The WUWT Hot Sheet for Thursday August 15th, 2013

WUWT_hot_sheet2

Keith Olbermann: Current TV Co-Founder And Former VP Al Gore Was a ‘Clod’ – TVNewser

“When you’re working for somebody whom you admired politically, who turns out to be a clod,” says Olbermann, referring to Gore, “the scales fall from your eyes. Sorry. Al underdelivered. I mean that’s just simply the case. I don’t want to dwell on it, but it’s true.”

=========================================================

Speaking of clods, Ahnold channels my own local California haranguer Sherri Quammen

Schwarzenegger got off some good gibes to win the crowd over.

Speaking of greenhouse gas deniers: “Strap some conservative-thinking people to a tailpipe for an hour and then they will agree it’s a pollutant!”

And naturally, there was this quip: “Use your Hummer, but have an electric engine.”

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/william-bradley/national-clean-energy-sum_b_3757805.html

Luboš Motl says it’s a gas chamber analogy: http://motls.blogspot.com/2013/08/arnold-schwarzenegger-orders-gas.html

============================================================

More heat than light? Climate catastrophe and the Hiroshima bomb

There has been some discussion on Twitter today (14 August) about the wisdom or otherwise of measuring the heat being retained by the Earth in terms of Hiroshima bombs. The analogy is presented by John Cook and Dana Nuccitelli on their Skeptical Science blog, drawing on an academic paper by Church et al to describe the heat retained as equivalent to four Hiroshima bombs per second.

I have no reason to doubt this. However, choosing the most effective metaphor involves more than simply finding an analogy that accurately conveys a specific energy equivalence.  The very purpose of a metaphor is to help make the incomprehensible familiar in order to make a point. Asking whether it is accurate or not is not enough.

More heat than light? Climate catastrophe and the Hiroshima bomb

============================================================

Another Paper Supports Svensmark’s Cosmic Ray Theory

Another Paper Supports Svensmark’s Cosmic Ray Theory

In recent weeks there has been even further developments in support of Svensmark’s Cosmic Ray Theory of cosmoclimatology. Via The Hockey Schtick is this article: …

http://climateobserver.blogspot.com/2013/04/another-paper-supports-svensmarks.html

h/t to Mark Bofill

=============================================================

Mumble McGuirk says:

Well the American Meteorological Society has posted the slate of candidates for next President and Councilors:

http://www.ametsoc.org/elections/2013candidates.pdf

It may be a Hobson’s Choice, but I urge any AMS members to vote for .NOT. Heidi Cullen.

I don’t disagree. Cullen is not only an activist, but as we saw in her recent congressional testimony, not particularly cognizant. I’d vote for the Air Force guy. – Anthony

===============================================================

Climate change may be speeding coast redwood, giant sequoia growth.

By Bettina Boxall

Per the article: Finally, some good news about the effects of climate change. It may have triggered a growth spurt in two of California’s iconic tree species: coast redwoods and giant sequoias.

Since the 1970s, some coast redwoods have grown at the fastest rate ever, according to scientists who studied corings from trees more than 1,000 years old.

http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-redwoods-climate-20130814,0,3829911.story

================================================================

Paging Brad Johnson of ‘Forecast the Facts’. New peer-reviewed paper: “Our findings contradict the view that a warming world will automatically be one of more overall climatic variation.”

No increase in global temperature variability despite changing regional patterns : Nature : Nature Publishing Group

Evidence from Greenland ice cores shows that year-to-year temperature variability was probably higher in some past cold periods…Many climate models predict that total variability will ultimately decrease under high greenhouse gas concentrations, possibly associated with reductions in sea-ice cover. Our findings contradict the view that a warming world will automatically be one of more overall climatic variation.

h/t to Tom Nelson

=================================================================

Die Klimazwiebel: Science for a good cause?

Imagine the following scenario. An atmospheric scientist makes a discovery that seems to challenge a particular model of sea level increase due to global warming. She expects her discovery will be refined through further research, and that, in the end, it will not refute the mainstream view. In the meantime, she wants to avoid giving ammunition to climate skeptics, so she postpones publication. But an ambitious postdoc surreptitiously informs the media about the discovery. The media accuse the scientist of a cover-up and report that key evidence for anthropogenic climate change has been refuted.

==================================================================

The Editor, Richmond Times-Dispatch, August 15, 2013.

Sir,

Charles Battig did a great service to your readers by spreading truth about the now-collapsed climate scare. Michael Mann’s criticisms of him (August 5) were ill-founded. Attorney General Cuccinelli investigated Mr Mann under the Fraud Against Taxpayers Act 2000 because of what I shall delicately call the statistical peculiarities evident in Mr Mann’s “hockey stick” graph that had purported to abolish the medieval warm period and to show – falsely – that today’s quite normal global temperatures were unprecedented in 1300 years.

