Blooming brilliant. Devastating” – Matt Ridley, author of The Rational Optimist
“…shines a hard light on the rotten heart of the IPCC” – Richard Tol, Professor of the Economics of Climate Change and convening lead author of the IPCC
“…you need to read this book. Its implications are far-reaching and the need to begin acting on them is urgent.” – Ross McKitrick, Professor of Economics, University of Guelph
Donna writes on her blog:
Two editions of my IPCC exposé are now available.
The Kindle e-book is here – at Amazon.com for the reasonable price of $4.99 USD.
UK readers may purchase it for £4.88 from Amazon.co.uk here.
German readers can buy it from Amazon.de for EUR 4,88.
French readers may buy it at the same price here at Amazon.fr.
If you don’t own a Kindle you can read this book on your iPad or Mac via Amazon’s free Kindle Cloud Reader – or on your desktop or laptop via Kindle for PC software.
Digital option #2 is a PDF – also priced at $4.99. Formatted to save paper, it’s 123 standard, printer-sized pages (the last 20 of which are footnotes). Delivered instantly, it avoids shipping costs and is a comfortable, pleasant read.
A 250-page paperback edition priced at $20 should be available by the end of next week from Amazon.com – which ships internationally.
Amazon has posted a sample of the book that extends well into Chapter 7. Click here to take a peek.
h/t to Bishop Hill
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Indeed, the debate never took place.
John
View from the Solent says:
October 14, 2011 at 3:27 pm
“I was one of a small team that spent 1-2 years fixing an essential financial system for a *very* large international, erm, computer corp. If that hadn’t been done, on Jan 1 2000 the brown stuff would have left the fan and coated the walls to a depth of several feet.
Probably hundreds of thousands of hours were spent on sorting out badly-designed business systems around the world. (It was boom time for us softies) That the Y2K effect was minimal was a result of that effort.”
Millions of hours go into every new release of Microsoft Windows. Hundreds of thousands of hours are nothing. The thing of it is that it was very very easy to test for what would happen on the rollover date by isolating the system under test and set the clock forward to the rollover date. It’s a pretty slothful programmer who didn’t bother using 4 digits to represent the year in his code, there wasn’t much of that sloth out there, and what problems that existed were easily identified. This was the most anticipated and proactively fixed non-problem in the history of computing.
Now, as I recall, 2038 is the real date to get scared about because that’s when the number of seconds since January 1st, 1970 exceeds the maximum value of a signed 32-bit integer. This measure of time used in computers is truly ubiquitous and not at all easy to fix. But it’s still over 25 years away so nothing to sweat about quite yet.
Just buy a copy . . best $4.99 you’ll spend & Donna deserves the $dough.
I bought the .pdf this morning and it is just great.
Exposes the IPCC as corrupt and incompetent . . .
Dave Springer says:
October 14, 2011 at 3:34 pm
I was a BIOS programmer at Dell computer from 1993-2000. I actually coded the fix for about 50 million computers circa 1998. Everyone knew how overblown it was.
And, what would have happened if you hadn’t written that code in advance?
I agree that much of the scare scenarios where overblown, but this doesn’t change the fact that if no one reacted to the problem in advance, it would have caused a lot of difficulty for a lot of organizations.
Dave Springer says:
October 14, 2011 at 4:03 pm
“Now, as I recall, 2038 is the real date to get scared about because that’s when the number of seconds since January 1st, 1970 exceeds the maximum value of a signed 32-bit integer.”
Still 26 years to convert to unsigned long then.
Jeff Alberts says:
October 14, 2011 at 3:26 pm
“Rude in what way? It seems to be ok when the mods do it. And if you think this kind of error is occasional, you haven’t been paying attention.”
========
Why are you here?.
You have your own blog, which appears to draw no traffic.
Your “comments” here add nothing to the conversation, and appear to be aimed towards embarrassing your host.
I suggest you Google “social graces”, as you seem to have none.
Indeed suyts, you make your point so much more eloquently than I, it is obvious that you do not have the brains of a sheep.
In the interests of balance, may I request that everyone also consider purchasing Pachauri’s volume?
http://www.amazon.com/Return-Almora-Dr-R-K-Pachauri/dp/8129115743
Clear buy. Reading already the pdf and it’s just shocking. Not that I’ve had any expactations in the IPCC but it is really much worse than expected.
Thanks Donna. Well done.
—————–
Given that our culture’s support of the IPCC is negatively accelerating, the IPCC’s credibility isn’t zero . . . . its credibility is below zero; negative.
John
Very good!
Thanks Donna, The Delinquent Teenager will be in my Kindle Fire as soon as it is born (the Kindle Fire).
O Donna, this is thorough, balanced, perceptive… hopefully you can get your work raised to a visible level with help here and from the precious minority of other still-independent reporters.
Thank you for your hard and dedicated work.
Wow, this is much worse then expected.
Roy Weiler
“Now, as I recall, 2038 is the real date to get scared about because that’s when the number of seconds since January 1st, 1970 exceeds the maximum value of a signed 32-bit integer.”
I calculate a span of 136 years worth of seconds fitting into a 32 bit memory space.
Also the software development environment I use have milliseconds as the smallest units, reducing the maximum time span by 1000.
