24 Hours of Climate Reality: Gore-a-thon – Hour 2

A new post containing a cartoon from Josh will appear every hour. At the end of the 24 hours, everything will be collated on a single page.

Readers are encouraged to post skeptical arguments below, as well as offer comments on what has been seen from the Climate Reality Project so far.

UPDATE: The Climate Reality Project Stats page at http://www.ustream.tv/user/climatereality/info-stats is not encouraging at two hours in. I’m not sure why there is such a disparity between it and the cumulative views counter on the CRP live stream page.

Hmm, so far, Al’s not getting the lift he needs after Katrina. The USA recently went over 1000 days without a major hurricane landfall. Watts Up with That?

Here’s the graph:

Source: Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. - click to enlarge
Read more here

Don’t forget Dr. Ryan Maue’s peer reviewed paper that says there’s no trend in hurricanes since 1972, none zip, nada.

In fact we are at historic lows:

AGU journal highlights — Aug. 18

The following highlights summarize research papers that have been recently published in Geophysical Research Letters (GRL), Journal of Geophysical Research-Earth Surface (JGR-F), Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences (JGR-G), and Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans (JGR-C).

http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/gl1114/2011GL047711/2011gl047711-op01-tn-350x.jpg

2. Global cyclone activity historically low

A new research study shows that overall global tropical cyclone activity has decreased to historically low levels during the past 5 years.

Maue analyzes global tropical cyclone data from 1970 through May 2011 to examine the considerable interannual variability of the accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) metric. Since 2006, global and Northern Hemisphere ACE have decreased significantly, reaching the lowest levels since the late 1970s. Also, during 2010-2011, the overall global frequency of tropical cyclones reached a historical low. The researcher demonstrates that much of the variability in tropical cyclone energy during the past 40 years is clearly associated with natural large-scale climate oscillations such as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation.

Source:

Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1029/2011GL047711, 2011

http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2011GL047711

Title: Recent historically low global tropical cyclone activity

Author: Ryan N. Maue: Center for Ocean and Atmosphere Studies, Department of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Science, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida, USA;

==================

Josh put a lot of work into these, so if you like the work, drop by the tip jar. Unlike Gore’s CRP, he won’t spam you asking for more. Buy him a beer, he’s worked a long time bringing us enjoyment with only some “attaboys” sent his way.

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Spinifers
September 14, 2011 6:11 pm

The best part was when they introduced him as a “science expert”.

September 14, 2011 6:14 pm

‘Carbon pollution’ – isn’t that Julia Gillard’s term?

Julian in Wales
September 14, 2011 6:14 pm
September 14, 2011 6:16 pm

Number of viewers > 256,000 ATTM …

Elizabeth (not the Queen)
September 14, 2011 6:16 pm

Sorry. I just can’t seem to summon the energy to care what Al Gore is doing.

September 14, 2011 6:18 pm

So, Gore’s new reality is fear mongering?
His desparation is worse than we though.

September 14, 2011 6:19 pm

True …

Latimer Alder
September 14, 2011 6:19 pm

So a guy watching for ten minutes, going off to puke, then returning for another dose counts as two?

September 14, 2011 6:21 pm

If it’s like many events of this nature, it is the ‘opposition’ (research) folks that are ‘sticking it out’ and continuing to watch … did I ever say that I like watching CPAN too?

September 14, 2011 6:23 pm

Looks like something automated got linked-in/coupled into the chat screen; multiple messages with the same content from multiple sources are clogging it …
So much for meaningful chat!

September 14, 2011 6:24 pm

wermet
September 14, 2011 6:25 pm

This is appears to be the same presentation (except in English) that was given during the previous hour (in Spanish) in Mexico City.

September 14, 2011 6:25 pm

We are living ‘rent free’ in these folks heads.

