “vertically integrated,” meaning that it was responsible for all aspects of the electricity system, from generation of the power, to high-voltage wholesale distribution, down to delivery to individual homes. That ended in the late 1990s. As part of the deregulation of that era, Con Ed sold off almost all of its generation facilities to independent operators who since then must bid for access to the grid. Today Con Ed is almost entirely in the distribution business, including both wholesale and retail.
Although it no longer generates the power, Con Ed does have competent grid engineers working for it, and it is in a position to have a bird’s-eye view of New York’s so-called energy transition. Clearly, they are very well informed about the looming energy disaster in this state. Also, of all the companies involved in some way in providing electricity in New York City, Con Ed is the main one that has direct contact with most of the ultimate consumers. They are like a sitting duck, waiting to take the blame when everything falls apart.
So, suppose you were Con Ed. What would be your strategy to deal with what you clearly know is an impending catastrophe?
If you found yourself in their position, there would be only one honest and righteous thing to do. You would sound the alarm, as loud as possible. You would shout from the rooftops that this can’t work. You would warn of the danger to human life of a predominantly wind/solar generation system that could fail completely for weeks in the dead of winter.
Instead, sad to say, Con Ed’s strategy is just as you would expect from people of no backbone and no principles. Today, the President of Con Ed, a guy named Matthew Ketschke, had an op-ed in the New York Daily News, titled “NYC’s power must be clean and reliable.” (unfortunately behind pay wall, but I will quote some substantial sections). Rather than leveling with the people, Ketschke goes the route of kowtowing to the political powers of the moment, while attempting to set up a narrative to deflect blame as best he can away from his own company. Oh, and while also preparing to cash in big by building a vast amount of new transmission capacity, with guaranteed return from the ratepayers, that will only exist to serve some near-useless wind and solar generators that will contribute almost nothing to useful electricity.
Before going into some detail, a few words on the Daily News. It was once the largest circulation newspaper in the country, with 2+ million daily subscribers in the 1940s and 50s. Since then it has shrunk continuously, until now it has fewer than 200,000 subscribers. Unlike the New York Post, which is not paywalled, the Daily News is almost entirely paywalled. As a result, I rarely look at it. Its editorials run substantially in line with the latest woke orthodoxy. (For example, today there is an editorial criticizing the Supreme Court’s bump stock case, and another advocating for free transit fares for low income people). However, to its credit, the Daily News has published a number of op-eds recently on both sides of issues of New York’s energy policies.
Here’s how Ketschke starts off:
New York’s energy system is at an inflection point. Energy use is rising — but due to climate change so are temperatures and the frequency of storms. Unfortunately, generators have been slow to meet that increasing demand with the clean energy we need to combat climate change, and now some are questioning the reliability of the power system. But I am here to tell you that New York City doesn’t need to sacrifice reliability to address climate change. We can have both.
I guess genuflecting to the climate change cult is a basic qualification for the job of President of Con Ed. But you could do that and still be honest when politicians are mandating the impossible. Instead, the gist here is that we are doing our part, and the looming problems are someone else’s fault. We can have “reliability” at the same time as we “address climate change” with wind and solar power. It’s just that those evil “generators” (not us!) have been “slow to meet the increasing demand with the clean energy we need.”
But what about the “gap” identified by the New York Independent System Operator, likely to manifest by 2030 or so in the form of insufficient generation to meet demand? Ketschke starts by acknowledging the looming gap:
[T]he NYISO report . . . found that in the coming decade, the buffer between New York’s peak energy use and ability to generate power is going to tighten — threatening reliability. That trend is a concern for those of us responsible for keeping the lights on and the air conditioners running, and a clarion call to move faster on building more sources of energy that are renewable and a system that is more reliable.
But hey, we don’t build generators, just transmission facilities. The generators are someone else’s problem. Rest assured, we are doing our part!:
Con Edison is currently investing more than $2 billion on infrastructure projects to ensure the grid can meet the increased demand for power as buildings and vehicles move away from fossil fuels and become electrified. . . . Con Edison is enhancing its electric delivery system to deliver more clean energy from solar arrays, wind turbines, hydro and other renewable resources to support New York State’s climate goals. The company is investing in energy efficiency programs, new substations, transmission lines to carry renewable energy, incentives for electric vehicle chargers, and other measures to usher in a clean energy future.
But what then about the generating facilities to provide the electricity? Sorry, not our job.:
The good news is that the NYISO report also found that the state is moving in the right direction, even if it’s slower than we want. In the last year, New York has added 452 MW of clean energy resources to the grid. We need that number to be in the 1000’s moving forward, but it’s a good start.
