Hal Lewis: My Resignation From The American Physical Society – an important moment in science history

UPDATE5: (Saturday 10/16/10) It has been a week, and I think this piece has been well distributed, so I’m putting it in regular queue now and it will gradually scroll off the page.

UPDATE4: (Friday 10/15/10) APS member Roger Cohen comments here on Andy Revkin’s Dot Earth op/ed.

UPDATE3: (Friday 10/15/10) Andrew Revkin, after a week (I sent him this story last Friday) of digging around to get just the right rebuttal, responds here at Dot Earth.

UPDATE2: (Wednesday 10/13/10) This just in…click for the story.

APS responds! – Deconstructing the APS response to Dr. Hal Lewis resignation

UPDATE: (Saturday 10/9/10) Since this came in late Friday, many of our weekday WUWT readers might not see this important story, so I’m sticking it to the top for a couple of days. New stories will appear just below this one, please scroll down to see them.  – Anthony

Hal Lewis

(Originally posted on 10/8/10 ) We’ve previously covered the APS here, when I wrote:

While Copenhagen and its excesses rage, a quiet revolution is starting.

Indeed, not so quiet now. It looks like it is getting ugly inside with the public airing of the resignation of a very prominent member who writes:

I don’t believe that any real physicist, nay scientist, can read that stuff without revulsion. I would almost make that revulsion a definition of the word scientist.

In the interim the ClimateGate scandal broke into the news, and the machinations of the principal alarmists were revealed to the world. It was a fraud on a scale I have never seen, and I lack the words to describe its enormity. Effect on the APS position: none. None at all. This is not science; other forces are at work.- Hal Lewis

Below is his resignation letter made public today, via the GWPF.

This is an important moment in science history. I would describe it as a letter on the scale of Martin Luther, nailing his 95 theses to the Wittenburg church door. It is worthy of repeating this letter in entirety on every blog that discusses science.

What I would really like to see though, is this public resignation letter given the same editorial space as Michael Mann in today’s Washington Post.

Readers, we can do this. Here’s the place at WaPo to ask for it.  For anyone writing to the WaPo, the  national@washpost.com, is the national news editorial desk. The Post’s Ombudsman, Andrew Alexander, is the readers’ representative within the newspaper. E-mail him at ombudsman@washpost.com or call 202-334-7582.

Spread the word on other blogs. Let’s see if they have enough integrity to provide a counterpoint. – Anthony

======================================

Sent: Friday, 08 October 2010 17:19 Hal Lewis

From: Hal Lewis, University of California, Santa Barbara

To: Curtis G. Callan, Jr., Princeton University, President of the American Physical Society

6 October 2010

Dear Curt:

When I first joined the American Physical Society sixty-seven years ago it was much smaller, much gentler, and as yet uncorrupted by the money flood (a threat against which Dwight Eisenhower warned a half-century ago).

Indeed, the choice of physics as a profession was then a guarantor of a life of poverty and abstinence—it was World War II that changed all that. The prospect of worldly gain drove few physicists. As recently as thirty-five years ago, when I chaired the first APS study of a contentious social/scientific issue, The Reactor Safety Study, though there were zealots aplenty on the outside there was no hint of inordinate pressure on us as physicists. We were therefore able to produce what I believe was and is an honest appraisal of the situation at that time. We were further enabled by the presence of an oversight committee consisting of Pief Panofsky, Vicki Weisskopf, and Hans Bethe, all towering physicists beyond reproach. I was proud of what we did in a charged atmosphere. In the end the oversight committee, in its report to the APS President, noted the complete independence in which we did the job, and predicted that the report would be attacked from both sides. What greater tribute could there be?

How different it is now. The giants no longer walk the earth, and the money flood has become the raison d’être of much physics research, the vital sustenance of much more, and it provides the support for untold numbers of professional jobs. For reasons that will soon become clear my former pride at being an APS Fellow all these years has been turned into shame, and I am forced, with no pleasure at all, to offer you my resignation from the Society.

It is of course, the global warming scam, with the (literally) trillions of dollars driving it, that has corrupted so many scientists, and has carried APS before it like a rogue wave. It is the greatest and most successful pseudoscientific fraud I have seen in my long life as a physicist. Anyone who has the faintest doubt that this is so should force himself to read the ClimateGate documents, which lay it bare. (Montford’s book organizes the facts very well.) I don’t believe that any real physicist, nay scientist, can read that stuff without revulsion. I would almost make that revulsion a definition of the word scientist.

