Ontario, Canada: A Mirror of America’s Economic Future Mortgaged To Falsified Climate Science

Guest essay by Dr. Tim Ball

clip_image002If Obama’s policies on energy and environment were truly original they would be worth consideration, but they are not. He dismisses claims that

The economy will lose millions of jobs and billions in growth. He said, “Let’s face it, that’s what [critics] always say,” and “every time … the warnings of the cynics have been wrong.

Wrong! They failed disastrously everywhere and every time they were applied. Figure 1 above shows a poster from Britain, one of several European nations on the path

Obama pursues.

Ironically, Maurice Strong, architect of the false claims of human produced CO2 causing catastrophic global warming/ climate change, provided a classic example.

Obama and other world leaders are basing their policies on the Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). This was the climate science agency created by Maurice Strong through the United Nations Environment Program (UNEP) and presented to the world in Rio de Janeiro in 1992. Figure 2 shows a simple flow chart of the structures created to control the political and scientific sectors to achieve a political agenda.

 

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Figure 2

Strong chaired the Rio 92 conference and in the same year was appointed to Ontario Hydro. He became Chair and was given free rein by Bob Rae, socialist Premier of the Province. He set about applying the philosophy and policies enshrined in the UNEP program. These were designed to demonize CO2 as the byproduct of fossil fuel driven industries and nations. It was speculated by Strong in his comments to Elaine Dewar cited in The Cloak of Green (1995). He suggested,

Isn’t the only hope for the planet that the industrialized civilizations collapse? Isn’t it our responsibility to bring that about?

 

Dewar asked why he didn’t enter politics to implement his plan. He essentially said you can’t do anything as a politician, but knew a political vehicle was required. He knew that convincing individual governments was almost impossible, as Kyoto negotiations proved. His experience told him the United Nations (UN) was his vehicle.

Dewar wrote that he liked the UN because:

He could raise his own money from whomever he liked, appoint anyone he wanted, control the agenda.

Dewar concluded:

Strong was using the U.N. as a platform to sell a global environment crisis and the Global Governance Agenda.

 

Strong had similar powers and objectives as Chairman of Ontario Hydro and became the architect of that Provinces problems. A 1997 article titled “Maurice Strong: The new guy in your future” says,

Maurice Strong has demonstrated an uncanny ability to manipulate people, institutions, governments, and events to achieve the outcome he desires. It concludes, The fox has been given the assignment, and all the tools necessary, to repair the henhouse to his liking.

This applied to his UN role, but also to his Ontario Hydro role.

Under the guise of claiming Ontario’s debt was a result of expensive nuclear power plants he set about implementing an anti-fossil fuel agenda. One commentator referencing a later scandal involving Strong called “Hydrogate says,

Within no time of his arrival, he firmly redirected and re-structured Ontario Hydro. At the time, Ontario Hydro was hell-bent on building many more nuclear reactors, despite dropping demand and rising prices. Maurice Strong grabbed the Corporation by the scruff of the neck, reduced the workforce by one third, stopped the nuclear expansion plans, cut capital expenditures, froze the price of electricity, pushed for sustainable development, made business units more accountable.

Sounds good, but it was a path to inadequate supply. Key is the phrase he, pushed for sustainable development. In Strong’s, keynote speech at the Rio Earth Summit he said:

Current lifestyles and consumption patterns of the affluent middle class – involving high meat intake, the use of fossil fuels, electrical appliances, home and work-place air-conditioning, and suburban housing – are not sustainable.

 

He’d already created mechanisms to eliminate fossil fuels and bring about reduction and destruction of western economies. Ontario was his personal application and they were a disaster.

Despite evidence of the failures, Canadian environmentalist David Suzuki became involved and urged Liberal Premier Dalton McGuinty to continue Strong’s disastrous policies. Suzuki was forced to resign from his own Foundation because his political activities violated his tax situation. As one commentator noted,

The McGuinty government has a major electrical power problem, one created by its decision to use the power system as a political policy tool. This policy has resulted in the doubling of rates in Ontario to a level higher than in most U.S. states. Ontarios former industrial advantage has disappeared, while the government has been pretending that nothing is wrong.

