From the Guardian, where I find it surprising they actually printed it:
Scientist behind the Gaia hypothesis says environment movement does not pay enough attention to facts and he was too certain in the past about rising temperatures
Environmentalism has “become a religion” and does not pay enough attention to facts, according to James Lovelock.
The 94 year-old scientist, famous for his Gaia hypothesis that Earth is a self-regulating, single organism, also said that he had been too certain about the rate of global warming in his past book, that “it’s just as silly to be a [climate] denier as it is to be a believer” and that fracking and nuclear power should power the UK, not renewable sources such as windfarms.
Speaking to the Guardian for an interview ahead of a landmark UN climate science report on Monday on the impacts of climate change, Lovelock said of the warnings of climate catastrophe in his 2006 book, Revenge of Gaia: “I was a little too certain in that book. You just can’t tell what’s going to happen.”
…
Lovelock’s comments appear to be at odds with dire forecasts from a report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change on Monday, which leaked versions show will warn that even small temperature rises will bring “abrupt and irreversible changes” to natural systems, including Arctic sea ice and coral reefs.
Asked if his remarks would give ammunition to climate change sceptics, he said: “It’s just as silly to be a denier as it is to be a believer. You can’t be certain.”
more here: http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/mar/30/james-lovelock-environmentalism-religion
Francois Guisot (1787-1874): “Not to be a republican at twenty is proof of want of heart; to be one at thirty is proof of want of head.”
Some people reach 30 at a much older age than others.
Personally, I prefer MY Gaia to Lovelocks; well, I call mine “Mother Gaia” so as to not confuse her with Lovelock’s silliness.
Mother Gaia is simply the Queen of the Maxwell’s Demons; she sees everything, and knows everything; but she tells us nothing.
MG really knows which slit the photon went through; but she’ll never reveal that to us. When she dabbles in atmospheric physics, for weather or climate reasons, she can read the serial number on each and every molecule, so she can tell them apart. That’s quite a feat, because if you have one mole of atmosphere, just 22.4 liters at STP , the serial numbers go from (1) all the way up to (6.022 E +23).
So any time she looks, she can see which molecule is in which pixel on the Maxwell-Boltzmann kinetic energy distribution plot. And next time she looks, she knows where they all moved to. pretty much like how lobsters climb out of the lobster pots at night, to go for food, and then climb back into another one, to hide from the octopi. They never seem to get back in the same pot.
So Mother Gaia can see that any single molecule in the bunch, eventually will be found at every one of those pixels in the MB plot, so the energy distribution over time, of any single molecule, is the same as the instantaneous energy distribution of the whole sample, so in that sense, the single (non-isolated) molecule can be said to have the same Temperature, as the whole macro sample.
So Mother Gaia knows the Temperature of every single molecule in the universe, so if she calculates the correct mean surface Temperature of the earth, she finds that it always comes out to be exactly what it is supposed to be at that time. But we never know what it is, because she won’t tell us. But at least we know that it is what it is supposed to be; not what some Tera-ist computer model claims it is.
So nuts to Lovelock, and his single organism; MY Mother Gaia, is a really helpful lady, when it comes to figuring out what is what !!
Lovelock changed his tune when the Fullabrook windfarm was built where he lives. It was fine to ruin other peoples homes and lives but when the wind scammers directly affected him and his family it was a different story. A total hypocrite.
His early books helped me point towards science as a kid as did many a book listed in The Whole Earth Catalog which was the Internet blog of its day, in print form. It was dedicated to the intense anti-Malthusian Bucky Fuller second only to anti-authoritarian Harvard psychology professor Tim Leary whose professional book describing his interpersonal (social dynamics over time) mapping methods of personality are still cited an advances today. When Leary was locked up by Nixon’s DEA as Leary was running for governor of California who John Lennon had recorfed “Come Together (Over Me)” as a campaign song for, Leary was able to escape the low security prison he was in due to the fact that he was himself the pychologist who wrote the personality test prisons used to determine flight risk. So it’s not only gratifying to see Lovelock carry the scientific torch (as did Leary in his final few short books that describe the progress or lack of it in psychology), but also Whole Earth Catalog founder Strewart Brand also speaking out against the usual anti-nuclear crowd that resulted in our high emissions era in the first place. Likewise it’s good that today’s equivalent of old school Rolling Stone magazine, VICE.com has its original founder regularly featured on regularly skeptical Fox News late night show Red Eye and how their site does not moderate out skeptical comments.