So what has the APS, as an organization, done in the face of this challenge? It has accepted the corruption as the norm, and gone along with it. For example:

1. About a year ago a few of us sent an e-mail on the subject to a fraction of the membership. APS ignored the issues, but the then President immediately launched a hostile investigation of where we got the e-mail addresses. In its better days, APS used to encourage discussion of important issues, and indeed the Constitution cites that as its principal purpose. No more. Everything that has been done in the last year has been designed to silence debate

2. The appallingly tendentious APS statement on Climate Change was apparently written in a hurry by a few people over lunch, and is certainly not representative of the talents of APS members as I have long known them. So a few of us petitioned the Council to reconsider it. One of the outstanding marks of (in)distinction in the Statement was the poison word incontrovertible, which describes few items in physics, certainly not this one. In response APS appointed a secret committee that never met, never troubled to speak to any skeptics, yet endorsed the Statement in its entirety. (They did admit that the tone was a bit strong, but amazingly kept the poison word incontrovertible to describe the evidence, a position supported by no one.) In the end, the Council kept the original statement, word for word, but approved a far longer “explanatory” screed, admitting that there were uncertainties, but brushing them aside to give blanket approval to the original. The original Statement, which still stands as the APS position, also contains what I consider pompous and asinine advice to all world governments, as if the APS were master of the universe. It is not, and I am embarrassed that our leaders seem to think it is. This is not fun and games, these are serious matters involving vast fractions of our national substance, and the reputation of the Society as a scientific society is at stake.

3. In the interim the ClimateGate scandal broke into the news, and the machinations of the principal alarmists were revealed to the world. It was a fraud on a scale I have never seen, and I lack the words to describe its enormity. Effect on the APS position: none. None at all. This is not science; other forces are at work.

4. So a few of us tried to bring science into the act (that is, after all, the alleged and historic purpose of APS), and collected the necessary 200+ signatures to bring to the Council a proposal for a Topical Group on Climate Science, thinking that open discussion of the scientific issues, in the best tradition of physics, would be beneficial to all, and also a contribution to the nation. I might note that it was not easy to collect the signatures, since you denied us the use of the APS membership list. We conformed in every way with the requirements of the APS Constitution, and described in great detail what we had in mind—simply to bring the subject into the open.

5. To our amazement, Constitution be damned, you declined to accept our petition, but instead used your own control of the mailing list to run a poll on the members’ interest in a TG on Climate and the Environment. You did ask the members if they would sign a petition to form a TG on your yet-to-be-defined subject, but provided no petition, and got lots of affirmative responses. (If you had asked about sex you would have gotten more expressions of interest.) There was of course no such petition or proposal, and you have now dropped the Environment part, so the whole matter is moot. (Any lawyer will tell you that you cannot collect signatures on a vague petition, and then fill in whatever you like.) The entire purpose of this exercise was to avoid your constitutional responsibility to take our petition to the Council.

6. As of now you have formed still another secret and stacked committee to organize your own TG, simply ignoring our lawful petition.

APS management has gamed the problem from the beginning, to suppress serious conversation about the merits of the climate change claims. Do you wonder that I have lost confidence in the organization?

I do feel the need to add one note, and this is conjecture, since it is always risky to discuss other people’s motives. This scheming at APS HQ is so bizarre that there cannot be a simple explanation for it. Some have held that the physicists of today are not as smart as they used to be, but I don’t think that is an issue. I think it is the money, exactly what Eisenhower warned about a half-century ago. There are indeed trillions of dollars involved, to say nothing of the fame and glory (and frequent trips to exotic islands) that go with being a member of the club. Your own Physics Department (of which you are chairman) would lose millions a year if the global warming bubble burst. When Penn State absolved Mike Mann of wrongdoing, and the University of East Anglia did the same for Phil Jones, they cannot have been unaware of the financial penalty for doing otherwise. As the old saying goes, you don’t have to be a weatherman to know which way the wind is blowing. Since I am no philosopher, I’m not going to explore at just which point enlightened self-interest crosses the line into corruption, but a careful reading of the ClimateGate releases makes it clear that this is not an academic question.

I want no part of it, so please accept my resignation. APS no longer represents me, but I hope we are still friends.