Mr Mann’s graph relied heavily upon the widths of tree-rings from bristlecone pines as a basis for estimating temperatures before we had thermometers, although these pines are unreliable proxies because the tree-rings widen not only when the weather is warmer but also when it is wetter and when there is more CO2 in the air. That kinda musses things up.

According to real scientists, the graph also gave extreme weighting to datasets that showed unusual 20th-century warming at the expense of those that did not. And the program that Mr Mann created to draw the graph would have shown the 20th century as unusually warm even if random red noise rather than real-world data were fed in. There were numerous other statistical curiosities. Mr Mann’s graph is perhaps the most laughable and widely-discredited object in the history of bad science supporting worse politics.

Most learned papers based on real-world data show that the medieval warm period was real, global, and warmer than the present. A spate of papers by computer modelers apparently confirming Mr Mann’s contrarian conclusion appeared with interesting suddenness after his paper was scientifically discredited. Many of the authors, according to an independent statistical report for the House Energy & Commerce Committee in 2006, were linked to Mr Mann by previous co-authorship. Hmmm.

Mr Battig did not criticize Mr Mann for his bad personality, though Mr Mann’s characteristically malevolent description of his opponents as “deniers” and “denialists” several times in his letter of reply would be illegal in Europe as being anti-Jewish, racialist hate-speech disrespectful of Holocaust victims. Certainly no real scientist would use such language. Mr Battig criticized Mr Mann for his flagrantly bad science, not his flagrantly bad manners. Science is not about personalities. It is about seeking truth. Mr Mann’s graph was not true. It was not science. It deserved criticism. It got it.

Besides, according to the satellites, notwithstanding record increases in CO2 concentration there has been no global warming at all for 16 years 8 months – and counting. That is 200 months without so much as a flicker of global warming. The game is up and the scare is over.

Yours faithfully,

Monckton of Brenchley

http://sppiblog.org/news/monckton-to-mann-forget-personalities-science-is-about-truth

Get notified when a new post is published.
Subscribe today!
0 0 votes
Article Rating
70 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
August 15, 2013 8:17 am

Couple of comments. First, we should start a petition on Huff to make it illegal for any entity to emit more than 30,000 ppm of the poisonous gas carbon dioxide, and to classify any attempt to force someone to breath over 30,000 ppm of the gas as attempted murder. Let’s see how many people are sufficiently ignorant as to make breathing illegal (we exhale 40,000 – 50,0000 ppm CO2), and to charge anyone giving CPR with attempted murder. Now that would be fun to see.
Secondly, we really need to do more tweaking of the models wrt climate sensitivity. Clearly, we have underestimated how sensitive the climate is to the Gore effect. Here it is, the midde of August, and today’s high temperature in Atlanta, yes the Deep South Atlanta, is expected to be 72 degrees F. We need to reduce his emissions before we have a run-away ice age. The future of Mankind is at stake!

John R T
August 15, 2013 8:19 am

Up-date on RT-D / Monckton:
“Hi, John – I dunno when Monckton’s letter will run. We paste up Letters a couple days in advance, to leave the copy desk free to work on late-breaking box scores, etc. right before presstime.
A. Barton Hinkle
Editorial Department
Richmond Times-Dispatch
300 E. Franklin St., Richmond, VA 23219
PO Box 85333, Richmond, VA 23293
Office phone: 804.649.6627
bhinkle@timesdispatch.com
Twitter: @ABartonHinkle”

August 15, 2013 8:20 am

Correction: 40,000 – 50,000 obviously. Still learning how to ‘type’ on an iPad.

FrankK
August 15, 2013 8:55 am

Arny lets face it your just a big “PARDY POOPER”.

eyesonu
August 15, 2013 9:01 am

John R T says:
August 15, 2013 at 8:19 am
=================
John,
Thank you for the update/heads up.

August 15, 2013 9:54 am

I would say Kieth Olberman resents Al Gore becouse Gore is not enough of a zealot on CAGW.
This says more about Olby than it does Al.

mwhite
August 15, 2013 10:47 am

“Speaking of greenhouse gas deniers: “Strap some conservative-thinking people to a tailpipe for an hour and then they will agree it’s a pollutant!””
Speaking of WATER: “Strap some conservative-thinking people to THE BOTTOM OF A SWIMMING POOL for an hour and then they will agree it’s a pollutant!”