That as a kid of the 70s and 80s I was so well versed in hippie and Beat culture, I knew very quickly that the latest breed of tree hugger were not such “more with less” optimists such as those Leary enthusiasts who created Silicon Valley, but that they were Fuller’s old nemeses made modern.
sadly to talk about climate to official climate scientists you have to be an expert of deep ecology and social ecology. The IPCC would rather talk about sustainability, getting rid of the egocentric ecology [with its industrialisation] and creating a new eco centric man than about the prove predict standard of science and how their models fail that test.
the bbc reports neglect to give any caveats to the ipcc report like the predictions are based on unvalidated models or that the 30year data and avaerages are decontextualised from ice age cycles.
I am 100% certain that a molecule that is 1 part per 2500 cannot cause Cataclysmic Climate Change.
Earth is not an organism.
Earth is a heat engine with input at the tropics and losses at the poles. The thermostat is called water-vapour content.
Nothing organic about it.
‘Can’t be a denier?’ Actually, with respect, since this is an hypothesis,not a position based on fact or evidence, therefore I can reject it without any need for an explanation of my ‘position’ on the matter.
If it was a broader question, ‘is mankind harming the planet?’, yes on that matter i can accept – but specifically; CAGW by CO2?
No chance!
“It’s just as silly to be a denier as it is to be a believer. You can’t be certain.”
This is odd. I always thought our “denier” position was one of being uncertain. I wonder if James Lovelock would be upset to find out he’s one of us.
csanborn says:
March 30, 2014 at 8:06 pm
Truer words were never spoken. I also hope Dr. Lovelock has finally ended his brain lock. It does sound encouraging, but we can likewise never predict what Dr. Lovelock is going to say from one moment to the next. Lol!
arthur4563 says:
March 30, 2014 at 7:38 pm
” And Nature is their God and has somehow been tranformed into a benevolent being, which is quite a stretch.”
So true. If one believes in the evolutionary paradigm, then one must believe that Mother Nature is continually trying to kill us, to make way for something better adapted to survive. Mother Nature is the ultimate practitioner of tough love.
I think the problem is that, as people become more urbanized, they forget how harsh a parent she was, and remember only the good parts of the relationship before humankind, figuratively, left the nest.
I just sent the link to this post to the BBC! I was gigging them more (the word “gigging” is an Aggie-type of reference, for those who are unfamiliar with the term, which means “yanking their chain”) for letting the Guardian scoop them on this important news. But they are just plain ignorant, and I don’t expect them to respond.
One of the comments at Guardian calls them “Greenpreach”. I love the term. First time I heard it.
‘Responses to Father of the ‘Gaia hypothesis’ James Lovelock: environmentalism has become a religion’
According to our U.S. Constitution, Amendment 1, “Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion,…..”
Since religion is based on faith, isn’t the EPA and IPCC, the UN and some of our government representative establishing a “religion” based of faith of a computer model, with constantly wrong out, which that has never been V & V and has Jim Henson’s “CO2 caused Venus to has the atmosphere it has today” unproven hypothesis?
And thus he demonstrates his ignorance. Skeptics are NOT believers! Therefore, he is saying one of 2 things.
You are stupid if you believe or you don’t (which would not surprise me given his hysterics).
Or
He “believes” that skeptics are believers. Which demonstrates his ignorance. Which is it Lovelock? Are you ignorant? or just stupid?
“It’s just as silly to be a denier as it is to be a believer. You can’t be certain.”
Of course it’s silly to deny that climate changes, but what has that got to do with scientific skepticism. It seems like James Lovelock has rediscovered a balanced scepticism after being fooled , like many were initially, by the false sceince being spouted by the IPCC.
