From the Carnegie Institution and the department of feelings, quite possibly the dumbest press release about climate I’ve ever seen. basically what they are arguing for is “don’t look at current and past data go with what we tell you” aka trust us, we are paid climate scientists with a model.
Climate change: Don’t wait until you can feel it
Washington, D.C.— Despite overwhelming scientific evidence for the impending dangers of human-made climate change, policy decisions leading to substantial emissions reduction have been slow. New work from Carnegie’s Katharine Ricke and Ken Caldeira focuses on the intersection between personal and global impacts. They find that even as extreme weather events influence those who experience them to support policy to address climate change, waiting for the majority of people to live through such conditions firsthand could delay meaningful action by decades. Their findings are published by Nature Climate Change.
Nearly every year, extreme weather events such as heat waves and hurricanes spur the discussion of climate change in the media and among politicians. This can create a window of opportunity for those seeking to enact policy aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions. But this window of opportunity could be delayed by decades due to the vagaries of weather.
“When support for doing something about climate change is based on personal observations of local weather, policymaking may end up being dictated by the roulette wheel of natural climate variability,” says Ricke.
Ricke and Calderia’s modeling studies show that within 50 years nearly every country in the world will experience the kind of extreme weather that can be a policy trigger. However, local natural variability in weather means that majority of people in each nation, particularly large countries like China and the United States, could personally experience these extremes for themselves either tomorrow or many years from now. If citizens do not support emissions reductions and other efforts to fight climate change until they experience extreme events firsthand, naturally-driven variations in weather could delay action by decades, Ricke and Caldeira found. They find that sound science should guide policy rather than the vagaries of weather. “Local weather is anecdotal information, but climate change is sound science,” Caldeira said. “Good politics can be based on a good anecdote, but good policy needs to be based on sound science.”
On the scale of self-awareness, this article rates zero. That is quite an achievement for Alarmists.
They find that sound science should guide policy rather than the vagaries of weather. “Local weather is anecdotal information, but climate change is sound science,” Caldeira said. “Good politics can be based on a good anecdote, but good policy needs to be based on sound science.”
Since Al Gore’s Nobel Peace Prize and Oscar, most discussions of the anecdotes produce much evidence that extreme weather events are not happening as a result of increased CO2, so in that sense science has been winning more and more of the recent discussions that follow disasters. Overall public support for the idea of AGW has declined, as has support for major reductions of CO2 forced by regulations.
If the case for human CO2-induced climate change and increased extremes were more solid (instead of full of holes); and if the case that government-mandated reductions in CO2 would avert disaster were more solid (instead of nearly non-existent), then their advice would be more serious. “Eat before you are hungry; drink before you are thirsty; rest before you are tired,” is common advice in hiking, where it is based on countless experiences. Here, “Act before you can tell whether it makes a difference” is unsound.
“Climate Craziness of the Week: don’t wait to ‘feel’ climate change, act now!”
This is called “talking your book” … or someone else’s book for them.
Sorry, I meant “jumping your shark”.
The problem is that “sound science” disingenuously omits all of the negative feedbacks that reduce the actual effects of CO2 to an acceptably small value.
Don’t wait to go to the Heavens – go right now!
Most shocking of all is the corruption of so many institutions. The intellectual rot is an amazing phenomenon to witness.
Caldeira said. “… good policy needs to be based on sound science.” Another inadvertent and bitter irony, courtesy of yet another climate modeler.
ROM
You can lead a horse to water, but you cannot make him drink,
You CAN however drown him, but it’s harder than you think.
🙂
I find the desperation not just palatable, but delicious, especially when it’s served with the right amount of irony and just a hint of arrogance! There should be an Iron Chef Science show where three well known Climate Scientists (hat tip caps to ROM) compete to cook up their latest theories and feed them to guest judges who then deliver scathing comments on the results. I’d watch it.