Hal

==========================================================

Harold Lewis is Emeritus Professor of Physics, University of California, Santa Barbara, former Chairman; Former member Defense Science Board, chmn of Technology panel; Chairman DSB study on Nuclear Winter; Former member Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards; Former member, President’s Nuclear Safety Oversight Committee; Chairman APS study on Nuclear Reactor Safety Chairman Risk Assessment Review Group; Co-founder and former Chairman of JASON; Former member USAF Scientific Advisory Board; Served in US Navy in WW II; books: Technological Risk (about, surprise, technological risk) and Why Flip a Coin (about decision making)

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LazyTeenager
October 12, 2010 5:29 am

It is of course, the global warming scam, with the (literally) trillions of dollars driving it, that has corrupted so many scientists, and has carried APS before it like a rogue wave.
——————-
So where do these trillions of dollars actually come from? The total USA climate change budget appears to be 2000 milion dollars per year.
To get trillions you need to have climate change activities on the same scale as military expenditures and that ain’t happening. Somebody has been lying to the old guy.
P.S. I do not approve of exploiting a 90 year old by waving him around like a propaganda flag to be shot at. Let him enjoy his grumpy old guy years in peace.

stephan
October 12, 2010 5:36 am

OT but the ice game is over
http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/icecover.uk.php

Alleagra
October 12, 2010 5:37 am

Dear Moderator,
The comments here form a ‘must-read’ part of any article on WUWT. The mostly well-informed, pertinent and sometimes funny comments are one of the highlights of the site.
But please consider introducing nested comments so that we can easily follow discussion relating to a specific point raised by a commenter.

Dave Springer
October 12, 2010 5:46 am

@Paul Birch
What you described in pushing me off a cliff is:
{model}->{certain expected observations}} + {expected observations actually observed} /: Therefore, {model}.
If you don’t see the fallacy there I’m not going to help you find it because at that point my model of you would conclude you’re beyond help.
Thanks for playing.

LazyTeenager
October 12, 2010 5:57 am

Steve Allen says
——————
Just for a very rough estimate, for example, a new 10% energy tax on non-renewable energy could raise $98.2 billion in new tax revenue a single year.
————
I like your numbers, but I think you are forgetting the whole purpose of a carbon tax or cap and trade; its to incentivise energy efficiecy. That will reduce the taxes paid on average.

October 12, 2010 6:02 am

the apropriate word to use is:
Delusion

Dave Springer
October 12, 2010 6:21 am

@Daniel Kozub
I have no love lost for Carl Sagan but a burning oil well is hardly comparable to a nuclear detonation. The former produces particulates that rise only as far as convection can carry them. The latter produces particulates that are driven into the stratosphere. If Sagan abandoned the nuclear winter hypothesis because of what happened from oil well fires he abandoned it prematurely to say the least. A much better proxy for a multiplicity of surface nuclear detonations is a volcanic eruption and we know from the satellite temperature record that Pinatubo reduced global average troposphere temperature by half a degree and the effect persisted for two years.

October 12, 2010 6:42 am

HBCRod says:
October 12, 2010 at 3:45 am
I see from the Global Warming Policy Foundation website that Dr Lewis has agreed to join their Academic Advisory Council.
http://www.thegwpf.org/news/1687-professor-hal-lewis-joins-the-gwpf.html
jazznick says:
October 12, 2010 at 4:08 am
see revised list of his new colleagues here:-
http://www.thegwpf.org/who-we-are/academic-advisory-council.html
includes – Prof Lindzen, Prof McKitrick, Prof Freeman Dyson

—————
HBCRod and jazznick,
Thanks for the links!
The independent scientists are gathering together in open science venues. GO GWPF!
Just like many independent thinkers and scientists are gathering here at WUWT. GO ANTHONY!
John

Dave Springer
October 12, 2010 6:58 am

re; Sagan, Gulf War oil well fires, and nuclear winter hypothesis
Unfortunately for Sagan it wasn’t until after his death (1996) that confirmation of stratospheric particulates injected by firestorms was first confirmed (1998).
See the references for this article:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pyrocumulonimbus_cloud

DCA engineer
October 12, 2010 7:08 am

Lazy,
You’re living up to your nic. Didn’t you see Steve Allen’s 10/11/10, 7:28 PM post or Graeme’s 10/11/10, 9:38 AM posts?
BTW: The world economy does not only consist of the “USA climate change budget” for just one year.

wl
October 12, 2010 7:27 am

Refreshing to see a real scientist place his honesty and ethics above monitary rewards. I liked his emphasis on the word “incontrovertible”. The jump that’s been made from the term “greenhouse gas” to “incontrovertible evidence” should be well noted. There has seemingly been little proof that there is indeed such a thing as a “greenhouse gas” beyond perhaps simple water vapor, yet the leap is made past this premise to an arrogant conclusion that not only are there greenhouse gases, but that there are many. Many, many different kinds with a new term now “CO2E” – E for “equivalent” (thanks to an EPA more than willing to toe the party line) and we are expected to believe that these are mostly all man made and causing global warming – a “fact” with nearly no evidence, and plenty of reasons why it should be disputed and questioned – debated if possible rather than supressed with another arrogant declaration that this has been accomplished and the “debate is over”. The is no science here. This has become a blatant political scandal with pure political motives. The motives are socialist in nature: control, tax, rule, and finally “reap huge financial rewards”. We need look no further than our own Al Gore to see how true the latter is. When you control energy and the free markets, you control the world.