Those other guys just have to step up their game in a big way.
And then Ketscheke wraps up with some more genuflection, followed by kissing the feet and licking the toes of the climate cultists:
Opponents of New York’s clean energy plans would argue that we need to go back and embrace burning fossil fuels to ensure reliability. It’s a head scratching conclusion. . . . [W]e also know that the best long-term option for the state is to address climate change directly through smart investments that mitigate future climate change, while adapting to current reality. New York needs to build more clean energy resources to allow the retirement of high polluting peaker plants. And we need to invest in research and development to spur new technologies that will help deliver electricity 24/7.
My normal instinct would be to feel some sympathy for the President of Con Edison, who is caught in a difficult to impossible position. He and his company will likely get a big share of the blame for the coming disaster. But between the genuflection to the cult and the profiteering off useless new transmission lines, he completely loses me. Con Ed, if you don’t have the courage to say the obvious truth here, you deserve whatever is coming to you.
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At least they see the energy disaster coming but “I told you so” gets no sympathy when you only mention it in passing.
Could rate payers sue them for knowing that the disaster is coming, the way leftists are trying to sue due to Exxon Knew BS regarding “global warming”.
The difference here is Con Ed has and will cost their ratepayers BILLIONS in new transmission and higher rates which, as a utility, their stockholders get a % of an ever increasing pie.
He doesn’t care for the fight. He’ll take his fat salary and his shares and head down to Florida.
The Climate Crisis is the Big Lie of our time.
Safe and effective.
Con Edison’s Big CON
Nothing to worry about here…
We can do it all…
…safe reliability
…emission free generation (anyone see those generation contracts yet???)
Most secure ever
The climate lie is a subset of the bigger lie that has been going on for generations.
“I’m from the government, and I’m here to help” (myself to everything you have).
Con Ed will not be able to deflect blame when stuff hits the fan. Gross negligence is defined as ‘knew or should have known’. Con Ed is grossly negligent. No op ed can fix that.
You are correct, Rud. When people are in their high rises in the dark, they will blame ConEd, generation is too far removed and too abstract for most people. New Yorkers pay some of the highest rates in the nation and they expect ConEd to deliver the power for that money. Hand waving, “It’s not my fault,” has proven time and again not to work in the utility industry.
This article defeats its own claim when it explains Con Ed no longer owns the generation plants in and around NY city
How can they be responsible for generation gap from the new unreliables when they dont have any ( apart from small output of the citys steam generation plants)
The demand for electricity delivered and paid for over their lines is their only concern.
The next stage up , the local grid operator is the one to raise the alarm
Duh! Because they likely have the most complete data on demand trends since they operate the vast majority of the distribution infrastructure.
PG&E no longer owns it’s generation either. All except Diablo Canyon was stripped away in similar legislation. Diablo was retained because of the training requirements that PG&E already surpasses to operate a Nuclear Facility
The utility is still the one that sends the bills. Customers still see them as the electric company.
More importantly, utilities must deliver reliable electric supply 24/7 with a set voltage and frequency..and capacity on demand every second.
Utilities should be the ones shouting about the blackouts!
But other commenters right—utilities are now must follow the regulators/politicians, promoters.
Lost jobs. Lost livlihoods. Unaffordable sporadic supply.
What a mess.
Duker, you are right. Technically, it’s not Con Ed’s responsibility. Mr. Menton acknowledges that Con Ed shed its generation long ago. The point he is making (in his usual clear and cogent fashion) is that it has the most customer contact, and at the very least shouldn’t be misleading people about what is coming, and what is possible. If “first, do no harm” applies, Con Ed is surely in error, gratuitously advocating continuing down a path that is plainly unsustainable.
How can they be responsible for generation gap
This short bio of Matthew Ketschke comes from Con Ed’s corporate governance page:
Con Ed is an investor owned utility. Matthew Ketschke’s assignment from his board of directors is to make as much money for Con Ed investors as he can possibly manage while also staying within the boundaries set by New York state’s political environment, its regulatory environment, and its general business environment. He does his job by pretending not to know the truth about wind and solar.
We should not think for one second Matthew Ketschke actually believes wind and solar can do the job for New York state and for his customers in New York City. But for the sake of argument, let’s suspend our skepticism and give him the benefit of the doubt.
If Matthew Ketschke honestly wants the pace of wind and solar construction in New York state to proceed a lot faster, he can use Con Ed’s political and business influence to push hard for three remedies:
— Let the price of electricity float as needed to cover the capital costs of new-build wind and solar backed by batteries.