Because of these energy policies Ontario’s economy continued to decline. The real impact of the decline is offset by the great Canadian socialist policy of equalization. So-called “have” provinces with thriving economies pay money through the Federal government to “have not” provinces. It was Ontario’s destiny as equalization covered political failures

If this continues this is not hyperbole, this is a fact Ontario will become a have not province in confederation. And it will be Premier (Dalton) McGuintys legacy that he in two terms took Ontario from being the strongest economic province in the federation to a have not province.

Replacing nuclear and fossil fuel energies with alternate energies drives up the costs and creates a multitude of other problems. A US Senate report notes,

Comparisons of wind, solar, nuclear, natural gas and coal sources of power coming on line by 2015 show that solar power will be 173% more expensive per unit of energy delivered than traditional coal power, 140% more than nuclear power and natural gas and 92% more expensive than wind power. Wind power is 42% more expensive than nuclear and natural gas power. Wind and solars capacity factor or availability to supply power is around 33%, which means 67% of the time wind and solar cannot supply power and must be supplemented by a traditional energy source such as nuclear, natural gas or coal.

 

Changes in Ontario illustrate the problems. Wind turbulence restricts the number of turbines to 5 to 8 turbines per 2.6 square kilometers. With average wind speeds of 24 kph it needs 8,500 turbines covering 2590 square kilometers to produce the power of a 1000 MW conventional station. Ontario closed two 1000MW plants in 2011 – the Lambton and the Nanticoke coal fired plants. Besides the land, (5,180 km2) you still need coal-fired plants running at almost 100 percent for back up. Strong’s policies eliminate the back up, so you either have dramatically increased costs, inadequate power or both.

Source: Steve Hunter

In 2008 Obama told the San Francisco Chronicle that the

notion of no coal . . . is an illusion, and he favored a cap-and-trade system. So if somebody wants to build a coal-powered plant, they can, Its just that it will bankrupt them because theyre going to be charged a huge sum for all that greenhouse gas thats being emitted.

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It’s only valid if science supports the claim that CO2, because of human production, is causing warming or climate change. It doesn’t, so there is no scientific need to replace fossil fuels.

Focus on CO2 and the assumption an increase causes temperature increase are built into the computer models. William Kinninmonth, former head of Australia’s National Climate Centre explains,

… current climate modeling is essentially to answer one question: how will increased atmospheric concentrations of CO2 (generated from human activity) change earths temperature and other climatological statistics?”…. It is heroic to assume that such a view is sufficient basis on which to predict future climate.

Indian Union Environment Minister Jairam Ramesh said

science is politics in climate change; climate science is politics and we are being led by our noses by Western (climate) scientists who have less of a scientific agenda and more of a political agenda.

He should add that western politicians like Obama are promoting energy policies based on falsified political science and alternative energies that don’t work. Ontario, under the control of the grandmaster Maurice Strong, tried and they’ve already failed. It is unadulterated evidence that pursuing them still is purely political. As always the people will pay the price as they have in many jurisdiction beyond Ontario. An appropriate quote to explain such blind behavior comes from former Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev; “Politicians are the same every all over. They promise to build a bridge even where there is no river. Figure 1 cartoons the alternative energy bridge to nowhere in the UK.

I once said the Kyoto Protocol was a political solution to a non-existent climate problem. Obama’s energy policy is more of the same. It is more inexcusable because it failed everywhere it was tried, including by Maurice Strong, the father of the deception that global warming and climate change are a man made problem.

