“Covering up” the pause:
World’s top climate scientists told to ‘cover up’ the fact that the Earth’s temperature hasn’t risen for the last 15 years
Scientists working on the most authoritative study on climate change were urged to cover up the fact that the world’s temperature hasn’t risen for the last 15 years, it is claimed. Leaked documents seen by the Associated Press yesterday revealed deep concerns among politicians about a lack of global warming over the past few years.
…leaked documents seen by the Associated Press, yesterday revealed deep concerns among politicians about a lack of global warming over the past few years.
Germany called for the references to the slowdown in warming to be deleted, saying looking at a time span of just 10 or 15 years was ‘misleading’ and they should focus on decades or centuries.
The UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has changed its tune after issuing stern warnings about climate change for years
Hungary worried the report would provide ammunition for deniers of man-made climate change.
Belgium objected to using 1998 as a starting year for statistics, as it was exceptionally warm and makes the graph look flat – and suggested using 1999 or 2000 instead to give a more upward-pointing curve.
The United States delegation even weighed in, urging the authors of the report to explain away the lack of warming using the ‘leading hypothesis’ among scientists that the lower warming is down to more heat being absorbed by the ocean – which has got hotter.
Finally, the IPCC has toned down its climate change alarm. Can rational discussion now begin?
Next week, those who made dire predictions of ruinous climate change face their own inconvenient truth. The summary of the fifth assessment report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) will be published, showing that global temperatures are refusing to follow the path which was predicted for them by almost all climatic models. Since its first report in 1990, the IPCC has been predicting that global temperatures would be rising at an average of 0.2° Celsius per decade. Now, the IPCC acknowledges that there has been no statistically significant rise at all over the past 16 years.
It is difficult to over-emphasise the significance of this report
More at The Spectator
meanwhile… Gavin Schmidt dismisses the pause with a wave of the hand:
“This whole thing is just a blogstorm in a teacup”
“This whole thing is just a blogstorm in a teacup,” the British climatologist told CBSNews.com “The IPCC is there to assess the literature and tell people what the scientists are saying.” The report is meant to explain what scientists have reported, not conduct original science, he continued. “The idea that IPCC needs to be up to date on what was written last week is just ridiculous.”
“It skews all of these diagnostics. Look at the long-term content, and ocean heat temperature is rising. We’re doing things to the planet that are geological in scope. I don’t use those words lightly.”
He doesn’t expect the IPCC to devote much time to the issue of the apparent lull. “This whole thing has an element for ‘what can we find to try to undermine the IPCC’ before it’s even done, and there’s a lot of that going around this week,” he said.
The deniers’ approach, says Schmidt is, “sling enough mud and hope something sticks. This seems to be a little sticky so this will be what they focus on.”
Obama aims to ‘criminalize’ CO2 emissions — ‘If you’re pumping more than your legal limit of CO2 into the sky, well then, you sir, are a criminal’
Eric Worrall writes:
Yet another climate fanatic has demanded the suspension of democratic processes:
This is because the implications of 3C, let alone 4C or 5C, are so horrible that we look to any possible scenario to head it off, including the canvassing of “emergency” responses such as the suspension of democratic processes.
This article was published in mainstream Australian media, on the eve of the Australian election.
Calls for green totalitarianism used to be comparatively rare, and therefore newsworthy – for example, Suzuki’s call to jail politicians who disagree with him, or Hansen’s promotion of Chinese style totalitarianism were widely seen as aberrations, as mistakes, as unrepresentative of the true feelings of people concerned about climate change.
However it is not difficult to predict that as voters increasingly reject greens at the ballot box, we shall see more of this nonsense in the future.
The Telegraph reports:
“We need a drastic policy shift,” said Christoph Schmidt, chairman of Germany’s Council of Economic Experts. “They haven’t paid any attention to costs. These are now huge.”
The government has vowed to break dependence on fossil fuels and source 50pc of all electricity from wind, solar and other renewables by 2030, and 80pc by mid-century. But cost estimates have reached €1 trillion (£840bn) over the next 25 years.
You genuinely have to be an idiot to think that Arctic sea ice is recovering
There are serious debates to be had about climate change, and what we should do about it. Whether or not the Arctic ice is retreating is not one of them.
Meanwhile, over at Dr. Judith Curry’s place, Greg Goodman writes to tell me that he agrees with what I said in this video about Arctic Sea ice reaching a new equilibrium point. See the graph below.
Inter-decadal Variation in Northern Hemisphere sea ice
On the deceleration in the decline of the Arctic sea ice.
The variation in the magnitude of the annual cycle in arctic sea ice area has increased notably since the minimum of 2007. This means that using a unique annual cycle fitted to all the data leaves a strong residual (or “anomaly”) in post-2007 years. This makes it difficult or impossible to visualise how the data has evolved during that period. This leads to the need to develop an adaptive method to evaluate the typical annual cycle, in order to render the inter-annual variations more intelligible.
Figure 4. Showing Cryosphere Today anomaly derived with single seasonal cycle
The rate of ice loss since 2007 is very close to that of the 1990s but is clearly less pronounced than it was from 1997 to 2007, a segment of the data which in itself shows a clear downward curvature, indicating accelerating ice loss.