KCM
September 14, 2011 6:32 pm

The number of sensored comments occuring on the sidebar ‘Check-in and Chat’ is off the charts –

September 14, 2011 6:32 pm

An economist, this guy is not; promoting ‘wind power’ like it was free …

GaryP
September 14, 2011 6:34 pm

“Minnesotans for Global Warming” have a new video for the event:
“The twelve days of Global Warming”
http://www.minnesotansforglobalwarming.com/m4gw/

September 14, 2011 6:34 pm

Just admitted that trees need CO2 to grow …

September 14, 2011 6:36 pm

Just broke 319,000 viewers …

cwon14
September 14, 2011 6:36 pm

I have a sudden urge to burn a tire on my lawn.

Robert
September 14, 2011 6:37 pm

i’m having a hard time staying with it, took two breaks so far so I guess I count as three views.

JFB
September 14, 2011 6:37 pm

_Jim says:
September 14, 2011 at 6:16 pm
Number of viewers > 256,000 ATTM …

How many skepticals/deniers/white/racists etc ? 😉

Geo
September 14, 2011 6:39 pm

Mute the sound to this train wreck…..keep watching but play something more entertaining (a classic for us all!):

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WMqc7PCJ-nc&feature=fvst[/youtube]

wermet
September 14, 2011 6:41 pm

When they showed a view of their audience (the one with the woman moderator and panel discussion), it looked like a mostly empty theater.

September 14, 2011 6:41 pm

Comments are being throttled; the 60 secs elapse-rule between posts on Ustream is in effect (just tried a post there) ..
.

Bruce Cobb
September 14, 2011 6:42 pm

“But that is not “simultaneous” no record is kept of people who watched a few minutes then gave up in disgust”
Count me as one of many. I found it not very user friendly, plus I was only morbidly curious in an idle sort of way.

Dave Worley
September 14, 2011 6:42 pm

Only 22,000 viewers when I just visited.
My faith in humanity is restored.

Dave Worley
September 14, 2011 6:43 pm

Wonder how many were gawkers like me.

September 14, 2011 6:44 pm

JFB says on September 14, 2011 at 6:37 pm

How many skepticals/deniers/white/racists etc ? 😉

I prefer to think of those folks as ‘Opposition’ (research) folks …
.

Robert of Ottawa
September 14, 2011 6:44 pm

I aplaud your ability to follow this garbage and report ‘pon it, I need to know (unfortunately) what the game is, but do not have the stomach to watch it. Heck, we have an election going on here in Ontario and that is absorbing a large chunk of my time.

wermet
September 14, 2011 6:44 pm

Does anyone know if the “number of views” is instantaneous viewers or total viewer since the start?

cwon14
September 14, 2011 6:47 pm
September 14, 2011 6:49 pm

60 second rule lifted … posting at will on Ustream now …

rc
September 14, 2011 6:50 pm

Re the number of viewers the stats page (http://www.ustream.tv/user/climatereality/info-stats) says:
Stats
Total views (all shows): 24,138
Total viewer hours (all shows): 105 days, 13 hours, 2 minutes
Total unique views: 5,814
Doesn’t seem to be updating live. If you click through to ustream from Climate Reality it shows “22,129 Live Views” (also not updating).

Robert
September 14, 2011 6:51 pm

gore is talking about his home town, where that monster co2 consuming mansion of his is?

Chris in Hervey Bay
September 14, 2011 6:51 pm

They said on TV here the other day, that a new proposed wind farm would supply 25,000 homes with all their energy needs.
My question is : How many wind turbines do you need to supply all the energy needs to one house when the wind is not blowing ?

September 14, 2011 6:51 pm

View count just passed 364,000 …

wermet
September 14, 2011 6:52 pm

Al Gore just referenced that many (warmists) don’t want to join the debate. According to him and the Team, I thought that the science was settled and the debate was over. Skeptics have been trying to have this debate for years and the warmists haven’t wanted to participate. They can not have it both ways!