I wonder if the next IPCC report might be subject to some, ummm… delay, due to, uhh, technical reasons, that result in publication being, uhhh, suspended, uhhh, briefly, while, uhhh important technical considerations are … evaluated.
Honestly, I think if the IPCC just go ahead and release another one o’ the usual piles after this, it’s going to be treated as a worldwide joke.
Congratularions to Lazy Teenager on your possible candidacy for the Nobel Peace Prize!
Donna has been blogging about this subject for quite some time, in separated posts. Just reading the sample shows she has put this together in a very coherent and readable fashion, connecting the dots, as it were. I need more, I am downloading it tonight.
Dave Springer says:
October 14, 2011 at 4:03 pm
It’s a pretty slothful programmer who didn’t bother using 4 digits to represent the year in his code, there wasn’t much of that sloth out there, and what problems that existed were easily identified.
We used 2 digits for the year for a very simple reason. Back in the early 70’s when I started coding we had lots of dates to store and both memory and storage was in short supply. We all knew it was a problem to use two digit years, but we all assumed that our code would never last 30 years. However, many early programs proved useful and were added to and added to, until they became legacy systems that were still going strong in 2000. Mighty oaks from little acorns grow.
MikeA says:
October 14, 2011 at 3:31 pm
young scientists, for example Einstein, often make their key discoveries early in their careers.
Makes sense because they have nothing to lose by suggesting something outrageous. On occasion they are right, but most often not. The Precautionary Principle say you should never believe them, because most of the time they are wrong. The Precautionary Principle also says that Columbus should never have sailed for India. That Jenner should never have injected a boy with cow pox. Yet the world says this about Jenner: “saved more lives than the work of any other man”.
So, we have Jenner to blame for overpopulation.
2.^ “Edward Jenner – (1749–1823)”. Sundaytimes.lk. 1 June 2008. http://sundaytimes.lk/080601/FunDay/famous.html. Retrieved 28 July 2009.
3.^ “History – Edward Jenner (1749 – 1823)”. BBC. 1 November 2006. http://www.bbc.co.uk/history/historic_figures/jenner_edward.shtml. Retrieved 28 July 2009.
4.^ “Edward Jenner – Smallpox and the Discovery of Vaccination”. http://www.dinweb.org/dinweb/DINMuseum/Edward%20Jenner.asp. Retrieved 28 July 2009.
The hype on Y2K was so far over the top, it seems impossible when we look back on it. I had people who SHOULD know better telling me that cars wouldn’t start, cable descramblers would freeze, telephone relays and internet switches and cell phone towers would stop. I found myself many times asking where you set the Year on your car’s engine controller…
Yes, there was an issue. As ferd says, nobody writing code in the 70s and 80s actually believed it would still be in use, because everything was being changed and updated so frequently. Besides, worst case you could just continue using the two digit years and add 100. I had some nice maintenance contracts in the late 90s, one was for a pharmacy system from the early 80s that was still being used in 1999, written in compiled BASIC on DOS, and they had lost the source code some years previously. They hired a team of programmers to completely rewrite the system for Windows in 1996 and barely got it done in time.
Almost everyone I know involved in IT was rolling in dough back then, and a huge amount of that money came straight from governments. There is obviously a plus side: more coders think farther ahead now. It’s a lot easier to get a company to spend more on testing.
I’m very concerned about the looming Y10K problem, and the less anticipated but potentially horrific Y32768 issue. We should immediately begin “tackling” these “challenging” issues, and reduce our code output to pre-1990 levels to “mitigate” these coming disasters…
Gary Mount says:
October 14, 2011 at 5:26 pm
Only for an unsigned integer. For signed integers, the max is 68 years.
Gary Mount says:
I calculate a span of 136 years worth of seconds fitting into a 32 bit memory space.
Using an unsigned int, yes, but time_t is a signed integer to allow for manipulation of dates prior to 1970. That also rules out converting to an unsigned int.
64 bit systems will, of course, not have quite the same problem, as a 64 bit int is large enough to keep counting about 20 times longer than the assumed lifetime of the universe. 32 bit programmes running on 64 bit systems will have problems but that’s relatively easily solved by recompiling (assuming you have access to the code). The real problem is embedded and legacy 32 bit systems that can’t be upgraded, or software that relies on time_t being a 32 bit signed int for whatever reason.
MikeA says:
October 14, 2011 at 4:17 pm
Indeed suyts, you make your point so much more eloquently than I, it is obvious that you do not have the brains of a sheep.
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Just here for clarity..
“UN Gender and Diversity criteria [were applied] when selecting people for positions …”
—
So were there by any chance any female scientists from Almora?
I’m here because I want to learn. Why are you here?
Whether or not I have my own blog is irrelevant.
I have no social graces because I’ve been trying to point out to Anthony that he’s making a very basic mistake in grammar? How’s that? Again, it seems to be ok when mods do it to commenters, but not the other way around? I wasn’t trying to embarrass anyone, simply pointing out a fact.
If my comments add nothing to the conversation then neither do yours, in this thread anyway.
[NOTE: OK. OK. It’s fixed. Polite suggestions for correction are welcome. Thank you, Jeff. Now, let’s get back to the discussion on the thread. -REP]