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PaulH
June 3, 2014 10:13 am

Not to mention Ontario’s electricity energy fiasco:
http://business.financialpost.com/2014/06/02/ontarios-power-trip-irrational-energy-planning-tripling-power-rates-under-the-liberals-direction/
“Today, Ontario electricity costs average over 9 cents per kWh, delivery costs 3 cents per kWh or more, the 0.7-cent debt retirement charge is still being charged, plus a new 8% provincial sales tax. Additional regulatory charges take all-in costs to well over 15 cents per kWh.. The increase in the past 10 years averaged over 11% annually. Recently, the Energy Minister forecast the final consumer electricity bill will jump another 33% over the next three years and 42% in the next 5 years.”

June 3, 2014 10:19 am

Obama is also wrong because when he says it ‘never happens’, that is because the alternate is never tried. If the world was a closed system, you could make such a stupid statement. As it is not, then making such a stupid statement merely demonstrates the stupidity of the speaker. Not the projections of the others.

June 3, 2014 10:20 am

Errata: Instead of “world was a closed system’, it should be “the US was a closed system”.

Eve
June 3, 2014 10:26 am

Te last time I figured out the cost of electricity here in Ontario, based on what I was charged, divided by KWh used, it was 24.9 cents per KWh. I am sure it is higher now but don’t have the stomach to figure it out again. The writer forgot that Hydro One also multiplies usage and delivery by a factor to offset line loss. There is a reason I live here only my mandatory 153 days of the year and those days are in warm months when I should use the furnace less. The rest of the year is spent in the Bahamas where I pay .10 cents per KWh and do not need a furnace.

George Lawson
June 3, 2014 10:26 am

Maurice Strong is a danger to society, especially when he is able to manipulate the President of the United States of America to bring in Draconian policies designed by Strong to halt and even reverse the growth and standard of living of the developed world, in order to satisfy his twisted views on what life should be all about. His dangerous policies should be exposed at every opportunity, and every attempt should be made to rid him of the too powerful posts that he appears to be adept at securing for himself.

albertalad
June 3, 2014 10:28 am

Update, Ontario is now a have not province. Having said that however, Newfoundland/Labrador, Saskatchewan, and Alberta are not. Which means these three provinces, the only three in all of Canada that provide the “equalization payments” for Ontario’s failed politics. But Ontario is not the only have not province in Canada. Moreover, Ontario is have an election as we speak – you guessed it. The same liberal government, led by another free spending liberal this time around, that led them into have not status is leading in the polls. Go figure. Elections have consequences. You get what you voted for. Unfortunately in this particular case, my province, Alberta, will have to pay for their leftists failed ideas.

Paul Westhaver
June 3, 2014 10:31 am

Dr Ball,
Good timing on this article considering the Ontario election debate tonight.
Also, check out Brian Lilley’s interview with Prof Ross McKitrick (UGuelph) re: the EPA action of yesterday.
http://www.sunnewsnetwork.ca/video/3602072824001
Cheers.

TRM
June 3, 2014 10:46 am

Storage or load matching. Almost any renewable suffers from intermittent supply. You need to match the demand load to the output (ie. solar running AC) or figure out how to cost effectively store massive amounts of energy.
I’d be interested in an update from Mr Watts about his ongoing solar experiment. Hopefully saving him some money.

Tim OBrien
June 3, 2014 10:58 am

But…but…but they promised us that rainbows, unicorns and fairydust would WORK!
The common theme I’ve found for everyone that pushes this stuff is that they have no understanding on how things work, how to build anything or keep it working. And they get very very mad when you tell them the physical reality of why something can’t work in the REAL WORLD.

