McShane & Wyner Hockey Stick Smackdown – redux

WUWT readers may remember this popular article from August 30th, 2010 New paper makes a hockey sticky wicket of Mann et al 98/99/08 and then The Team’s response RC’s response to McShane and Wyner: a case of orange cones which gave rise to Josh’s cartoon and this cartoon coffee mug:

Click image for details on how to get one

Patrick Hadley writes in comments today:

OT – The McShane & Wyner discussion is now available at the Annals of Applied Statistics.

There is a lot of fascinating material to read there – the original paper, criticisms from the Hockey Team, support from others and, what seems to me at least, a brilliant rejoinder from McShane and Wyner.

I’ll say. Wow, this paper stirred up a statistical hornet’s nest, just have a look at the table of contents related to this paper. It reads like a who’s who of paleohockey. Each article is fully open, no paywalls; which I see as a testament to the journal integrity. If nothing else, read the editorial by Michael Stein which speaks to the entire table of contents.

Climate Change Discussion*
* Editorial Michael Stein
* A Statistical Analysis of Multiple Temperature Proxies: Are Reconstructions of Surface Temperatures Over the Last 1000 Years Reliable? Blakeley B. McShane and Abraham J. Wyner
* Discussion of “A statistical analysis of multiple temperature proxies: Are reconstructions of surface temperatures over the last 1000 years reliable?” by McShane and Wyner Jonathan Rougier
* Discussion of: A statistical analysis of multiple temperature proxies: Are reconstructions of surface temperatures over the last 1000 years reliable? Jason Smerdon
* Discussion to McShane and Wyner paper, “A Statistical Analysis of Multiple Temperature Proxies” Richard A Davis and Jingchen Liu
* A Comment on “A statistical analysis of multiple temperature proxies: Are reconstructions of surface temperatures over the last 1000 years reliable?” By McShane and Wyner Gavin A Schmidt, Michael E Mann, and Scott D Rutherford
* Spurious predictions with random time series: The LASSO in the context of paleoclimatic reconstructions. A Discussion of “A Statistical Analysis of Multiple Temperature Proxies…” by McShane and Wyner Martin P Tingley
* Discussion of Paper by McShane and Wyner Bala Rajaratnam and Peter Craigmile
* Discussion of “A statistical analysis of multiple temperature proxies: are reconstructions of surface temperatures over the last 1000 years reliable?” by McShane and Wyner Murali Haran and Nathan M. Urban
* Discussion of: A statistical analysis of multiple temperature proxies: are reconstructions of surface temperatures over the last 1000 years reliable? Lasse Holmström
* Discussion L Mark Berliner
* Comment on “A Statistical Analysis of Multiple Temperature Proxies: Are Reconstructions of Surface Temperatures over the Last 1000 Years Reliable?” by McShane and Wyner Eugene Wahl and Ammann Caspar
* Discussion to: A Statistical Analysis of Multiple Temperature Proxies: Are Reconstructions of Surface Temperatures over the Last 1000 Years Reliable? McShane and Wyner Douglas W Nychka and Bo Li
* Discussion of McShane and Wyner (2010) Stephen McIntyre and Ross McKitrick
* Discussion of: A Statistical Analysis of Multiple Temperature Proxies: Are Reconstructions of Surface Temperatures over the Last 1000 Years Reliable? Alexey Kaplan
* Rejoinder: A Statistical Analysis of Multiple Temperature Proxies: Are Reconstructions of Surface Temperatures over the Last 1000 Years Reliable? Blakeley B. McShane and Abraham J. Wyner

There is so much here, I can’t even begin to dig into it all (It’s a workday for me) but if readers wish to place excerpts below of interest, I’ll do a follow up post with them. – Anthony

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Myrrh
December 16, 2010 5:39 am

[Something a bit odd here, I can no longer get the page with 02 comparison from the link, but it still appears from my original attempt when pulled down from history when typing in the URL..]

John
December 16, 2010 7:43 am

Late to the game here, but I am reading these papers with interest. First SMR and now McShane and Wyner. By me reading so far, M&W have taken SMR to the woodshed on statistical analysis. Am I wrong?

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