— Guarantee a 10% annual rate of return on all money invested in new-build wind farms, solar farms, backup battery facilities, and power transmission infrastructure.
— Remove most, if not all, of the regulatory barriers now impeding the siting and construction of the renewable energy infrastructure needed to support the Climate Act’s goals.
If wind and solar backed by batteries is as cheap as its advocates say that it is, then letting the price of electricity float shouldn’t be an issue for New York state’s rate payers, because the price they pay will eventually come down as the renewables take a greater share of the electricity market.
But what if the price of electricity in New York state doesn’t come down with a faster pace of siting and construction for new-build wind & solar? What if it goes up instead?
If that’s what happens, the state’s residents can make their own best decisions as individuals either to stay in New York or else to leave for greener pastures elsewhere.
Lawyers and MBA always know better.
Beta, you state, Matthew Ketschke’s….. does his job by pretending not to know the truth about wind and solar. Precisely correct.
There isn’t a mentally healthy mechanical engineer/management degreed person alive who doesn’t know the truth about unworkable wind and solar, but for political reasons pretend otherwise. Likewise, any PhD climate scientist, without mental health issues, understands that CO2 is not the climate control knob but for a lot of reasons won’t admi it (until after retirement and only then if their investment portfolio isn’t over-weighted in RE (Ruinous Energy).
It is no longer greener pastures but lower energy bills, reliable electricity and lower taxes. Pastures are a thing of the past in NY thanks to the green machine.
The whining and genuflecting was almost nauseating. But one sentence caught my eye:
New York needs to build more clean energy resources to allow the retirement of high polluting peaker plants.
Unbelievable. It doesn’t matter how much over supply of solar and wind you have, if they aren’t producing (because its night time and the wind isn’t blowing and your batteries have all drained) THAT’S when you need the peaker plants! You cannot EVER get rid of the peaker plants because nothing else can ramp up fast enough to save the grid when another source does a face plant. The reason for peaker plants is to deal with the intermittancy imposed by solar and wind.
For a politician to say something this stupid is frustrating. To see it from the head honcho at Con Ed… well that’s just sad.
Plus, they’re not particularly polluting.
When someone like Ketscheke refers to “polluting” they mean CO2 emitting, it is just another of the many lies that the whole ‘clean & reliable’ energy policy edifice is built upon.
I guess by his logic, with every breath humans and animals take is polluting the Earth. Even plants release CO2 at night.
Only the humans
Animals are natural, but the left won’t lead the way in reducing population, will they?
It’s not the taking a breath that does the harm. It’s exhaling. All that CO2! Oh the humanity!
carbon pollution! /s
Researchers in China found that the smog that they were producing was cooling the Pacific Ocean and when the smog was greatly reduced the oceans heated up.
I’d guess the same thing would apply to smog reduction efforts worldwide that have been going on for decades.
‘Pollution Paradox: How Cleaning Up Smog Drives Ocean Warming’
https://e360.yale.edu/features/aerosols-warming-climate-change
WUWT ran an article on that a few days ago.
Was that statement, “build more clean energy resources” followed later by “new technologies that will deliver clean reliable energy 24/7” a dog whistle acknowledging the need for nuclear”?
I’ve known this was coming for a long time. Having spent 35 years in the business at the General Manager / Senior Management level I always had to take crap from customers and rate setting bodies for implementing policies to comply with state and federal dictates that wound up increasing our rates. I was never bashful about placing the blame where I thought it rested. “Don’t blame me or my staff for something that the EPA or the state legislature has mandated”. And I always brought the receipts in the form of the actual wording in the regulations. I would say that I thought they were bullshit (in so many words) but my job was to see that we complied in the most cost-effective manner possible so as to minimize the financial impact on the customer. Usually, most folks would understand. They still didn’t like it, but they didn’t blame me. I think that approach is still valid.
Mr. Ketscheke is a gutless virtue signaler. Francis is correct, he deserves everything that is coming to him.
Re-written for Con Edison to include the reality effect:
“We need taxpayers to subsidize four times more wind and solar energy installations because what they’ve funded so far isn’t enough.”
Business leaders in the energy and automotive industries need to step up and state the obvious facts – the emperor has no clothes – if they choose to avoid the truth, then they aren’t representing the best interests of their company.
Time for them all to grow a pair!
“,Con Ed sold off almost all of its generation facilities to independent operators who since then must bid for access to the grid.”
