From the “we’ve already made up our minds, these hearings are simply for show” department.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY (excerpt from the PDF report)
Climate change is upon us, and almost every facet of California’s natural and built environment is being affected. Increasing global temperatures are causing significant effects at global, regional, and local scales. In the past century, average global temperature has increased by about 0.8°C (1.4°F), and average global sea level has increased by 17 to 21 centimeters (7 to 8 inches) (IPCC, 2013). Sea level at the San Francisco tidal gauge has risen 20 centimeters (8 inches) over the past century, and the National Research Council projected that sea level may rise by as much as 140-165 centimeters (55-65 inches) in California by 2100 (NRC, 2012). The Coastal Commission has developed this guidance to help California’s coastal communities prepare for the effects of sea-level rise.
The economic impacts of sea-level rise in California could be severe. Many parts of the state’s $1.9 trillion economy – including coastal tourism, commercial fisheries, coastal agriculture, and ports – are at risk from sea-level rise. In addition to potential loses in revenue, the Pacific Institute estimates that $100 billion worth of property is at risk of flooding during a 100-year flood with a projected 1.4 meters of sea-level rise. This property includes seven wastewater treatment plants, commercial fishery facilities, marine terminals, Coastal Highway One, fourteen power plants, residential homes, and other important development and infrastructure (Heberger et al. 2009). Also, public beaches and recreational resources may be lost, and wetlands and other sensitive resources may disappear. These resources provide invaluable benefits to California, including recreation and tourism revenues, habitat for commercial fish species, enhanced water quality, and increased quality of life.
More here: the PDF report
DRAFT Sea-Level Rise Policy Guidance
The California Coastal Commission Announces the Release of Draft Sea-Level Rise Policy Guidance for Public Review
Commission staff is now seeking input on the Draft Sea-Level Rise Policy Guidance. The Draft Sea-Level Rise Policy Guidance document provides an overview of best available science on sea-level rise for California and recommended steps for addressing sea-level rise in Coastal Commission planning and regulatory actions. Click the link for the Coastal Commission’s Public Review Announcement.
Opportunities to Learn More about the Draft Guidance Document
California Coastal Commission staff is conducting a number of outreach events designed to give an overview of the Draft Sea-Level Rise Guidance, as well as to answer questions from interested parties and members of the public. Commission staff will present the document at two Coastal Commission Hearings and will host two online webinars. Details on these events are below.
Coastal Commission Hearings
- Commission staff will present the Draft Sea-Level Rise Policy Guidance at two regularly scheduled Coastal Commission Hearings. Both hearings will also include time for public to register official verbal comments on the document. The dates of the two hearings are as follows:
- Thursday, December 12 at the Radisson Hotel Fisherman’s Wharf, 250 Beach Street, San Francisco.
- January 8-10 at the Catamaran Resort Hotel, 3999 Mission Blvd., San Diego. Check Agenda for Date.
See http://www.coastal.ca.gov/mtgcurr.html for more information on Coastal Commission Hearings
- Public Webinars
Commission staff will conduct two public webinars, each of which will include a summary of the document, descriptions of sea-level rise projections for California, and recommendations for addressing sea-level rise in Local Coastal Programs and Coastal Development Permits. Each webinar will be the same. Participants are welcome to ask questions during the webinars, but official comments are best submitted to SLRGuidanceDocument@coastal.ca.gov. (see below). The dates of the two webinars and registration details for each are below.
- Webinar #1: December 4, 10:30am – 12:00pm. To register, go to: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/2883128749907020034
- A PDF of the webinar presentation and a recording of the webinar are now available.
- Webinar #2: December 17, 2:00 – 3:30pm. To register, go to: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/3107175134787345922
After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the webinar.
- Webinar #1: December 4, 10:30am – 12:00pm. To register, go to: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/2883128749907020034
- Other Opportunities
In addition, Coastal Commission staff may be available to present at other organization meetings. Please send us an email at SLRGuidanceDocument@coastal.ca.gov to arrange a meeting.