I think his Gaia concept stands up well. It’s certainly a self regulating system that is orgainic in many of its component parts. It does not seem unreasonable to regard it as a kind of macro organism, like a colony of insects.
Took him a few years but at least he has finally realized that a non-linear, chaotic system will behave in a non-linear, chaotic way and thus cannot be foreseen.
Makes sense to me. The Godess Gaia punishes mankind for their CO2 sins, however you can purchase Carbon indulgences for pre-forgiveness of your carbon sins. Anything bad that happens is punishment for CO2 sins. And the “pause” that dashes the faith of many believers. And the primary Global Warming tele-evangelist, makes millions of dollars selling his TV network global warming channel to Saudi Arabian oil billionaires.
Yep, sounds like a religion to me…. Maybe now we can get seperation of church and state, and end the government billions to global warming…
LadyLifeGrows says:
March 30, 2014 at 6:01 pm
James Lovelock has a lot to offer. He will remain influential for a long time because he said many more true things than false.
I agree, Lovelock’s daisyworld hypothesis of a climate-regulating biosphere probably contains an sizeable element of truth which is very important to understanding climate. People (physicists) talk about CO2 and the climate as if it is a physics question. It is equally a biology as a physics question. The evolution of plants especially broad leaved trees cooled the climate over the Devonian-Carboniferous (by transpiration and by creating humic soils from weathered silicates, essentially bringing the hydrological cycle onto land). The current greening of the planet due to increasing CO2, as documented by Mat Ridley, will also slightly cool the planet and represents yet another in a list of negative feedbacks acting against CO2 warming. (Providing enough vegetation cover remains intact.)
Oh Gaia who art the Earth, hallowed be thy Name,
Thy Queendom come,
Thy will be done,
On Earth as it is in the oceans……..
The founding Grandfather of environmentalism says
Dogma is not science!
Gaia has self regulated herself The Pause!
James Lovelock has been a bit of a rogue in the past.
GUARDIAN
James Lovelock: The UK should be going mad for fracking
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2012/jun/15/james-lovelock-interview-gaia-theory
James Lovelock on shale gas and the problem with ‘greens’
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/blog/2012/jun/15/james-lovelock-fracking-greens-climate
James Lovelock: ‘Fudging data is a sin against science’
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2010/mar/29/james-lovelock
He still Believes, he’s just no longer foaming at the mouth about it. He’s still sure that manmade warming “will” happen some time in the future, unless we curb our CO2 emissions. He is keeping the faith, in other words, so all he’s done is jump ship from an extreme, armageddon-spewing evangelist religion to a more moderate one with more hope and less fire and brimstone.
Good first step, I guess, for which he will promptly be thrown under the bus by the Warmunists.
Global Warmism is precisely a manifestation of Crowd Think as discussed by Gustav LeBon in his 1895 work “The Crowd”. Le Bon describes the changes that happen at the individual level to individuals caught up in crowds: they become very suggestible, they don’t reason things out for themselves but assume others in the crowd have figured out the scientific details, they become religiously intolerant to heretics from the view, they jump from image to image not worried about the logical problems. This is hardly the first group Le Bon described accurately, his book was on Theodore Roosevelt’s bedside table, and dogeared by Mussolini. Lenin and Stalin took from it, and “Hitler’s indebtedness to Le Bon bordered on plagiarism” in the words of historian and Hitler-biographer Robert G. L. Waite. Sigmund Freud wrote a book discussing Le Bon, which we will quote from below, and Edward Bernays, the father of modern public relations, of Madison Avenue, acknowledged his deep debt, as Goebbels did of Bernays’ reflected insights. http://whyarethingsthisway.com
Without splitting hairs I would suggest it is not a religion but a cult. Full of cant, dogma, high priests, rituals, extreme declarations, irrationality, brownshirted members, self-flagellation, hatred of the human, desire for sacrificial propitiation and of course obviously Gaia-worship. Very very neolithic……nothing whatsoever to do with science, rationality or reasonable faith.
If it’s this pausible, isn’t something implausible?