I get featured in this WSJ piece from “The Numbers Guy” Carl Bialik, but there’s a curious sentence in the first paragraph.
At first I thought it was an editorial device or maybe a pun. Then I saw this:
Freudian slip perhaps?
The print version of the WSJ contains much more, including photographs and perhaps some graphs that I provided. I haven’t seen it yet. Perhaps readers can fill in those details.
The story is here: http://blogs.wsj.com/numbersguy/a-new-trove-of-global-temperature-numbers-1097/
UPDATE: 4:30 PM 11/5/11 – the print edition article via scan:
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Surely it should have been ‘cooling during the last 13 years (according to land-based stats) and during the last 40 years (according to satellite stats)’ ? That’s my take on it anyway, but willing to stand corrected if wrong.
cooling or warming. it has very little to do with human activity and I applaud the research and validation or refuting the claims.
while all the science is on the side of the skeptics …the education system has been hammering the warming issue such that it doesn’t matter. ..ask any grade school, high school or university student …they think we are warming the earth by burning fossil fuels. They do not know any other argument.
the battle is in the wrong arena.
“These fluctuations help explain why other researchers’ prior attempts to predict next year’s temperature from past trends have been unsuccessful. “The only way to prove these models are any good is to demonstrate that they skillfully predict new data,” said William Briggs, a statistician and member of the probability and statistics committee of the American Meteorology Society. “None have done this. There is reason to suspect all models.””
William Briggs sums it up succinctly: the models are useless.
Bravo, Mr Briggs.
The wall street journal already “stepped in it” by running Mueller’s duplicitous op ed piece. I do like this quote though— “The only way to prove these models are any good is to demonstrate that they skillfully predict new data,” said William Briggs, a statistician and member of the probability and statistics committee of the American Meteorology Society. “None have done this. There is reason to suspect all models.”
I have read on this blog Re the BEST report that the earth has cooled this century. This is well supported as “this century” is only the past eleven years.
I have read on this blog Rd the BEST report that the earth has warmed over the past century. This is well supported as the past century is from 1911 to 2011.
Casting the WUWT statement that the earth has cooled this century as mean that the earth has cooled over the past 100 years is a good old straw man argument to cast Anthony as an unreliable Climate Change denier.
I agree with General Malaise on the battle being fought in the wrong arena. The school system has been quietly whitewashing the wall of truth, creating a whole new generations of robots, some of whom are uncritically “occupying”…see the video of McKibben and a droning klatsch of parrots.
so they figured out “change” is an essential part of climate
What next, a UN Commission to tell us “wet” is an essential part of water?
@Maurice Garoutte: Please give us a quote where Anthony has claimed that the earth has cooled over the past 100 years. If you cannot, then it’s you who raised a straw man argument.
REPLY: Yes, I’d like to see that myself – Anthony
It should be pretty clear that nature is surviving us quite well. It’s said the world population has reached 7 billion, and it’s claimed that further increases will be minor and tolerable, since we’re mostly in the process of gentrifying. So the world is warming a little, and lately cooling a little, and mostly tolerating our human infestation remarkably well. But soon enough our time here will run out, not because of a warmer or cooler world and not because we starve (we increasingly do a good job of feeding ourselves). But because with nuclear weapons and the spread of Islamic dictates, we’ll soon enough do ourselves in. Not that I care a lot. I’ll be long gone by then.The back is getting really bad, and I’ve enjoyed a goodly share of prosperity and so has my family. Can’t ask for much more than that, right? So live well, and don’t sweat the small stuff, like “global warming.”
In the name of science, it hardly requires mention on this website that the models have no valid forecasting ability. They have been worse than that; their predictions are all worse than chance.
But we do not need their forecasts to doubt them. Science demands they be published. They are not. Why take any of them seriously until they are? Especially since models do not conform to empirical scientific standards, publishing them is of even more importance, not less.
Maurice Garoutte says:
November 5, 2011 at 7:55 am
What is it with these people? Since when has variations in temperature (I really don’t need to list all the ups and downs over the past several thousands of years here, do I?) have to do with the term “Climate Change denier”?
Anthony would be the first in line under “The Climate Changes Here” banner and the rest of us would line up behind him. Now, if you have evidence that man is responsible for changing Earth’s climate, then you’re putting man’s impact on climate at least up there where it can be measured, quantified, and determined.
Please provide details. (Wouldn’t you just love to be the one that disproves the null hypothesis?? You’d be famous and rich beyond your wildest dreams!)
