“Covering up” the pause:
World’s top climate scientists told to ‘cover up’ the fact that the Earth’s temperature hasn’t risen for the last 15 years
Scientists working on the most authoritative study on climate change were urged to cover up the fact that the world’s temperature hasn’t risen for the last 15 years, it is claimed. Leaked documents seen by the Associated Press yesterday revealed deep concerns among politicians about a lack of global warming over the past few years.
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…leaked documents seen by the Associated Press, yesterday revealed deep concerns among politicians about a lack of global warming over the past few years.
Germany called for the references to the slowdown in warming to be deleted, saying looking at a time span of just 10 or 15 years was ‘misleading’ and they should focus on decades or centuries.
The UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has changed its tune after issuing stern warnings about climate change for years
Hungary worried the report would provide ammunition for deniers of man-made climate change.
Belgium objected to using 1998 as a starting year for statistics, as it was exceptionally warm and makes the graph look flat – and suggested using 1999 or 2000 instead to give a more upward-pointing curve.
The United States delegation even weighed in, urging the authors of the report to explain away the lack of warming using the ‘leading hypothesis’ among scientists that the lower warming is down to more heat being absorbed by the ocean – which has got hotter.
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Finally, the IPCC has toned down its climate change alarm. Can rational discussion now begin?
Next week, those who made dire predictions of ruinous climate change face their own inconvenient truth. The summary of the fifth assessment report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) will be published, showing that global temperatures are refusing to follow the path which was predicted for them by almost all climatic models. Since its first report in 1990, the IPCC has been predicting that global temperatures would be rising at an average of 0.2° Celsius per decade. Now, the IPCC acknowledges that there has been no statistically significant rise at all over the past 16 years.
It is difficult to over-emphasise the significance of this report
More at The Spectator
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meanwhile… Gavin Schmidt dismisses the pause with a wave of the hand:
“This whole thing is just a blogstorm in a teacup”
“This whole thing is just a blogstorm in a teacup,” the British climatologist told CBSNews.com “The IPCC is there to assess the literature and tell people what the scientists are saying.” The report is meant to explain what scientists have reported, not conduct original science, he continued. “The idea that IPCC needs to be up to date on what was written last week is just ridiculous.”
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“It skews all of these diagnostics. Look at the long-term content, and ocean heat temperature is rising. We’re doing things to the planet that are geological in scope. I don’t use those words lightly.”
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He doesn’t expect the IPCC to devote much time to the issue of the apparent lull. “This whole thing has an element for ‘what can we find to try to undermine the IPCC’ before it’s even done, and there’s a lot of that going around this week,” he said.
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The deniers’ approach, says Schmidt is, “sling enough mud and hope something sticks. This seems to be a little sticky so this will be what they focus on.”
Controversy over U.N. report on climate change as warming appears to slow – CBS News
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Obama aims to ‘criminalize’ CO2 emissions — ‘If you’re pumping more than your legal limit of CO2 into the sky, well then, you sir, are a criminal’
Read the Full Article at Bloomberg News
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Eric Worrall writes:
Yet another climate fanatic has demanded the suspension of democratic processes:
This is because the implications of 3C, let alone 4C or 5C, are so horrible that we look to any possible scenario to head it off, including the canvassing of “emergency” responses such as the suspension of democratic processes.
This article was published in mainstream Australian media, on the eve of the Australian election.
Calls for green totalitarianism used to be comparatively rare, and therefore newsworthy – for example, Suzuki’s call to jail politicians who disagree with him, or Hansen’s promotion of Chinese style totalitarianism were widely seen as aberrations, as mistakes, as unrepresentative of the true feelings of people concerned about climate change.
However it is not difficult to predict that as voters increasingly reject greens at the ballot box, we shall see more of this nonsense in the future.
![Cartoon-Temperature-Rising-600[1]](http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2013/09/cartoon-temperature-rising-6001.jpg?quality=83)
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The Telegraph reports:
“We need a drastic policy shift,” said Christoph Schmidt, chairman of Germany’s Council of Economic Experts. “They haven’t paid any attention to costs. These are now huge.”
The government has vowed to break dependence on fossil fuels and source 50pc of all electricity from wind, solar and other renewables by 2030, and 80pc by mid-century. But cost estimates have reached €1 trillion (£840bn) over the next 25 years.
German Industry In Revolt Against Green Energy Policies
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You genuinely have to be an idiot to think that Arctic sea ice is recovering
There are serious debates to be had about climate change, and what we should do about it. Whether or not the Arctic ice is retreating is not one of them.