September 14, 2011 6:53 pm

I bet the viewership numbers dropped faster … but they had to ‘hide the decline’

Editor
September 14, 2011 6:55 pm

The twitter stream seems to be reflecting all the people who’ve lent access to their accounts to CRP. Lotsa messages about “Hour 2 ….” Makes for a boring stream!

t stone
September 14, 2011 6:55 pm

I do not wish to add to his click count; I am content with watching the play by play here. Thank you for providing it.
I keep thinking of Gore’s quote “there is no longer a shared reality” and how he uses the word reality as if it is subjective, as if reality and consciousness (the perception of reality) are the same thing. He wouldn’t know an objective, metaphysical fact if it came up and bit him on the a**. I would also like to thank him for the fact that I may have to cover my garden this weekend. That’s my reality!

September 14, 2011 6:57 pm

“Distributed wind and solar are the pathways out of poverty” – is he kidding?
Wind has been tried since Carter Administration … FAIL.

September 14, 2011 7:01 pm

3rd hour Anthony?

Editor
September 14, 2011 7:01 pm

wermet says:
September 14, 2011 at 6:41 pm
> When they showed a view of their audience (the one with the woman moderator and panel discussion), it looked like a mostly empty theater.
The woman moderator is Heidi Cullen who was once the Weather Channel’s in-house climatologist. She’s now at http://www.climatecentral.org/about/people-bio/heidi_cullen as their Director of Communications. I haven’t seen much of her since she went there.
Sharp, but very biased, and can’t understand why geologists aren’t as concerned as she is. (Answer, they know the world will see much worse soon enough.)

Editor
September 14, 2011 7:04 pm

Particulates;
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Particulates
especially Soot/Black Carbon;
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soot
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_carbon
may have a significant influence on Earth’s temperature:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/07/100728092617.htm
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2010/07/27/MN5H1EK6BV.DTL
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/10/25/soot-ahoy-ship-traffic-in-the-arctic/
http://www.agu.org/news/press/pr_archives/2010/2010-20.shtml
Per the Arctic Marine Shipping Assessment 2009 Report; http://www.pame.is/images/stories/PDF_Files/AMSA_2009_Report_2nd_print.pdf
Page 5 – “Black carbon emissions from ships operating in the Arctic may have
regional impacts by accelerating ice melt.”
Page 142 – Black carbon is a component of particulate matter produced by marine vessels through the incomplete oxidation of diesel fuel. The release and deposition of BC in the Arctic region is of particular concern because of the effect it has on reducing the albedo (reflectivity) of sea ice and snow. When solar radiation is applied, reduced albedo increases the rate of ice and snow melt significantly, resulting in more open water, and thereby reducing the regional albedo further. In the Arctic region in 2004, approximately 1,180 metric tons of black carbon was released, representing a small proportion of the estimated 71,000 to 160,000 metric tons released around the globe annually. However, the region-specific effects of black carbon indicate that even small amounts could have a potentially disproportionate impact on ice melt and warming in the region. More research is needed to determine the level of impact this could have on ice melt acceleration in the Arctic and the potential benefits from limiting ships’ BC emissions when operating near to or in ice-covered regions. The potential impacts of black carbon should also be a point of consideration when weighing the costs and benefits of using in-situ burning of oil in spill response situations.”
A portion of the warming that occurred during the last 30 years may be associated with particulates/soot versus increases in CO2 emissions. Maybe this is the denial tie in with cigarette manufacturers?…

Editor
September 14, 2011 7:04 pm

Good grief, back to cigarette company “featurette”. I guess there isn’t enough climate science to fill 24 hours.

rc
September 14, 2011 7:04 pm

Am I seeing things, or did they just remove the “Live Views” number from both channel pages?
(http://www.ustream.tv/climatereality and http://www.ustream.tv/climaterealityproject)

RockyRoad
September 14, 2011 7:05 pm

Chris in Hervey Bay says:
September 14, 2011 at 6:51 pm

They said on TV here the other day, that a new proposed wind farm would supply 25,000 homes with all their energy needs.
My question is : How many wind turbines do you need to supply all the energy needs to one house when the wind is not blowing ?