herkimer
June 3, 2014 11:08 am

The situation in Ontario , Canada illustrates what can happen when overzealous and financially irresponsible environmentalists combine forces with the” tax and spend” liberals to trash the economy of a previously prosperous province. The Ontario environmental model was tailored after the German model which is also in a similar energy and environment crisis now with run-away energy costs .In Ontario, the electricity rates are among the highest in North America and manufacturing businesses are fleeing the province to regions with the lower energy costs. All coal fired power plants were shut down or will be shortly . Much of this mess is the result of direct action taken by the crisis and scandal prone Liberal government headed by a Premier who chose to solicit and award long term multi-million dollar environmental agreements with foreign suppliers without involving the normal parliamentary review and checks . He has since resigned in disgrace having cancelled gas plants that cost the taxpayers a billion dollars in cancellation fees just to gain more liberal seats at the next election. Obama seems to be following the same tragic play book step by step driving up energy costs for no legitimate reason and thus driving jobs and businesses out of United States. All this will result in no real gain in environment goals as the annual temperatures in United Sates have been dropping since 1998, making the whole plan to reduce carbon dioxide by 30% totally unnecessary but costing the country dearly meanwhile.

Skiphil
June 3, 2014 11:09 am

re: Maurice Strong, intimate ties to the PRC and scandalous behavior in the UN’s “Oil for Food” program wrt to Iraq sent him scurrying to hide out in Beijing.

The U.N.’s Man of Mystery
Is the godfather of the Kyoto treaty a public servant or a profiteer?
By CLAUDIA ROSETT
Updated Oct. 11, 2008 12:01 a.m. ET
http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB122368007369524679

Alan Robertson
June 3, 2014 11:11 am

“Our concepts of ballot-box democracy may need to be modified to produce strong governments capable of making difficult decisions.”
-“Facing Down Armageddon: Environment at a Crossroads,” essay by Maurice Strong in World Policy Journal, Summer, 2009
“If we don’t change, our species will not survive… Frankly, we may get to the point where the only way of saving the world will be for industrial civilization to collapse.
– Maurice Strong, September 1, 1997 edition of National Review magazine
“Population must be stabilized, and rapidly. ”
“Environment must be integrated into every aspect of our economic policy and decision-making as well as the culture and value systems which motivate economic behaviour.”
“We must act on the precautionary principle guided by the best evidence available.”
-Maurice Strong ,opening statement to: the United Nations Conference on Environment and Development, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 3 June 1992

Jud
June 3, 2014 11:21 am

Dr Ball – Bang on as usual.
Some more context on Ontario for readers…
– Population: ~13 million
– GDP: ~600 Billion CAD
– Debt: ~300 Billion CAD
– Deficit: ~12 Billion CAD(2014)
– Provincial Govt Employees: ~1.1 Million
Debt has tripled under this government and continues to rise.
The problems the incumbent liberals have this time out:
– Scandals involving corruption and cronyism seem to have been coming out of the woodwork for the last few years
– The province, long a major manufacturing base is losing a lot of jobs to neighbouring provinces and US states. Electricity prices have gone from the lowest in North America to the most expensive
– Interest on the debt now runs at ~1 Billion per month. After healthcare and education this is the province’s biggest bill
There is no question the disastrous Green Energy Act has been the main culprit in this disaster, but public union activism is making it very likely the Liberals will be back in June 12th.

theorichel
June 3, 2014 11:23 am

Where is figure 1?
REPLY: Top image, read the text -A

Stephen Richards
June 3, 2014 11:28 am

My 9 year old grand daughter could manipukate a social organiser

Tom O
June 3, 2014 11:37 am

“Tim OBrien says:
June 3, 2014 at 10:58 am
But…but…but they promised us that rainbows, unicorns and fairydust would WORK!
The common theme I’ve found for everyone that pushes this stuff is that they have no understanding on how things work, how to build anything or keep it working. And they get very very mad when you tell them the physical reality of why something can’t work in the REAL WORLD.”
I couldn’t disagree with you more. As Strong’s comment about reducing the industrialized world to pre industrialized levels certainly points out. The intent and “common theme of those that are pushing this stuff” is to reduce humanity to caveman levels – all except, of course, their elite selves. In this manner, the world get’s depopulated to Turner’s acceptable population of about 700 million, or so, and these willing serfs will be thankful for all the crumbs the annointed elite toss them. It is nothing about saving the planet, it is not because they don’t know “how the real world works,” it is all about living in Utopia for them, and in the slums for those fortunate enough to be allowed to live and support them.