October 12, 2010 7:29 am

When I was a kid, I was persuaded to Join a Boys Brigade troop attached to a Baptist church by a Baptist schoolmate. Boys Brigade was similar to the Boy Scouts, which I also belonged to, but with a lot more preaching and a drum-and-bugle marching band. I wanted to be a drummer. Joining that Boys Brigade troop was my introduction to full-on Baptist hellfire-and-damnation preaching. I didn’t stay long, despite being allowed to learn drumming!
I just read Joe Romm’s rant about Prof Lewis’s retirement and it bought back my long-ago discomfort with raving religionists who shout nonsense passionately. I shuddered and clicked quietly back to sanity and gentlemany discourse at WUWT.

October 12, 2010 8:10 am

Dave Springer says:
October 12, 2010 at 5:46 am
“@Paul Birch
What you described in pushing me off a cliff is:
{model}->{certain expected observations}} + {expected observations actually observed} /: Therefore, {model}.
If you don’t see the fallacy there I’m not going to help you find it because at that point my model of you would conclude you’re beyond help.”
No, it isn’t. To the extent that it’s a syllogism at all (which in science, unlike maths, it seldom is, being instead a probabilistic weighting of evidence) that would be {{{theory}–>{observations}}+{{not theory}–>{not observations}}+{observations}}–>{theory}. If you can’t see why my belief that pushing you off a cliff is fatal is sound, even if I only do it once, then you’re beyond help and must have fallen off a mental cliff already!

Enneagram
October 12, 2010 8:27 am

Paul Birch says:
October 12, 2010 at 8:10 am
You are right: That’s the state of “science”now: It has been divided by zero or way out this universe, by multiplying mass by the velocity of light SQUARED! (was it not that the limit was the velocity of light?): It has reached the “twilight zone” of the land of “never more”.
Let’s get back to rationality and simplicity, to a “canon”, again:
http://www.scribd.com/doc/38598073/Unified-Field

Karl
October 12, 2010 8:28 am

Thank you Dr. Lewis.

October 12, 2010 9:26 am

FWIW Martin Luther was a raging antisemite.
REPLY: Professor Halpern, really? Are you that desperate to poison the comparison of an act of defiance against consensus?
What next? Shall we tag individual prominent Lutherans as embracing anti-semitism now? Shall we assume then your claim extends to the entire Lutheran church today as anti-semitic?
Go back to your fantasy wonderland rabett hole. – Anthony Watts

October 12, 2010 9:36 am

If there a any APS members who are regular commenters here, please let us know if there significant drops in APS membership from now.
John

Tenuc
October 12, 2010 10:20 am

Dave Springer says:
October 12, 2010 at 6:21 am
“…A much better proxy for a multiplicity of surface nuclear detonations is a volcanic eruption and we know from the satellite temperature record that Pinatubo reduced global average troposphere temperature by half a degree and the effect persisted for two years.”
Two potential problems comparing the possibility of a ‘nuclear winter’ with volcanoes:-
Due to natural climate oscillations it is not possible to isolate the 0.5K signal, and because of the deterministic chaos inherent in weather/climate trends are no help in proving the case.
Volcanoes also often spew out sulphur compounds, which have been theorised to affect climate – nuclear explosions don’t.
In it’s current incarnation climate makes too many assumptions based on low granularity data of dubious accuracy and a poor factual understanding about how it works.

Chris Schoneveld
October 12, 2010 10:40 am

“FWIW”, Eli Rabett ?
Well, it’s worth jack-shit! Pardon me for the vulgar expression but you don’t deserve any better.