We “Deniers” are fighting the wrong war, or at least ignoring the second front. Sure, the science is dodgy and the Warmists lie and cheat without shame. Of course the Warmists are unprincipled thugs who would put us in concentration camps if they had the power. Yes, they deserve ridicule and much, much worse. But what if they were right? Answer: I DO NOT CARE. I do not CARE if Canada becomes a bit less frigid, though it has not happened. I do not CARE if sea level rises by a few inches over the next hundred years, though it has not started yet. I do not CARE if increased CO2 makes trees and plants and plankton grow faster, in fact I welcome it. I do not CARE if the Sahara Desert gets a bit drier or expands a few miles. It will cost very little to move some African goat herders and cattlemen a few miles north or south. In fact, they will probably move themselves with no help from nosy white people. It seems that organized groups, governments, do-gooders, charities, bleeding-hearts, jihadists, whiners, and malcontents all have one thing in common. They want us to sacrifice. It doesn’t matter what for. It can just as easily be global warming or global cooling. Maybe both. But they sure do want us to sacrifice our money, our freedom, and our standard of living. We need to say “no”; we need to say “Hell No.” We need to say “Get a life you miserable whining, sniveling losers.”
The WSJ article points to Briggs, who has this post. Worth the read. Solve most current problems. Could easy be applied to solving CO2 problem as well.
http://wmbriggs.com/blog/?p=4614
A Final Solution To The Financial Crisis: Guest Post by Uncle Mike
It appears to me that Maurice was pointing out that someone is confusing “this century” with “the last hundred years”. Obviously there is a large difference. Temperatures may have risen during the last century, but they have not risen in this century.
Richard Carpenter says:
November 5, 2011 at 9:29 am
We “Deniers” are fighting the wrong war, or at least ignoring the second front. Sure, the science is dodgy and the Warmists lie and cheat without shame. Of course the Warmists are unprincipled thugs who would put us in concentration camps if they had the power. Yes, they deserve ridicule and much, much worse. But what if they were right? Answer: I DO NOT CARE. I do not CARE if Canada becomes a bit less frigid, though it has not happened. I do not CARE if sea level rises by a few inches over the next hundred years, though it has not started yet. I do not CARE if increased CO2 makes trees and plants and plankton grow faster, in fact I welcome it. I do not CARE if the Sahara Desert gets a bit drier or expands a few miles. It will cost very little to move some African goat herders and cattlemen a few miles north or south. In fact, they will probably move themselves with no help from nosy white people. It seems that organized groups, governments, do-gooders, charities, bleeding-hearts, jihadists, whiners, and malcontents all have one thing in common. They want us to sacrifice. It doesn’t matter what for. It can just as easily be global warming or global cooling. Maybe both. But they sure do want us to sacrifice our money, our freedom, and our standard of living. We need to say “no”; we need to say “Hell No.” We need to say “Get a life you miserable whining, sniveling losers.”
————————————————
I agree. I doubt CAGW.
To me, these are the true issues.
If AGW is correct then we open up land a few miles north for ag and more people. Is this what warmists fear?
Here’s a headline we need to see:
Latest Data Confirm Global Cooling This Century
Just wait and see: “He who laughs last laughs better”, the coming winter and the following ones will be more expressive than words.
To Richard Carpenter: Bravo!! I couldn’t have written better!!
Dear Several, I don’t understand your quarrel with Garoutte. The man wrote plainly that for someone to confuse this century (2001-2011) with the last hundred years (1911-2011) would be a straw man to frame WUWT. What are you fuming about???
“These fluctuations help explain why other researchers’ prior attempts to predict next year’s temperature from past trends have been unsuccessful.”
The BEST data only go to May 2010. I wonder what any one would predict about “next year’s temperature from past trends” based on the BEST data. It has definitely cooled over the last 17 months.
See the following graph showing 160 years of temperatures. Note the 62 year cycle that is referred to: http://www.appinsys.com/globalwarming/SixtyYearCycle.htm
If I were asked to make a prediction for next year’s temperature, I would use that site and say it will be cooler. As as matter of fact, it looks like 20 more years of cooling.
DCC says:
November 5, 2011 at 8:41 am
“@Maurice Garoutte: Please give us a quote where Anthony has claimed that the earth has cooled over the past 100 years. If you cannot, then it’s you who raised a straw man argument.\
REPLY: Yes, I’d like to see that myself – Anthony”
Please read more carefully DCC and Anthony.
My statement was “I have read on this blog Re the BEST report that the earth has cooled this century. This is well supported as “this century” is only the past eleven years.”
This century started in 2000 and is now eleven years old. During “this century” the earth has cooled.
The question is was Mr. Biliak’s misreading of “this century” an innocent misreading of the sentence like DCC or was it an intentional misrepresentation?
WSJ: Carl Bialik
THE NUMBERS GUY, NOVEMBER 5, 2011.
Global Temperatures: All Over the Map
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203804204577016252305820144.html
In addition to a picture of the infamous weather station in the Tucson, Ariz. parking lot, there is another picture attributed to Anthony.
Richard Carpenter says:
November 5, 2011 at 9:29 am
Thanks for putting it the way you did. I couldn’t agree more.
According RSS data, there has been no warming for 15 years (1997-2011). If you assume a cold 2012, then it jumps to 18 years of insignificant warming (1995-2012).
newtlove says:
November 5, 2011 at 10:07 am
Here’s a headline we need to see:
Latest Data Confirm Global Cooling This Century
With the accompanying bumper sticker:
Global Warming is Sooooo 1990s