Gail Combs
August 15, 2013 10:51 am

Pamela Gray says:
August 15, 2013 at 7:27 am
This will separate the idiots from thinking people. During a panic attack when rapid breathing results in lack of oxygen, what does one do to bring the respiratory system back into balance? Give more oxygen or give more CO2?
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Since no one else answered I will. The recommendation is (was?) to breath into a paper bag if you start hyperventilating to increase your CO2 levels. Mom had the problem after University of Rochester fried her with radiation as part of the US human radiation exposure experiments 40 – 50 years ago. (Direct exposure mess-up her brain)

kadaka (KD Knoebel)
August 15, 2013 10:53 am

From Pamela Gray on August 15, 2013 at 7:15 am:

(…) The new Common Core State Standards are far from being a decline in standards. They are a reversal of declining standards. (…)

I for one, am excited about these new standards. As written, they could result in students who are able to observe an every-day condition, describe a problem, develop its parameters and missing links, persevere to close the missing link gaps, and solve the problem in several ways. (…)

Others are also very excited about CCSS. Bold beyond title added:

Climate Change and Why We Need Common Core State Standards
Posted on August 8, 2013
Why do we need the Common Core Standards for Literacy? Simple. Because our global community requires citizens who will be able to make decisions based on research and data, not on sound bites and opinions from various special interest groups and political circles. Pulling from the Common Core Instructional Shifts, we desperately need to develop students’ capacity to write from various sources and use text-based evidence to support opinions. (…)

Wow, who do you believe, Rep King or the American Geophysical Union, and how do you take a position? According to the Common Core Instructional Shifts, you look for the evidence to support whichever position you prefer to take. In the two articles quoted above, one could argue there isn’t enough information to make a position, and that’s a lukewarm, possibly fair statement. However, when applying the Common Core Instructional Shifts to the climate change scenario, students would be required to go beyond the news to the data. They’d need to access unbiased, valid, and reliable studies that present the facts and not the opinions so often expressed through the media. As many people know, in the case of climate change, there is unequivocal evidence that the earth’s climate is warming up, and primarily due to anthropogenic forces. In fact, just yesterday NOAA released their State of the Climate in 2012 report which details how rapidly our climate is changing. Regardless of one’s own opinion, we must have individuals who regularly use facts to support their points.

Per CCSS, you look for evidence to support the position you prefer to take? What happened to science and logic being about the unbiased examination of the evidence, preferably ALL the evidence? Per CCSS, if a student prefers to believe pink unicorns are prettier, they should seek out the evidence that confirms their belief, not that which could falsify their position, such as the vast reams of published reports proving pale blue unicorns ranked highest.
BTW, it was noted here on WUWT how the “just released” totally shocking “State of the Climate 2012” report was actually a compilation of re-issued stuff, that individually were discussed, discounted, and/or debunked. The writer of that piece should have better info. But as CCSS promotes looking for evidence supporting your preferred position, he most likely didn’t see that on WUWT.
From the Albuquerque Public Schools, Power Point Presentation in pdf packaging:
http://www.aps.edu/academics/common-core-state-standards/documents/CGCS%20and%20Diversity.pdf
Transcribed from slide 45:

We still have time for a few short clips to show how teachers have made it work for students.

In the second, you will see a middle school class working on a social studies unit on the changes that global warming had on the food supply and life in many parts of the world, and the role human activities play in creating those changes.

Somehow I don’t think they’ll be learning about the general increase in food crops from the increased atmospheric CO₂.
Yup, many people are eagerly awaiting CCSS, when they can clearly lead the students into supporting the scientific consensus, the position the teachers prefer thus so should the students, and they can teach how to weed out the obviously-unscientific internet chaff that disagrees with the consensus. Fun times ahead for the little kiddies.

August 15, 2013 11:21 am

Does anyone have a link to the Monckton letter at the Richmond Times-Dispatch, http://www.timesdispatch.com, website?

John R T
Reply to  Jabba Le Chat (@JabbaLeChat)
August 15, 2013 2:03 pm

August 15, 2013 at 8:19 am —–
Bart Hinkle, RT-D editorial dept, noted above:
Uncertain when Monckton’s letter will run.

August 15, 2013 12:13 pm

Pamela Gray, I can’t speak to the US educational system.
But there is good evidence that basic scientific knowledge is in steep decline among the young.
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/jul/17/australians-scientific-facts-knowledge-report

PaulH
August 15, 2013 1:52 pm

For a clod, Al Gore has managed to turn himself into a multimillionaire via the CAGW scheme. That counts for something, I guess.
/snark

Tom Harley
August 15, 2013 4:17 pm
kim
August 16, 2013 4:09 am

Perhaps PG prefers to believe that there is a lack of oxygen in panic hyperventilation.
===========

kim
August 16, 2013 4:11 am

There’s a nice metaphor in there somewhere about panic and CAGW and Common Core, but I’m undereducated and can’t find it.
===================

kim
August 16, 2013 4:30 am

Conan, the Barbarian. What is the best thing in life? Why gassing conservatives, who needs to ask?
===============

milodonharlani
August 21, 2013 10:41 am

Latest Quinnipiac poll has Mann-backing McAuliffe up by six points, 48 to 42%, in VA guv’s race vs. Cuccinelli:
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/virginia/release-detail?ReleaseID=1939