Download Document
Click the link to download the full Draft Sea-Level Rise Policy Guidance document.
To download a specific chapter, click the link below:
- INTRODUCTION
- GUIDING PRINCIPLES FOR ADDRESSING SEA-LEVEL RISE
- SEA-LEVEL RISE SCIENCE
- ADDRESSING SEA-LEVEL RISE IN LOCAL COASTAL PROGRAMS
- ADDRESSING SEA-LEVEL RISE IN COASTAL DEVELOPMENT PERMITS
- ADDITIONAL RESEARCH NEEDS
- NEXT STEPS
APPENDICES (All Appendices A-F)
Appendix A. Sea-Level Rise Science and Projections for Future Change
Appendix B. Developing Local Hazard Conditions Based on Regional or Local Sea-Level Rise Using the NRC 2012 Report
Appendix C. Adaptation Measures
Appendix D. Resources for Addressing Sea-Level Rise in Local Coastal Programs
Appendix E. Examples of Sea-Level Rise Preparation from Other State Agencies
Appendix F: Coastal Act Policies Relevant to Sea-Level Rise and Coastal Hazards
Submitting Comments
Please send your comments as soon as possible, and no later than 5:00 pm Friday, February 14, 2014. Comments can be submitted via email to SLRGuidanceDocument@coastal.ca.gov, by U.S. mail to the address below, or orally at Commission public hearings in November, December, 2013 and/or January 2014.
California Coastal Commission
c/o Sea-Level Rise Work Group
45 Fremont Street, Suite 2000
San Francisco, CA 94105
or send by email to SLRGuidanceDocument@coastal.ca.gov
The 90-day comment period is provided to maximize public and agency participation in the discussion and review of the Commission’s proposed Sea-Level Rise Policy Guidance. We encourage broad participation in the review of the document and welcome all feedback.
Questions?
If you have questions or would like additional information on the guidance, please do not hesitate to contact Hilary Papendick at SLRGuidanceDocument@coastal.ca.gov or (415) 904-5294, or Lesley Ewing at (415) 904-5291. Thank you in advance for your review and comments.
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h/t to Mosher
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MAN HAS SINNED, CAUSING GAIA TO GET OUT OF TRUE. THEREFORE GAIA’S SERVANTS (GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS AND THEIR CRONIES IN SCIENCE AND INDUSTRY) NEED TO TAKE MORE OF MAN’S MONEY AWAY FROM HIM AND HAVE MORE POWER OVER HIM.
Reblogged this on World Examiner and commented:
more populist poppycock!
What California needs is an army of Rosa Koires. Too bad there is only 1 Rosa Koire.
These meetings look like they will be using the Delphi Technique. She’s an expert in UN Agenda 21 tactics and the Delphi Technique. She has first hand knowledge of these meetings and was an eminent domain expert in the San Francisco area:
http://wtcccagenda21.blogspot.mx/2012/01/rosa-koire-near-riot-at-delphi-meeting.html
Sea water levels are sneaky.
They grow at the usual 8in/century, unchanged, as all the gauges show.
Then, just when you expect it less, they grow by the remaining 50 inches.
As you look the other way.
All the Californian beaches should be kept empty, just in case!
Anyone in California going to show up and present some tide gauge data to these parasites?
California could replace the southern fence with panels:
“DANGER! WATERS MAY RISE 1.5 m ANY TIME NOW!”
“¡PELIGRO! AGUAS PUEDEN SUBIR DE 1,5 m EN CUALQUIER MOMENTO!”
Bill Ellis
Can you post a link to data for a station at Sonel?
Thanks
phodges says:
January 9, 2014 at 10:17 am
Bill Illis
Can you post a link to data for a station at Sonel?