Reply to  Tom O
June 4, 2014 6:22 am

O

s Strong’s comment about reducing the industrialized world to pre industrialized levels certainly points out. The intent and “common theme of those that are pushing this stuff” is to reduce humanity to caveman levels – all except, of course, their elite selves.

The Morlocks and Eloi.

john robertson
June 3, 2014 11:43 am

Good comment Dr Ball.
The 2016 campaign will be USA wide; “Welcome to Ontar I Owe, I owe.”
Hopefully the voters will boot the lying Liberals but there is a brightside if they don’t.
The sooner Ontario crashes the better, poverty goes a long way in smartening up career parasites.
And the load of carrying both Quebec and Ontario will finally kill that wretched equalization scheme.
Open revolt from the fiscally responsible provinces.

Resourceguy
June 3, 2014 11:45 am

There should be some kind of award for most notable policy and managed screw ups awarded every four years to allow audit trails some time to catch up to them. I hope Alberta can benefit from this with industry relocation and absolute advantages. Voting with their feet is a powerful statement with real effects on the economic and tax base from which it flees.

Mac the Knife
June 3, 2014 11:48 am

A bit off topic: The Enso Meter finally moved a tick ‘right’ of +0.5…..
On topic: So very nice to know our US prez is following the Ontario socialist self-destruction path on CAGW. Our Dear Ruler in the USA can’t even manage that much originality…… but I guess that saves time to spend other peoples money on more golf and A-list parties, eh?
I sure hope the utilities up in Ontario are just mothballing those coal fired power plants. You guys are going to need them…. just as we are here in the ‘Lower 48’.

C.M. Carmichael
June 3, 2014 12:05 pm

Just an Ontario electrical update! according to this site. http://www.sygration.com/gendata/today.html coal was making more electricity than Biomass last hour.

Robert W Turner
June 3, 2014 12:17 pm

http://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/state/
There’s some really interesting data that would be very neat to see how it is correlated to state and federal renewable energy mandates. I don’t have the time to delve too deep into it but after some quick research here is how renewable mandates have affected the energy rates where I live:
From 1990-2009 average energy rates increased by 21%, or 1.1% each year. A mandate for utilities to buy 20% of their energy from renewables by 2020 was passed in 2009 and since energy rates have increased by 17% (data only available up to 2012) or 5.6% each year. This is an increase of 500% in the rate of electricity price increases and that’s only 3 years into the plan and a much larger proportion of these increases have been given to residential costumers. It must be working though, I have not spotted any man-bear-pigs around here!

Harry Passfield
June 3, 2014 12:18 pm

Eve says (upthread): “There is a reason I live here only my mandatory 153 days of the year and those days are in warm months when I should use the furnace less. The rest of the year is spent in the Bahamas…”
Eve: Would you consider adopting me? I am house-trained.

phlogiston
June 3, 2014 12:23 pm

It is a crime to hand control of energy generation and supply to activists.
Cold and poverty kill people.
CAGW threatens to become a holocaust.

Scute
June 3, 2014 12:35 pm

Just for context, that “green isn’t working” poster is an intended throwback to a famous UK election campaign poster: “Labour isn’t working”. Image here:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/picturegalleries/uknews/7582239/Memorable-Conservative-Labour-and-Liberal-Democrat-posters-from-previous-election-campaigns.html

Harry Passfield
June 3, 2014 12:41 pm

Dr Ball: Many thanks for this very informative article (sorry, parable). I’d heard of Strong but didn’t realise the lengths he wanted to go to to bring down western civilisation. Maybe, if what Skiphill posts is true, he is surely back with his masters in Beijing. I do hope they see him as a failure – with whatever oriental punishment they figure is appropriate for him.
I shall make sure your article gets a further distribution to my mailing list.

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