Open Thread Weekend

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I’m traveling this weekend, posting will be light to nonexistent. Guest authors are welcome to post submissions.

Feel free to talk about anything withing the blog policy.

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davidmhoffer
July 12, 2013 2:55 pm

jmitchell;
The difference between water and air is that water is about 1000 times better at absorbing heat.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Good to know. Now the mass of the oceans is about 1400 times that of the atmosphere, so accordingly, it will take 1,400,000 times as much energy to raise the temperature of the earth by one degree than previously thought. Good on ya for explaining the physics to us.

Doug Huffman
July 12, 2013 3:04 pm

Gail Combs says: July 12, 2013 at 1:10 pm “SEE: America’s Ruling Class — And the Perils of Revolution for the best analysis I have seen of the US situation.”
Thanks! I’ve enjoyed your posts here before, but now I will search them out.
http://spectator.org/archives/2010/07/16/americas-ruling-class-and-the
Only The Constitution Party represents America’s conservative Country Class against the progressive Ruling Party of Demotic and Repugnant Liars.

Mark Hladik
July 12, 2013 3:07 pm

Mark and Two Cats:
The “ozone hole” business has around for quite a while; I remember when I first heard about it, the hypothesis (presented in the MSM almost as a “fact”) was that the various chloro-fluoro-carbons (CFC’s) from the NORTHERN hemisphere (where most of the land mass/population/industrialization is), traveled all the way to the south polar region, and destroyed the ozone. The chemistry was more or less accurate, i.e., that chlorine (and other halogens) could interact with ozone, and cause the molecule to dissociate into elemental oxygen and a free oxygen atom (which then reacted with something).
It always bothered me that the CFC’s did all of that traveling, without interacting with anything unless and until such time as their arrival at the South Pole. Seemed inconceivable.
Then, a few years ago, it was found that the CFC’s were much less reactive with ozone than had been previously thought, so the ‘source’ of the ozone hole became even more problematic.
On the basis of those two problems, I had a high degree of skepticism about the whole affair.
As some on this website might know, I am a voracious reader, and have studied the CAGW-scam in great detail. One of the works I read in my never-ending study was written by Marcel Leroux, late head of the French meteorology office, and also an AGW skeptic. He did, however, have an interesting hypothesis about the Antarctic ozone hole.
Leroux observed that Mt. Erebus has been in almost continuous eruption for about the last century, give or take. Now, one of the well-documented products of volcanic outgassing is chlorine radicals, of various flavors. Mt. Erebus puts a logical source mechanism DIRECTLY under the south polar ozone hole, I think this idea needs more substantiation, but is certainly a better explanation than Northern Hemisphere CFC’s, migrating most of the way around the globe, to selectively destroy Antarctic ozone molecules, and no one else’s.
Hope that helps,
Mark H.

July 12, 2013 3:14 pm

Most of you know of the ridiculous accusation that skeptic scientists are supposed to be paid shills of the fossil fuel industry. For those unaware of it, my new blog has been online since late May, an outgrowth of my 3 years of online pieces (including 3 guest posts here at WUWT) about how the accusation is baseless and essentially got its media traction in the hands of ex-Boston Globe reporter Ross Gelbspan:
http://gelbspanfiles.com/

July 12, 2013 3:29 pm

have a good time in week-end
is anybody know where are data of convoyor belt activity as described here ?http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2011/02mar_spotlesssun/

GlynnMhor
July 12, 2013 3:39 pm

“It’s fair to say that the real world warmed even less than our forecast suggested,” Smith says. “We don’t really understand at the moment why that is.”
It’s fair to say that a good part of the reason why would be that your models suck, and that the assumptions going into them are inadequate or invalid.

AndyG55
July 12, 2013 3:54 pm

“assumptions going into them are inadequate or invalid.”
second last word should be ‘and’.

Duster
July 12, 2013 3:58 pm

Ilma says:
July 12, 2013 at 10:40 am
As a UK citizen, it would be interesting to know if a US citizen could take Obama to court over the blatant lies he told in his recent climate speech, perhaps based on the charge of fraud or willful deception?

He’s a politician for gosh sakes. Why would you expect to believe anything any politician says? There is no, and has been no effective difference for decades, between the dems and pubs.

Kevin Kilty
July 12, 2013 4:04 pm

clark says:
July 12, 2013 at 1:06 pm
Here is a nice ALARMIST link from weather.com.

