CFACT presents four inconvenient facts about global warming at #COP21 display

CFACT has participated in the UN climate process going back to the original Rio Earth summit.  We are an officially recognized NGO observer at COP 21.

CFACT’s display is in the NGO pavilion at booth 37c.

We used our space to inject four “inconvenient facts” into the COP.  They are the kind of rock solid, 100% scientifically valid points that leave the warming-indoctrinated spluttering.

Here they are:

COP 21 slides temperature models v reality

INCONVENIENT FACTS: TEMPERATURE

“Global climate trend since Nov. 16, 1978: +0.11 C per decade” – University of Alabama, Huntsville

“The troposphere has not warmed as fast as almost all climate models predict.” “After 1998, the observations are likely to be below the simulated values, indicating that the simulation as a whole are predicting too much warming.” – Remote Sensing Systems

“Satellite analysis of the upper atmosphere is more accurate, and should be adopted as the standard way to monitor global temperature change.” – NASA, April, 1990

There is a “robust” cosmic ray-global temperature relationship… and thus provide further corroboration of the solar/cosmic ray theory of climate of Svensmark et al.  – National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, Aug 2015

“Assuming the proposed cuts are extended through 2100 but not deepened further, they result in about 0.2°C less warming by the end of the century compared with our estimates. – Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Energy and Climate Outlook, 2015

“Using the peer-reviewed climate model MAGICC, I estimate the marginal impact of carbon reduction promises called INDCs (Intended Nationally Determined Contributions) from the EU, USA, China and the rest of the world, along with the likely global policy output. My major finding is that the total effect is very small: less than 0.05°C difference by the end of the century.”  – Global Policy, Nov. 2015

All countries’ commitments from Paris = less than 0.05°C difference by the end of the century.

Cop 21 slides sea level

“Absolute global sea level rise is believed to be 1.7-1.8 millimeters/year.”   – NOAA

“Tide gauge records along coastlines provide evidence that mean sea levels (MSLs) have risen since the late nineteenth century with globally averaged rates of 1.33–1.98 mm per year… There has been “underestimation of possible natural trends of up to ~1 mm per year erroneously enhancing the significance of anthropogenic footprints.”

– University of Siegen, Nature Communications, July, 2015

“According to the new analysis of satellite data, the Antarctic ice sheet showed a net gain of 112 billion tons of ice a year from 1992 to 2001. That net gain slowed to 82 billion tons of ice per year between 2003 and 2008.”

“Antarctica is not currently contributing to sea level rise, but is taking 0.23 millimeters per year away,”

NASA

“Global sea level is less sensitive to high atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations than previously thought.”

Stanford, Geology, August, 2015

Island nations not sinking<

“No islands have been lost, the majority have enlarged, and there has been a 7.3% increase in net island area over the past century (A.D. 1897–2013). There is no evidence of heightened erosion over the past half-century as sea-level rise accelerated. Reef islands in Funafuti continually adjust their size, shape, and position in response to variations in boundary conditions, including storms, sediment supply, as well as sea level. Results suggest a more optimistic prognosis for the habitability of atoll nations.”

Geology, March, 2015

COP 21 slides polar bears

“The global population of polar bears is about 26,000 bears. This is up 1,000 bears from 2014.  Estimations are between 25,000- 30,000 bears globally.”  – International Union for Conservation of Nature

“Arctic sea ice is increasing, with the extent of ice at the highest it has been since 2004.

Denmark Ocean and Ice Services

“Arctic sea ice persisted in the James and Hudson bays well into August of 2015. it was reported that the worst mid-summer ice conditions in 20 years was preventing the routine delivery of supplies by ship.” – NASA

“Sea ice in at least three Eastern Canadian polar bear subpopulations was well above normal for 2015.” – Canadian Ice Services

Arctic sea ice is up by at least a third after a cool summer in 2013. “It would suggest that sea ice is more resilient perhaps,” says Rachel Tilling, University College London.” – The Guardian, July 2015

COP 21 slids extreme weathe

“We have identified considerable inter-annual variability in the frequency of global hurricane landfalls,” the authors state, “but within the resolution of the available data, our evidence does not support the presence of significant long-period global or individual basin linear trends for minor, major, or total hurricanes within the period(s) covered by the available quality data.”

Journal of the American Meteorological Society, July 2012

“There is not enough evidence at present to suggest more than low confidence in a global-scale observed trend in drought or dryness (lack of rainfall) since the middle of the 20th century.

IPCC 5th Assessment Report

“There is low confidence in any long term increases in tropical cyclone activity … and low confidence in attributing global changes to any particular cause.” Any increased hurricane damages “have not been conclusively attributed to anthropogenic climate change; most such claims are not based on scientific attribution methods.” There is “low confidence” for trends on tornadoes, and “the evidence for climate driven changes in river floods is not compelling.”

