This article was transcribed from a newspaper clipping sent to me, it predicts a long term dramatic change may be possible in the Arctic, describing “unheard of temperatures reported in the Arctic zone”. Further, reports indicate “great masses of ice have been replaced by moraines of earth and stones” indicating glacier retreat. The report goes on to say that “At many points, well known glaciers have entirely disappeared” and “Everywhere, rocks are exposed that never before have been touched by the sun’s rays, and some large snow fields presumably everlasting, have disappeared entirely.
All indications are that the Arctic is undergoing and irreversible change. There’s only two problems:
1. Man-made global warming isn’t mentioned, in fact it wouldn’t even be a defined term yet for decades.
2. The article is from the Anchorage Daily Times, November 2nd, 1922.
You can read the entire article here:
ADT-article-1922 (PDF) h/t to WUWT reader Chris Beheim
And to show what goes around comes around again, we have this more recent but similar headline:
Expert predicts ice-free Arctic by 2020 as UN releases climate report
REYKJAVIK, Iceland — Get ready to order those beach umbrellas in Barrow. One of the leading authorities on the physics of northern seas is predicting an ice-free Arctic Ocean by the year 2020.
That’s about two decades sooner than various models for climatic warming have indicated the Arctic might fully open.
“No models here,” Peter Wadhams, professor of applied mathematics and theoretical physics at the University of Cambridge in England, told the Arctic Circle Assembly on Sunday. “This is data.”
Wadhams has access to data not only on the extent of ice covering the Arctic, but on the thickness of that ice. The latter comes from submarines that have been beneath the ice collecting measurements every year since 1979.
This data shows ice volume “is accelerating downward,” Wadhams said. “There doesn’t seem to be anything to stop it from going down to zero.
“By 2020, one would expect the summer sea ice to disappear. By summer, we mean September. … (but) not many years after, the neighboring months would also become ice-free.”
Full story here: http://www.adn.com/article/20141102/expert-predicts-ice-free-arctic-2020-un-releases-climate-report
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“Man made climate change” – very important remark, since, as shown here – http://climate-ocean.com/images/Lect/_8_EN.pdf – naval war had an important influence over the Arctic climate.
Most people fail to appreciate the huge heat losses at the Arctic pole. Mark Brandon has an excellent post on this at his wonderful blog, Mallemaroking.org.
By his calculations the sensible heat loss in Arctic winter ranges 200-400 Wm2. The chart below shows quite nicely how in the summer with air temperatures above freezing, the heat exchange stops. It can briefly reverse with wind circulation and air warmer than the water.
“Then the heat loss over the 2×109 m2 of open water in that image is a massive 600 GW – yes that is Giga Watts – 600 x 109 Watts.
If you want to be really inappropriate then in 2 hours, that part of the ocean lost more energy than it takes to run the London Underground for one year.”
A strong polar vortex in the winter also prevents heat transfer. But when there is a growth anomalies of ozone, vortex becomes “leaky”
…from the Norwegian Polar Institute’s Jan-Gunnar Winther:
“We have almost no data from the Arctic Ocean in winter – with few exceptions….”
Q: So who can claim theories/hypotheses based on this?
A: Those funded to do so.
http://www.breitbart.com/london/2015/05/13/what-the-bbc-doesnt-want-you-to-know-about-polar-ice/
What Breitbart doesn’t want you to know about polar ice:
https://twitter.com/jim_hunt/status/598962000513863680
Don’t you guys know that more sea ice means warming like in the Antarctic? Then logically less sea ice also means warming. Haven’t you guys been reading the news on climate change?
Why in another 10 years disaster will strike if we don’t have a government like China’s, which is a model for controlling climate change. And if the Arctic is not ice free in 2013 (which was predicted in 2000) then certainly in 2020. And if it isn’t ice free in 2020 then definitely by 2030….. The window is closing when we can prevent the most damaging effects of AGW. / sarc
With a population growth rate of 75 million annually, there’s a lot of newbies out there that will be suckered in. They didn’t get the old news bulletins. A growing target market for any new ‘fear bulletins’.
Arctic Sea Ice size is sinusoidal, following closely the PDO/AMO 30-yr warm/cool cycles.
They last peaked around 1980, and hit minimum in 2007. The PDO entered its 30-yr cool cycle in 2008 and the AMO warm cycle maxed out in 2007. The AMO enters its 30-yr cool cycle around 2022, so we should see Arctic sea ice slowly grow for the next 30 years or so.
These people are just bat-guano crazy. Uh, wouldn’t the fact that the Earth’s axis is inclined some 23 1/2 degrees preclude this? The poles will always be much colder if they don’t get as much sun as the tropics. Of course that assumes that the Sun is responsible for climate and not Mankind and that’s believed only by the “deniers”!
“It was discovered that warm Atlantic water in the depth reaches the pole, and that in the abyss of the Arctic Ocean water temperature increased due to the heat of the Earth”
http://www.whoi.edu/beaufortgyre/history/history_drifting.html
While it’s just one spot about 140 miles south of the Arctic Circle, linear regression on the break-up dates of the Nenana Ice Classic show the break-ups dates trending earlier by about 6 days in total over the last 90 years – which, at the same rate, mean insufficient ice to support the tripod in perhaps only 1,500 years’ time….
We’re all doomed I tell you! Or perhaps there is some other explanation …
Expert predicts ice-free Arctic by 2020 as UN releases climate report
REYKJAVIK, Iceland — Get ready to order those beach umbrellas in Barrow. One of the leading authorities on the physics of northern seas is predicting an ice-free Arctic Ocean by the year 2020
I would say the chances of this happening are zero!!!!!
Instead I bet by 2020 Arctic Sea Ice will be above normal and global Sea Ice will be above normal.
“Indications Arctic May Become Temperate Zone”.
Particularly during the winter.
/Sarc
To be fair, Alaska, at that time, was promoting immigration and homesteading. Not a lot of people were being attracted to the cold weather. So…
Hudson Bay will still be frozen.
http://earth.nullschool.net/#2015/05/22/0000Z/wind/surface/level/overlay=temp/orthographic=-97.09,66.79,1045
Ice in the Arctic wanes exactly as quickly as a year ago.
http://arctic-roos.org/observations/satellite-data/sea-ice/observation_images/ssmi1_ice_ext.png
2020 eh? 5 years and a few months to try and hit that prog.
Northwest Passage, summer 1944
“Later in 1944, Larsen’s return trip was far more swift than his first. He made the trip in 86 days to sail back from Halifax, Nova Scotia to Vancouver, British Columbia. He set a record for traversing the route in a single season.”
Summer 2013
“The Northwest Passage after decades of so-called global warming has a dramatic 60% more Arctic ice this year than at the same time last year. The future dreams of dozens of adventurous sailors are now threatened. A scattering of yachts attempting the legendary Passage are caught by the ice, which has now become blocked at both ends and the transit season may be ending early.”
http://www.sail-world.com/North-West-Passage-blocked-with-ice—yachts-caught/113788
Click.
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/sea.ice.anomaly.timeseries.jpg