I liked the new age music and all, but the artist simply took a sea level rise of 25 feet and drew the buildings submerged. When will this occur? Maybe 20 centuries in the future? So, those buildings will not be there at that time. The whole thing is a hoax. People will retreat from rising seas–always have.
Oh, and thanks to mitchell for explaining heat capacity/specific heat to us all.
It is finally raining this afternoon for the first time this summer in parched Cheyenne, and friends have planned a garden party. I’m taking a raincoat and umbrella–I figure it’ll be a lot like sea level rise maybe 6,000 centuries from now and I can report back ta’ ya’ all later.

jai mitchell
July 12, 2013 4:07 pm

davidmhoffer
actually the earth’s atmsphere is supposed to weigh 5.2 X 10^18 Kg and the earth’s oceans only weigh about 1.4 X 10^21 Kg which is only about 269 times heavier.
but in reality, yes, in a perfectly mixed ocean where all warming happened everywhere at once the surface of the ocean would be closer to 39 degrees F everywhere on the globe and the earth’s temperature would be much cooler. Fortunately, the oceans have significantly reduced mixing. so we get to enjoy temperatures outdoors that are much warmer than we would have otherwise. This is why only a very small amount of extra mixing can influence global temperatures so much.
Of course, on the flip side of that, in the presence of increased warming, the oceans take a much longer time to warm (generally considered to be one full cycle of the thermohaline current or about 500 years) to reach thermal equilibriuium. And the surface of the earth will continue to increase rapidly and then reach final equilibrium in several hundred years, according to the following graph.
http://thinkprogress.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/FairPlanFig1c.gif

Jimbo
July 12, 2013 4:10 pm

The UK is currently enjoying barbecue summer temperatures at last. It was correctly predicted by the useless Met Office recently who said that the UK should expect horrible summers. The Met Office are completely and utterly useless. Yet the British Government sees fit to spend tens of millions of Pounds on this crap outfit. What a joke.

The Guardian – Wednesday 19 June 2013 – Leo Hickman
Met Office meeting: UK’s spell of awful summers is set to continue
Forecast that Britain could be in middle of 10-20 year ‘cycle’ of wet summers delivered following gathering at Met Office
Don’t worry, summer is on its way – but you might have to wait until 2023.
As the prospect of another gloomy Glastonbury and wet Wimbledon looms, leading climate scientists have warned that the UK could be set for a further five to 10 years of washout summers.

Repeated at Huffington Post
Haaaaaa, haaaaaa, haaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa.

July 12, 2013 4:10 pm

jai mitchell says:
“Even though the difference in temperature of the deep ocean warming is very low, the difference in energy gain is much greater…”
================================
jai mitchell must have missed Kevin Kilty’s comment above:
The tactic is explained by analogy to the advice for trial lawyers with regard to facts vs. law: If you have temperatures rising, then talk about temperature; if the temperatures aren’t rising, then talk about energy.
Therefore, mitchell talks about energy…
None of the arguments for warming of the oceans have adequately explained how the deep ocean is warming, without the thousands of ARGO buoys detecting any warming.
May I point out the logical conclusion? Thank you:
There is NO WARMING in the deep oceans. The planet has been cooling for at least sixteen years. “Deep ocean warming” is the last gasp of the climate alarmist crowd.

Robert of Ottawa
July 12, 2013 4:13 pm

Ilma July 12, 2013 at 10:40 am
To convict any politician of fraud or willful deception you would have to provide evidence to the court of a politician not committing fraud or willful deception.
That, I think, will be very difficult.

Jimbo
July 12, 2013 4:23 pm

The Met Office DENIES it made any forecast of something or other. So, everyone else is lying. Yeah right.

REMINDER
The Independent: Stand by for another decade of wet summers, say Met Office meteorologists
The Guardian: Met Office meeting: UK’s spell of awful summers is set to continue
Daily Telegraph: Run of wet summers could last another 10 years
Huffington Post: Met Office Predict Wet Summers For The Next 10 Years
Sky News: Wet Summers To Last 10 More Years’
BBC News: Scientists say UK wet summers down to Atlantic warming
http://www.thegwpf.org/met-office-denies-soggy-summer-forecast/

If you read carefully – they predict everything. As is now their modus operandi. What a bunch of hucksters. Climate bandits, receiving lavish funding and producing utter crap. They are an utter laughing stock in the UK. The UK “We Meant Office” or smelly “Met Orifice”.
http://metofficenews.wordpress.com/2013/06/18/meeting-on-uks-run-of-unusual-seasons/

Neil Jordan
July 12, 2013 4:34 pm

Today’s California Water News carries seven articles about geothermal well water injection causing small earthquakes:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/07/11/wastewater-injection-study-earthquakes_n_3581074.html?utm_hp_ref=green
http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-geothermal-earthquakes-20130712,0,7936876.story?track=rss
[…]
Though not intentional, the seismic activity helps stimulate the flow of hot water by fracturing bedrock and creating pathways to the surface.
“These very tiny earthquakes that are occurring are really important for the continued operation of the geothermal field,” Ellsworth said. “If we didn’t have the little earthquakes occurring, the field would probably close up.”
[…]
http://www.science20.com/news_articles/salton_sea_geothermal_power_facility_california_induces_earthquakes_study-116221
http://www.mydesert.com/article/20130711/NEWS0701/307110046/Study-Geothermal-power-linked-quakes?nclick_check=1
http://www.kcet.org/news/rewire/geothermal/imperial-county-geothermal-causing-quakes.html
http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/2013/jul/11/fracking-water-injection-major-earthquakes
http://www.santacruzsentinel.com/localnews/ci_23642015/ucsc-study-energy-production-causing-quakes

Jimbo
July 12, 2013 4:38 pm

Is it just me or has the UK media generally remained silent on global warming and the UK’s current hot weather? If it carries on much longer they may get going though. If they do then just remind them that the best climate brains in the world assured us that summers would be wet and disappointing – as well as being of a barbecue nature. Is there anything that the trace rise of the trace gas (Co2) can’t do???

burgess
July 12, 2013 4:39 pm

More ocean heat = more sharknados.
It’s worse than we thought.