George E. Smith
October 12, 2010 11:01 am

“”” marco says:
October 12, 2010 at 12:32 am
To DocBud
Fair point. However I have to add that this is not just a resignation letter, it has been made available for wide spread publication and as such seeks to contribute to the ‘debate’. Thus I don’t think a little more by way of meat and potatos is unreasonable otherwise the letter simply becomes an example of appeal from authority.
To Kate
I think you will find that the behaviour of CO2 as a green house gas is pretty well understood. “””
Well Marco, I suspect that there are quite a few of us (incuding me) who are not at all concerned about the state of knowledge of the behavior of CO2 as a “Green House” gas; and yes we are even happy to say that of course real “greenhouses” don’t work the same way that GHGs do; but we know what the term means as far as climate science goes.
So GHGs of all kinds warm the atmosphere; whoop de do ! And so does the incoming sunlight, via other spectral absorption paths; including O2, O3, and H2O. All of those things warm the atmosphere; some of us are pretty sure of that.
And then there is the real problem of what does a warmer atmosphere have to do with climate and in particular catastrophic climate change. The atmosphere itself really doesn’t give a tinker’s damn about how it got warmed up a bit; the end result is that it radiates thermal LWIR radiation in an isotropic radiation pattern; about half of which is lost to space; and the other half (roughly) interracts with the surface in some way. And of course there’s a whole gamut of other thermal processes that are modified in some way by a slightly warmer atmosphere, some of which like convection, result in the transport of additional heat energy into the upper atmopshere for ultimate loss to space.
So just what CO2 does as a GHG is of relatively little importance; it is what a slightly warmer atmosphere does to affect climate that is the real issue; and unfortunately, there are other influences like cloud coverage, that have a much more dramatic and controlling influence than any slight increase in atmospheric Temperature.
So the GHG effect is as you say fairly well understood; and also of relatively little significance in affecting climate.

John Dodds
October 12, 2010 11:04 am

Thank you Dr Lewis. Below are some common sense facts to support you views.
The Greenhouse effect as applied by Arrhenius, the IPCC, the APS, the UK Royal Society, California’s CO2 reduction law- AB32, and the US NAS is flawed.
The “rule” (AR4, WG1,Ch1 p116) is “More GHGs means more warming” This does NOT work. When you add more GHG water vapor, when it rains, the temperature does not increase. When the sun goes down and you still add more CO2/GHGs, the temperature does NOT increase. But when you add photons every morning the temperature does increase.
Arrhenius’ flawed science should have read: When you add more energy photons you get more warming, AND you get more Greenhouse effect warming. Arrhenius ignored that the number of GHGs in the air exceeds the number of energy photons available in the air. Otherwise the greenhouse effect would continue warming the air until all the photons were in use.
The number of CO2 molecules available to absorb 15um photons is about 390ppm. The number of Water Vapor vapor molecules available to absorb a similar number of 7or 20 um photons is about 2 to 4% or 40,000 ppm. There is an excess of GHG molecules to be used by the GHE whenever more photons become available.
Whenever the number of photons decreases (e eg with very night, winter, little ice age, major ice age etc temp decrease) the GHGs that were being used for the GHE are released back to the air to be more excess GHGs. Man just adds more to the excess.
The number of photons dictates and limits the amount of the Greenhouse Effect. Anyone who claims that more GHGs means more warming in the air is defrauding you. Reducing added GHGs has no impact on temperature, since it just reduces the number of excess GHGs.. California 2010 election Proposition 23 will save wasting money on a fraud.
See “Arrhenius Mis-Applied the Greenhouse Effect”, “Gravity Causes Climate Change” and
“John Dodds Wobble Theory of Global Warming”available at http://www.scribd.com for more information about the variable sources of more photons and why they are causing the current Sept/Oct 2010 warming peaks.

JoeFromBrazil
October 12, 2010 11:06 am

Well, well, Mr Holdren was right… Is it a “Global Climate [consensus] Disruption”!
JFB

Enneagram
October 12, 2010 11:12 am

Chris Schoneveld says:
October 12, 2010 at 10:40 am
Funny, just imagine that very black joke: Do you know the difference between WWII and WWIII?
I won’t repeat it (it would be snipped off)but the answer referred to updated appliances.

Andre G
October 12, 2010 11:14 am

A question: my son-in-law, a bright PhD in bioengineering, drank the cool aid for several years and sincerely believes in academia’s global warming, man is evil, the earth will die or significantly change etc. If I were to confront him with this article, he would reply, “It’s a rogue dissenter; there are hundreds, if not thousands, of scientists who disagree with Mr. Lewis.” How can I counter this argument in a logical, scientific way? Why are there so few dissenters? Thanks

Randy K
October 12, 2010 11:34 am

Is it possible to start a new Physical Society, with physicists that are not part of the corruption? The number of honest people should make it possible.

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