I need help with this statement. The independent operators must bid for access to the grid. Who is accepting the bids? Is it Con Edison or someone else? Who ever is receiving the bid should know in absolute terms how much power they are accepting for the grid and some assurance that that amount is available at all times. If those terms aren’t required then whoever is accepting the bids should be fired immediately and replaced with someone who will know exactly how much energy he can depend on. Affordable energy on demand is job one for those accepting bids, other than safe delivery all other considerations take the backseat.
Since everyone who can think at all knows no particular wind or solar site can provide ANY amount of power continuously, your suggestion on that issue is meaningless. The fantasy is that the combination of all wind and solar (and “storage”) will be able to provide power at all times. It just isn’t predictable where it will come from at any given time. Many, many sites need to be hooked in to attempt to realize the fantasy.
No Andy, my suggestion is how we move away from the fantasy.
Bob, “Just verdict” from the NY judicial system”? Surely, you jest. Con Ed. will get sued into bankruptcy when the blackouts hit, facts don’t matter (see the Donald’s just verdict).
NYISO, the New York Independent System Operator, manages the bidding process. They issued a report, mentioned in the article, about the new renewable resources. Of course, Ketscheke spun it as a good start instead of an effort lagging what is projected to be needed. It doesn’t really matter, when the dunkelflaute hits in dead of winter, those “resources” won’t be worth a rat’s behind.
The “coming disaster” will be coming for New Yorkers, not Matthew Ketschke or Con Ed.
Mr. Ketschke might face some embarrassing questioning before a legislative committee when the power fails.
But New Yorkers will physically suffer and die from insufficient energy. The educed needy and the dead will be the true bounds of that disaster.
Criminal malfeasance by Matthew Ketschke, by the Governor of NY, Kathy Hochul, and by the entire bloody state legislature is the only just verdict. Negligent homicide. Conspiracy to do great bodily harm.
Pat, “Just verdict” from the NY judicial system”? Surely, you jest. Con Ed. will get sued into bankruptcy when the blackouts hit, facts don’t matter (see the Donald’s just verdict).
Thanks, I’ve no illusions on that score.
But calls for justice shouldn’t stop even though justice is not served.
Pat, you are right about that/
So-called “clean” as defined by the second quote above and reliable are mutually exclusive attributes, anyone with half a brain can figure that out.
The retirement of the Indian Point nuclear power plant removing 1000 MW leaves the state with only three remaining producing 3000 MW of “clean” nuclear capacity (EIA).
When it hits the fan, everybody will scream, shout, point fingers-until they find some poor simpleton to pillory. In the meantime, during the crisis, the poor clueless folks who are without power will suffer, and some will die. The politicos who caused this will skate.
Wow. Evil. Not unexpected after breaking up traditional utilities.
Time to get a congressional hearing on the current critical shortfall in reliable capacity! Or did that happen?
Blackout survivors and families of those
that die without electric service must sue over conspiracy to commit fraud! Of course the Supremes will require standing and regulators aren’t accountable..but hey it only took 30 years to break up Ma Bell.
The disaster is here.
NYC and NY State are losing hundreds of people per day (a bit less than 600, but it is somewhat hard to tell). Matthew Ketschke has been a high earner for many years. He can retire and take his wealth with him, just like many others have already done.
If enough high energy users leave, the demand for electricity will go down. 🙂
Francis, in fairness to Con Ed management, your criticism is misplaced. The response you request does not meet their fiduciary obligation to their shareholders. They need to suck up to the Regulators, Legislature, Governor and every federal agency that has anything to do with climate and energy or their rate cases will be negatively impacted. The root cause of the soon to arrive blackouts is voters being “less than wise” and falling for the wind and solar farce that has devolved to fraud and voting for those officials who are part of it. Con Ed has to deal with the political reality of our dumbed down society.
Nevertheless, Mr. Ketschke could tell your story of having to submit to regulators and then speak out about the insanity.
Being honest has penalties when dealing with corrupt government agencies. NY conspicuously framing Trump using lawfare with no outcry from the public exemplifies the hopelessness. Total corruption.
In a region where low temperatures are a bigger problem than high temperatures why is global warming a problem?
The hope is that the degradation is gradual enough that the consumer can’t quite remember how good things used to be. Also the improvement of the weather will only be, like the deterioration, in the media.
“we need to combat climate change”
Combat is war. Another hopeless war like the “war against cancer”, “the war against drugs”, and “the war against terror”.
One can’t take the con out of Con Ed.
If he toes the line, he keeps his job. If he tells the truth, he loses it.
So, when ar the ConEd know lawsuits going to start? eh?
are
More blackouts, more babies.