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/tomchiversscience/100237031/you-genuinely-have-to-be-an-idiot-to-think-that-arctic-sea-ice-is-recovering/
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Meanwhile, over at Dr. Judith Curry’s place, Greg Goodman writes to tell me that he agrees with what I said in this video about Arctic Sea ice reaching a new equilibrium point. See the graph below.
Inter-decadal Variation in Northern Hemisphere sea ice
On the deceleration in the decline of the Arctic sea ice.
The variation in the magnitude of the annual cycle in arctic sea ice area has increased notably since the minimum of 2007. This means that using a unique annual cycle fitted to all the data leaves a strong residual (or “anomaly”) in post-2007 years. This makes it difficult or impossible to visualise how the data has evolved during that period. This leads to the need to develop an adaptive method to evaluate the typical annual cycle, in order to render the inter-annual variations more intelligible.
Figure 4. Showing Cryosphere Today anomaly derived with single seasonal cycle
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The rate of ice loss since 2007 is very close to that of the 1990s but is clearly less pronounced than it was from 1997 to 2007, a segment of the data which in itself shows a clear downward curvature, indicating accelerating ice loss.
Inter-decadal Variation in Northern Hemisphere sea ice
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Yup. PDO gone negative. Will this be 30 years, or 90,000 years, once again?
Regarding the suspension of democratic processes: this is no problem for Marxists, who believe the revolution is inevitable, anyway. You have to crack a few eggs.
We will be hearing more of this suspend-democracy idea as the rhetoric heats up. Here is an interesting book where we are informed that the only way to avoid the apocalypse is to…carry out our own apocalypse by destroying our industrialism-dependent civilization. It is called, “Time’s Up! An Uncivilized Solution to a Global Crisis:”
http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/190032248X/ref=oh_details_o01_s00_i00?ie=UTF8&psc=1
“Germany called for the references to the slowdown in warming to be deleted…”
To hell with science when it gets in the way of the political agenda. I guess we could call this German Climate Science, a worthy successor to German Physics.
Did I miss this mention somewhere:
Sep 20, 3:25 AM EDT
OBAMA TAKES ON COAL WITH FIRST-EVER CARBON LIMITS
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_OBAMA_CLIMATE_CHANGE?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2013-09-20-03-25-32
Excerpt:
WASHINGTON (AP) — The Environmental Protection Agency says global warming is one of the most significant public health threats of our time.
That’s according to EPA Administrator Gina McCarthy. McCarthy is defending a plan to curb carbon pollution in a speech Friday morning. She says global warming is not just about melting glaciers.
The proposal is the first significant step in President Barack Obama’s climate plan.
But the plan only deals with future power plants. That means there is a limit to how much it will dent the emissions blamed for global warming.
The existing fleet of power plants in the U.S. is the largest source of heat-trapping pollution. A proposal to deal with them is due next summer.
…
Ah, you beat me with the Daily Mail article which describes exactly that the IPCC is political.
Australia is shaking off the Green Nightmare because people finally got politically active. So, Buckshot, just what are YOU going to do?? (As they say on the docks in New Jersey: Money Talks and Bull S**t Walks. Just preaching to the choir doesn’t count for anything.)
Steamboat Jack (Jon Jewett’s evil twin)
“…leaked documents seen by the Associated Press, yesterday revealed deep concerns among politicians about a lack of global warming over the past few years.”
Imagine your doctor expressing ‘deep concern’ when he discovers you are in good health.
“I am sorry, Mr. Smith, but there doesn’t seem to be anything wrong with you. You might think that is great news, but it really sucks for me. I love giving people treatments, having control over their lives and making them pay me an inordinate amount of money, while I get to play the hero, even if my treatments are completely ineffective! That is what I love, and your good health is just really screwing it up for me! So I have decided to start giving you treatment for cancer anyway. While this will be extremely painful for you and very expensive, it will make me and the staff here feel better. Besides, what if you really do have cancer and the tests just didn’t show it? I mean…think of your children, Mr. Smith! Don’t you love your children?”
Such behavior in a doctor would be easily recognized as evil, but politicians and activists see such behavior as noble.