IPCC 5th Assessment Report

“When closely examined there appears to be no increase in extreme weather events in recent years compared to the period 1945–77, when the Earth’s mean temperature was declining. The global warming/extreme weather link is more a perception than reality (Khandekar et al. 2005). The purported warming/extreme weather link has been fostered by increased and uncritical media attention to recent extreme weather events. The latest IPCC documents appear to de-emphasize the warming/extreme weather link by suggesting ‘low confidence’ in linking some of the events to recent warming of the climate.”<

The Global Warming Extreme Weather Link, GWPF, 2013

– See more at: http://www.cfact.org/2015/12/04/cfacts-presents-the-inconvenient-facts-about-global-warming-at-cop-21-display/?utm_source=CFACT%20Updates&utm_campaign=856b5262e4-4_inconvenient_facts12_4_2015&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_a28eaedb56-856b5262e4-269639569#sthash.KXIatACj.dpuf

0 0 votes
Article Rating

Discover more from Watts Up With That?

Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

77 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
RCS
December 4, 2015 3:24 pm

Blasphemy! Blasphemy!

December 4, 2015 3:48 pm

Zeppelin-
The report states-
“The EU 20-20 policy has an impact of 0.026°C, the EU INDC 0.053°C, and China INDC 0.048°C. All climate policies by the US, China, the EU and the rest of the world, implemented from the early 2000s to 2030 and sustained through the century will likely reduce global temperature rise about 0.17°C in 2100”
Lumborg’s quote states “My major finding is that the total effect is very small: less than 0.05°C difference by the end of the century.”
Here’s how I understand the two things together-
If ALL the protocols/policies reduced global temp rise to about 0.17C in 2100, that total effect is “less than a 0.05 C difference” between using all the protocols and not using any of them at all.

December 4, 2015 9:50 pm

These are good posters which effectively visually communicate four important climate facts. Each undermines a pillar of CAGW dogma. Are hi-res downloads of the 4 images available?

co2islife
December 5, 2015 12:18 am

Great job on the 4 topics. I especially like the polar bears graphic. Global warming must have “forced” the polar bear population increase. Here are another few topics they could have added:
1) There is no mechanism by which CO2 would lead temperatures to “force” the earth out of an ice age.
2) There is no mechanism by which CO2 would decrease to “force” the earth back into an ice age.
3) The oceans are warming. Atmospheric CO2, absorbing and emitting at 13 to 18 micron IR, doesn’t warm the oceans, visible light does.
4) There is no mechanism by which atmospheric CO2 can cause a record high daytime temperature. CO2 is transparent to visible light. Visible light causes variations in daytime temperatures, and warms the oceans.
5) Atmospheric CO2 is in much higher concentration on Mars, and doesn’t trap much heat at night. Same can be said about Earth’s deserts.
6) Geologic records demonstrate that atmospheric CO2 has been as high as 7,000 PPM, and earth NEVER experienced catastrophic warming. The earth fell into an ice age when CO2 was 4,000 PPM. We are currently near the geologic record low at 400 PPM. Plants die when CO2 reaches 180 PPM.
7) Climate change is the norm, nothing the Government will ever do will stop the climate from changing, or stop CO2 from increasing.
This documentary predicted all the nonsense that you are seeing today.
https://youtu.be/QowL2BiGK7o

Lawrence
December 5, 2015 12:31 am

Unfortunately, pointing out the facts to any organised religion doesn’t get you too far in persuading them their beliefs are untrue.

December 5, 2015 12:50 am

Flop21 — can we get it over with, already..?

me
December 5, 2015 1:24 am

Thursday night late Piers Corbyn was on This Week on BBC1 in the UK. The resident lefty on the panel only had one argument, we laymen aren’t qualified to comment, we have to believe what 97% of the scientists say. This lie still has power in the mainstream media.

TrueNorthist
December 5, 2015 6:54 am

The first NOAA link under the sea level heading returns a 404 error. (Link immediately below the sail-boat graphic)

bh2
December 6, 2015 7:23 pm

Models are “predicting too much warming”? Well, then measured reality simply must be “adjusted” to make them right. Of course!
Has anyone noticed what a fascist lot the warmanistas are becoming as their pretty little “beliefs” and “forecasts” are steadily being skewered by measurable reality? Someone once remarked that the definition of a fanatic is one who will redouble his efforts as faliure becomes more certain.
It is reasonable to wonder if RICO laws should be pursued to recover the billiions in loot spent by the public to fund “research” by practitioners of this utterly phony science.