Thanks
—————-
San Francisco GPS
http://www.sonel.org/spip.php?page=gps&idStation=1886
Page will link you to the near-by tide gauge data held at the Permanent Mean Sea Level Service
http://www.psmsl.org/data/obtaining/stations/10.php
No thoughts on this from the person that found it ? 🙂
“(h/t to Mosher)”
Oh well.
coastal tourism income will surely rise if the sea level rises
all those submerged human artifacts to scuba dive around and all those artificial reefs created as the waters cover the buildings. the shiny hotels with water right up to the restaurant window and gondolas park right outside, surely coastal tourism isnt dependant upn the geodesic psotion of the mean shore line.
The fish will live closer to the houses too so less C02 miles per tonne (ton) of caught fish and no more towing the boat to the marina to launch it, sounds like heaven to me
And how can ports, famous for silting up, loose income by having a deeper berth, I would have thought bigger boats means more income.
Welcome to downtown LA, and its Venice themed waterfront,
Or is that a Dutch themed watefront where nothing changes except the 6 foot high dyke (levee)
could have some nice windmills on them doing productive things like milling flour, what a tourist boom that wound be.
Roman harbour of Portus appears to be inland.
http://s446.photobucket.com/user/bobclive/media/lighthouse-04_zps77ab5d54.jpg.html?sort=6&o=127
http://s446.photobucket.com/user/bobclive/media/portus2_zps0bbb7c2c.gif.html?sort=6&o=0
http://s446.photobucket.com/user/bobclive/media/lighthouse-01_zps5ffc794b.jpg.html?sort=6&o=1
http://s446.photobucket.com/user/bobclive/media/portus-project_zps7a804227.jpg.html?sort=6&o=2
The lighthouse is under the scrap cars
Only one place in this entire document that is focused on sea level rise is there a graph of actual sea level rise. That does not occur until page 109 … and it shows that sea levels have been approximately flat (in the Bay Area) since the early 1980s. They even mention the “flat” period visible in the five-year average.
This is immediately followed with projections of meter-scale and multi-meter-scale rises.
===|==============/ Keith DeHavelle
‘“National Research Council projected that sea level may rise by as much as 140-165 centimeters (55-65 inches) in California by 2100 (NRC, 2012).”
This sounds strange in the light that current trend is the same as it has been last 100 years, 20 cm a century.’
Yes, but every Scientist knows that the properties of CO2 are completely different in the 21st century. That’s why historically recorded warming is 0.8C (after adjustments), but predicted warming is anything up to +6C (Uni of NSW’s latest It’s Worse Than We Thought paper). It’s because of the Feedbacks ™ that didn’t exist in the previous 4,600,000,000 years.
/sarc
Bla, Bla, Bla, …
Solution: Let’s raise taxes, increase stupid regulations that don’t do anything, and cut back on people’s freedoms and choices.
steveta_uk says:
January 9, 2014 at 2:07 am
I realize that my post was anecdotal only and therefore, not proof that the sea has not risen.
On the other hand, it is also possible that the local geological structures are rising [and thus lowering sea level locally]. And all the unknown unknowns are the whole point; there are too many “if,” “may,” “could” and other indefinite statements for me to believe the coastal commission.
Per NOAA’s data, there has been essentially zero increase in sea level along the California coast for the past 30 years (1983-2013).
See Appendix, pgs 20 and 21 for graphs of sea level vs time.
http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/publications/Technical_Report_NOS_CO-OPS_065.pdf. Published in May, 2013 so fairly recent.
The report shows similar zero or minimal sea level increase for several other US coastal areas, including Hawaii, Western Gulf of Mexico, South Atlantic Bight, Southeastern Alaska, and Southern Alaska and Aleutian Islands.
It is irrational to worry about sea level rise when the clear evidence shows there is no cause for concern.
You would think that seeking independent scientific advice on sea level rise would be a good thing wouldn’t you! However here in NZ such a study has concluded that the IPCC has underestimated the sea level rise by 2115 by 100%!!!! I’m Sure further studies will be needed to confirm this.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11182950
Crazy idea Land ponzi – Let’s start a new corporation selling future ocean side property ( a block or two back ) and then use the money to buy ocean side ( currently submerged) futures from the government, either way the govt wins.