The Arctic sea ice minimum has been reached now. The NSIDC wasn’t paying close enough attention to their daily numbers because 2013 was the highest minimum since 2006 (just barely beating out 2009).
http://s7.postimg.org/fk5btjghn/NSIDC_Minimums_since_2006.png
We can make the call now because we have passed the Sept16-18 period which often has declines in the average climatology. Avg daily change from JaxaV2 and the NSIDC.
http://s11.postimg.org/xq0lwyier/NH_SIE_Daily_Change_Sept20_2013.png
Reference by authoritarians to the methods of science or the values democratic governance is always, inevitably a ruse to subjugate them, a means to advance the progressive agenda, which has no tolerance for either. Free markets, free thought, a free marketplace of competing scientific ideas is antithetical to statist ideology.
Alinsky came to Climate Town a long time ago, and he is just getting started.
The Climate Liars need to come up with new, more creative, and more devious ways of lying. It’s not an easy task, but they get a nice start with calling it a “10 or 15 year slowdown”, and calling 1998 the “start year” for the graph. Next, they can
vanishexplain away the “slowdown” using a smorgasbord of “possibilities”.Or, they could go with Germany’s suggestion and just ignore it.
My guess would be the former, though. They just love bafflegab. They use words not to inform, but to misinform and lead astray. It’s just what they do.
meanwhile… Gavin Schmidt dismisses the pause with a wave of the hand:
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unless global warming is seen to be a threat, gavin is out of a job and NASA GISS will be forced to return to space exploration. the phd’s will end up being replaced with engineers. instead of building nice clean computer models, they will be tasked with building (horror upon horror) space ships and other nasty stuff. instead of being paid by the government to blog, the redundant phd’s will be forced to get actual jobs.
Is the Telegraph photo of a chimney showing steam or smoke? If this was a court case this photo would be considered inadmissible if there was any indication of tampering.
“This whole thing is just a blogstorm in a teacup”
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from the head censor and government paid blogger at the cult of real climate. Since when did science need to censor information? It was the church that censored information in the past. Now it is government institution. In both cases funded using money taken from the public under threat. give us your money or burn in hell. give us your money or rot in prison. different names, same methods.
“The dog ate my thermometer.”
So much for Gavin Schmidt preparing to leave the sinking ship of CAGW
As one of the bridge officers of the SS CAGW he realizes there is no future for him in the lifeboats. Might as well go down with the ship.
Sorry, off topic, but if you read my book and liked, loved or hated it, it could use a couple of dozen fresh reviews. It remains the only book by an American author focusing on the unfolding grand solar minimum and attendant risks of global cooling. TIA
Stephen, have you ever noticed how a thicker (taller) cloud mass looks darker underneath? Same effect would come into play here.
Notice how ‘dark’ the steam stacks appear … I’m not sure where the ‘source’ of illumination is in that photo … it is also possible that some of that steam vapor was darkened-up, for dramatic effect.
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On Amazon, that is!
Alarmists do seem to be getting more desperate in their rhetoric and threats.
The wealth and prosperity that a majority of the world now enjoys is best when it is underpinned by the rule of law. How would a legal system be viewed if it was only made of prosecution with no allowance for defense? Worse still, how would a legal system be viewed if it was argued that having a defense was immoral? So it is with AGW in that any serious questioning or doubting is treated as an affront or even a crime itself. How safe is that?
Gavin Schmidt on the leaving the “pause” out of the AR5:
“The data looks at a 15-year time period, while the overall report is meant to cover the big picture.”
Funny, the FAR published in 1990 thought the warming from about 1975 to 1990 was worth talking about.
http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/far/wg_I/ipcc_far_wg_I_spm.pdf
(see figure 11, not to mention figures 8 and 9)
I guess the importance of 15 years is in the eyes of the beholder.
Any surprise indicated by skeptics of the political domination of climate policy reflected in such coverups only reflects ignorance of the AGW movement and drivers. The misguided focus on technical details and “research” disinformation has been to a degree counter productive.
It was and is always political and science was always very secondary. The science first crowd have damaged legitimate skeptics who simply knew better long ago.
_Jim says:
September 20, 2013 at 7:26 am
“Stephen, have you ever noticed how a thicker (taller) cloud mass looks darker underneath? Same effect would come into play here.”
Yes I have Jim. I have spent a reasonable amount of time underneath clouds looking for lift and the darkest bits are normally where the best lift was. However, the colour was never black! And more importantly steam is not smoke.
Good Lord! People are called “d-nigh-ers” when they don’t deny any scientific data while the lunatic ranters are in charge!
Let us all remember, it is not whether we are warming, but whether humans are having any effect on the warming that is the question.
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When you practice epoxology you can’t help but sniff the glue.
(A blast from the past)
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/05/29/new-branch-of-science-coined-on-wuwt/