Well, now you’re talking indeterminate–in other words, the whole world could be full of windmills and none of ’em would do you a lick of good (this even happens when the wind is blowing moderately ’cause they’re so stinkin’ inefficient.)

Pete of Perth
September 14, 2011 7:05 pm

I just came back from 20 days at sea out of WWW contact. The world is still the same with the crazies in charge – wish I was back at sea.

Dave in Canmore
September 14, 2011 7:07 pm

like many others, glad to get an update as I don’t wish to add to his web traffic!

September 14, 2011 7:27 pm

… and don’t miss

Ian H
September 14, 2011 7:32 pm

I just tuned in and they were blaming every flood that occured in the world this year on “climate change”.. They mentioned the Chiliwack, BC floods where I used to live but failed to mention they had record snowfalls and record cold temperatures in the winter and spring. They also failed to mention that they get bad floods every 5 years or so. Like all alarmists though they believe nothing bad has ever happened in the past and whatever happens in the future must be caused by anthropogenic “climate change”.

September 14, 2011 7:49 pm

I’m a bit puzzled why we’re giving The Goracle all this attention, but I did enjoy the Ray Stevens clip above.
/Mr Lynn

renewable guy
September 14, 2011 7:51 pm

Chris in Hervey Bay says:
September 14, 2011 at 6:51 pm
They said on TV here the other day, that a new proposed wind farm would supply 25,000 homes with all their energy needs.
My question is : How many wind turbines do you need to supply all the energy needs to one house when the wind is not blowing ?
#######################
Iowa is working on that now.
Iowa has 20% wind electricity per person average.

HB
September 14, 2011 7:54 pm

Anyone else download (or watch) Al’s rehearsal videos?
[Reply: No. Make it easy on the rest of us and supply a link. REP, mod]

renewable guy
September 14, 2011 7:55 pm

_Jim says:
September 14, 2011 at 6:57 pm
“Distributed wind and solar are the pathways out of poverty” – is he kidding?
Wind has been tried since Carter Administration … FAIL.
####################
Wind is the 2nd fastest growing power in the world.

HB
September 14, 2011 8:25 pm

It was on the Archived Videos page.

Roger Knights
September 14, 2011 11:15 pm

Anthony Watts says:
September 14, 2011 at 6:10 pm
Pakistan 20 million people flooded, “further destabilizing a nuclear armed country”
—————–
Bdaman says:
November 24, 2010 at 3:41 am
Leading monsoon expert proves global warming media doomsayers lied to the public on the severity of this year’s floods in Pakistan.
Madhav Khandekar was an expert reviewer for the United Nation’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in their 2007 Report. In his latest study he proves Pakistan did not suffer “unprecedented” monsoon floods this year. Rains were only 5% above average.
http://canadafreepress.com/index.php/article/30312
………………..
Andrew30 says:
March 26, 2011 at 10:45 am
… consider the Pakistani flood commissions interim report which they submited yesterday.
“On December 15, 2010, the Supreme Court had constituted a four-member commission to investigate the issue of breaching of dykes and unauthorised diversion of floodwaters by influential people to save their lands during the floods.”
“The commission had been tasked with assessing the damages as well as finding the reasons due to which the dykes were breached during the floods and also prepare suggestions about compensation to the people who suffered due to the diversion of floodwaters.”
“The court had taken suo motu notice on the letters of renowned lawyer Fakharuddin G Ebrahim, Senate’s Deputy Chairman Jan Muhammad Khan Jamali and others, requesting the chief justice to probe the matter of the breaches in dykes and unauthorised diversion of floodwaters by influential people.”
So it appears that much of the flooding was man made, but not for the reasons that you might have us believe. For some reason I do not expect that we will get an update from the western media as to why the flodding was so extensive and was not contained by the dykes.
http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=20113\26\story_26-3-2011_pg7_9

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