From the New York Daily News:
![screenhunter_37-jun-11-05-46[1]](http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2013/06/screenhunter_37-jun-11-05-461.jpg?quality=83)
The data doesn’t support him.
The temperature rise seems to have slowed in the past few years, here is NYC’s Central Park data:
Source: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/climate/records/monthannualtemp.html
UPDATE: WeatherBell meteorologist Joe D’Aleo sends along this graph, showing population with temperature plotted together. This makes a strong case for UHI and waste heat effects.
Will the Sea level go up a foot by 2020? Doubtful.
| The Battery , NY | Station ID: 8518750 |
| Latitude: 40° 42.0′ N | Mean Range: 4.53 ft. |
| Longitude: 74° 0.8′ W | Diurnal Range: 5.06 ft. |
| Established: May 24 1920 | |
| NOAA Chart #: 12335 | |
| Time Meridian: 75 W |
Mean Sea Level Difference:
for 8518750 The Battery, NY
1983-2001 1960-1978 Difference:
5.86 ft.-5.65 ft. = 0.21 ft.
Source: http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/station_info.shtml?stn=8518750+The+Battery+,+NY
Source: http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_station.shtml?stnid=8518750
Based on current NOAA data, it will take over 100 years to gain a foot of sea level rise.
At 2.77mm per year, we can only hope to see 8 x 2.77mm = 22.16mm or 0.072 foot (0.872 inches) rise by 2020. That’s not even close to Mayor Bloomberg’s claims. Note I’m being generous and using 8 years since 2013 isn’t even half over yet.
And, it really is easy to get freaked out if you don’t pay attention to anything but hype:
Freaking out about NYC sea level rise is easy to do when you don’t pay attention to history
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Pamela Gray:
I am moving to New York….
Pamela, I don’t know what you did to deserve that, but let that be a lesson to you.
Juan in S. Calif
: > )
We have already seen how wrong “scientists’ in New York can be about sea level rise.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/10/22/a-little-known-but-failed-20-year-old-climate-change-prediction-by-dr-james-hansen/
I don’t think I would take very seriously the warnings for m a mayor who has as one of his major concerns, how much soda people drink.
The flooding risk from hurricanes hitting land is real as the weather cycle is again like the 1950-1970’s when more hurricanes came up the east coast but ” summers as sweltering as the deep South ” and the” bad weather patterns sould kick in as early as 2020″ is pure exaggeration in my opinion. By 2020 they should be more concerned about the cold winters. The 2012/2013 winter is just a start of what is coming soon.
Take a look at maximum temps, and they are going down, whereas minimums are going up.
http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2013/06/12/gotham-will-be-a-southern-fried-hot-mess-by-2020-climate-pros-warn/
UHI anyone?
The NY Deputy mayor said”
Although the study was done to help prevent the kind of widespread damage that occurred during Sandy, Holloway said the city doesn’t expect a similar storm. “An exact replica of Sandy is highly unlikely,” he said
The exact replica of Sandy may not happen , but the increased odds of more strong hurricanes coming up the US East Coast and making land is real. If the climate cools , there will likely be more La Nina or Neutral hurricane seasons . Hurricane archives indicate that these in turn mean stronger and more hurricanes which tend to come up the US East Coast like they did in the 1950’s when 9 such hurricanes came up the US East Coast and made land. I think it is time NY look at elevating their buildings and homes along the coastal regions like other regions further south are doing