Tim says:
January 9, 2014 at 2:40 pm
You would think that seeking independent scientific advice on sea level rise would be a good thing wouldn’t you! However here in NZ such a study has concluded that the IPCC has underestimated the sea level rise by 2115 by 100%!!!! I’m Sure further studies will be needed to confirm this.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11182950
—————
The eastern side of New Zealand is actually sinking. Probably a combination of being an island sub-continent in the middle/side of an oceanic plate which is slowly sinking in the mantle and the extra weight of the sea water on land which was previously above sea level during the ice ages (isostatic adjustment). Its a fairly high number exceeding 1.0 mm/year. New Zealand was probably submerged about 20 million years ago but has been raised up as it overrode the Pacific plate. The process may have stopped now and is going the other way again.
The California Coastal Commission [CCC] is a bureaucrat’s wet dream. It was set up by an initiative, and commissioners are all very wealthy, far-Left meddlers who take pride in rejecting anyone’s petition to improve their coastal property. The property doesn’t even need to be near the coast.
There was a recent article [I’ll try to find it] that showed the flaming hoops that a petitioner was forced to jump through in order to improve his property. Naturally, he was rejected in the end.
This kicker to the story: a CCC commissioner wanted to improve his own property, and his application sailed through, getting approved in record time.
The CCC is an undemocratic, thoroughly corrupt bureaucracy; one of many in California [like actor Rob Reiner’s 50¢ a pack cigarette tax, which his initiative-created bureaucracy gets to spend however they like].
The CCC should be abolished immediately, due to its uncompensated ‘taking’ of the property belonging to private citizens. But because it was created via initiative, getting rid of it would be almost impossible.
A heads up that the deadline for comments is 5 pm Wednesday, January 15, 2014, i.e. this coming Wednesday.
I’m not sure where the 5th Feb comes from in the article.
Sorry, not sure where the Feb 14th comes from.
I’ve been sending comments in, e.g:
Page 125 says:
“The NRC projections stop at 2100 and provide no guidance for extrapolation of the range of sea-level rise projections past that time.”
and (the 38 footnote)
“2.6 – 7.5 meters of sea-level rise over the next 2,000 years”
Current SLR is 2mm/year
NCR projection is 16.7mm/year at the high end,
2.6 – 7.5 meters over the next 2,000 years is 1.3 to 3.7mm/year
Q1) How can you reconcile the peak estimate of 3.7mm/year with the the NRC projection of 16.7mm/year?
On page 17 it states:
“The [NRC] projections also only provide estimated sea-level rise ranges through 2100, although sea level will continue to rise at an accelerating rate beyond the end of the century.”
Q2) On what is this assertion of “accelerating rate” beyond this century based? Any scientific reference? Especially since on page 125 it states the NRC provide “no guidance for extrapolation .. past 2100”.
Q3) Note 38 on page 125 (see above) gives a peak SLR of 3.7mm/year, this is a reduction in rate compared to the NRC projections, so this contradicts the assertion accelerating rate, in fact it is a decreasing rate. Does this need to be corrected?
Seeing as California is having a lot of uplift, sea level rise is exactly a zero concern issue. The yacht harbor at Alviso is now a reed bed in the process of becoming dry land in my lifetime. Hardly an issue of drowning coastlines…
We’ve had several FEET of rise in some coastal mountains during ONE earthquake.
Heck, most of the coast has cliffs of about 50 foot or more height, with a little scrap of sand at the bottom due to the very rapid rate of uplift happening.
This is just so insane.
Having been born in the State, and lived there for 60 way too long years, I’m incredibly happy to have escaped from there to Florida. (BTW, in cooling episodes when the Gulf Stream slows down, Florida warms up… the choice was not accidental…)