Mike M,
Was going to ask exactly what your “electric stimulation therapy” consisted of, but thought better of it. The hilarious, obvious problem with the news story is that “global warming” kept things colder, longer this year (late spring) ….how they can say it with a straight face is beyond me.
I think the alarmists have accomplished a lot considering all they have is a flawed computer model and a lot of speculation. It takes practice to use the phrase “overwhelming scientific evidence” and keep a straight face.
The top three countries to have experienced extreme weather over the last 20-30 years
1. Honduras
2. Burma
3, Haiti
have all double their population during this period.
Ah i get it a correlation, extreme weather increases the population , the UN predicts the worlds population to increase to 9 billion by 2100.
the no1 industry that relies on good weather,
http://www.slate.com/articles/technology/future_tense/2013/07/farmers_don_t_believe_in_climate_change_but_maybe_that_s_ok.html
“The long-term prediction for the Corn Belt in Iowa says that the weather will get hotter and drier—much like western Kansas is currently. Yet, over the decades of Miller’s farming career, conditions have been increasingly wet. “If I had done what climate alarmists had said to do, I would have done exactly the wrong thing for 20 of the last 25 years,” Miller says”
“Despite overwhelming scientific evidence for the impending dangers of human-made climate change,…”
WTF!!!
I’m still waiting to see some of that “overwhelming scientific evidence”.
Still waiting.
DennisA says:
April 26, 2014 at 3:44 am
Caldeira has a track record on scares, he is one of the originators of the “Acid Oceans” hype …
So has his useful idiot:
It would appear that ‘Nature Climate Change’ will publish just about anything. I’m wondering if I can get an old copy of National Enquirer published as a paper.
Irritable Climate Syndrome could be cured by dusting the atmosphere with Imodium.
Reblogged this on Public Secrets and commented:
This sounds like the Eco-fraud version of “Who are you gonna believe? Me or your lying eyes?”
“”””””……Billy Liar says:
April 26, 2014 at 11:48 am
DennisA says:
April 26, 2014 at 3:44 am
Caldeira has a track record on scares, he is one of the originators of the “Acid Oceans” hype …
So has his useful idiot:…..”””””
Say Billy, did you edit her ipad /ped /pid /pod/ pud /whatever, App on Acid Oceans to leave out her graphs of past Acid Oceans data, that matches her App calculations that show the corals running out of rocks to build their castles with.
I’m sure we (she) have experimental data showing showing the monotonic decrease in coral growth, to match the (near) monotonic increase in atmospheric CO2.
Now Warmista Worrywarts, can plead, that cloud feedback is masking the continuous global warming expected from rising atmospheric CO2, so we don’t see it; but nobody can claim that cloud feedback, has somehow put acid oceans on hold.
Henry’s law would dictate that ocean acidity, would track atmospheric CO2, without any cloud masking.
What gives ??
george e. smith says:
April 26, 2014 at 1:02 pm
To tell the truth George, I only watched the first few seconds – I knew it was going to be scary so no need to stress myself by watching it all!
I have now, however. It’s amazing how any scary number is always red in visualisations; and there was plenty of red by the time her ‘Earth System Model’ had run its monotonic course to acidification doom.
Uh, I think we ARE feeling climate change already – the COOLING cycle well underway, as lately expressed in the coldest winter ever in Chicago, and near-coldest ever in thousands of other places in both hemispheres. Tells me, if we don’t want to freeze to death in the near term we’d better be upping those CO2 emissions as fast as we can!
Seriously one wonders why the alarmists can’t recognize the slap in their faces they’re getting from Mother Nature for what it is. What gluttons for punishment they must be!
The double talk of a “Cultist”
“If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it. The lie can be maintained only for such time as the State can shield the people from the political, economic and/or military consequences of the lie. It thus becomes vitally important for the State to use all of its powers to repress dissent, for the truth is the mortal enemy of the lie, and thus by extension, the truth is the greatest enemy of the State.”
-Joseph Goebbels