Evan Jones
Editor
July 12, 2013 4:40 pm

Yupp..Climategate 3 kinda vanished….no explanations…hope its zoombies up before the IPCC show.
I’m afraid there just wasn’t much red meat left after the first two.
OTOH, v. 1 was quite enough to be going along with.

Eugene WR Gallun
July 12, 2013 4:41 pm

jai mitchell July 12 2:30 pm
Let me grant you your premises.
1) The missing heat that the “climate models” predict, which should be raising the surface temperature of the earth, is actually being absorbed by the deep oceans (mechanism unstated but somehow it happens real real quick — which is an impossibility!).
2)And the deep oceans have a huge huge huge capacity to absorb that heat. ( Point of fact — the missing heat that the climate models predict would be a totally trivial amount compared to the amount of heat needed to make any measurable change in deep ocean temperature. Even if the deep oceans are absorbing that heat — for all practical purposes nothing is changing down there.)
From the above we can draw the obvious conclusion —
A change that is no change = climate change
So according to you climate change is actually no change at all. A feedback mechanism exists that keeps the surface temperature of the earth stable. So all the doom and gloom predictions of the last thirty years were nothing but so much “hot air” that your “oceans of wisdom” have absorbed and nullified.
You do realize that is what you have just told us, right?
This is all about Trenberth’s Kraken — the monster in the deep that eats all heat — and shits out — nothing.
Try to think, man.
Eugene WR Gallun

July 12, 2013 4:43 pm

jai mitchell says:
“Of course, on the flip side of that, in the presence of increased warming, the oceans…”
mitchell must be denser than the deep ocean itself. It was already explained to him that the ARGO buoys do not show ocean warming, therefore he is inventing ‘facts’ not in evidence.

DirkH
July 12, 2013 4:52 pm

jai mitchell says:
July 12, 2013 at 4:07 pm
“http://thinkprogress.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/FairPlanFig1c.gif”
Do you also have that from an organisation that is not funded by George Soros?

jai mitchell
July 12, 2013 4:57 pm

(Snip. Post elsewhere if you cannot abide by site Policy. ~mod)

cynical_scientist
July 12, 2013 4:58 pm

Office of the Inspector General semiannual report 2007
http://www.nsf.gov/pubs/2009/oig0902/oig0902_4.pdf

An OIG investigation into an allegation that a former professor at a Colorado university submitted a proposal to NSF that overlapped with an undisclosed proposal from an external non-profit research company founded by the subject, resulted in a recommendation of debarment. The university and our office both conducted investigations into improper award management and conflicts of interests. NSF had concurrent awards to the subject at the university and the first company, but more recently only to the company.
Our investigation revealed that the subject, consistently and over a period of many years, violated or disregarded various federal and NSF award administration requirements, violated university policies related to conflicts and outside compensation, and repeatedly misled both NSF and the university as to material facts about his outside companies and other matters relating to NSF awards.
After many years of operation of the first company, the subject created a second, for-profit company that acted as a subcontractor to the first company. The subject was the sole owner and employee of the second company, which existed solely to receive grant funds from the first company and pay them to the subject as salary. The subject failed to notify NSF of the subcontracting relationship with the second company, and improperly failed to limit indirect charges for the subcontract costs to the first to $25,000 as required.
The university repeatedly asked the subject to disclose all outside financial interests, and he repeatedly withheld information about the funds he received from his companies; when the university learned the truth, it severely restricted his access to its research facilities. The professor then resigned from his tenured faculty position.
When we asked him to supply supporting documentation for the salary payments, the subject provided timesheets reflecting highly implausible work hours — for example, the subject claimed effort averaging nearly 14 hours a day for 98 continuous days between May and August 2002 (including weekends and holidays), and in other instances claimed to have devoted as much as 21 hours per day to the project. We recommended that NSF debar the subject for five years, and NSF’s decision is pending.

Gary Hladik
July 12, 2013 5:00 pm

elmer says (July 12, 2013 at 2:39 pm): “Remember last January when Anthony said we shouldn’t worry about unusually warm temps in northern rural areas, then he had people guess why, and said one person got it right? What ever came of that?”
This article?

davidmhoffer
July 12, 2013 5:00 pm

jmitchell;
actually the earth’s atmsphere is supposed to weigh 5.2 X 10^18 Kg and the earth’s oceans only weigh about 1.4 X 10^21 Kg which is only about 269 times heavier.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
OK, so let’s use YOUR numbers. That leaves us at 269 x 1000 = 269,000 times as much mass. Then adjust for specific heat:
http://www.engineeringtoolbox.com/air-specific-heat-capacity-d_705.html
http://www.engineeringtoolbox.com/water-thermal-properties-d_162.html
Call it roughly 4.2 x 269,000 = 1,130,000 times as much energy to raise the temperature by one degree.